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To estimate the causal effect of refugee migration on voting outcomes in parliamentary and municipal elections in Denmark, our study is the first that addresses the key problem of immigrant sorting by exploiting a policy that assigned refugee immigrants to municipalities on a quasi-random basis. We find that in all but the most urban municipalities, allocation of larger refugee shares between electoral cycles leads to an increase in the vote share for right-leaning parties with an anti-immigration agenda, and we show large differences in voters’ responses to refugee allocation according to pre-policy municipal characteristics. However, in the largest and urban municipalities, refugee allocation has—if anything—the opposite effect on vote shares for anti-immigration parties. This coincides with a sharp divide in attitudes to refugees between urban and rural populations, which may be partly explained by distinctive interactions between natives and those with different background in cities and rural areas. Refugee allocation also has a large impact on the anti-immigration parties’ choice of where to stand for municipal election, and we provide some evidence that it influences voter turnout.

Aim The rapidly changing Arctic is ideal for investigating uncertainties in climate projections. Despite the challenges of collecting data in this region, an unprecedented large‐scale survey of shorebirds has been conducted over the last 30 years. Our study aimed to (1) develop probabilistic estimates for the change in suitable habitat for 10 Arctic shorebird species in Canada by 2075 and (2) assess the contribution of modelling decisions to the uncertainty in these estimates. Location Arctic Canada. Methods To evaluate uncertainty, we considered six classes of modelling decisions, yielding 216 unique projections for each species. We tested three decisions that are less commonly explored − the pool of candidate variables, a method for selecting variables, and the maximum distance of tree line dispersal, as well as the modelling algorithm, carbon emissions scenario, and global circulation model. We used a bootstrapping approach, creating a probability distribution for the proportional change in suitable habitat for each species. Results Our findings indicated a substantial risk for 8/10 species to lose over half of their suitable breeding habitat, but this projection is much less certain than has been described previously. While much uncertainty is unexplained, we were surprised that the largest source of uncertainty among our modelling decisions was from our choice of methods for variable selection, that the other modelling decisions were relatively small sources of uncertainty, overshadowing other modelling decisions. Main Conclusions While most scenarios predict a northward shift and significant habitat loss for Arctic‐breeding shorebirds, the Arctic Archipelago of Canada will remain an important refuge because in many other Arctic regions, there is no land farther north for these species to shift into. A comprehensive understanding of uncertainty is important for deciding if future projections can or should be used when planning climate‐resilient protected area networks.

To test whether the occupancy of shorebirds has changed in the eastern Canadian Arctic, and whether these changes could indicate that shorebird distributions are shifting in response to long-term climate change.Location Foxe Basin and Rasmussen Lowlands, Nunavut, Canada.Methods We used a unique set of observations, made 25 years apart, using general linear models to test if there was a relationship between changes in shorebird species' occupancy and their species temperature Index, a simple version of a species climate envelope.Results Changes in occupancy and density varied widely across species, with some increasing and some decreasing. This is despite that overall population trends are known to be negative for all of these species based on surveys during migration. The changes in occupancy that we observed were positively related to the species temperature index, such that the warmer-breeding species appear to be moving into these regions, while colder-breeding species appear to be shifting out of the regions, likely northward.Main Conclusions Our results suggest that we should be concerned about declining breeding habitat availability for bird species whose current breeding ranges are centered on higher and colder latitudes.

Rapid industrialization during recent decades has resulted in the widespread contamination by cadmium (Cd) of agricultural soils, which has become a ubiquitous environmental problem and poses great risk to human health via the food chain. Cd accumulation greatly varies among different plant species and even within different genotypes of the same species across the plant kingdom. A better understanding of the physiological and molecular mechanisms underlying Cd uptake, translocation, sequestration, and (re)distribution in plants will shed light on developing strategies to minimize Cd in crops. Moreover, analysis of molecular evolution of the key transporters reveals that Cd transporters were highly conserved throughout the evolutionary lineage of the entire plant kingdom and underwent lineage-specific expansion as the result of gene duplication. However, different Cd transporters may experience different evolutionary lineages from algae to angiosperms, suggesting the divergence of their roles in plant adaptation to metalliferous soil. In summary, all the knowledge in the present review can be used to predict the transfer of Cd from soils to plants, to further understand the origins of Cd-accumulating phenotypes, and to discover the plant genetic resources for the breeding of low-Cd crops and the phytoremediation of Cd-contaminated soils.

Though microplastic (MP/MiP) pollution of the environment is a popular research topic, a relatively limited number of studies are investigating its geomorphological context. However, site-specific hydrological and morphological parameters fundamentally affect the MP transport, deposition and mobilization. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate the geomorphological influencing factors on MP deposition in the fluvial sediments of the Tisza River (Central Europe). Between the two surveys (in 2019 and 2020), small flood waves rearranged the MP pollution, as in the sediments of the Tisza it decreased by 30% and in the tributaries by 48%. The previously highly polluted upstream and downstream sections became moderately polluted, but the contamination increased in the Middle Tisza, and the hot-spots were rearranged. The increasing longitudinal trend in the MP content exists if the minimum values of the hydrologically uniform sections are considered. The tributaries are important MP sources, as 80% of them had a higher (by 20%) MP content in their sediments than the Tisza had near the confluence, and they increased the MP content of the Tisza by 52% on average. The point-bars were the most polluted in-channel forms, while the side-bars and sediment sheets had less MP content, by 18 and 23%, respectively. The spatial trend of the MP content of these forms was not the same. Therefore, during the planning of sampling campaigns, it is very important to consider the geomorphological setting of a sampling site: we suggest sampling side-bars. No clear connection between the particle size of the sediments and their MP content was found.

The welding residual stress re-distribution behavior during fatigue crack propagation in butt-welded high-strength steel plates for ship construction is investigated based on experimental test results and numerical analyses. The specimens’ initial welding residual stresses are obtained from X-ray for middle tensile (MT) specimens cut from butt-welded high-strength steel plates. Then, fatigue crack propagation experiments on MT specimens are conducted, and a strain gauge is used to measure the residual stress re-distribution field around cracks. A practical fatigue crack propagation simulation procedure is developed with a dynamic update of in-situ welding residual stress, where the residual stress intensity factor Kres of the MT specimen is deduced. The stress ratio effect on Kres during fatigue crack propagation is analyzed and a good agreement between experimental and numerical results is achieved.

The proportional subdistribution hazards (PSH) model is popularly used to deal with competing risks data. Censored quantile regression provides an important supplement as well as variable selection methods due to large numbers of irrelevant covariates in practice. In this paper, we study variable selection procedures based on penalized weighted quantile regression for competing risks models, which is conveniently applied by researchers. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators, including consistency and asymptotic normality of non-penalized estimator and consistency of variable selection, are established. Monte Carlo simulation studies are conducted, showing that the proposed methods are considerably stable and efficient. Real data about bone marrow transplant (BMT) are also analyzed to illustrate the application of the proposed procedure.

This paper studies the spatial deployment of temporary settlements in Extremadura in 1932-1933 and 1936. The literature has stressed the role of bottom-up forces driving settlements in 1933 and 1936, perhaps making land reform in Extremadura an interesting case study of local collective action-driving policy implementation in a developing economy. Contrary to this view, we argue that there was an equal or more important role of the top-down, programmatic design of land occupations, which explains a large share of the spatial and temporal variation of expropriations and settlements.

Relocation of alkali metals sodium, potassium and cesium during oxidation of 4H-SiC has been studied by secondary ion mass spectrometry. The alkali metal source has been introduced by ion implantation before oxidation into n-and p-type 4H-SiC samples. Dry oxidation of SiC has been performed at 1150 oC during 4, 8 and 16 h. In the formed oxide, the main part of the alkali metals diffuses out via the SiO2 surface. Close to the moving SiO2/SiC interface, a minor amount of alkali metals is retained. In the SiC material, the main amount of implanted alkali atoms is not redistributed during the oxidation, although a minor amount diffuses deeper into the samples. For p-type 4H-SiC, the diffusion deeper into the samples of the studied alkali metals decreases as the mass increases, Na+

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