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152 result(s) for "Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)"
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Forecasting standardized precipitation index using data intelligence models: regional investigation of Bangladesh
A noticeable increase in drought frequency and severity has been observed across the globe due to climate change, which attracted scientists in development of drought prediction models for mitigation of impacts. Droughts are usually monitored using drought indices (DIs), most of which are probabilistic and therefore, highly stochastic and non-linear. The current research investigated the capability of different versions of relatively well-explored machine learning (ML) models including random forest (RF), minimum probability machine regression (MPMR), M5 Tree (M5tree), extreme learning machine (ELM) and online sequential-ELM (OSELM) in predicting the most widely used DI known as standardized precipitation index (SPI) at multiple month horizons (i.e., 1, 3, 6 and 12). Models were developed using monthly rainfall data for the period of 1949–2013 at four meteorological stations namely, Barisal, Bogra, Faridpur and Mymensingh, each representing a geographical region of Bangladesh which frequently experiences droughts. The model inputs were decided based on correlation statistics and the prediction capability was evaluated using several statistical metrics including mean square error ( MSE ), root mean square error ( RMSE ), mean absolute error ( MAE ), correlation coefficient ( R ), Willmott’s Index of agreement ( WI ), Nash Sutcliffe efficiency ( NSE ), and Legates and McCabe Index ( LM ). The results revealed that the proposed models are reliable and robust in predicting droughts in the region. Comparison of the models revealed ELM as the best model in forecasting droughts with minimal RMSE in the range of 0.07–0.85, 0.08–0.76, 0.062–0.80 and 0.042–0.605 for Barisal, Bogra, Faridpur and Mymensingh, respectively for all the SPI scales except one-month SPI for which the RF showed the best performance with minimal RMSE of 0.57, 0.45, 0.59 and 0.42, respectively.
Research on a Real-Time Estimation Method of Vehicle Sideslip Angle Based on EKF
In this article, a real-time vehicle sideslip angle state observer is proposed, which is based on the EKF algorithm. Firstly, based on a 2-DOF dynamical model and the tire lateral force model, the vehicle sideslip angle state observer model with a self-adapted truncation procedure is established by combining the EKF and the least squares methods. The calculation of the Jacobi matrix in the time domain is transformed into a calculation in the frequency domain. A self-adapted update noise estimation method and an initial value setting strategy are proposed as well. Finally, a hardware-in-the-loop simulation is carried out by Matlab/Simulink-CarSim-dSPACE, and the real-time reliability of the estimation method is verified and analyzed by RMSE.
An Integrated Spatial-Spectral Denoising Framework for Robust Electrically Evoked Compound Action Potential Enhancement and Auditory Parameter Estimation
The electrically evoked compound action potential (ECAP) is a crucial physiological signal used by clinicians to evaluate auditory nerve functionality. Clean ECAP recordings help to accurately estimate auditory neural activity patterns and ECAP magnitudes, particularly through the panoramic ECAP (PECAP) framework. However, noise—especially in low-signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) conditions—can lead to significant errors in parameter estimation. This study proposes a two-stage preprocessing denoising (TSPD) algorithm to address this issue and enhance ECAP signals. First, an ECAP matrix is constructed using the forward-masking technique, representing the signal as a two-dimensional image. This matrix undergoes spatial noise reduction via an improved spatial median (I-Median) filter. In the second stage, the denoised matrix is vectorized and further processed using a log-spectral amplitude (LSA) Wiener filter for spectral domain denoising. The enhanced vector is then reconstructed into the ECAP matrix for parameter estimation using PECAP. The above integrated spatial-spectral denoising framework is denoted as PECAP-TSPD in this work. Evaluations are conducted using a simulation-based ECAP model mixed with simulated and experimental noise, designed to emulate the spatial characteristics of real ECAPs. Three objective quality measures—namely, normalized root mean square error (RMSE), two-dimensional correlation coefficient (TDCC), and structural similarity index (SSIM)—are used. Simulated and experimental results show that the proposed PECAP-TSPD method has the lowest average RMSE of PECAP magnitudes (1.952%) and auditory neural patterns (1.407%), highest average TDCC (0.9988), and average SSIM (0.9931) compared to PECAP (6.446%, 5.703%, 0.9859, 0.8997), PECAP with convolutional neural network (CNN)-based denoising mask (PECAP-CNN) (9.700%, 7.111%, 0.9766, 0.8832), and PECAP with improved median filtering (PECAP-I-Median) (4.515%, 3.321%, 0.9949, 0.9470) under impulse noise conditions.
Quasi-modified-Newton method-based selective harmonic elimination in cascaded H bridge inverters
Multilevel converters have gained significant popularity in medium-voltage and high-power applications due to their numerous advantages over traditional two-level converters. These advantages include reduced harmonic distortion, improved efficiency, and lower stress on power semiconductors. Selective harmonic elimination (SHE) is a modulation method that can be employed with multilevel converters to achieve high-quality output voltage waveforms. In this work, an extension of Broyden’s method, known as the Quasi-Modified Newton Method, is implemented for selective harmonic elimination and accurate calculation of switching angles for a wide range of modulation indices. The proposed method is applied to cascaded H bridge inverters operating at levels 5, 7, and 9. The method offers simplicity, reduced computational burden, and faster convergence, making it easily implementable, reducing total harmonic distortion (THD), and reducing RMSE and MAD errors. The paper includes simulation and experimental results that validate the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed approach.
Accuracy and Bias of the Rasch Rating Scale Person Estimates using Maximum Likelihood Approach: A Comparative Study of Various Sample Sizes
The focus of this article is to evaluate the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) performance in estimating the person parameters in the Rasch rating scale model (RRSM). For that purpose, 1000 iterations of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation technique were performed based on a different number of sample sizes and several number of items. The performance of MLE in estimating the person parameters according to the different number of sample sizes was compared through accuracy and bias measures. Root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) were used to examine the accuracy of the estimates, while bias in estimation was assessed through the mean difference of estimates and true values of the person parameters. The simulated survey data sets in this study were generated according to the RRSM under the assumption of normality was satisfied. Results from the simulation analysis showed that in comparison to the larger sample sizes, smaller sample sizes tend to produce higher RMSE and MAE. In addition, the maximum likelihood estimates of the person parameters in smaller sample sizes also recorded a higher value of the mean difference of the person estimates and its true values compared to larger sample sizes. Findings from this study imply that the use of the MLE approach in small sample sizes results in less accurate and highly biased person estimates across the number of items.
Particle Swarm Optimization-Based Variational Mode Decomposition for Ground Penetrating Radar Data Denoising
Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) has become a widely used technology in geophysical prospecting. The Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) method is a fully non-recursive signal decomposition method with noise robustness for GPR data processing. The VMD algorithm determines the central frequency and bandwidth of each Intrinsic Mode Function (IMF) by iteratively searching for the optimal solution of the variational mode and is capable of adaptively and effectively dividing the signal in the frequency domain into the many IMFs. However, the penalty parameter α and the number of IMFs K in VMD processing are determined depending on manual experience, which are important parameters affecting the decomposition results. In this paper, we propose a method to automatically search the parameters α and K optimally by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm. Then the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and root-mean-square error (RMSE) are used to judge the best superposition of the IMFs for data reconstruction, and the process is data-driven without human subjective intervention. The proposed method is used to process the field data, and the reconstruction data show that this innovative VMD processing can effectively improve the SNR and highlight the target reflections, even some targets not found in pre-processing are also revealed.
Extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) method in making forecasting application and analysis of USD exchange rates against rupiah
Economic conditions in Indonesia are still unstable, causing the US dollar exchange rate to increase. This is because most international transactions in Indonesia use US dollars. Prediction or forecasting is chosen as one of the important things in choosing a market to invest in buying and selling. This research will focus on making forecasting applications and analyzing the exchange rate of USD against rupiah based on time series data or temporal datasets from the Investing.com site using machine learning methods, namely Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Applications created using the python programming language and streamlit framework. Modeling is carried out using the Knowledge Discovery in Database (KDD) methodology with the stages of dividing the dataset with a 50:50 percentage share into test and train data. The modeling uses hyperparameter tuning values, namely n_estimators = 1000, max_depth = 1, x_colsample_bytree = 0.9894, x_gamma = 0.9989, x_min_child = 1.0, x_reg_lamda = 0.2381, and x_subsample = 0.7063 with best loss or RMSE 451.4151. The values of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) when making the model were 6.61374% and 3.95485%. Meanwhile, when testing the model, the RMSE is 0.23577% and MAPE is 0.11643%.
Create a 3D Stricture Model by Using a Terrestrial Laser Scan
In particular, there are requirements for additional documentation and quantitative data on buildings that include multiple Stores.it is essential to have metric documentation of the building currently under construction. Technologies for create 3D model using (LS), are challenging in Baghdad due to the lack of security permissions. This study used a high-accuracy terrestrial laser scanner (LEICA Laser Scan C10). This project aims to create a three-dimensional structural model with multiple levels to provide architects and civil engineers with comprehensive data on the building. Confirmed artificial targets monitored using a Total-Station (TS) will be helpful for the as-built quantity survey, as well as for ensuring the correctness of the work and determining whether or not their illumination comes from verticality. After analyzing the data, the root mean square error (RMSE) was identified for LS, which was 4 millimeters, the deviation from vertical was recorded (5mm) the average deviation was (3mm)from the design, the height of slab measured from slab to slab differenced from the design value in (1-2 cm) from the design height. There were more than 100,000,000 points in the point cloud. There were four stations, each of which required more than one and a half hours to do the survey, and following the study, the Leica Cyclone was utilized for the digitization process.
Performance of equations for the longitudinal dispersion coefficient: a case study in the Orashi River
Investigation of the water quality of rivers is a key point in Water Resources Engineering. The longitudinal dispersion coefficient is one of the foremost significant parameters in river water quality monitoring. Several parameters such as hydraulic, morphology, total dissolved solids, and total suspended solids are effective parameters in the determination of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient as revealed by this study. The assessment of the river shows mean hydraulic and geometric properties such as flow, depth, velocity, longitudinal slope, and width to be 354.17 m3/s, 9.61 m, 0.69 m/s, 0.0079,101.63 m and the range of the longitudinal dispersion coefficient as (72–104.4) m2/s. Results obtained by employing the established equations revealed standard error indices and RMSE of the developed equation, and Kashefipour and Falconer equation gives correlation coefficient of about 0.819 and 4.182 and 0.421 and 12.186, respectively, as coefficient of determination and RMSE, and they are more accurate among the empirical equations. However, the newly derived equation for the longitudinal dispersion coefficient performed better when compared with others, indicating the fitness of the developed equation to estimate longitudinal dispersion coefficient.
Model-Based Correction of Temperature-Dependent Measurement Errors in Frequency Domain Electromagnetic Induction (FDEMI) Systems
Data measured using electromagnetic induction (EMI) systems are known to be susceptible to measurement influences associated with time-varying external ambient factors. Temperature variation is one of the most prominent factors causing drift in EMI data, leading to non-reproducible measurement results. Typical approaches to mitigate drift effects in EMI instruments rely on a temperature drift calibration, where the instrument is heated up to specific temperatures in a controlled environment and the observed drift is determined to derive a static thermal apparent electrical conductivity (ECa) drift correction. In this study, a novel correction method is presented that models the dynamic characteristics of drift using a low-pass filter (LPF) and uses it for correction. The method is developed and tested using a customized EMI device with an intercoil spacing of 1.2 m, optimized for low drift and equipped with ten temperature sensors that simultaneously measure the internal ambient temperature across the device. The device is used to perform outdoor calibration measurements over a period of 16 days for a wide range of temperatures. The measured temperature-dependent ECa drift of the system without corrections is approximately 2.27 mSm−1K−1, with a standard deviation (std) of only 30 μSm−1K−1 for a temperature variation of around 30 K. The use of the novel correction method reduces the overall root mean square error (RMSE) for all datasets from 15.7 mSm−1 to a value of only 0.48 mSm−1. In comparison, a method using a purely static characterization of drift could only reduce the error to an RMSE of 1.97 mSm−1. The results show that modeling the dynamic thermal characteristics of the drift helps to improve the accuracy by a factor of four compared to a purely static characterization. It is concluded that the modeling of the dynamic thermal characteristics of EMI systems is relevant for improved drift correction.