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170 result(s) for "SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP)"
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Development of a Prediction Method of Cell Density in Autotrophic/Heterotrophic Microorganism Mixtures by Machine Learning Using Absorbance Spectrum Data
Microflora is actively used to produce value-added materials in industry, and each cell density should be controlled for stable microflora use. In this study, a simple system evaluating the cell density was constructed with artificial intelligence (AI) using the absorbance spectra data of microflora. To set up the system, the prediction system for cell density based on machine learning was constructed using the spectra data as the feature from the mixture of Saccharomyces cerevisiae and Chlamydomonas reinhardtii. As the results of predicting cell density by extremely randomized trees, when the cell densities of S. cerevisiae and C. reinhardtii were shifted and fixed, the coefficient of determination (R2) was 0.8495; on the other hand, when the cell densities of S. cerevisiae and C. reinhardtii were fixed and shifted, the R2 was 0.9232. To explain the prediction system, the randomized trees regressor of the decision tree-based ensemble learning method as the machine learning algorithm and Shapley additive explanations (SHAPs) as the explainable AI (XAI) to interpret the features contributing to the prediction results were used. As a result of the SHAP analyses, not only the optical density, but also the absorbance of the Soret and Q bands derived from the chloroplasts of C. reinhardtii could contribute to the prediction as the features. The simple cell density evaluating system could have an industrial impact.
Classification and Explanation for Intrusion Detection System Based on Ensemble Trees and SHAP Method
In recent years, many methods for intrusion detection systems (IDS) have been designed and developed in the research community, which have achieved a perfect detection rate using IDS datasets. Deep neural networks (DNNs) are representative examples applied widely in IDS. However, DNN models are becoming increasingly complex in model architectures with high resource computing in hardware requirements. In addition, it is difficult for humans to obtain explanations behind the decisions made by these DNN models using large IoT-based IDS datasets. Many proposed IDS methods have not been applied in practical deployments, because of the lack of explanation given to cybersecurity experts, to support them in terms of optimizing their decisions according to the judgments of the IDS models. This paper aims to enhance the attack detection performance of IDS with big IoT-based IDS datasets as well as provide explanations of machine learning (ML) model predictions. The proposed ML-based IDS method is based on the ensemble trees approach, including decision tree (DT) and random forest (RF) classifiers which do not require high computing resources for training models. In addition, two big datasets are used for the experimental evaluation of the proposed method, NF-BoT-IoT-v2, and NF-ToN-IoT-v2 (new versions of the original BoT-IoT and ToN-IoT datasets), through the feature set of the net flow meter. In addition, the IoTDS20 dataset is used for experiments. Furthermore, the SHapley additive exPlanations (SHAP) is applied to the eXplainable AI (XAI) methodology to explain and interpret the classification decisions of DT and RF models; this is not only effective in interpreting the final decision of the ensemble tree approach but also supports cybersecurity experts in quickly optimizing and evaluating the correctness of their judgments based on the explanations of the results.
Interpretable Active Learning Identifies Iron‐Doped Carbon Dots With High Photothermal Conversion Efficiency for Antitumor Synergistic Therapy
Active learning (AL) is a powerful method for accelerating novel materials discovery but faces huge challenges for extracting physical meaning. Herein, we novelly apply an interpretable AL strategy to efficiently optimize the photothermal conversion efficiency (PCE) of carbon dots (CDs) in photothermal therapy (PTT). An equivalent value (SHapley Additive exPlanations equivalent value [SHAP‐EV]) is proposed which explicitly quantifies the linear contributions of experimental variables to the PCE, derived from the joint SHAP values. The SHAP‐EV, with an R2 of 0.960 correlated to feature's joint SHAP, is integrated into the AL utility functions to enhance evaluation efficiency during optimization. Using this approach, we successfully synthesized iron‐doped CDs (Fe‐CDs) with PCE exceeding 78.7% after only 16 experimental trials over four iterations. This achievement significantly advances the previously low PCE values typically reported for CDs. Furthermore, Fe‐CDs demonstrated multienzyme‐like activities, which could respond to the tumor microenvironment (TME). In vitro and in vivo experiments demonstrate that Fe‐CDs could enhance ferroptosis through synergistic PTT and chemodynamic therapy (CDT), thereby achieving remarkable antitumor efficacy. Our interpretable AL strategy offers new insights for accelerating bio‐functional materials development in antitumor treatments. On the basis of active learning strategy, we propose an equivalent value—SHapley Additive exPlanations equivalent value—to optimize carbon dots’ photothermal conversion efficiency. Within four iterations, iron‐doped carbon dots are synthesized with the efficiency exceeding 78.7%. Furthermore, the final functional nanomaterial demonstrates multienzyme‐like activities and enhances ferroptosis through synergistic photothermal therapy and chemodynamic therapy, achieving remarkable antitumor efficacy.
Toward interpretable credit scoring: integrating explainable artificial intelligence with deep learning for credit card default prediction
In recent years, the increasing prevalence of credit card usage has raised concerns about accurately predicting and managing credit card defaults. While machine learning and deep learning methods have shown promising results in default prediction, the black-box nature of these models often limits their interpretability and practical adoption. This study presents a new method for predicting credit card default using a combination of deep learning and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques. Integrating these methods aims to improve the interpretability of the decision-making process involved in credit card default prediction. The proposed approach is evaluated using a real-world dataset and compared to existing state-of-the-art models. Results show that the proposed approach achieves competitive prediction accuracy while providing meaningful insights into the factors driving credit card default risk. The present investigation adds to the increasing body of literature on explainable artificial intelligence (AI) in the realm of finance. Besides, it provides a pragmatic approach to assessing credit risk, balancing precision and comprehensibility. In conclusion, the model demonstrates strong potential as a credit risk assessment tool, with an accuracy of 0.8350, sensitivity of 0.8823, and specificity of 0.9879. Among the most important features identified by the model are payment delays and outstanding bill amounts. This study is a step toward more interpretable and transparent credit scoring models.
Explainable deep learning model for automatic mulberry leaf disease classification
Mulberry leaves feed Bombyx mori silkworms to generate silk thread. Diseases that affect mulberry leaves have reduced crop and silk yields in sericulture, which produces 90% of the world’s raw silk. Manual leaf disease identification is tedious and error-prone. Computer vision can categorize leaf diseases early and overcome the challenges of manual identification. No mulberry leaf deep learning (DL) models have been reported. Therefore, in this study, two types of leaf diseases: leaf rust and leaf spot, with disease-free leaves, were collected from two regions of Bangladesh. Sericulture experts annotated the leaf images. The images were pre-processed, and 6,000 synthetic images were generated using typical image augmentation methods from the original 764 training images. Additional 218 and 109 images were employed for testing and validation respectively. In addition, a unique lightweight parallel depth-wise separable CNN model, PDS-CNN was developed by applying depth-wise separable convolutional layers to reduce parameters, layers, and size while boosting classification performance. Finally, the explainable capability of PDS-CNN is obtained through the use of SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) evaluated by a sericulture specialist. The proposed PDS-CNN outperforms well-known deep transfer learning models, achieving an optimistic accuracy of 95.05 ± 2.86% for three-class classifications and 96.06 ± 3.01% for binary classifications with only 0.53 million parameters, 8 layers, and a size of 6.3 megabytes. Furthermore, when compared with other well-known transfer models, the proposed model identified mulberry leaf diseases with higher accuracy, fewer factors, fewer layers, and lower overall size. The visually expressive SHAP explanation images validate the models’ findings aligning with the predictions made the sericulture specialist. Based on these findings, it is possible to conclude that the explainable AI (XAI)-based PDS-CNN can provide sericulture specialists with an effective tool for accurately categorizing mulberry leaves.
A hybrid explainable model based on advanced machine learning and deep learning models for classifying brain tumors using MRI images
Brain tumors present a significant global health challenge, and their early detection and accurate classification are crucial for effective treatment strategies. This study presents a novel approach combining a lightweight parallel depthwise separable convolutional neural network (PDSCNN) and a hybrid ridge regression extreme learning machine (RRELM) for accurately classifying four types of brain tumors (glioma, meningioma, no tumor, and pituitary) based on MRI images. The proposed approach enhances the visibility and clarity of tumor features in MRI images by employing contrast-limited adaptive histogram equalization (CLAHE). A lightweight PDSCNN is then employed to extract relevant tumor-specific patterns while minimizing computational complexity. A hybrid RRELM model is proposed, enhancing the traditional ELM for improved classification performance. The proposed framework is compared with various state-of-the-art models in terms of classification accuracy, model parameters, and layer sizes. The proposed framework achieved remarkable average precision, recall, and accuracy values of 99.35%, 99.30%, and 99.22%, respectively, through five-fold cross-validation. The PDSCNN-RRELM outperformed the extreme learning machine model with pseudoinverse (PELM) and exhibited superior performance. The introduction of ridge regression in the ELM framework led to significant enhancements in classification performance model parameters and layer sizes compared to those of the state-of-the-art models. Additionally, the interpretability of the framework was demonstrated using Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP), providing insights into the decision-making process and increasing confidence in real-world diagnosis.
Machine Learning Models Using SHapley Additive exPlanation for Fire Risk Assessment Mode and Effects Analysis of Stadiums
Machine learning methods can establish complex nonlinear relationships between input and response variables for stadium fire risk assessment. However, the output of machine learning models is considered very difficult due to their complex “black box” structure, which hinders their application in stadium fire risk assessment. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method makes a local approximation to the predictions of any regression or classification model so as to be faithful and interpretable, and assigns significant values (SHAP value) to each input variable for a given prediction. In this study, we designed an indicator attribute threshold interval to classify and quantify different fire risk category data, and then used a random forest model combined with SHAP strategy in order to establish a stadium fire risk assessment model. The main objective is to analyze the impact analysis of each risk characteristic on four different risk assessment models, so as to find the complex nonlinear relationship between risk characteristics and stadium fire risk. This helps managers to be able to make appropriate fire safety management and smart decisions before an incident occurs and in a targeted manner to reduce the incidence of fires. The experimental results show that the established interpretable random forest model provides 83% accuracy, 86% precision, and 85% recall for the stadium fire risk test dataset. The study also shows that the low level of data makes it difficult to identify the range of decision boundaries for Critical mode and Hazardous mode.
Improving altitudinal accuracy of Sentinel-1 InSAR DEM in arid flat terrain: a machine learning approach with UAV photogrammetry and multi-source data
High-accuracy Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) are critical for hydrological and ecological applications in low-relief arid basins, yet Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR)-derived DEMs suffer from significant altitudinal errors due to temporal decorrelation and phase unwrapping artifacts, particularly in flat terrains. To address these limitations, we developed a novel machine learning framework that synergizes Sentinel-1 InSAR, UAV photogrammetry, Sentinel-2 spectral indices, and ALOS topographic features to enhance DEM accuracy. The approach was validated in Northwest China’s Taitema Lake basin across 13 sample plots covering diverse arid surface types (dunes, wetlands, playas). Four algorithms – Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Polynomial Regression (PR) – were rigorously evaluated. Without topographic data, SVM achieved the highest accuracy (test-set R2 = 0.8564). Integrating terrain features with RF further improved performance (R2 = 0.8634, MAE = 1.0683 m), reducing errors from approximately [−10, 27] m to predominantly ±6 m. The RF-corrected DEM exhibited a 42.8% decrease in standard deviation (2.60 m → 1.49 m) and a substantial R2 increase (16.4% → 89.1%). Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretability analysis identified slope and near-infrared reflectance as dominant error-correction features. The corrected DEMs demonstrate enhanced terrain continuity, minimized elevation noise, and offer a scalable, efficient solution for InSAR post-processing in ecologically sensitive arid regions.
A Deep Learning Approach Based on Interpretable Feature Importance for Predicting Sports Results
Football match result prediction is a challenging task that has been the subject of much research. Traditionally, predictions have been made by team managers, fans, and analysts based on their knowledge and experience. However and recently there has been an increased interest in predicting match outcomes using statistical techniques and machine learning. These algorithms can learn from historical data to identify complex relationships between different variables, and then make predictions about the outcome of future matches. Accordingly, forecasting plays a pivotal role in assisting managers and clubs in making well-informed decisions geared toward securing victories in leagues and tournaments. In this paper, we presented an approach, which is generally applicable in all areas of sports, to forecast football match results based on three stages. The first stage involves identifying and collecting the occurred events during a football match. As a multiclass classification problem with three classes, each match can have three possible outcomes. Then, we applied multiple machine learning algorithms to compare the performance of those different models, and choose the one that performs the best. As a final step, this study goes through the critical aspect of model interpretability. We used the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method to decipher the feature importance within our best model, focusing on the factors that influence match predictions. Experiment results indicate that the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), a neural network algorithm, was effective when compared to various other models and produced competitive results with prior works. The MLP model has achieved 0.8342 for accuracy. The particular significance of this study lies in the use of the SHAP method to explain the predictions made by the MLP model. Specifically, by exploiting its graphical representation to illustrate the influence of each feature within our dataset in predicting the outcome of a football match.
Predicting task performance in robot-assisted surgery using physiological stress and subjective workload: a case study with interpretable machine learning
Robot-assisted surgery (RAS) enhances surgical precision and extends surgeons’ capabilities. However, its effects on the cognitive and physical states of surgeons remain poorly understood. It is essential to investigate the workload and physiological stress surgeons experience during RAS. This case study employs a neuroergonomic approach to explore how these factors relate to task performance. A single expert surgeon performed simulated surgical tasks under systematically varied conditions (noise level, surgical posture and task type) to elicit variations in stress and workload. During the tasks, multiple physiological signals were recorded, including electroencephalography (EEG), electromyography (EMG), heart rate (HR), and electrodermal activity (EDA). Subjective workload was also assessed using the NASA-TLX and SURG-TLX. Several classification models, including CatBoost, random forest, logistic regression, and support vector machines, were trained to predict task performance. Among them, CatBoost demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy (79.5%) and achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.807. The model interpretation was conducted using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The analysis revealed that subjective workload, mean HR, and muscle activation were the most influential predictors. EEG-related features contributed variably across conditions. This study shows that integrating subjective assessments with physiological measures can effectively predict surgical task performance under stress.