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"Sampling"
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Improved Inference for Respondent-Driven Sampling Data With Application to HIV Prevalence Estimation
Respondent-driven sampling is a form of link-tracing network sampling, which is widely used to study hard-to-reach populations, often to estimate population proportions. Previous treatments of this process have used a with-replacement approximation, which we show induces bias in estimates for large sample fractions and differential network connectedness by characteristic of interest. We present a treatment of respondent-driven sampling as a successive sampling process. Unlike existing representations, our approach respects the essential without-replacement feature of the process, while converging to an existing with-replacement representation for small sample fractions, and to the sample mean for a full-population sample. We present a successive-sampling based estimator for population means based on respondent-driven sampling data, and demonstrate its superior performance when the size of the hidden population is known. We present sensitivity analyses for unknown population sizes. In addition, we note that like other existing estimators, our new estimator is subject to bias induced by the selection of the initial sample. Using data collected among three populations in two countries, we illustrate the application of this approach to populations with varying characteristics. We conclude that the successive sampling estimator improves on existing estimators, and can also be used as a diagnostic tool when population size is not known. This article has supplementary material online.
Journal Article
Sampling in software engineering research: a critical review and guidelines
Representative sampling appears rare in empirical software engineering research. Not all studies need representative samples, but a general lack of representative sampling undermines a scientific field. This article therefore reports a critical review of the state of sampling in recent, high-quality software engineering research. The key findings are: (1) random sampling is rare; (2) sophisticated sampling strategies are very rare; (3) sampling, representativeness and randomness often appear misunderstood. These findings suggest that software engineering research has a generalizability crisis. To address these problems, this paper synthesizes existing knowledge of sampling into a succinct primer and proposes extensive guidelines for improving the conduct, presentation and evaluation of sampling in software engineering research. It is further recommended that while researchers should strive for more representative samples, disparaging non-probability sampling is generally capricious and particularly misguided for predominately qualitative research.
Journal Article
Nested sampling for physical scientists
This PrimeView highlights how new live points are drawn when running the nested sampling algorithm.
Journal Article
Diagnostics for respondent-driven sampling
Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a widely used method for sampling from hard-to-reach human populations, especially populations at higher risk for human immunodeficiency virus or acquired immune deficiency syndrome. Data are collected through a peer referral process over social networks. RDS has proven practical for data collection in many difficult settings and has been adopted by leading public health organizations around the world. Unfortunately, inference from RDS data requires many strong assumptions because the sampling design is partially beyond the control of the researcher and not fully observable. We introduce diagnostic tools for most of these assumptions and apply them in 12 high risk populations. These diagnostics empower researchers to understand their RDS data better and encourage future statistical research on RDS sampling and inference.
Journal Article