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"Scientific Experimental Error"
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Want research integrity? Stop the blame game
2021
Helping every scientist to improve is more effective than ferreting out a few frauds.
Helping every scientist to improve is more effective than ferreting out a few frauds.
“Approaches need to be constructive rather than punitive.”
Journal Article
Addressing the theory crisis in psychology
by
Oberauer, Klaus
,
Lewandowsky, Stephan
in
Behavioral Science and Psychology
,
Bias
,
Cognitive Psychology
2019
A worrying number of psychological findings are not replicable. Diagnoses of the causes of this “replication crisis,” and recommendations to address it, have nearly exclusively focused on methods of data collection, analysis, and reporting. We argue that a further cause of poor replicability is the often weak logical link between theories and their empirical tests. We propose a distinction between discovery-oriented and theory-testing research. In discovery-oriented research, theories do not strongly imply hypotheses by which they can be tested, but rather define a search space for the discovery of effects that would support them. Failures to find these effects do not question the theory. This endeavor necessarily engenders a high risk of Type I errors—that is, publication of findings that will not replicate. Theory-testing research, by contrast, relies on theories that strongly imply hypotheses, such that disconfirmation of the hypothesis provides evidence against the theory. Theory-testing research engenders a smaller risk of Type I errors. A strong link between theories and hypotheses is best achieved by formalizing theories as computational models. We critically revisit recommendations for addressing the “replication crisis,” including the proposal to distinguish exploratory from confirmatory research, and the preregistration of hypotheses and analysis plans.
Journal Article
Behavioural science is unlikely to change the world without a heterogeneity revolution
by
Bryan, Christopher J.
,
Tipton, Elizabeth
,
Yeager, David S.
in
4014/4045
,
4014/477/2811
,
706/648/453
2021
In the past decade, behavioural science has gained influence in policymaking but suffered a crisis of confidence in the replicability of its findings. Here, we describe a nascent heterogeneity revolution that we believe these twin historical trends have triggered. This revolution will be defined by the recognition that most treatment effects are heterogeneous, so the variation in effect estimates across studies that defines the replication crisis is to be expected as long as heterogeneous effects are studied without a systematic approach to sampling and moderation. When studied systematically, heterogeneity can be leveraged to build more complete theories of causal mechanism that could inform nuanced and dependable guidance to policymakers. We recommend investment in shared research infrastructure to make it feasible to study behavioural interventions in heterogeneous and generalizable samples, and suggest low-cost steps researchers can take immediately to avoid being misled by heterogeneity and begin to learn from it instead.
Behavioural science increasingly informs policy, but findings are not always replicated. Bryan et al. describe an emerging heterogeneity revolution. They recommend that researchers use heterogeneity in treatment effects to develop more robust theories of causality and strengthen the field.
Journal Article
Issues with data and analyses
by
Allison, David B.
,
Kaiser, Kathryn A.
,
Brown, Andrew W.
in
Anthropology
,
Data analysis
,
Data Collection - standards
2018
Some aspects of science, taken at the broadest level, are universal in empirical research. These include collecting, analyzing, and reporting data. In each of these aspects, errors can and do occur. In this work, we first discuss the importance of focusing on statistical and data errors to continually improve the practice of science. We then describe underlying themes of the types of errors and postulate contributing factors. To do so, we describe a case series of relatively severe data and statistical errors coupled with surveys of some types of errors to better characterize the magnitude, frequency, and trends. Having examined these errors, we then discuss the consequences of specific errors or classes of errors. Finally, given the extracted themes, we discuss methodological, cultural, and systemlevel approaches to reducing the frequency of commonly observed errors. These approaches will plausibly contribute to the self-critical, self-correcting, ever-evolving practice of science, and ultimately to furthering knowledge.
Journal Article
Medicine is plagued by untrustworthy clinical trials. How many studies are faked or flawed?
2023
Investigations suggest that, in some fields, at least one-quarter of clinical trials might be problematic or even entirely made up, warn some researchers. They urge stronger scrutiny.
Investigations suggest that, in some fields, at least one-quarter of clinical trials might be problematic or even entirely made up, warn some researchers. They urge stronger scrutiny.
Journal Article
COVID death tolls: scientists acknowledge errors in WHO estimates
2022
Researchers with the World Health Organization explain mistakes in high-profile mortality estimates for Germany and Sweden.
Researchers with the World Health Organization explain mistakes in high-profile mortality estimates for Germany and Sweden.
Journal Article
BOLD and GenBank revisited – Do identification errors arise in the lab or in the sequence libraries?
2020
Applications of biological knowledge, such as forensics, often require the determination of biological materials to a species level. As such, DNA-based approaches to identification, particularly DNA barcoding, are attracting increased interest. The capacity of DNA barcodes to assign newly encountered specimens to a species relies upon access to informatics platforms, such as BOLD and GenBank, which host libraries of reference sequences and support the comparison of new sequences to them. As parameterization of these libraries expands, DNA barcoding has the potential to make valuable contributions in diverse applied contexts. However, a recent publication called for caution after finding that both platforms performed poorly in identifying specimens of 17 common insect species. This study follows up on this concern by asking if the misidentifications reflected problems in the reference libraries or in the query sequences used to test them. Because this reanalysis revealed that missteps in acquiring and analyzing the query sequences were responsible for most misidentifications, a workflow is described to minimize such errors in future investigations. The present study also revealed the limitations imposed by the lack of a polished species-level taxonomy for many groups. In such cases, applications can be strengthened by mapping the geographic distributions of sequence-based species proxies rather than waiting for the maturation of formal taxonomic systems based on morphology.
Journal Article
Errors in search strategies used in systematic reviews and their effects on information retrieval
by
Salvador-Oliván, José Antonio
,
Arquero-Avilés, Rosario
,
Marco-Cuenca, Gonzalo
in
Analysis
,
Bibliographic data bases
,
Data mining
2019
Objectives: Errors in search strategies negatively affect the quality and validity of systematic reviews. The primary objective of this study was to evaluate searches performed in MEDLINE/PubMed to identify errors and determine their effects on information retrieval.Methods: A PubMed search was conducted using the systematic review filter to identify articles that were published in January of 2018. Systematic reviews or meta-analyses were selected from a systematic search for literature containing reproducible and explicit search strategies in MEDLINE/PubMed. Data were extracted from these studies related to ten types of errors and to the terms and phrases search modes.Results: The study included 137 systematic reviews in which the number of search strategies containing some type of error was very high (92.7%). Errors that affected recall were the most frequent (78.1%), and the most common search errors involved missing terms in both natural language and controlled language and those related to Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) search terms and the non-retrieval of their more specific terms.Conclusions: To improve the quality of searches and avoid errors, it is essential to plan the search strategy carefully, which includes consulting the MeSH database to identify the concepts and choose all appropriate terms, both descriptors and synonyms, and combining search techniques in the free-text and controlled-language fields, truncating the terms appropriately to retrieve all their variants.
Journal Article
A comparative evaluation of hybrid error correction methods for error-prone long reads
2019
Background
Third-generation sequencing technologies have advanced the progress of the biological research by generating reads that are substantially longer than second-generation sequencing technologies. However, their notorious high error rate impedes straightforward data analysis and limits their application. A handful of error correction methods for these error-prone long reads have been developed to date. The output data quality is very important for downstream analysis, whereas computing resources could limit the utility of some computing-intense tools. There is a lack of standardized assessments for these long-read error-correction methods.
Results
Here, we present a comparative performance assessment of ten state-of-the-art error-correction methods for long reads. We established a common set of benchmarks for performance assessment, including sensitivity, accuracy, output rate, alignment rate, output read length, run time, and memory usage, as well as the effects of error correction on two downstream applications of long reads: de novo assembly and resolving haplotype sequences.
Conclusions
Taking into account all of these metrics, we provide a suggestive guideline for method choice based on available data size, computing resources, and individual research goals.
Journal Article
Pay researchers to spot errors in published papers
2024
Borrowing the idea of ‘bug bounties’ from the technology industry could provide a systematic way to detect and correct the errors that litter the scientific literature.
Borrowing the idea of ‘bug bounties’ from the technology industry could provide a systematic way to detect and correct the errors that litter the scientific literature.
Journal Article