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result(s) for
"Snowmelt runoff"
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Runoff Prediction in Ungauged Basins
by
Wagener, Thorsten
,
Viglione, Alberto
,
Sivapalan, Murugesu
in
Hydrology
,
Mathematical models
,
Rain and rainfall
2013
Predicting water runoff in ungauged water catchment areas is vital to practical applications such as the design of drainage infrastructure and flooding defences, runoff forecasting, and for catchment management tasks such as water allocation and climate impact analysis. This full colour book offers an impressive synthesis of decades of international research, forming a holistic approach to catchment hydrology and providing a one-stop resource for hydrologists in both developed and developing countries. Topics include data for runoff regionalisation, the prediction of runoff hydrographs, flow duration curves, flow paths and residence times, annual and seasonal runoff, and floods. Illustrated with many case studies and including a final chapter on recommendations for researchers and practitioners, this book is written by expert authors involved in the prestigious IAHS PUB initiative. It is a key resource for academic researchers and professionals in the fields of hydrology, hydrogeology, ecology, geography, soil science, and environmental and civil engineering.
Comparison of two model calibration approaches and their influence on future projections under climate change in the Upper Indus Basin
2020
This study performs a comparison of two model calibration/validation approaches and their influence on future hydrological projections under climate change by employing two climate scenarios (RCP2.6 and 8.5) projected by four global climate models. Two hydrological models (HMs), snowmelt runoff model + glaciers and variable infiltration capacity model coupled with a glacier model, were used to simulate streamflow in the highly snow and glacier melt–driven Upper Indus Basin. In the first (conventional) calibration approach, the models were calibrated only at the basin outlet, while in the second (enhanced) approach intermediate gauges, different climate conditions and glacier mass balance were considered. Using the conventional and enhanced calibration approaches, the monthly Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) for both HMs ranged from 0.71 to 0.93 and 0.79 to 0.90 in the calibration, while 0.57–0.92 and 0.54–0.83 in the validation periods, respectively. For the future impact assessment, comparison of differences based on the two calibration/validation methods at the annual scale (i.e. 2011–2099) shows small to moderate differences of up to 10%, whereas differences at the monthly scale reached up to 19% in the cold months (i.e. October–March) for the far future period. Comparison of sources of uncertainty using analysis of variance showed that the contribution of HM parameter uncertainty to the overall uncertainty is becoming very small by the end of the century using the enhanced approach. This indicates that enhanced approach could potentially help to reduce uncertainties in the hydrological projections when compared to the conventional calibration approach.
Journal Article
Evaluation of the SWAT model for water balance study of a mountainous snowfed river basin of Nepal
by
Pandey, Ashish
,
Dhami, Birsingh
,
Gautam, Amar Kant
in
Annual
,
Annual precipitation
,
Annual runoff
2018
In this study, a semi-distributed hydrologic model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) has been employed for the Karnali River basin, Nepal to test its applicability for hydrological simulation. Further, model was evaluated to carry out the water balance study of the basin and to determine the snowmelt contribution in the river flow. Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) was also used to compare the snowmelt runoff simulated from the SWAT model. The statistical results show that performance of the SWAT model in the Karnali River basin is quite good (p-factor = 0.88 and 0.88, for daily calibration and validation, respectively; r-factor = 0.76 and 0.71, for daily calibration and validation, respectively). Baseflow alpha factor (ALPHA_BF) was found most sensitive parameter for the flow simulation. The study revealed that the average annual runoff volume available at the basin outlet is about 47.16 billion cubic metre out of which about 12% of runoff volume is contributed by the snowmelt runoff. About 25% of annual precipitation seems to be lost as evapotranspiration. The results revealed that both the models, SWAT and SRM, can be efficiently applied in the mountainous river basins of Nepal for planning and management of water resources.
Journal Article
Runoff modelling and quantification of supraglacial debris impact on seasonal streamflow in the highly glacierized catchments of the western Karakoram in Upper Indus Basin, Pakistan
2024
A precise estimation of seasonal runoff and accurate quantification of discharge components is imperative for understanding the hydroclimatic regimes in mountainous regions. This study aimed to investigate daily discharge processes and seasonal runoff composition by employing a temperature-index Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) using in-situ hydro-meteorological data and limited field observations with a combination of remote sensing data in the debris-covered and clean-ice glaciers. This analysis showed that meltwater production was reduced by 26.5% considering clean-ice and debris-cover ice scenarios necessitating the importance of incorporating debris cover and debris thickness information in temperature-index and snowmelt runoff models. The simulation of daily discharge shows satisfactory agreement with the coefficient of determination (0.89–0.91) and the Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (0.85–0.88) for the calibration (2001–02) and validation (2003–10) periods, respectively. Decadal analysis of supraglacial debris-covered area changes shows a 0.37% increase per year on average exhibiting negligible effect on glacier melting and associated flow regimes. Analysis of MODIS snow cover data revealed that the seasonal snow cover varies between 80% in winter and 30% in summer. Negative trends in the snow cover were observed during winter and slightly increasing trends during summers indicated a decreasing influence of westerlies and a strengthening of the Indian summer monsoon system over the region.
Journal Article
Assimilation of Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) Using Satellite Remote Sensing Data in Budhi Gandaki River Basin, Nepal
2020
The Himalayan region, a major source of fresh water, is recognized as a water tower of the world. Many perennial rivers originate from Nepal Himalaya, located in the central part of the Himalayan region. Snowmelt water is essential freshwater for living, whereas it poses flood disaster potential, which is a major challenge for sustainable development. Climate change also largely affects snowmelt hydrology. Therefore, river discharge measurement requires crucial attention in the face of climate change, particularly in the Himalayan region. The snowmelt runoff model (SRM) is a frequently used method to measure river discharge in snow-fed mountain river basins. This study attempts to investigate snowmelt contribution in the overall discharge of the Budhi Gandaki River Basin (BGRB) using satellite remote sensing data products through the application of the SRM model. The model outputs were validated based on station measured river discharge data. The results show that SRM performed well in the study basin with a coefficient of determination (R2) >0.880. Moreover, this study found that the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) snow cover data and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) meteorological datasets are highly applicable to the SRM in the Himalayan region. The study also shows that snow days have slightly decreased in the last three years, hence snowmelt contribution in overall discharge has decreased slightly in the study area. Finally, this study concludes that MOD10A2 and ECMWF precipitation and two-meter temperature products are highly applicable to measure snowmelt and associated discharge through SRM in the BGRB. Moreover, it also helps with proper freshwater planning, efficient use of winter water flow, and mitigating and preventive measures for the flood disaster.
Journal Article
Response of two selected river basins from Eastern and Western Himalayan regions to climate change in terms of streamflow and snow parameters
2023
The present study is carried out in the Mago river basin and Alaknanda river basin representing the Eastern Himalaya and the Western Himalaya, respectively. The future streamflow under changing climatic condition in these Himalayan basins was simulated for RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 climatic scenarios using spatially distributed snowmelt runoff model (SDSRM), a temperature index model under the impact of climate change on snow parameters. Projected temperature and precipitation from NASA’s Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections (NEX–GDDP) data set were used. The projected snow parameters, namely, snow depth, snow water equivalent (SWE), and snow cover (%) of five global climatic models (GCMs) were downloaded from Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCDMI) web portal. To analyse the impact of climate change with reference to baseline period (1986–2005), the future period of three time slices comprising of 20 equal years, i.e., 30s (2020–2039), 60s (2050–2069), and 90s (2080–2099) were considered. The projected snow parameters from climatic models were bias corrected using equidistant quantile mapping (EDQM) method before employing it as an input in SDSRM for simulating future runoff. When compared with the baseline period, all the snow parameters in both the river basins were projected to decrease with the highest decline in the 90s under RCP 8.5. The result obtained from this study suggested that the summer seasons could get wetter and the winter season drier in the future in both the river basin. The streamflow in the future was projected to increase as we move from near (30s) to far (90s) future under both RCPs. The highest change in streamflow was projected in the 90s for both the RCPs. In both river basins, a relative increase (> 13% under RCP 4.5; > 36% under RCP 8.5) in streamflow were projected with reference to baseline.
Journal Article
Runoff Projection from an Alpine Watershed in Western Canada: Application of a Snowmelt Runoff Model
2021
The rising global temperature is shifting the runoff patterns of snowmelt-dominated alpine watersheds, resulting in increased cold season flows, earlier spring peak flows, and reduced summer runoff. Projections of future runoff are beneficial in preparing for the anticipated changes in streamflow regimes. This study applied the degree–day Snowmelt Runoff Model (SRM) in combination with the MODIS to remotely sense snow cover observations for modeling the snowmelt runoff response of the Upper Athabasca River Basin in western Canada. After assessing its ability to simulate the observed historical flows, the SRM was applied for projecting future runoff in the basin. The inclusion of a spatial and temporal variation in the degree–day factor (DDF) and separation of the DDF for glaciated and non-glaciated areas were found to be important for improved simulation of varying snow conditions over multiple years. The SRM simulations, driven by an ensemble of six statistically downscaled GCM runs under the RCP8.5 scenario for the future period (2070–2080), show a consistent pattern in projected runoff change, with substantial increases in May runoff, smaller increases over the winter months, and decreased runoff in the summer months (June–August). Despite the SRM’s relative simplicity and requirement of only a few input variables, the model performed well in simulating historical flows, and provides runoff projections consistent with historical trends and previous modeling studies.
Journal Article
Modelling Snowmelt Runoff from Tropical Andean Glaciers under Climate Change Scenarios in the Santa River Sub-Basin (Peru)
by
Mejía, Abel
,
Calizaya, Fredy
,
Calizaya, Elmer
in
Andes region
,
Aquatic resources
,
Climate change
2021
Effects of climate change have led to a reduction in precipitation and an increase in temperature across several areas of the world. This has resulted in a sharp decline of glaciers and an increase in surface runoff in watersheds due to snowmelt. This situation requires a better understanding to improve the management of water resources in settled areas downstream of glaciers. In this study, the snowmelt runoff model (SRM) was applied in combination with snow-covered area information (SCA), precipitation, and temperature climatic data to model snowmelt runoff in the Santa River sub-basin (Peru). The procedure consisted of calibrating and validating the SRM model for 2005–2009 using the SRTM digital elevation model (DEM), observed temperature, precipitation and SAC data. Then, the SRM was applied to project future runoff in the sub-basin under the climate change scenarios RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. SRM patterns show consistent results; runoff decreases in the summer months and increases the rest of the year. The runoff projection under climate change scenarios shows a substantial increase from January to May, reporting the highest increases in March and April, and the lowest records from June to August. The SRM demonstrated consistent projections for the simulation of historical flows in tropical Andean glaciers.
Journal Article
Estimation and Validation of Snowmelt Runoff Using Degree Day Method in Northwestern Himalayas
by
Singh, Sartajvir
,
Gupta, Pardeep Kumar
,
Gusain, Hemendra Singh
in
Agricultural production
,
Base flow
,
Climate change
2024
The rivers of the Himalayas heavily rely on the abundance of snow, which serves as a vital source of water to South Asian countries. However, its impact on the hydrological system of the region is mainly felt during the spring season. The melting of snow and consequent base flow significantly contribute to the incoming streamflow. This article examines the evaluation of the proportionate contribution to the total streamflow of Beas River up to Pandoh Dam through the snow melt. To analyze the snow melt, the snowmelt runoff model (SRM) has been utilized via dividing the study area into seven different elevation zones within a range of 853–6582 m and computing the percentage of snow cover, ranging from 15% to 90% across the basin. To validate the accuracy of the model, several metrics, such as coefficient of determination (R2) and volume difference (VD), are utilized. The R2 reveals that over the span of ten years, the daily discharge simulations exhibited efficiency levels ranging from 0.704 to 0.795, with VD falling within the range of 1.47% to 20.68%. This study has revealed that a significant amount of streamflow originates during the summer and monsoon periods, with snowmelt ranging from 10% to 45%. This research provides crucial understanding of the impact of snowmelt on streamflow, supplying essential knowledge on freshwater supply in the area.
Journal Article
Multi-station calibration strategy for evaluation and sensitivity analysis of the snowmelt runoff model using MODIS satellite images
2021
In this study, the snowmelt runoff model (SRM) was employed to estimate the effect of snow on the surface flow of Aji-Chay basin, northwest Iran. Two calibration techniques were adopted to enhance the calibration. The multi-station calibration (MSC) and single-station calibration (SSC) strategies applied to investigate their effects on the modeling accuracy. The runoff coefficients (cs and cr) were selected as calibration parameters because of their uncertainty in such an extended basin. To determine the most substantial input of the model which is the snow-covered area (SCA) from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor imagery, MOD10A2 images were collected with spatial and temporal resolutions of 500 meters and 8 days, respectively. The results show an average of 15% improvement in the model performance in the MSC strategy from the data period of 2008–2012. Also, an appropriate agreement with physical characteristics of the study area could be seen for the calibration parameters. The contribution of snowmelt in the river flow reaches its peak in April and May, then with increasing temperature, the contribution decreased gradually. Furthermore, analysis of parameters indicates that the SRM is sensitive to recession coefficient and runoff coefficients.
Journal Article