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Less frequent and more intense rainfall along the coast of the Gulf of Guinea in West and Central Africa (1981−2014)
2018
Since the 1990s, rainfall has been reported to increase over the Gulf of Guinea. In light of the devastating floods that have occurred since then over the coastal areas of this region, this study aims to better characterize the recent trends in precipitation there. We used the Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS) product, a new observational rainfall dataset that covers the period 1981−2014 at high resolution and daily time steps. During the first rainy season (April−June), we find that the lack of significant trend observed in mean precipitation hides a trend towards less frequent but more intense rainfall along the coast of the Gulf of Guinea, which is expected to increase the likelihood of flooding and droughts, and fits with the recent increase in devastating floods. Over the north however (between 7° and 12.5° N), rainfall has become more frequent and less intense, which is expected to decrease the likelihood of flooding and droughts. During the second rainy season (September − November), we find that the clear increase in mean precipitation observed between 5° and 12.5°N results from an increase in precipitation intensity and frequency, while over southern Cameroon, the decrease in mean precipitation hides a trend towards less frequent but more intense rainfall. In both seasons, the average duration of wet spells has greatly decreased along the coast, in favor of more numerous and more intense isolated wet days.
Journal Article
Recent changing characteristics of dry and wet spells in Canada
by
Tan, Xuezhi
,
Yang, Yang
,
Gan, Thian Yew
in
Anomalies
,
Atmospheric moisture
,
atmospheric precipitation
2021
Under the possible impact of climate warming, recent changes in dry and wet spells have contributed significantly to climate-related hazards around the world. In this work, spatial and temporal variations in dry and wet spells over Canada are investigated using daily precipitation data from 1979 to 2018. The time-varying relationships between precipitation spells and large-scale climate anomalies are modeled using a nonstationary generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution and Bayesian quantile regression. Over the period 1979–2018, significant changes in dry and wet spells have been observed across Canada, particularly in the southern Canadian Prairies (CP), where both the number and duration of dry spells show positive trends. Dry and wet spells over many parts of Canada are nonstationary under the effects of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific–North American pattern (PNA), with PNA having stronger effects on annual maximum dry spells than ENSO, especially in the central CP and eastern Ontario. For western Canada, the influence of ENSO on dry spells tends to be relatively strong, especially for dry spells of high quantiles, as El Niño generally induces atmospheric moisture deficit. For central Canada, ENSO and PNA have a negative (positive) impact on the wet spell duration of low (high) quantiles. For eastern Canada, PNA is negatively correlated with the duration of wet spells, especially for wet spells of high quantiles. Therefore, a better understanding of the spatial and temporal variability in dry and wet spell return periods will be useful for the effective management of water resources, and for developing effective disaster mitigation measures against the possible social and economic impacts of climate-related hazards.
Journal Article
The Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Heatwaves and Cold‐Spells in Earth's Largest Freshwater Systems
by
Abdelhady, Hazem U
,
Wang, Jia
,
Fujisaki‐Manome, Ayumi
in
Air temperature
,
Algae
,
Algal blooms
2025
Extreme water temperatures impact the ecological and economic value of freshwater systems. They disrupt fisheries habitat, trigger harmful algal blooms, and stress coastal infrastructure. This study examines the spatiotemporal patterns of heatwaves and cold‐spells in the Great Lakes using 82 years of simulated surface temperature data. Significant increasing trends in heatwave duration were observed in Lake Superior and Lake Michigan‐Huron, while cold‐spell duration increased on all lakes except Ontario. Temperature anomalies during these events varied from the climatological mean by as much as ±10°^{\\circ}$ C, but did not change significantly over time. Analysis revealed substantial spatial variability in heatwaves and cold‐spells, both within and across lakes, with differences driven by air temperature and ice cover anomalies as well as associated climate teleconnections (i.e., the East Pacific/North Pacific and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation). These findings highlight the importance of both climatic and lake processes in shaping extreme temperature events.
Journal Article
Variations and trends in dry/wet days and spells over Banas River Basin, Rajasthan (India)
by
Saini, Divya
,
Singh, Omvir
,
Sharma, Jyoti
in
Agricultural production
,
Agriculture
,
Daily rainfall
2023
This study explores variations and trends in dry/wet days and spells over Banas River basin during 1961–2020. For this, daily rainfall data acquired from Water Resources Department of Rajasthan, India have been utilised. The variations have been identified in relation to number (dry/wet days and spells), mean and maximum length of dry/wet spells. For identifying trends, Mann–Kendall (MK), innovative trend analysis (ITA) and Sen’s slope estimator tests have been executed, whereas change points have been detected with the help of Pettit, Buishand range, standard normal homogeneity and Neumann ratio tests. In Banas River basin, dry days have been found much higher (330 days) as compared to wet (35 days), while the number of dry/wet spells has been found almost identical (18). A decreasing trend in dry days has been detected, whereas wet days have increased. In addition, change point detection tests have detected 1993 as the year of noteworthy change in dry/wet days and spells, whereas most of the stations witnessed such change in 1995 and 2009. These results will be valuable for water resource and risk reduction managers in managing the risks of drought and flood over the Banas River basin.
Journal Article
Changes in duration of dry and wet spells associated with air temperatures in Russia
2018
This study uses daily precipitation records from 517 Russian stations (1966-2010) to examine the relationships between continuous dry and wet day duration and surface air temperature for all four seasons. The study found that both mean and extreme durations of dry periods increase with air temperature at about 7.0% (0.24 day/°C) and 7.7% (0.86 day/°C) respectively, while those of wet periods decrease at about 1.3% (−0.02 day/°C) and 2.2% (−0.10 day/°C) respectively averaged over the entire study region during summer. An increase in the duration of dry periods with higher air temperature is also found in other seasons at locations with a mean seasonal air temperature of about −5 °C or higher. Opposite relationships of shorter durations of dry periods and longer wet periods associated with higher air temperature are observed over the northern part of the study region in winter. The changes in durations of both dry and wet periods have significant correlations with the changes in total dry and wet days but are about 2.5 times higher for dry periods and 0.5 times lower for wet periods. The study also found that locations with longer durations of dry periods experience faster rates of increase in air temperature, suggesting the likelihood of exacerbating drought severity in drier and/or warmer locations for all seasons.
Journal Article
A systematic review and meta-analysis of cold exposure and cardiovascular disease outcomes
by
Fan, Jie-Fu
,
Wang, Wei-Zhong
,
Feng, Yi-Fei
in
Cardiac arrest
,
Cardiovascular disease
,
Cardiovascular Medicine
2023
Cold exposure has been considered an essential risk factor for the global disease burden, while its role in cardiovascular diseases is still underappreciated. The increase in frequency and duration of extreme cold weather events like cold spells makes it an urgent task to evaluate the effects of ambient cold on different types of cardiovascular disease and to understand the factors contributing to the population's vulnerability.
In the present systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane. We included original research that explored the association between cold exposure (low temperature and cold spell) and cardiovascular disease outcomes (mortality and morbidity). We did a random-effects meta-analysis to pool the relative risk (RR) of the association between a 1°C decrease in temperature or cold spells and cardiovascular disease outcomes.
In total, we included 159 studies in the meta-analysis. As a result, every 1°C decrease in temperature increased cardiovascular disease-related mortality by 1.6% (RR 1.016; [95% CI 1.015-1.018]) and morbidity by 1.2% (RR 1.012; [95% CI 1.010-1.014]). The most pronounced effects of low temperatures were observed in the mortality of coronary heart disease (RR 1.015; [95% CI 1.011-1.019]) and the morbidity of aortic aneurysm and dissection (RR 1.026; [95% CI 1.021-1.031]), while the effects were not significant in hypertensive disease outcomes. Notably, we identified climate zone, country income level and age as crucial influential factors in the impact of ambient cold exposure on cardiovascular disease. Moreover, the impact of cold spells on cardiovascular disease outcomes is significant, which increased mortality by 32.4% (RR 1.324; [95% CI 1.2341.421]) and morbidity by 13.8% (RR 1.138; [95% CI 1.015-1.276]).
Cold exposure could be a critical risk factor for cardiovascular diseases, and the cold effect varies between disease types and climate zones.
https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42022347247.
Journal Article
Is Internet Job Search Still Ineffective?
2014
Using National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY97) data for 2005–8, we find that unemployed persons who look for work online are re-employed about 25% faster than comparable workers who do not search online. This finding contrasts with previous results for 1998–2001, and is robust to controls for cognitive test scores and detailed indicators of Internet access. Internet job search (IJS) appears to be most effective in reducing unemployment durations when used to contact friends and relatives, to send out resumes or fill out applications and also to look at advertisements. We detect a weak positive relationship between IJS and wage growth between jobs.
Journal Article
Editorial: Does being listed in Scopus nationally impact on journal citations? No
2023
In this editorial, I demonstrate, by comparing matched groups of journals indexed in both Scopus and Spell, with those indexed only in Spell, that being present in the former database does not affect the percentage of citations of national journals. Afterward, I present a balance of the last five years of my time as editor of RECADM, highlighting that some of the principles that guided the values of the journal as a national publication of quality are being threatened by the rise of predatory journals that charge for publications in exchange for a loose or non-existent review process. Finally, I present the articles on this issue.
Journal Article
Analysis of Precipitation and Drought in the Main Southeastern Iberian River Headwaters (1952-2021)
by
Corell, David
,
Estrela Navarro, María José
,
Niclòs Corts, Raquel
in
Altitude
,
annual and seasonal trends
,
Basins
2024
This study evaluated the long-term changes in precipitation patterns and drought conditions in one of the key recharge areas of the hydrological system of southern and southeastern Spain, namely, the Sierra de Cazorla y Segura, which contains the headwater sectors of the catchment basins of two important rivers, namely, the Guadalquivir and the Segura. The research covered a period of 70 years (1952-2021) and undertook an exhaustive analysis of data from 348 pluviometric stations. The most relevant results are as follows: (1) most areas experienced a decrease in the precipitation volume and number of rainy days during the study period; (2) summer and winter showed the most significant decreases; (3) weak and moderate precipitation (<40 mm/d) showed significant decreases in both volume and frequency, while heavy precipitation (≥40 mm/d) showed the opposite behavior; (4) the durations of dry periods increased, while the durations of wet periods decreased in most areas; and (5) the SPEI showed an increase under drought conditions. This research underscores the need for water resource management and resilience strategies with interdisciplinary relevance in the face of changing hydrological patterns.
Journal Article