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"Technological forecasting."
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Engineers for Change
2012
An account of conflicts within engineering in the 1960s that helped shape our dominant contemporary understanding of technological change as the driver of history.
In the late 1960s an eclectic group of engineers joined the antiwar and civil rights activists of the time in agitating for change. The engineers were fighting to remake their profession, challenging their fellow engineers to embrace a more humane vision of technology. In Engineers for Change, Matthew Wisnioski offers an account of this conflict within engineering, linking it to deep-seated assumptions about technology and American life.
The postwar period in America saw a near-utopian belief in technology's beneficence. Beginning in the mid-1960s, however, society—influenced by the antitechnology writings of such thinkers as Jacques Ellul and Lewis Mumford—began to view technology in a more negative light. Engineers themselves were seen as conformist organization men propping up the military-industrial complex. A dissident minority of engineers offered critiques of their profession that appropriated concepts from technology's critics. These dissidents were criticized in turn by conservatives who regarded them as countercultural Luddites. And yet, as Wisnioski shows, the radical minority spurred the professional elite to promote a new understanding of technology as a rapidly accelerating force that our institutions are ill-equipped to handle. The negative consequences of technology spring from its very nature—and not from engineering's failures. “Sociotechnologists” were recruited to help society adjust to its technology. Wisnioski argues that in responding to the challenges posed by critics within their profession, engineers in the 1960s helped shape our dominant contemporary understanding of technological change as the driver of history.
What the future looks like : scientists predict the next great discoveries and reveal how today's breakthroughs are already shaping our world
\"Science fact, not science fiction, on the cutting-edge developments that are already changing the course of our future\"--Back cover.
Multi criteria decision making approach using (p, q)-fractional fuzzy sets and Yager operations
by
Saifullah
,
Ahmadzai, Hameed Gul
,
Nawaz, Marya
in
(p, q)-fractional fuzzy set
,
Analysis
,
Business and Management
2026
Forecasting has a vital role in predicting future characteristics, helping manufacturing and industry. Technological forecasting is a mechanism for organizations to improve their technology approach. The precision of the forecasting is very essential for the high quality of the outcomes and hence, for the future of the company. However, despite the availability of several predictive mechanisms, there is a lot of uncertainty and ambiguity when choosing the most effective method among the different methods. It is very important for decision-makers to make reliable and rational decisions in a timely manner because wrong decisions can cause serious financial losses as well as social instability. In order to identify a solution to this issue, this paper developed an extended CODAS method based on the innovative concept of (p, q)-fractional fuzzy numbers in which the decision makers and the weight of criteria are completely unknown. Moreover, a novel series of (p, q)-FF Yager aggregation data is specified together with an in-depth description of the key features of the created aggregation operations. Using the anticipated series of (p, q)-FF Yager aggregation operations and the extended CODAS approach to obtain the most optimal alternative. In the end, a genuine decision-making challenge is implemented to choose the appropriate technological forecasting method, which demonstrates the accuracy and applicability of the projected methodology. The outcomes proved that the patent analysis method was determined to be the best suitable technique for technological forecasting.
Journal Article
2030 : technology that will change the world
\"Imagine living in 1958, and knowing that the integrated circuit--the microchip--was about to be invented, and would revolutionize the world. Or imagine 1992, when the Internet was about to transform virtually every aspect of our lives. Incredibly, this book argues that we stand at such a moment right now--and not just in one field, but in many.
The Future of Computing Performance
by
National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Sustaining Growth in Computing Performance
,
Guller, Samuel H.
,
Millett, Lynette I.
in
Electronic digital computers
,
Evaluation
,
Forecasting
2012,2011
The end of dramatic exponential growth in single-processor performance marks the end of the dominance of the single microprocessor in computing. The era of sequential computing must give way to a new era in which parallelism is at the forefront. Although important scientific and engineering challenges lie ahead, this is an opportune time for innovation in programming systems and computing architectures. We have already begun to see diversity in computer designs to optimize for such considerations as power and throughput. The next generation of discoveries is likely to require advances at both the hardware and software levels of computing systems.
There is no guarantee that we can make parallel computing as common and easy to use as yesterday's sequential single-processor computer systems, but unless we aggressively pursue efforts suggested by the recommendations in this book, it will be \"game over\" for growth in computing performance. If parallel programming and related software efforts fail to become widespread, the development of exciting new applications that drive the computer industry will stall; if such innovation stalls, many other parts of the economy will follow suit.
The Future of Computing Performance describes the factors that have led to the future limitations on growth for single processors that are based on complementary metal oxide semiconductor (CMOS) technology. It explores challenges inherent in parallel computing and architecture, including ever-increasing power consumption and the escalated requirements for heat dissipation. The book delineates a research, practice, and education agenda to help overcome these challenges. The Future of Computing Performance will guide researchers, manufacturers, and information technology professionals in the right direction for sustainable growth in computer performance, so that we may all enjoy the next level of benefits to society.
Forecasting and Management of Technology, Second Edition
Published in 1991, the first edition of Forecasting and Management of Technology was one of the leading handful of books to deal with the topic of forecasting of technology and technology management as this discipline was emerging. The new, revised edition of this book will build on this knowledge in the context of business organizations that now place a greater emphasis on technology to stay on the cutting edge of development. The scope of this edition has broadened to include management of technology content that is relevant to now to executives in organizations while updating and strengthening the technology forecasting and analysis content that the first edition is reputed for.Updated by the original author team, plus new author Scott Cunningham, the book takes into account what the authors see as the innovations to technology management in the last 17 years: the Internet; the greater focus on group decision-making including process management and mechanism design; and desktop software that has transformed the analytical capabilities of technology managers. Included in this book will be 5 case studies from various industries that show how technology management is applied in the real world.
Future science : essays from the cutting edge
\"Editor Max Brockman introduces the work of some of today's brightest and most innovative young scientists in this fascinating and exciting collection of writings that describe the very boundaries of our knowledge. Future Science features nineteen young scientists, most of whom are presenting their innovative work and ideas to a general audience for the first time. Featured in this collection are William McEwan, a virologist, discussing his research into the biology of antiviral immunity; Naomi Eisenberger, a neuroscientist, wondering how social rejection affects us physically; Jon Kleinberg, a computer scientist, showing what massive datasets can teach us about society and ourselves; and Anthony Aguirre, a physicist, who gives readers a tantalizing glimpse of infinity\"-- Provided by publisher.
Robot Futures
by
Nourbakhsh, Illah Reza
in
Components, Circuits, Devices and Systems
,
Computing and Processing
,
Popular works
2013,2019
A roboticist imagines life with robots that sell us products, drive our cars, even allow us to assume new physical form, and more. With robots, we are inventing a new species that is part material and part digital. The ambition of modern robotics goes beyond copying humans, beyond the effort to make walking, talking androids that are indistinguishable from people. Future robots will have superhuman abilities in both the physical and digital realms. They will be embedded in our physical spaces, with the ability to go where we cannot, and will have minds of their own, thanks to artificial intelligence. In Robot Futures , the roboticist Illah Reza Nourbakhsh considers how we will share our world with these creatures, and how our society could change as it incorporates a race of stronger, smarter beings. Nourbakhsh imagines a future that includes adbots offering interactive custom messaging; robotic flying toys that operate by means of “gaze tracking”; robot-enabled multimodal, multicontinental telepresence; and even a way that nanorobots could allow us to assume different physical forms. Nourbakhsh examines the underlying technology and the social consequences of each scenario. He also offers a counter-vision: a robotics designed to create civic and community empowerment. His book helps us understand why that is the robot future we should try to bring about.