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2,416 result(s) for "Tropopause"
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An assessment of tropopause characteristics of the ERA5 and ERA-Interim meteorological reanalyses
The tropopause layer plays a key role in manifold processes in atmospheric chemistry and physics. Here we compare the representation and characteristics of the lapse rate tropopause according to the definition of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) as estimated from European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis data. Our study is based on 10-year records (2009 to 2018) of ECMWF's state-of-the-art reanalysis ERA5 and its predecessor ERA-Interim. The intercomparison reveals notable differences between ERA5 and ERA-Interim tropopause data, in particular on small spatiotemporal scales. The monthly mean differences of ERA5 minus ERA-Interim tropopause heights vary between −300 m at the transition from the tropics to the extratropics (near 30∘ S and 30∘ N) to 150 m around the Equator. Mean tropopause temperatures are mostly lower in ERA5 than in ERA-Interim, with a maximum difference of up to −1.5 K in the tropics. Monthly standard deviations of tropopause heights of ERA5 are up to 350 m or 60 % larger than for ERA-Interim. Monthly standard deviations of tropopause temperatures of ERA5 exceed those of ERA-Interim by up to 1.5 K or 30 %. The occurrence frequencies of double-tropopause events in ERA5 exceed those of ERA-Interim by up to 25 percentage points at middle latitudes. We attribute the differences between the ERA5 and ERA-Interim tropopause data and the larger, more realistic variability of ERA5 to improved spatiotemporal resolution and better representation of geophysical processes in the forecast model as well as improvements in the data assimilation scheme and the utilization of additional observations in ERA5. The improved spatiotemporal resolution of ERA5 allows for a better representation of mesoscale features, in particular of gravity waves, which affect the temperature profiles in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) and thus the tropopause height estimates. We evaluated the quality of the ERA5 and ERA-Interim reanalysis tropopause data by comparisons with COSMIC and MetOp Global Positioning System (GPS) satellite observations as well as high-resolution radiosonde profiles. The comparison indicates an uncertainty of the first tropopause for ERA5 (ERA-Interim) of about ±150 to ±200 m (±250 m) based on radiosonde data and ±120 to ±150 m (±170 to ±200 m) based on the coarser-resolution GPS data at different latitudes. Consequently, ERA5 will provide more accurate information than ERA-Interim for future tropopause-related studies.
Surface impacts of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation
Teleconnections between the Quasi Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the Northern Hemisphere zonally averaged zonal winds, mean sea level pressure (mslp) and tropical precipitation are explored. The standard approach that defines the QBO using the equatorial zonal winds at a single pressure level is compared with the empirical orthogonal function approach that characterizes the vertical profile of the equatorial winds. Results are interpreted in terms of three potential routes of influence, referred to as the tropical, subtropical and polar routes. A novel technique is introduced to separate responses via the polar route that are associated with the stratospheric polar vortex, from the other two routes. A previously reported mslp response in January, with a pattern that resembles the positive phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation under QBO westerly conditions, is confirmed and found to be primarily associated with a QBO modulation of the stratospheric polar vortex. This mid-winter response is relatively insensitive to the exact height of the maximum QBO westerlies and a maximum positive response occurs with westerlies over a relatively deep range between 10 and 70 hPa. Two additional mslp responses are reported, in early winter (December) and late winter (February/March). In contrast to the January response the early and late winter responses show maximum sensitivity to the QBO winds at ∼ 20 and ∼ 70 hPa respectively, but are relatively insensitive to the QBO winds in between (∼ 50 hPa). The late winter response is centred over the North Pacific and is associated with QBO influence from the lowermost stratosphere at tropical/subtropical latitudes in the Pacific sector. The early winter response consists of anomalies over both the North Pacific and Europe, but the mechanism for this response is unclear. Increased precipitation occurs over the tropical western Pacific under westerly QBO conditions, particularly during boreal summer, with maximum sensitivity to the QBO winds at 70 hPa. The band of precipitation across the Pacific associated with the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) shifts southward under QBO westerly conditions. The empirical orthogonal function (EOF)-based analysis suggests that this ITCZ precipitation response may be particularly sensitive to the vertical wind shear in the vicinity of 70 hPa and hence the tropical tropopause temperatures.
Tropical tropopause ozone modulated by tropopause height
Ozone is a key radiative species near the tropical tropopause, which acts as a gateway to the stratosphere for ascending air. Ozone concentrations at fixed heights in this region fluctuate seasonally and interannually as the strength of stratospheric upwelling varies, influencing local temperatures and stratospheric composition. Models ranging in complexity suggest that an accelerated stratospheric circulation, along with tropospheric expansion, could reduce tropical lower stratospheric ozone following surface warming. These modes of variability are often equated with variability at the tropical tropopause; however, tropopause height varies seasonally and interannually, and it is expected to rise as Earth's surface warms. Here, we explore how tropical tropopause ozone varies when considering changes to tropopause pressure. We first examine 15 years of MERRA-2 reanalysis data to distinguish variability at the tropical tropopause from nearby fixed pressure levels on annual-to-interannual timescales. We show that changes to tropopause pressure drive ozone's annual cycle at the tropical tropopause to be substantially smaller and out of phase from those at 95 or 105 hPa. We then investigate how tropical tropopause ozone responds to surface warming under a range of forcing scenarios using output from the Chemistry-Climate Modeling Initiative (CCMI). We find that pressure-dependent ozone production coupled with tropospheric expansion leads tropical tropopause ozone variability to remain distinct from fixed pressure levels following surface warming, with divergent trends in the strongest forcing scenario. Finally, we show that increases to tropical tropopause ozone correspond with local warming in CCMI projections, while tropospheric expansion increases lower stratospheric ozone.
Tropical Cirrus Lifetime Estimated From Superpressure Balloon‐Borne Lidar Observations
Tropical tropopause layer (TTL) cirrus clouds play a key role in the Earth climate system. Yet the relative role of the various processes shaping them remains poorly known. Characterizing the temporal evolution of cloudy structures from observations is essential to address this issue but represents a challenge. Indeed, space‐ and airborne platforms move fast and mainly provide instantaneous snapshots. In boreal winter 2021–2022, two balloon‐borne lidars flew over the Equatorial Pacific Ocean, slowly drifting above the clouds. We use those unique nighttime observations to quantify the distribution of TTL cloud lifetime above this homogeneous region. This distribution is strongly asymmetric: half of the clouds live less than 1 hr, but their mean lifetime is about 6 hr. The few long‐lived clouds (>12 ${ >} 12$ hr) dominate the cloud cover. Those results compare reasonably well with TTL cirrus lifetimes in the ERA5 reanalysis, although the modeled TTL cloud cover is largely underestimated.
The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 7.0/7.1 and JULES Global Land 7.0 configurations
We describe Global Atmosphere 7.0 and Global Land 7.0 (GA7.0/GL7.0), the latest science configurations of the Met Office Unified Model (UM) and the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) land surface model developed for use across weather and climate timescales. GA7.0 and GL7.0 include incremental developments and targeted improvements that, between them, address four critical errors identified in previous configurations: excessive precipitation biases over India, warm and moist biases in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL), a source of energy non-conservation in the advection scheme and excessive surface radiation biases over the Southern Ocean. They also include two new parametrisations, namely the UK Chemistry and Aerosol (UKCA) GLOMAP-mode (Global Model of Aerosol Processes) aerosol scheme and the JULES multi-layer snow scheme, which improve the fidelity of the simulation and were required for inclusion in the Global Atmosphere/Global Land configurations ahead of the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6).In addition, we describe the GA7.1 branch configuration, which reduces an overly negative anthropogenic aerosol effective radiative forcing (ERF) in GA7.0 whilst maintaining the quality of simulations of the present-day climate. GA7.1/GL7.0 will form the physical atmosphere/land component in the HadGEM3–GC3.1 and UKESM1 climate model submissions to the CMIP6.
Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 simulations
The evolution of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2100 has been studied using data from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). We evaluate long-term changes using coupled atmosphere–ocean chemistry–climate models, focusing on the CMIP Historical and ScenarioMIP ssp370 experiments, for which detailed tropospheric-ozone diagnostics were archived. The model ensemble has been evaluated against a suite of surface, sonde and satellite observations of the past several decades and found to reproduce well the salient spatial, seasonal and decadal variability and trends. The multi-model mean tropospheric-ozone burden increases from 247 ± 36 Tg in 1850 to a mean value of 356 ± 31 Tg for the period 2005–2014, an increase of 44 %. Modelled present-day values agree well with previous determinations (ACCENT: 336 ± 27 Tg; Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project, ACCMIP: 337 ± 23 Tg; Tropospheric Ozone Assessment Report, TOAR: 340 ± 34 Tg). In the ssp370 experiments, the ozone burden increases to 416 ± 35 Tg by 2100. The ozone budget has been examined over the same period using lumped ozone production (PO3) and loss (LO3) diagnostics. Both ozone production and chemical loss terms increase steadily over the period 1850 to 2100, with net chemical production (PO3-LO3) reaching a maximum around the year 2000. The residual term, which contains contributions from stratosphere–troposphere transport reaches a minimum around the same time before recovering in the 21st century, while dry deposition increases steadily over the period 1850–2100. Differences between the model residual terms are explained in terms of variation in tropopause height and stratospheric ozone burden.
The oxygen valve on hydrogen escape since the great oxidation event
The Great Oxidation Event (GOE) was a 200 Myr transition circa 2.4 billion years ago that converted the Earth's anoxic atmosphere to one where molecular oxygen (O2) was abundant (volume mixing ratio >10-4). This significant rise in O2 is thought to have substantially throttled hydrogen (H) escape and the associated water (H2O) loss. Atmospheric estimations from the GOE onward place O2 concentrations ranging between 0.1 % to 150 % PAL, where PAL is the present atmospheric level of 21 % by volume. In this study we use WACCM6, a three-dimensional Earth System Model to simulate Earth's atmosphere and predict the diffusion-limited escape rate of hydrogen due to varying O2 post-GOE. We find that O2 indirectly acts as a control valve on the amount of hydrogen atoms reaching the homopause in the simulations: less O2 leads to decreased O3 densities that reduce local tropical tropopause temperatures by up to 17 K, which increases H2O freeze-drying and thus reduces the primary source of hydrogen in the considered scenarios. The maximum differences between all simulations in the total H mixing ratio at the homopause and the associated diffusion-limited escape rates are a factor of 3.2 and 4.7, respectively. The prescribed CH4 mixing ratio (0.8 ppmv) sets a minimum diffusion escape rate of ≈2×1010 mol H yr−1, effectively a negligible rate when compared to pre-GOE estimates (∼1012–1013 mol H yr−1). Because the changes in our predicted escape rates are comparatively minor, our numerical predictions support geological evidence that the majority of Earth's hydrogen escape occurred prior to the GOE. Our work demonstrates that estimations of how the tropical tropopause layer and the associated hydrogen escape rate evolved through Earth's history requires 3D chemistry-climate models which include a global treatment of water vapour microphysics.
Global aviation contrail climate effects from 2019 to 2021
The current best-estimate of the global annual mean radiative forcing (RF) attributable to contrail cirrus is thought to be 3 times larger than the RF from aviation's cumulative CO2 emissions. Here, we simulate the global contrail RF for 2019–2021 using reanalysis weather data and improved engine emission estimates along actual flight trajectories derived from Automatic Dependent Surveillance–Broadcast telemetry. Our 2019 global annual mean contrail net RF (62.1 mW m−2) is 44 % lower than current best estimates for 2018 (111 [33, 189] mW m−2, 95 % confidence interval). Regionally, the contrail net RF is largest over Europe (876 mW m−2) and the USA (414 mW m−2), while the RF values over East Asia (64 mW m−2) and China (62 mW m−2) are close to the global average, because fewer flights in these regions form persistent contrails resulting from lower cruise altitudes and limited ice supersaturated regions in the subtropics due to the Hadley Circulation. Globally, COVID-19 reduced the flight distance flown and contrail net RF in 2020 (−43 % and −56 %, respectively, relative to 2019) and 2021 (−31 % and −49 %, respectively) with significant regional variations. Around 14 % of all flights in 2019 formed a contrail with a net warming effect, yet only 2 % of all flights caused 80 % of the annual contrail energy forcing. The spatiotemporal patterns of the most strongly warming and cooling contrail segments can be attributed to flight scheduling, engine particle number emissions, tropopause height, and background radiation fields. Our contrail RF estimates are most sensitive to corrections applied to the global humidity fields, followed by assumptions on the engine particle number emissions, and are least sensitive to radiative heating effects on the contrail plume and contrail–contrail overlapping. Using this sensitivity analysis, we estimate that the 2019 global contrail net RF could range between 34.8 and 74.8 mW m−2.
Ozone Changes Due To Sudden Stratospheric Warming‐Induced Variations in the Intensity of Brewer‐Dobson Circulation: A Composite Analysis Using Observations and Chemical‐Transport Model
We quantify the changes in the intensity of Brewer‐Dobson Circulation (BDC) during sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) and its impact on the tropical stratospheric thermal structure and ozone distribution by composite analysis using observations and a chemical‐transport model. An increase in the planetary wave activity and enhancement in BDC intensity before the central date of SSW is noticed. A positive ozone anomaly is observed in the tropical upper stratosphere. The tropical lower stratosphere shows a cooling (1–2 K) and negative ozone anomaly (∼0.1 ppmv) after ∼10 days from the central date. The polar stratosphere experiences a positive ozone anomaly, whereas the upper stratosphere shows ozone depletion due to the downwelling of NOx‐rich mesospheric air. The cold‐point tropopause temperature shows a cooling of ∼0.5 K for major warming which in turn dries the lower stratosphere. Plain Language Summary The Brewer‐Dobson circulation transports tropical air toward the polar stratosphere. During sudden stratospheric warming, the associated wave activity and changing zonal wind direction in the stratosphere alter the intensity of the circulation. The strength of the circulation increases before the warming, resulting in enhanced upwelling over the tropics. The upwelling leads to cooling across the stratosphere and decreased ozone concentrations in the lower stratosphere over the tropics. The lower temperatures over the upper stratosphere reduce the ozone depletion rate. Over the polar upper stratosphere, ozone depletion is observed due to the downwelling of NOx‐rich air and an increase in the lower stratosphere due to the transport of ozone‐rich air from higher levels. Key Points Change in the intensity of Brewer‐Dobson Circulation (BDC) due to sudden stratospheric warming Ozone transport due to change in the intensity of BDC using observations and modeling Cooling across the tropical stratosphere and decreased ozone concentrations due to upwelling
Enhanced Aerosol Mass in the Tropical Tropopause Layer Linked to Ozone Abundance
Aerosol particles play a critical role in the tropical tropopause layer (TTL) through cloud formation and heterogeneous chemistry, influencing the radiative and chemical balance of the stratosphere. However, aerosol measurements in the TTL are sparse, resulting in poor knowledge of aerosol abundance and distribution in this important region. Here, we present in situ aircraft measurements over the western tropical Pacific, revealing a persistent and altitude‐dependent enhancement of aerosol mass in the TTL compared to the convectively influenced troposphere below. Notably, our data demonstrate a striking positive correlation between aerosol mass and ozone. Model simulations suggest that organic materials constitute a substantial fraction of the total aerosol mass within the TTL. We further derived an empirical parameterization of TTL aerosol mass as a function of ozone based on their linear relationship. This framework holds potential for estimating the TTL aerosol abundance but requires further validation and refinement through future measurements. Plain Language Summary We investigated tiny particles called aerosols in a specific atmospheric layer called the tropical tropopause layer (TTL). These particles are crucial because they affect cloud formation and chemical processes in the atmosphere, influencing how energy is distributed. Unfortunately, there hasn't been much research on aerosols in the TTL, leading to gaps in our understanding of their abundance and distribution in this important region. To fill this knowledge gap, we conducted measurements using aircraft over the western tropical Pacific. Our findings revealed that aerosol mass in the TTL is consistently higher compared to the lower troposphere, which is influenced by upward air movement. What's interesting is that we observed a clear connection between the amount of aerosol and ozone. Our model simulations indicated that a significant portion of the aerosol mass in the TTL is made up of organic materials. To make it easier to estimate aerosol levels and their impact on climate, we developed a way to predict TTL aerosol mass based on ozone measurements. Since ozone is relatively straightforward to measure and model, our method could provide a useful framework for understanding aerosol abundance in the TTL and its effects on the climate. Key Points Aircraft measurements reveal persistent enhancement of aerosol mass in the TTL The TTL aerosol enhancement tightly correlates with ozone. An empirical parameterization of TTL aerosol as a function of ozone is derived Modeling suggests that TTL aerosol particles are mainly composed of organics and sulfate