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The summer spatial structure and sub-monthly temporal evolution of one of the key dynamical features of Central American climate, the Caribbean Low-Level Jet (CLLJ), is investigated by means of extended empirical orthogonal functions (EEOFs). The Caribbean 925-hPa zonal wind from the CFSR reanalysis for the period 1979 – 2010 is used for the analysis. This approach reveals new insights into the dynamical processes and spatio-temporal evolution of the CLLJ summer intensification, and through lead and lag linear regressions, significant climate links in the broader Caribbean region are identified. The results show that the CLLJ generates significant precipitation and temperature responses with a distinct temporal evolution over the Caribbean-Atlantic domain to that over the tropical Pacific, which hints at different underlying controlling mechanisms over these two large-scale regions. These anomalies are linked with the mid and upper tropospheric circulation, where a vertical cell over the Caribbean (ascending at the jet exit and subsiding at its entrance) varies in phase with large-scale divergence over the Pacific Ocean. Extratropical hemispheric-wide waves and the weakening of a thermal low in northeast Mexico-central US are identified as potential triggering factors for the CLLJ summer intensification. Two leading modes of tropical variability, El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Madden-Julian Oscillation, are found to modulate the CLLJ by intensifying it and prolonging its life cycle. Details of the underlying mechanisms are provided. These results help to advance the understanding of the processes that modulate local climate variations, which is an important issue in view of the rapid climate change the region is undergoing.

Ozone in the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere (UTLS) is primarily regulated by tropospheric dynamics. Understanding mechanisms driving ozone variability at the UTLS is crucial to evaluate the transport of mass to and from the lower stratosphere. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary coupled mode acting on interannual timescales modulating tropospheric circulation worldwide. ENSO teleconnections can depend on the phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and on the characteristics of the warming over central and eastern tropical Pacific. This study investigates the role of ENSO on UTLS ozone variability with focus on South America and examines patterns of teleconnections in the two recent warm (1980–1997) and cool (1998–2012) PDO phases. The dominant mode of ozone variability is identified by applying a principal component analysis (PCA) to modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) ozone data from September–November (SON). SON is the season with the largest UTLS ozone variance over South America. The first mode resembles a Rossby wave train across South America with spatial patterns dependent on PDO phase. We show that the ENSO teleconnections and respective influences on SON UTLS ozone are stronger during the cool PDO when ENSO and PDO are mostly in phase. Additionally, the strength of the ENSO teleconnection appears to depend on patterns of SST anomalies over tropical Pacific. The decadal variability in the ENSO-PDO relationships and teleconnections with the Southern Hemisphere resulted in a shift in upper tropospheric circulation in tropical and subtropical regions of South America.

The subseasonal migrations of the East Asian summer monsoon are nearly identical to that of the South Asian summer monsoon. In mid-May to mid-June (Phase 1), the South Asian westerly strengthens, the center of the South Asian high moves northwestward, and the East Asian frontal system coupled to and located north of the Western North Pacific (WNP) high moves northward, with all of these actions occurring rapidly. In mid-June to late July (Phase 2), the strength of the South Asian westerly reaches a maximum, the center of the South Asian high remains at approximately 30°N, and the northward propagation of the WNP high becomes stagnant. The speed of the northward movement of the WNP high in Phase 2 is only half the speed of that in Phase 1. By late June, the South Asian monsoon has reached northern India and been blocked by the Himalayas. This indicates that the Himalayas have an effect of constraining the speed of the northward movement of the South Asian high and, in turn, the WNP high. Climate model experiments further reveal that the near-stationary nature of the East Asian frontal system in Phase 2 is related to the blocking of the South Asian summer monsoon by the Himalayas. We suggest that the evolution of the WNP high is constrained by the evolution of the South Asian high, and the Meiyu–Baiu is connected to the South Asian summer monsoon through the impact of the South Asian monsoon heating on the upper tropospheric circulation.

After reaching phytotoxic levels during the last century, tropospheric ozone (O.sub.3) pollution is likely to remain a major concern in the coming decades. Despite similar injury processes, there is astounding interspecific-and sometimes intraspecific-foliar symptom variability, which may be related to spatial and temporal variation in injury dynamics. After characterizing the dynamics of physiological responses and O.sub.3 injury in the foliage of hybrid poplar in an earlier study, here we investigated the dynamics of changes in the cell structure occurring in the mesophyll as a function of O.sub.3 treatment, time, phytotoxic O.sub.3 dose (POD.sub.0 ), leaf developmental stage, and mesophyll layer. While the number of Hypersensitive Response-like (HR-like) lesions increased with higher O.sub.3 concentrations and POD.sub.0, especially in older leaves, most structural HR-like markers developed after cell death, independent of the experimental factors. The pace of degenerative Accelerated Cell Senescence (ACS) responses depended closely on the O.sub.3 concentration and POD.sub.0, in interaction with leaf age. Changes in total chlorophyll content, plastoglobuli and chloroplast shape pointed to thylakoid membranes in chloroplasts as being especially sensitive to O.sub.3 stress. Hence, our study demonstrates that early HR-like markers can provide reasonably specific, sensitive and reliable quantitative structural estimates of O.sub.3 stress for e.g. risk assessment studies, especially if they are associated with degenerative and thylakoid-related injury in chloroplasts from mesophyll.

Trends in stratospheric trace gases like HCl, N.sub.2 O, O.sub.3, and NO.sub.y show a hemispheric asymmetry over the last 2Ãádecades, with trends having opposing signs in the Northern Hemisphere and Southern Hemisphere. Here we use N.sub.2 O, a long-lived tracer with a tropospheric source, as a proxy for stratospheric circulation in the multiple linear regression model used to calculate stratospheric trace gas trends. This is done in an effort to isolate trends due to circulation changes from trends due to the chemical effects of ozone-depleting substances. Measurements from the Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) and the Optical Spectrograph and InfraRed Imager System (OSIRIS) are considered, along with model results from the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM). Trends in HCl, O.sub.3, and NO.sub.y for 2004-2018 are examined. Using the N.sub.2 O regression proxy, we show that observed HCl increases in the Northern Hemisphere are due to changes in the stratospheric circulation. We also show that negative O.sub.3 trends above 30ÇëhPa in the Northern Hemisphere can be explained by a change in the circulation but that negative ozone trends at lower levels cannot. Trends in stratospheric NO.sub.y are found to be largely consistent with trends in N.sub.2 O.

The isotopic composition of water vapour in the North Atlantic free troposphere is investigated with Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI) measurements of the D ∕ H ratio ([delta]D) above the ocean. We show that in the vicinity of West Africa, the seasonality of [delta]D is particularly strong (130 0/00), which is related with the influence of the Saharan heat low (SHL) during summertime. The SHL indeed largely influences the dynamic in that region by producing deep turbulent mixing layers, yielding a specific water vapour isotopic footprint. The influence of the SHL on the isotopic budget is analysed on various time and space scales and is shown to be large, highlighting the importance of the SHL dynamics on the moistening and the HDO enrichment of the free troposphere over the North Atlantic. The potential influence of the SHL is also investigated on the inter-annual scale as we also report important variations in [delta]D above the Canary archipelago region. We interpret the variability in the enrichment, using backward trajectory analyses, in terms of the ratio of air masses coming from the North Atlantic and air masses coming from the African continent. Finally, the interest of IASI high sampling capabilities is further illustrated by presenting spatial distributions of [delta]D and humidity above the North Atlantic from which we show that the different sources and dehydration pathways controlling the humidity can be disentangled thanks to the added value of [delta]D observations. More generally, our results demonstrate the utility of [delta]D observations obtained from the IASI sounder to gain insight into the hydrological cycle processes in the West African region.

In boreal summer (June–September), most of the Indian land and its surroundings experience rainrates exceeding 6 mm day - 1 with considerable spatial variability. Over southern Bay of Bengal (BoB) along the east coast of the Indian peninsula (henceforth referred to as the Bay of Bengal cold pool or BoB-CP), the rain intensity is significantly lower (<2 mm day - 1 ) than its surroundings. This low rainfall occurs despite the fact that the sea surface temperature in this region is well above the threshold for convection and the mean vorticity of the boundary layer is cyclonic with a magnitude comparable to that over the central Indian monsoon trough where the rainrate is about 10 mm day - 1 . It is also noteworthy that the seasonal cycle of convection over the BoB-CP shows a primary peak in November and a secondary peak in May. This is in contrast to the peak in June–July over most of the oceanic locations surrounding the BoB-CP. In this study, we investigate the role of the Western Ghat (WG) mountains in an Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) to understand this paradox. Decade-long simulations of the AGCM were carried out with varying (from 0 to 2 times the present) heights of the WG. We find that the lee waves generated by the strong westerlies in the lower troposphere in the presence of the WG mountains cause descent over the BoB-CP. Thus, an increase in the height of the WG strengthens the lee waves and reduces rainfall over the BoB-CP. More interestingly in the absence of WG mountains, the BoB-CP shows a rainfall maxima in the boreal summer similar to that over its surrounding oceans. The WG also impacts the climate over the middle and high latitude regions by modifying the upper tropospheric circulation. The results of this study underline the importance of narrow mountains like the WG in the tropics in determining the global climate and possibly calls for a better representation of such mountains in climate models.

The loss of Arctic sea ice is already having profound environmental, societal, and ecological impacts locally. A highly uncertain area of scientific research, however, is whether such Arctic change has a tangible effect on weather and climate at lower latitudes. There is emerging evidence that the geographical location of sea ice loss is critically important in determining the large-scale atmospheric circulation response and associated midlatitude impacts. However, such regional dependencies have not been explored in a thorough and systematic manner. To make progress on this issue, this study analyzes ensemble simulations with an atmospheric general circulation model prescribed with sea ice loss separately in nine regions of the Arctic, to elucidate the distinct responses to regional sea ice loss. The results suggest that in some regions, sea ice loss triggers large-scale dynamical responses, whereas in other regions sea ice loss induces only local thermodynamical changes. Sea ice loss in the Barents–Kara Seas is unique in driving a weakening of the stratospheric polar vortex, followed in time by a tropospheric circulation response that resembles the North Atlantic Oscillation. For October–March, the largest spatial-scale responses are driven by sea ice loss in the Barents–Kara Seas and the Sea of Okhotsk; however, different regions assume greater importance in other seasons. The atmosphere responds very differently to regional sea ice losses than to pan-Arctic sea ice loss, and the response to pan-Arctic sea ice loss cannot be obtained by the linear addition of the responses to regional sea ice losses. The results imply that diversity in past studies of the simulated response to Arctic sea ice loss can be partly explained by the different spatial patterns of sea ice loss imposed.

The impact of projected Arctic sea ice loss on the atmospheric circulation is investigated using the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM), a model with a well-resolved stratosphere. Two 160-yr simulations are conducted: one with surface boundary conditions fixed at late twentieth-century values and the other with identical conditions except for Arctic sea ice, which is prescribed at late twenty-first-century values. Their difference isolates the impact of future Arctic sea ice loss upon the atmosphere. The tropospheric circulation response to the imposed ice loss resembles the negative phase of the northern annular mode, with the largest amplitude in winter, while the less well-known stratospheric response transitions from a slight weakening of the polar vortex in winter to a strengthening of the vortex in spring. The lack of a significant winter stratospheric circulation response is shown to be a consequence of largely cancelling effects from sea ice loss in the Atlantic and Pacific sectors, which drive opposite-signed changes in upward wave propagation from the troposphere to the stratosphere. Identical experiments conducted with Community Atmosphere Model, version 4, WACCM’s low-top counterpart, show a weaker tropospheric response and a different stratospheric response compared to WACCM. An additional WACCM experiment in which the imposed ice loss is limited to August–November reveals that autumn ice loss weakens the stratospheric polar vortex in January, followed by a small but significant tropospheric response in late winter and early spring that resembles the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation, with attendant surface climate impacts.