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The Oxford companion to the economics of China
This work provides a wide range of perspectives on the past, present, and future of the Chinese economy. The topics covered include: the China model, future prospects for China; China and the global economy; trade and the Chinese economy; macro-economics and finance; urbanization; industry and markets; agriculture and rural development; land, infrastructure and environment; population and Labour; dimensions of well-being and inequality; health, education, and gender equity; regional divergence in China; and a brief look at a selection of China's provinces.
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Designing Information Provision Experiments
Information provision experiments allow researchers to test economic theories and answer policy-relevant questions by varying the information set available to respondents. We survey the emerging literature using information provision experiments in economics and discuss applications in macroeconomics, finance, political economy, public economics, labor economics, and health economics. We also discuss design considerations and provide best-practice recommendations on how to (i) measure beliefs; (ii) design the information intervention; (iii) measure belief updating; (iv) deal with potential confounds, such as experimenter demand effects; and (v) recruit respondents using online panels. We finally discuss typical effect sizes and provide sample size recommendations.
Journal Article
Evaluating State and Local Business Incentives
This essay describes and evaluates state and local business tax incentives in the United States. In 2014, states spent between 5 USD and 216 USD per capita on incentives for firms in the form of firm-specific subsidies and general tax credits, which mostly target investment, job creation, and research and development. States with higher per capita incentives tend to have higher state corporate tax rates. Recipients of firm-specific incentives are usually large establishments in manufacturing, technology, and high-skilled service industries, and the average discretionary subsidy is 178M USD for 1,500 promised jobs. Firms tend to accept subsidy deals from places that are richer, larger, and more urban than the average county, and poor places provide larger incentives and spend more per job. Comparing winning and runner-up locations for each deal, we find that average employment within the three-digit industry of the deal increases by roughly 1,500 jobs. While we find some evidence of direct employment gains from attracting a firm, we do not find strong evidence that firm-specific tax incentives increase broader economic growth at the state and local level.
Journal Article
Black gold and blackmail : oil and great power politics
\"Explains why great powers sometimes fight wars to protect access to oil, while in other cases they secure oil with lesser strategies such as oil alliances or domestic conservation programs\"-- Provided by publisher.
Book
Combining climate, economic, and social policy builds public support for climate action in the US
Despite the gravity of the climate threat, governments around the world have struggled to pass and implement climate policies. Today, politicians and advocates are championing a new idea: linking climate policy to other economic and social reforms. Will this approach generate greater public support for climate action? Here, we test this coalition-building strategy. Using two conjoint experiments on a representative sample of 2,476 Americans, we evaluate the marginal impact of 40 different climate, social, and economic policies on support for climate reforms. Overall, we find climate policy bundles that include social and economic reforms such as affordable housing, a $15 minimum wage, or a job guarantee increase US public support for climate mitigation. Clean energy standards, regardless of which technologies are included, also make climate policy more popular. Linking climate policy to economic and social issues is particularly effective at expanding climate policy support among people of color.
Journal Article
Resurgent China : issues for the future
This exploration of the Chinese economy analyses the latest data from China, and looks at recent trends in order to better understand the possible future of the country.
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The Asset-Pricing Implications of Government Economic Policy Uncertainty
Using the news-based measure of Baker et al. [Baker SR, Bloom N, Davis SJ (2013) Measuring economic policy uncertainty. Working paper, Stanford University, Stanford, CA] to capture economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the United States, we find that EPU positively forecasts log excess market returns. An increase of one standard deviation in EPU is associated with a 1.5% increase in forecasted three-month abnormal returns (6.1% annualized). Furthermore, innovations in EPU earn a significant negative risk premium in the Fama–French 25 size–momentum portfolios. Among the Fama–French 25 portfolios formed on size and momentum returns, the portfolio with the greatest EPU beta underperforms the portfolio with the lowest EPU beta by 5.53% per annum, controlling for exposure to the Carhart four factors as well as implied and realized volatility. These findings suggest that EPU is an economically important risk factor for equities.
This paper was accepted by Wei Jiang, finance.
Journal Article
The political economy of the Egyptian revolution : Mubarak, economic reforms and failed hegemony
Focusing on the economic reforms adopted under Mubarak, Roberto Roccu provides the first account of the deeper socio-economic dynamics that made the 2011 Egyptian revolution possible.
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