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212 result(s) for "calibration coefficient estimation"
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QFASA: A Comprehensive R Package for Diet Estimation via Fatty Acid Signature Analysis
Quantitative fatty acid signature analysis (QFASA) is a well‐established diet estimation method that has been used extensively on a wide variety of marine mammal species. The method, along with its new refinements and extensions, requires the use of statistically intricate tools, many of which are computationally demanding. Recent developments in QFASA include a maximum likelihood framework for diet estimation, statistically valid inference procedures such as confidence intervals for the diet and hypothesis tests for comparing fatty acid signatures and/or diets, a measure of repeatability in the diet estimates, a prey species selection algorithm, as well as novel ways to estimate calibration coefficients, which are used to improve accuracy in the estimates. The QFASA R package was developed to facilitate access to the latest statistical QFASA tools and provide a means of efficiently disseminating new QFASA‐related research, often developed by statisticians in collaboration with biologists. Further, using up‐to‐date functions ensures that QFASA methods are being applied in a legitimate and consistent manner. In this work, we present the QFASA R package, highlighting key functions for diet estimation and demonstrating their use with sample data available in the package. The QFASA R package is user‐friendly, offers a broad range of functionality, and the vast majority of the functions are unique to this package. Quantitative fatty acid signature analysis (QFASA) is a well‐established diet estimation method that has been used extensively on a wide variety of marine mammal species. The method requires the use of statistically intricate tools, many of which are computationally demanding. The QFASA R package allows ecologists to access the latest statistical QFASA methodology and provides a means of efficiently disseminating new related research.
Depth‐Aware Global Calibration of SM2RAIN‐NWF Using Growing Neural Gas‐Derived Hydroclimatic Clusters Across Heterogeneous Soils
Accurate rainfall information underpins land‐surface water budgets, extreme‐weather analyses, and climate‐model evaluation. Yet in many regions, rain gauge networks are sparse, making conventional calibration of bottom up rainfall products difficult. To address this, we propose a self calibration framework that removes the need for a dedicated calibration phase. Our proposed approach systematically identifies bottom‐up model parameters without relying on region‐specific tuning by exploiting the K‐means, Gaussian Mixture Model|Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM), Agglomerative Clustering (AC) and Growing Neural Gas (GNG) algorithms. To demonstrate its effectiveness, we apply this framework to soil moisture (SM) to RAIN by using Net Water Flux (SM2RAIN‐NWF), a bottom‐up rainfall estimation model that leverages SM variations to infer rainfall. This self‐calibration strategy is particularly relevant, as it reduces dependence on traditional rain gauge data, making it well‐suited for large or data‐limited regions. In this study, we test this framework by comparing four clustering algorithms (K‐means, GNG, GMM, and AC) against International Soil Moisture Network observations using hold‐out and Leave‐One‐Out Cross‐Validation approaches. This validation confirms the framework's robustness and the superiority of K‐means and GNG. The K‐means method provides high stability, with key performance metrics (Correlation Coefficient (R) and Probability of Detection) showing minimal change from the baseline. The GNG method demonstrates that cluster parameters can significantly outperform site‐specific calibration, with correlation (R) gains exceeding +17% in key soil depths (5 < SM_Depth ≤ 10 cm). With no need for reference rainfall, the method is ideal for data sparse or ungauged regions and supports scalable climate monitoring, reanalysis, and prediction.
Estimation Methods for Nonhomogeneous Regression Models: Minimum Continuous Ranked Probability Score versus Maximum Likelihood
Nonhomogeneous regression models are widely used to statistically postprocess numerical ensemble weather prediction models. Such regression models are capable of forecasting full probability distributions and correcting for ensemble errors in the mean and variance. To estimate the corresponding regression coefficients, minimization of the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) has widely been used in meteorological postprocessing studies and has often been found to yield more calibrated forecasts compared to maximum likelihood estimation. From a theoretical perspective, both estimators are consistent and should lead to similar results, provided the correct distribution assumption about empirical data. Differences between the estimated values indicate a wrong specification of the regression model. This study compares the two estimators for probabilistic temperature forecasting with nonhomogeneous regression, where results show discrepancies for the classical Gaussian assumption. The heavy-tailed logistic and Student’s t distributions can improve forecast performance in terms of sharpness and calibration, and lead to only minor differences between the estimators employed. Finally, a simulation study confirms the importance of appropriate distribution assumptions and shows that for a correctly specified model the maximum likelihood estimator is slightly more efficient than the CRPS estimator.
Easy-to-use spatial random-forest-based downscaling-calibration method for producing precipitation data with high resolution and high accuracy
Precipitation data with high resolution and high accuracy are significantly important in numerous hydrological applications. To enhance the spatial resolution and accuracy of satellite-based precipitation products, an easy-to-use downscaling-calibration method based on a spatial random forest (SRF-DC) is proposed in this study, where the spatial autocorrelation of precipitation measurements between neighboring locations is considered. SRF-DC consists of two main stages. First, the satellite-based precipitation is downscaled by the SRF with the incorporation of high-resolution variables including latitude, longitude, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), digital elevation model (DEM), terrain slope, aspect, relief and land surface temperatures. Then, the downscaled precipitation is calibrated by the SRF with rain gauge observations and the aforementioned high-resolution variables. The monthly Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) over Sichuan Province, China, from 2015 to 2019 was processed using SRF-DC, and its results were compared with those of classical methods including geographically weighted regression (GWR), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), kriging interpolation only on gauge measurements, bilinear interpolation-based downscaling and then SRF-based calibration (Bi-SRF), and SRF-based downscaling and then geographical difference analysis (GDA)-based calibration (SRF-GDA). Comparative analyses with respect to root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and correlation coefficient (CC) demonstrate that (1) SRF-DC outperforms the classical methods as well as the original IMERG; (2) the monthly based SRF estimation is slightly more accurate than the annually based SRF fraction disaggregation method; (3) SRF-based downscaling and calibration perform better than bilinear downscaling (Bi-SRF) and GDA-based calibration (SRF-GDA); (4) kriging is more accurate than GWR and ANN, whereas its precipitation map loses detailed spatial precipitation patterns; and (5) based on the variable-importance rank of the RF, the precipitation interpolated by kriging on the rain gauge measurements is the most important variable, indicating the significance of incorporating spatial autocorrelation for precipitation estimation.
Evaluation of reanalysis soil moisture products using cosmic ray neutron sensor observations across the globe
Reanalysis soil moisture products are valuable for diverse applications, but their quality assessment is limited due to scale discrepancies when compared to traditional in situ point-scale measurements. The emergence of cosmic ray neutron sensors (CRNSs) with field-scale soil moisture estimates (∼ 250 m radius, up to 0.7 m deep) is more suitable for the product evaluation owing to their larger footprint. In this study, we perform a comprehensive evaluation of eight widely used reanalysis soil moisture products (ERA5-Land, CFSv2, MERRA2, JRA55, GLDAS-Noah, CRA40, GLEAM and SMAP L4 datasets) against 135 CRNS sites from the COSMOS-UK, COSMOS-Europe, COSMOS USA and CosmOz Australia networks. We evaluate the products using six metrics capturing different aspects of soil moisture dynamics. Results show that all reanalysis products generally exhibit good temporal correlation with the measurements, with the median temporal correlation coefficient (R) values spanning 0.69 to 0.79, though large deviations are found at sites with seasonally varying vegetation cover. Poor performance is observed across products for soil moisture anomalies time series, with R values varying from 0.46 to 0.66. The performance of reanalysis products differs greatly across regions, climate, land covers and topographic conditions. In general, all products tend to overestimate data in arid climates and underestimate data in humid regions as well as grassland. Most reanalysis products perform poorly in steep terrain. Relatively low temporal correlation and high bias are detected in some sites from the west of the UK, which might be associated with relatively low bulk density and high soil organic carbon. Overall, ERA5-Land, CRA40, CFSv2, SMAP L4 and GLEAM exhibit superior performance compared to MERRA2, GLDAS-Noah and JRA55. We recommend that ERA5-Land and CFSv2 could be used in humid climates, whereas SMAP L4 and CRA40 perform better in arid regions. SMAP L4 has good performance for cropland, while GLEAM is more effective in shrubland regions. Our findings also provide insights into directions for improvement of soil moisture products for product developers.
UTransBPNet for cuffless and calibration-free blood pressure estimation under dynamic conditions
Accurate cuffless blood pressure (BP) estimation remains challenging, particularly under dynamic conditions with significant intra-individual BP variations. This study introduces UTransBPNet , a novel, calibration-free model for cuffless BP estimation. It integrates a squeeze-and-excitation-enhanced Unet architecture for short-range feature extraction with a transformer and cross attention module to capture long-range dependencies from high-resolution, multi-channel physiological signals, further refined through an optimized fine-tuning scheme. Comprehensive validations were conducted across multiple dynamic datasets—Dataset_Drink, Dataset_Exercise, and Dataset_MIMIC—in both scenario-specific and cross-scenario settings. Results demonstrate that UTransBPNet outperformed existing models in tracking BP variations under dynamic conditions, achieving individual Pearson’s correlation coefficients of 0.61 ± 0.17 and 0.62 ± 0.13 for systolic BP (SBP) and diastolic BP (DBP) in Dataset_Drink, 0.82 ± 0.11 and 0.72 ± 0.18 in Dataset_Exercise, and low mean absolute differences (MADs) of 4.38 and 2.25 mmHg in Dataset_MIMIC. The analysis also highlights the impact of dataset characteristics on model performance, such as distribution shift, distribution imbalance and individual BP variability, highlighting the need for well-curated data to ensure generalizability. This study advances the development of robust, cuffless BP estimation models for real-world applications.
Validity of artificial intelligence-based markerless motion capture system for clinical gait analysis: Spatiotemporal results in healthy adults and adults with Parkinson’s disease
Markerless motion capture methods are continuously in development to target limitations encountered in marker-, sensor-, or depth-based systems. Previous evaluation of the KinaTrax markerless system was limited by differences in model definitions, gait event methods, and a homogenous subject sample. The purpose of this work was to evaluate the accuracy of spatiotemporal parameters in the markerless system with an updated markerless model, coordinate- and velocity-based gait events, and subjects representing young adult, older adult, and Parkinson’s disease groups. Fifty-seven subjects and 216 trials were included in this analysis. Interclass correlation coefficients showed excellent agreement between the markerless system and a marker-based reference system for all spatial parameters. Temporal variables were similar, except swing time which showed good agreement. Concordance correlation coefficients were similar with all but swing time showing moderate to almost perfect concordance. Bland-Altman bias and limits of agreement (LOA) were small and improved from previous evaluations. Parameters showed similar agreement across coordinate- and velocity-based gait methods with the latter showing generally smaller LOAs. Improvements in spatiotemporal parameters in the present evaluation was due to inclusion of keypoints at the calcanei in the markerless model. Consistency in the calcanei keypoints relative to heel marker placements may improve results further. Similar to previous work, LOAs are within boundaries to detect differences in clinical groups. Results support the use of the markerless system for estimation of spatiotemporal parameters across age and clinical groups, but caution should be taken when generalizing findings due to remaining error in kinematic gait event methods.
Walking-speed estimation using a single inertial measurement unit for the older adults
Although walking speed is associated with important clinical outcomes and designated as the sixth vital sign of the elderly, few walking-speed estimation algorithms using an inertial measurement unit (IMU) have been derived and tested in the older adults, especially in the elderly with slow speed. We aimed to develop a walking-speed estimation algorithm for older adults based on an IMU. We used data from 659 of 785 elderly enrolled from the cohort study. We measured gait using an IMU attached on the lower back while participants walked around a 28 m long round walkway thrice at comfortable paces. Best-fit linear regression models were developed using selected demographic, anthropometric, and IMU features to estimate the walking speed. The accuracy of the algorithm was verified using mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) in an independent validation set. Additionally, we verified concurrent validity with GAITRite using intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs). The proposed algorithm incorporates the age, sex, foot length, vertical displacement, cadence, and step-time variability obtained from an IMU sensor. It exhibited high estimation accuracy for the walking speed of the elderly and remarkable concurrent validity compared to the GAITRite (MAE = 4.70%, RMSE = 6.81 𝑐𝑚/𝑠, concurrent validity (ICC (3,1)) = 0.937). Moreover, it achieved high estimation accuracy even for slow walking by applying a slow-speed-specific regression model sequentially after estimation by a general regression model. The accuracy was higher than those obtained with models based on the human gait model with or without calibration to fit the population. The developed inertial-sensor-based walking-speed estimation algorithm can accurately estimate the walking speed of older adults.
On typical range, sensitivity, and normalization of Mean Squared Error and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency type metrics
We show that Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) type metrics typically vary on bounded ranges under optimization and that negative values of NSE imply severe mass balance errors in the data. Further, by constraining simulated mean and variability to match those of the observations (diagnostic approach), the sensitivity of both metrics is improved, and NSE becomes linearly related to the cross‐correlation coefficient. Our results have important implications for analysis of the information content of data and hence about inferences regarding achievable parameter precision. Key Points MSE and NSE vary on bounded ranges under optimization Negative NSE implies severe mass balance errors in the data Important implications for inferences regarding achievable parameter precision
Research on the Prediction Model of Engine Output Torque and Real-Time Estimation of the Road Rolling Resistance Coefficient in Tracked Vehicles
Road parameter identification is of great significance for the active safety control of tracked vehicles and the improvement of vehicle driving safety. In this study, a method for establishing a prediction model of the engine output torques in tracked vehicles based on vehicle driving data was proposed, and the road rolling resistance coefficient f was further estimated using the model. First, the driving data from the tracked vehicle were collected and then screened by setting the driving conditions of the tracked vehicle. Then, the mapping relationship between the engine torque Te, the engine speed ne, and the accelerator pedal position β was obtained by a genetic algorithm–backpropagation (GA–BP) neural network algorithm, and an engine output torque prediction model was established. Finally, based on the vehicle longitudinal dynamics model, the recursive least squares (RLS) algorithm was used to estimate the f. The experimental results showed that when the driving state of the tracked vehicle satisfied the set driving conditions, the engine output torque prediction model could predict the engine output torque T^e in real time based on the changes in the ne and β, and then the RLS algorithm was used to estimate the road rolling resistance coefficient f^. The average coefficient of determination R of the T^e was 0.91, and the estimation accuracy of the f^ was 98.421%. This method could adequately meet the requirements for engine output torque prediction and real-time estimation of the road rolling resistance coefficient during tracked vehicle driving.