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Timber structures and structural members have undergone rapid development in recent decades and are now fully competitive with traditional structures made of reinforced concrete or structural steel in many areas. Low self-weight, high durability, rapid construction assembly, and a favourable environmental footprint predispose timber structures for wider future use. A persisting drawback is the often-complicated joining of individual elements, especially when moment resistance is required. For CLT panels, this issue is more urgent due to their relatively small thickness and cross-laminated lay-up. This paper presents experimental research investigating parameters related to the actual behaviour of a moment-resisting embedded joint of CLT panels. The test programme consisted of four series (12 specimens) loaded in four-point bending to failure. The proposed and tested joint consists of high-strength steel rods glued into the two connected parts of the CLT panel. In addition to a detailed investigation of the resistance and stiffness of the joint, this research evaluates the effect of composite action with a reinforced-concrete slab on the performance of this type of joint. The experimental results and their detailed analysis are also extended to propose a framework concept for creating a theoretical (mechanical) model based on the component method.

Population projections provide predictions of future population sizes for an area. Historically, most population projections have been produced using deterministic or scenario-based approaches and have not assessed uncertainty about future population change. Starting in 2015, however, the United Nations (UN) has produced probabilistic population projections for all countries using a Bayesian approach. There is also considerable interest in subnational probabilistic population projections, but the UN's national approach cannot be used directly for this purpose, because within-country correlations in fertility and mortality are generally larger than between-country ones, migration is not constrained in the same way, and there is a need to account for college and other special populations, particularly at the county level. We propose a Bayesian method for producing subnational population projections, including migration and accounting for college populations, by building on but modifying the UN approach. We illustrate our approach by applying it to the counties of Washington State and comparing the results with extant deterministic projections produced by Washington State demographers. Out-of-sample experiments show that our method gives accurate and well-calibrated forecasts and forecast intervals. In most cases, our intervals were narrower than the growth-based intervals issued by the state, particularly for shorter time horizons.

Factor model has the capacity of reducing redundant information in real data analysis. Note that sparse principal component (SPC) method is developed to obtain sparse solutions from the model, online principal component (OPC) method is used to handle with online dimension reduction problem. It is worth considering how to obtain a sparse solution with online learning. In this paper we propose a novel sparse online principal component (SOPC) method for sparse parameter estimation in factor model, where we combine the advantages of the SPC and OPC methods in estimating the loading matrix and the idiosyncratic variance matrix. By integrating sparse modelling with online update, the SOPC is capable of finding the sparse solution through iterative online updating, leading to a consistent and easily interpretable solution. Stability and sensitivity of the SOPC are assessed through a simulation study. The method is then applied to analyze two real data sets concerning drug efficacy and human activity recognition.

According to the EN 1993-1-8 Standard, the moment resistance of end-plated connections can be calculated with the use of the component method. In this, a pair-of-force defines the moment resistance. The magnitude and the location of the compression force can be accurately identified. The tension force part is usually the resultant of parallel forces appearing in line with the bolt rows. Following the rules of manual calculation and using a mechanical finite element model, where each component is modelled with spring elements, in some—easily identifiable—cases, leads to different force distribution. The simplifications defined in the Standard provide a longer arm for the same force, and because of this, larger moment resistance at the expense of safety. In this work, an alternative calculation method will be presented that provides the same force values in each bolt row, as the mechanical model of the connection, without constructing the finite element model.

The component method is a powerful tool for designing and modelling steel beam-to-column connections. Its widespread use is ensured by several formulations currently included in Eurocode 3 part 1.8 for welded and bolted joints. However, the recent use of 3D Laser Cutting Technology (3D-LCT) in the construction market has enlarged the range of solutions, allowing the realisation of tubular columns with passing-through elements. Given the recent development, no design formulations are currently provided for this typology. At this moment, only a few research studies have developed to fill this knowledge gap. At the University of Salerno, since some years, research efforts are ongoing to characterise the flexural strength of connections between Circular Hollow Section columns and passing double-tee beams, suggesting methodologies to predict the behaviour of the resistance and stiffness of this typology and some of its elementary joint components. Within this framework, this paper aims to examine the strength and stiffness of one of the main components of this joint, which was never examined previously, that is the so-called tube under localised transverse tension/compression. Design formulations are derived from a parametric study carried out through numerical simulations of several geometric configurations.

Current multiscale topology optimization restricts the solution space by enforcing the use of a few repetitive microstructures that are predetermined, and thus lack the ability for structural concerns like buckling strength, robustness, and multi-functionality. Therefore, in this paper, a new multiscale concurrent topology optimization design, referred to as the self-consistent analysis-based moving morphable component (SMMC) method, is proposed. Compared with the conventional moving morphable component method, the proposed method seeks to optimize both material and structure simultaneously by explicitly designing both macrostructure and representative volume element (RVE)-level microstructures. Numerical examples with transducer design requirements are provided to demonstrate the superiority of the SMMC method in comparison to traditional methods. The proposed method has broad impact in areas of integrated industrial manufacturing design: to solve for the optimized macro and microstructures under the objective function and constraints, to calculate the structural response efficiently using a reduced-order model: self-consistent analysis, and to link the SMMC method to manufacturing (industrial manufacturing or additive manufacturing) based on the design requirements and application areas.

Extended end-plate (EP) bolted connections are widely used in steel structures as moment-resisting connections. Most of these connections are semi-rigid or in other words flexible. The paper aims to study the behavior of such connections under the effect of column top-side cyclic loading using the finite element (FE) method. For semi-rigid connections, it is very vital to determine the moment-rotation relationship as well as the connection stiffness. These beam-column connections have been parametrically studied, the effect of joint type, shear forces, diameter of bolt, thickness of end-plate, and end-plate style were studied. Parametric studies show that the panel zone shear force is the key factor and has a significant effect on the connection stiffness. Finally, based on the component method, the stiffness of the bending component is improved, and the initial stiffness calculation model of the connection under column top-side cyclic loadings is established. The results show that the calculation model is in good agreement with the finite element analyses, and this proves that the calculation model proposed in this study could act as a reference method.

Petal-shaped distribution networks are receiving increasing attention due to their enhanced reliability. However, the integration of distributed generators (DGs) significantly alters the fault characteristics during single-phase to ground faults. Traditional short-circuit calculation methods become inadequate due to the unmodeled effects of negative sequence current control in DGs. To address this challenge, this study establishes, for the first time, a mathematical model for single-phase to ground faults in a petal-shaped network with DG integration under both positive and negative sequence control. It explicitly derives the DGs’ output current under three control goals: maintaining constant active power, maintaining constant reactive power, and injecting a symmetric three-phase current. Utilizing the symmetrical component method, a composite sequence network incorporating the DGs’ negative sequence current output is developed. Based on the node–voltage relationships, an analytical short-circuit current calculation method suitable for multiple control goals is proposed. Validation via MATLAB R2022a simulations demonstrates high-fidelity accuracy: in Case 1 with different fault locations, the maximum relative error is 0.31%, while in Case 2, it is 2.04%. These results quantify the critical impact of the negative sequence current—reaching up to 14.78% of the DG output during severe voltage sags—providing theoretical support for the protection design of a petal-shaped distribution network with high DG integration.

A modular steel structure building has obvious advantages in reducing construction period and protecting the environment due to its unique construction method, so it is widely used in modern construction. However, the modular building connection design and modeling are mostly based on the traditional connection research results. To address this issue, the paper developed a component-based model for novel modular connections with an inbuild component. First of all, the comprehensive parameter study was implemented using elaborate finite element models. Then the component-based model for novel modular connections was developed, and the force-deformation response of each component was determined using the finite element method. Thirdly, assembly of all components to overall rotational joint and the simplified finite element model of modular connections was obtained. Finally, comparison between simplified and refined finite element was conducted, the results showed that the proposed model can predict the mechanical behavior of modular building connections within the acceptable margin of error.

China has entered an era of population decline, yet urbanization continues as rural-to-urban migration persists. This demographic transition has prompted a strategic shift in urban development from extensive spatial expansion toward quality-oriented, intensive growth models. However, evolving human–land supply–demand dynamics in cities historically characterized by population inflows remain insufficiently understood. This study focuses on Xiamen, a prototypical coastal migrant-receiving city, to investigate land use simulation under demographic transition. By integrating the cohort-component method with the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model, we project Xiamen’s population under three scenarios by 2030: Stable Continuation (SCS), Natural Development (NDS), and National 2030 Population Planning (NPP), with projected increases of 5.56%, 6.76%, and 24.69%, respectively. Results show continued but decelerating population growth, with adequate labor supply and persistent demographic dividend. Notably, the NPP scenario reveals a negative correlation between population growth and construction land expansion. In NPP-High, prioritizing compact development and ecological conservation, population grows by 1.27 million while construction land decreases by 2.85% and forest land increases by 4.09%. This framework provides empirical evidence for compact urban development under the dual constraints of land-use efficiency and ecological protection.