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The sensitivity of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) receivers to ionospheric disturbances and their constant growth are nowadays resulting in an increased concern of GNSS users about the impacts of ionospheric disturbances at mid-latitudes. The geomagnetic storm of June 2015 is an example of a rare phenomenon of a spill-over of equatorial plasma bubbles well north from their habitual. We study the occurrence of small- and medium-scale irregularities in the North Atlantic Eastern Mediterranean mid- and low-latitudinal zone by analysing the amplitude of the scintillation index S4 and rate of total electron content index (ROTI) measurements during this storm. In addition, large-scale perturbations of the ionospheric electron density were studied using ground and space-borne instruments, thus characterising a complex perturbation behaviour over the region mentioned above. The involvement of large-scale structures is emphasised by the usage of innovative approaches such as the ground-based gradient ionosphere index (GIX) and electron density and total electron content gradients derived from Swarm satellite data. The multi-source data allow us to characterise the impact of irregularities of different scales to better understand the ionospheric dynamics and stress the importance of proper monitoring of the ionosphere in the studied region.

We present high‐resolution simulation results of the response of the ionosphere/plasmasphere system to the 15 January 2022 Tonga volcanic eruption. We use the coupled Sami3 is Also a Model of the Ionosphere ionosphere/plasmasphere model and the HIgh Altitude Mechanistic general Circulation Model whole atmosphere model with primary atmospheric gravity wave effects from the Model for gravity wavE SOurces, Ray trAcing and reConstruction model. We find that the Tonga eruption produced a “super” equatorial plasma bubble (EPB) extending ∼30° in longitude and up to 500 km in altitude with a density depletion of 3 orders of magnitude. We also found a “train” of EPBs developed and extended over the longitude range 150°–200° and that two EPBs reached altitudes over 4,000 km. The primary cause of this behavior is the significant modification of the zonal neutral wind caused by the atmospheric disturbance associated with the eruption, and the subsequent modification of the dynamo electric field. Plain Language Summary The Hunga Tonga‐Hunga Ha’apai volcanic eruption occurred on 15 January 2022 at 04:14 UT and generated a massive atmospheric disturbance that caused major effects in the ionosphere worldwide. Using a high‐resolution coupled ionosphere/thermosphere model we show that the changes in the thermospheric winds strongly modified the electrodynamics of the ionosphere. This led to the development of a “train” of equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs), regions of very low electron density, in the western Pacific sector. Moreover, two EPBs reached unusually high altitudes, over 4,000 km. Key Points Modeling of the Tonga volcanic eruption show equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) develop in the Pacific sector A large equatorial bubble formed below 500 km roughly 30° in longitude EPBs rose to very high altitudes (>4,000 km)

We report results from a self‐consistent global simulation model in which a large‐scale equatorial plasma bubble (EPB) forms during a midnight temperature maximum (MTM). The global model comprises the ionospheric code SAMI3 and the atmosphere/thermosphere code WACCM‐X. We consider solar minimum conditions for the month of August. We show that an EPB forms during an MTM in the Pacific sector and is caused by equatorward neutral wind flows. Although this is consistent with the theoretical result that a meridional neutral wind (V) with a negative gradient (∂V/∂θ < 0) is a destabilizing influence [Huba & Krall, 2013, https://doi.org/10.1002/grl.50292] (where a northward meridional neutral wind V is positive and θ is the latitude and increases in the northward direction), we find that the primary cause of the EPB is the large decrease in the Pedersen conductance caused by the equatorward winds. Plain Language Summary The equatorial ionosphere often develops electron density irregularities at night in the altitude range 300–1,000 km. This phenomenon is known as equatorial spread F. A leading candidate to explain the generation of these irregularities is the generalized Rayleigh‐Taylor instability (GRTI). The phenomenon usually occurs after sunset but under certain conditions it can occur around midnight. In this paper, using the coupled ionosphere/thermosphere model SAMI3/WACCM‐X, we show that it can occur during a midnight temperature maximum where the neutral thermosphere temperature increases near the equator. This is associated with equatorward neutral wind flows that change the conductance of the ionosphere and leads to an increase in the growth rate of the GRTI and the development of a large equatorial plasma bubble. Key Points An equatorial plasma bubble can develop during a midnight temperature maximum in the ionosphere Equatorward winds reduce the Pedersen conductance that enhances the growth rate of the generalized Rayleigh‐Taylor instability The results are based on the coupled ionosphere/thermosphere model SAMI3/WACCM‐X

Equatorial plasma irregularities in the ionospheric F‐region proliferate after sunset, causing the most apparent radio scintillation “hot‐spot” in geospace. These irregularities are caused by plasma instabilities, and appear mostly in the form of under‐densities that rise up from the F‐region's bottomside. After an irregularity production peak at sunset, the amplitude of the resulting turbulence decays with time. Analyzing a large database of irregularity spectra observed by one of the European Space Agency's Swarm satellites, we have applied a novel but conceptually simple statistical analysis to the data, finding that turbulence in the F‐region tends to decay with a uniform, scale‐independent rate, thereby confirming and extending the results from an earlier case study. We find evidence for two regimes, one valid post‐sunset (1.4 hr decay rate) and one valid post‐midnight (2.6 hr). Our results should be of utility for large‐scale space weather modeling efforts that are unable to resolve turbulent effects. Plain Language Summary After sunset in the equatorial region of Earth, GPS devices frequently experience service interruption due to space weather. The signal disruptions that cause these interruptions are in turn caused by plasma turbulence in Earth’s ionosphere, a layer of ionized gas that covers Earth like a blanket of electrical currents. The growth of such turbulence has been studied for decades, but little is still known about how such plasma irregularity structures decay with time. We elucidate the topic, showing that turbulence cause structures to decay at the same rate regardless of size. This important result will have consequences for large‐scale space weather modeling efforts, since such models rarely have the capability to resolve turbulence. Turbulence is an enigmatic chaotic behavior often that is often present in astrophysical processes, but also on Earth’s oceans and in its atmosphere. Key Points Turbulence forces equatorial irregularities to decay with a scale‐independent rate Equatorial irregularities of scale‐sizes between 500 m and 75 km are not dissipating by chemical recombination or perfect ambipolar diffusion Decay rates depend on solar local time, with post‐sunset decay rates around 1.4 hr, increasing to 2.6 hr post‐midnight

From airglow OI 630 nm observations in the low-latitude ionosphere, we identified an enhancement in the emission rate inside Equatorial Plasma Bubbles (EPBs) on certain occasions after local midnight during equinox seasons. On the night of 7–8 October 2021, an all-sky imager, operated at Bom Jesus da Lapa (BJL) (13.3°S, 43.5°W, dip 14.1°S), observed a dark plasma bubble transitioning into a bright one owing to an enhancement of the OI 630 nm emission rate, a phenomenon we refer to as a “White Bubble” (WhB). Prior to the appearance of the WhB, the imager detected a Midnight Brightness Wave (MBW) rapidly moving southward from the equator. Concurrently, a downward movement of the F-layer’s height was observed at Cachoeira Paulista (22.7°S, 45.0°W, dip 18.1°S). The WhB extended equatorward when the EPB’s eastward drift speed increased. Similar WhBs were observed on seven nights during 2021–2022. These observations suggest that the MBW interacted with the EPB, causing plasma depletion within the EPB to be filled, ultimately generating a WhB. Graphical Abstract Plain language summary Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) are regions of reduced electron density in the equatorial ionosphere that extend along the geomagnetic meridian and can stretch thousands of kilometers north to south during the nighttime. These structures can be observed using an all-sky monochromatic imager that captures oxygen airglow at 630 nm. In images, EPBs typically appear as dark bands. On certain occasions, we observed a transition where a dark EPB turned into a bright structure, indicating an increase in electron density within the bubble. We refer to this phenomenon as a “White Bubble” (WhB). While this phenomenon is uncommon, it occurs during equinox seasons. Further observational evidence and simulations are needed to understand its underlying mechanisms.

Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) can cause rapid fluctuations in amplitude and phase of radio signals traversing the ionosphere and in turn produce serious ionospheric scintillations and disrupt satellite-based communication links. Whereas numerous studies on the generation and evolution of EPBs have been performed, the prediction of EPB and ionospheric scintillation occurrences still remains unresolved. The generalized Rayleigh–Taylor (R–T) instability has been widely accepted as the physical mechanism responsible for the generation of EPBs. But how the factors, which seed the development of R–T instability and control the dynamics of EPBs and resultant ionospheric scintillations, change on a short-term basis are not clear. In the East and Southeast Asia, there exist significant differences in the generation rates of EPBs at closely located stations, for example, Kototabang (0.2°S, 100.3°E) and Sanya (18.3°N, 109.6°E), indicating that the decorrelation distance of EPB generation is small (hundreds of kilometers) in longitude. In contrast, after the initial generation of EPBs at one longitude, they can drift zonally more than 2000 km and extend from the magnetic equator to middle latitudes of 40° or higher under some conditions. These features make it difficult to identify the possible seeding sources for the EPBs and to accurately predict their occurrence, especially when the onset locations of EPBs are far outside the observation sector. This paper presents a review on the current knowledge of EPBs and ionospheric scintillations in the East and Southeast Asia, including their generation mechanism and occurrence morphology, and discusses some unresolved issues related to their short-term forecasting, including (1) what factors control the generation of EPBs, its day-to-day variability and storm-time behavior, (2) what factors control the evolution and lifetime of EPBs, and (3) how to accurately determine ionospheric scintillation from EPB measurements. Special focus is given to the whole process of the EPB generation, development and disruption. The current observing capabilities, future new facilities and campaign observations in the East and Southeast Asia in helping to better understand the short-term variability of EPBs and ionospheric scintillations are outlined.

We report results from a global simulation of the September 2017 geomagnetic storm. The global model comprises the ionospheric code SAMI3 and the atmosphere/thermosphere code WACCM‐X. We show that a train of large‐scale EPBs form in the Pacific sector during the storm recovery phase on 8 September 2017. The EPBs are associated with storm‐induced modification of the zonal and meridional winds. These changes lead to an eastward electric field which in turn causes an upward E × B drift in the post‐midnight sector. A large decrease in the Pedersen conductance caused by meridional equatorward winds leads to an increase in the growth rate of the generalized Rayleigh‐Taylor instability that causes EPBs to develop. Interestingly, several EPBs reach altitudes above 3,000 km. Plain Language Summary The uppermost layer of the atmosphere, the thermosphere, is heated at high latitudes during geomagnetic storms by energy inputs from the magnetosphere. This heating significantly modulates the thermosphere winds on a global scale that results in the modification of the electrodynamics of the ionosphere at low‐ to mid‐latitudes. Using the coupled SAMI3/WACCM‐X model, we show that equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) (large‐scale depletions of the electron density in the ionosphere) can develop because of these stormtime changes to the winds and electric field. This is significant because EPBs can adversely impact space‐based communication and navigation systems by degrading the reception of electromagnetic signals that pass through them. Key Points Stormtime modulation of the zonal and meridional winds increase the eastward electric field at night in the Pacific sector Equatorial plasma bubbles subsequently develop in the Pacific sector during the September 2017 storm on September 8 Several equatorial plasma bubbles rise to over 3,000 km with upward velocities exceeding 300 m/s

Scintillation due to ionospheric plasma irregularities remains a challenging task for the space science community as it can severely threaten the dynamic systems relying on space-based navigation services. In the present paper, we probe the ionospheric current and plasma irregularity characteristics from a latitudinal arrangement of magnetometers and Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations from the equator to the far low latitude location over the Indian longitudes, during the severe space weather events of 6–10 September 2017 that are associated with the strongest and consecutive solar flares in the 24th solar cycle. The night-time influence of partial ring current signatures in ASYH and the daytime influence of the disturbances in the ionospheric E region electric currents (Diono) are highlighted during the event. The total electron content (TEC) from the latitudinal GNSS observables indicate a perturbed equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) condition on 7 September, due to a sequence of M-class solar flares and associated prompt penetration electric fields (PPEFs), whereas the suppressed EIA on 8 September with an inverted equatorial electrojet (EEJ) suggests the driving disturbance dynamo electric current (Ddyn) corresponding to disturbance dynamo electric fields (DDEFs) penetration in the E region and additional contributions from the plausible storm-time compositional changes (O/N2) in the F-region. The concurrent analysis of the Diono and EEJ strengths help in identifying the pre-reversal effect (PRE) condition to seed the development of equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) during the local evening sector on the storm day. The severity of ionospheric irregularities at different latitudes is revealed from the occurrence rate of the rate of change of TEC index (ROTI) variations. Further, the investigations of the hourly maximum absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) of ROTI from the reference quiet days’ levels and the timestamps of ROTI peak magnitudes substantiate the severity, latitudinal time lag in the peak of irregularity, and poleward expansion of EPBs and associated scintillations. The key findings from this study strengthen the understanding of evolution and the drifting characteristics of plasma irregularities over the Indian low latitudes.

This study develops a new Bubble Index to quantify the intensity of 2-D postsunset equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) in the American/Atlantic sector, using Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) nighttime data. A climatology and day-to-day variability analysis of EPBs is conducted based on the newly-derived Bubble Index with the following results: (a) EPBs show considerable seasonal and solar activity dependence, with stronger (weaker) intensity around December (June) solstice and high (low) solar activity years. (b) EPBs exhibit opposite geomagnetic activity dependencies during different storm phases: EPBs are intensified concurrently with an increasing Kp, but are suppressed with high Kp occurring 3–6 hr earlier. (c) For the first time, we found that EPBs' day-to-day variation exhibited quasi-3-day and quasi-6-day periods. A coordinated analysis of Ionospheric Connection Explorer (ICON) winds and ionosonde data suggests that this multi-day periodicity was related to the planetary wave modulation through the wind-driven dynamo.

Equatorial plasma bubbles (EPBs) have long been studied and are becoming increasingly important because they cause severe scintillations in radio waves from Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) satellites. In this review paper EPBs and their characteristics like generation mechanism, initial perturbation, occurrence variability, zonal drift velocity, vertical rise velocity, coupling with zonal neutral winds and secondary instabilities are thoroughly reviewed, and future aspects are discussed.