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35 result(s) for "humidex"
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Analyzing temperature, humidity, and precipitation trends in six regions of Thailand using innovative trend analysis
The change of temperature and weather parameters is a major concern affecting sustainable development and impacting various sectors, such as agriculture, tourism, and industry. Changing weather patterns and their impact on water resources are important climatic factors that society is facing. In Thailand, climatological features such as ambient temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation play a substantial role in affecting extreme weather events, which cause damage to the economy, agriculture, tourism, and livelihood of people. To investigate recent serious changes in annual trends of temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation in Thailand, this study used the Mann–Kendall (MK) test and innovative trend analysis (ITA) methods. The MK test showed that all six regions had an upward trend in temperature and humidity index (humidex, how hot the weather feels to the average person), while relative humidity and precipitation showed both upward and downward trends across different regions. The ITA method further confirmed the upward trend in temperature and humidex and showed that most data points fell above the 1:1 line. However, the upward trend in most variables was not significant at the 5% level. The southern and eastern regions showed a significant upward trend in relative humidity and humidex at a 5% level of significance according to the MK test. The output of this study can help in the understanding of weather variations and predict future situations and can be used for adaptation strategies.
Investigation of Spatio–Temporal Changes in Land Use and Heat Stress Indices over Jaipur City Using Geospatial Techniques
Heat waves are expected to intensify around the globe in the future, with a potential increase in heat stress and heat-induced mortality in the absence of adaptation measures. India has high current exposure to heat waves, and with limited adaptive capacity, impacts of increased heat waves might be quite severe. This paper presents a comparative analysis of urban heat stress/heatwaves by combining temperature and vapour pressure through two heat stress indices, i.e., Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) and humidex index. For the years 1970–2000 (historical) and 2041–2060 (future), these two indicators were estimated in Jaipur. Another goal of this research is to better understand Jaipur land use changes and urban growth. For the land use study, Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI satellite data from the years 1993, 2010, and 2015 were examined. During the research period, urban settlement increased and the majority of open land is converted to urban settlements. In the coming term, all months except three, namely July to September, have seen an increase in the WBGT index values; however, these months are classified as dangerous. Humidex’s historical value has been 21.4, but in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, it will rise to 25.5 and 27.3, respectively, and slip into the danger and extreme danger categories. The NDVI and SAVI indices are also used to assess the city’s condition during various periods of heat stress. The findings suggest that people’s discomfort levels will rise in the future, making it difficult for them to work outside and engage in their usual activities.
Unprecedented Human‐Perceived Heat Stress in 2021 Summer Over Western North America: Increasing Intensity and Frequency in a Warming Climate
The unprecedented 2021 June‐July heatwave in Western North America resulted in record‐breaking human‐perceived heat stress across the region, measured by the humidex considering both air temperature and humidity. During extended summer (June‐September), both 95th percentiles of daily maximum humidex (HX95) and air temperature (TX95) have increased over the 1940–2022 period, with even faster intensification in the last two decades (2001–2022). HX95 has increased more than TX95 because of the positive monotonic nonlinear relationship between humidex and air temperature at a given level of relative humidity. The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5) projects a larger increase in human‐perceived heat stress than air temperature across the region under low to high emission scenarios (HX95 increases 4.40–7.04°C and TX95 increases 2.92–4.65°C between 1981–2010 and 2041–2060). Moreover, CanESM5 projects significant increases in the frequency of HX and TX conditions that exceed the levels reached in 2021 under intermediate and high emission scenarios. Plain Language Summary Using humidex, a measure that combines air temperature and humidity, we assessed the human‐perceived heat stress during the record‐breaking 2021 summer heatwave in Western North America. The 2021 heatwave broke records for both air temperature and humidex, and these two measures have been increasing in the past decades. The heatwave was drier than usual due to high pressure in the atmosphere, clear skies, and more heat warming up the air instead of evaporating water. Humidex will rise more than air temperature under various emission scenarios, making people feel even hotter in the region. The climate model used suggests that humidex values and temperatures that exceed the levels observed in 2021 will happen much more often and be much more intense across the region in the future, with estimates of three to ten times for humidex and two to seven times for air temperature more frequent under intermediate to high emission scenarios by the end of the century. However, the likelihood of extreme humidex in dry conditions, as observed in 2021, will remain low, like historical levels. Key Points Unprecedented 2021 heatwave in Western North America resulted in record‐breaking human‐perceived heat stress, considering both air temperature and humidity Extreme human‐perceived heat stress increased at a faster rate than extreme air temperature, both showing rapid increases in recent decades For events exceeding 2021 level, a larger future increase in extreme human‐perceived heat stress is projected compared to air temperature
Lack of vegetation exacerbates exposure to dangerous heat in dense settlements in a tropical African city
Both climate change and rapid urbanization accelerate exposure to heat in the city of Kampala, Uganda. From a network of low-cost temperature and humidity sensors, operational in 2018–2019, we derive the daily mean, minimum and maximum Humidex in order to quantify and explain intra-urban heat stress variation. This temperature-humidity index is shown to be heterogeneously distributed over the city, with a daily mean intra-urban Humidex Index deviation of 1.2 ∘ C on average. The largest difference between the coolest and the warmest station occurs between 16:00 and 17:00 local time. Averaged over the whole observation period, this daily maximum difference is 6.4 ∘ C between the warmest and coolest stations, and reaches 14.5 ∘ C on the most extreme day. This heat stress heterogeneity also translates to the occurrence of extreme heat, shown in other parts of the world to put local populations at risk of great discomfort or health danger. One station in a dense settlement reports a daily maximum Humidex Index of > 40  ∘ C in 68% of the observation days, a level which was never reached at the nearby campus of the Makerere University, and only a few times at the city outskirts. Large intra-urban heat stress differences are explained by satellite earth observation products. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index has the highest (75%) power to predict the intra-urban variations in daily mean heat stress, but strong collinearity is found with other variables like impervious surface fraction and population density. Our results have implications for urban planning on the one hand, highlighting the importance of urban greening, and risk management on the other hand, recommending the use of a temperature-humidity index and accounting for large intra-urban heat stress variations and heat-prone districts in urban heat action plans for tropical humid cities.
Comparison of two distinct leading modes in the variability of summer humidex and temperature heatwaves over North America
Continuous hot and humid conditions pose greater health risks than heat alone, making it crucial to distinguish between temperature-driven and humidity-amplified heat stress. The variability of monthly humidex and temperature heatwaves over North America (NA) is compared for extended summers (June-September) from 1951 to 2022. Two distinct leading modes are identified for both humidex and temperature heatwaves over NA using empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis, collectively explaining 31% and 27% of total variance, respectively. These two leading modes, exhibiting a phase shift due to their orthogonality, are associated with large-scale atmospheric wave trains extending from the North Pacific to NA. This results in atmospheric pressure anomalies across the continent, driving notable differences in the variability of both heatwaves over NA. Atmospheric moisture transported from the North Pacific to NA also affects the development of both heatwaves, with more pronounced moisture anomalies observed for humidex heatwaves, highlighting a key distinction in the large-scale atmospheric circulation between humidex and temperature heatwaves. Positive phases of both heatwaves are associated with an anticyclonic anomaly, which leads to anomalous descent, reduced total cloud cover, above-normal surface radiation heating, and below-normal surface relative humidity over NA. Atmospheric moisture acts as a greenhouse gas to absorb longwave radiation, leading to increased downward longwave radiation. However, these physical processes exhibit weaker feedback with humidex heatwave variability across the two distinct modes, indicating the complexity of these interactions involving intensified cloud cover, surface humidity, and latent heat release due to significant atmospheric moisture injected into the regions of NA.
Impacts of exposure to humidex on cardiovascular mortality: a multi-city study in Southwest China
Background Many studies have reported the association between ambient temperature and mortality from cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, the health effects of humidity are still unclear, much less the combined effects of temperature and humidity. In this study, we used humidex to quantify the effect of temperature and humidity combined on CVD mortality. Methods Daily meteorological, air pollution, and CVD mortality data were collected in four cities in southwest China. We used a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) in the first stage to assess the exposure–response association between humidex and city-specific CVD mortality. A multivariate meta-analysis was conducted in the second stage to pool these effects at the overall level. To evaluate the mortality burden of high and low humidex, we determined the attributable fraction (AF). According to the abovementioned processes, stratified analyses were conducted based on various demographic factors. Results Humidex and the CVD exposure–response curve showed an inverted “J” shape, the minimum mortality humidex (MMH) was 31.7 (77th percentile), and the cumulative relative risk (CRR) was 2.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.76–2.91). At extremely high and low humidex, CRRs were 1.19 (95% CI, 0.98–1.44) and 2.52 (95% CI, 1.88–3.38), respectively. The burden of CVD mortality attributed to non-optimal humidex was 21.59% (95% empirical CI [eCI], 18.12–24.59%), most of which was due to low humidex, with an AF of 20.16% (95% eCI, 16.72–23.23%). Conclusions Low humidex could significantly increase the risk of CVD mortality, and vulnerability to humidex differed across populations with different demographic characteristics. The elderly (> 64 years old), unmarried people, and those with a limited level of education (1–9 years) were especially susceptible to low humidex. Therefore, humidex is appropriate as a predictor in a CVD early-warning system.
A case-crossover study of heat exposure and injury risk among outdoor construction workers in Washington State
Objectives The primary objective of this study was to assess the relationship between heat exposure and occupational traumatic injuries among construction workers. Methods We assessed the relationship between humidex, a measure of apparent temperature, and Washington State Fund workers' compensation injuries among outdoor construction workers using a case-crossover design with time-stratified referent selection. Warm month (March-October) adult outdoor construction traumatic injury claims from 2000-2012 were spatiotemporally joined with high-resolution meteorological data. We used conditional logistic regression with linear splines to assess the association between maximum daily humidex and injuries. Results There were 63 720 occupational traumatic injury claims in construction that met our eligibility criteria during the study period. The traumatic injury odds ratio (OR) was 1.005 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.003-1.007] per one °C change in humidex. In the spline analyses, we observed a nearly linear association of humidex with the risk of a traumatic injury. Effect estimates were higher among younger (18-24 years) and older (>54 years) workers, workers with lower extremity injuries, workers with less job experience, smaller employers, workers working in Western Washington, and time of injury before 12:30 hours, although CI of effect estimates overlapped in stratified analysis categories. Conclusions In this study of Washington outdoor construction workers, increasing maximum daily humidex was associated with increasing traumatic injury risk. Further work should explore mechanisms of the association between heat exposure and traumatic injuries. Injury prevention efforts targeted at construction should address heat-related risk factors. In addition, heat awareness campaigns should address outcomes beyond heat-related illness.
The association between humidex and tuberculosis: a two-stage modelling nationwide study in China
Background Under a changing climate, the joint effects of temperature and relative humidity on tuberculosis (TB) are poorly understood. To address this research gap, we conducted a time-series study to explore the joint effects of temperature and relative humidity on TB incidence in China, considering potential modifiers. Methods Weekly data on TB cases and meteorological factors in 22 cities across mainland China between 2011 and 2020 were collected. The proxy indicator for the combined exposure levels of temperature and relative humidity, Humidex, was calculated. First, a quasi-Poisson regression with the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was constructed to examine the city-specific associations between humidex and TB incidence. Second, a multivariate meta-regression model was used to pool the city-specific effect estimates, and to explore the potential effect modifiers. Results A total of 849,676 TB cases occurred in the 22 cities between 2011 and 2020. Overall, a conspicuous J-shaped relationship between humidex and TB incidence was discerned. Specifically, a decrease in humidex was positively correlated with an increased risk of TB incidence, with a maximum relative risk (RR) of 1.40 (95% CI: 1.11–1.76). The elevated RR of TB incidence associated with low humidex (5th humidex) appeared on week 3 and could persist until week 13, with a peak at approximately week 5 (RR: 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05). The effects of low humidex on TB incidence vary by Natural Growth Rate (NGR) levels. Conclusion A J-shaped exposure-response association existed between humidex and TB incidence in China. Humidex may act as a better predictor to forecast TB incidence compared to temperature and relative humidity alone, especially in regions with higher NGRs.
Impact of seasonal biometeorological conditions and particulate matter on asthma and COPD hospital admissions
Climate change and air pollution are pressing public health concerns, necessitating monitoring of their impact, particularly on respiratory diseases like obstructive lung diseases. This retrospective study analyzed medical records of patients hospitalized at the Warmia and Mazury Centre for Pulmonary Diseases in Olsztyn, Poland (2012–2021) for asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations. Data included meteorological factors such as temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation, and levels of PM2.5 and PM10. The Humidex was utilized to assess thermal discomfort, considering various meteorological and thermal seasons. Findings indicated seasonal variability in asthma and COPD exacerbations. During winter, poorer air quality due to higher PM2.5 and PM10 levels correlated with increased exacerbations ( r  = 0.283, p  < 0.05; r  = 0.491, p  < 0.001). In summer, discomfort from meteorological conditions led to more hospital admissions. Humidex values strongly correlated with admissions for obstructive diseases (R 2 = 0.956 for asthma; R 2 = 0.659 for COPD), with July and August showing statistically higher admission rates ( p  < 0.05). The study highlights the significant impact of air pollution and meteorological conditions on exacerbations of asthma and COPD, with Humidex serving as a valuable predictor during summer months.
An assessment of WRF-urban schemes in simulating local meteorology for heat stress analysis in a tropical sub-Saharan African city, Lagos, Nigeria
Megacities, such as Lagos, Nigeria, face significant challenges due to rapid urbanization and climate change, resulting in a higher intensity of the urban heat island effect, coupled with high population density, making the city fall under the category of moderate to high heat stress/risk. Despite this, very few studies have analyzed the urban impact on heat stress over the coastal city, albeit with poor resolution data. In this study, we assessed the performance of an integrated high-resolution WRF-urban scheme driven by the readily available urban canopy information of the local climate zone (LCZ) to simulate local meteorological data for analyzing the spatiotemporal pattern of heat stress over the megacity. Our results show that the WRF-BEP scheme outperformed the other evaluated urban schemes, reducing the normalized root mean squared error by 25%. Furthermore, using humidex, we found a generally high incidence of intense discomfort in highly urbanized areas and noted the significant influence of urban morphology on the pattern of heat stress, particularly at night due to the combined effect of urban warming and higher relative humidity. The most socioeconomically disadvantaged urban areas, LCZ7, were most affected, with “hot” heat stress conditions observed over 90% of the time. However, during the afternoon, we found reduced heat stress in the core urban areas which might be due to the shading effect and/or cold air advection. Our findings would be relevant in the development of the urgently needed climate/heat adaptation plans for the city and other sub-Saharan African cities.