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15,084 result(s) for "hydrologic data"
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Curating 62 Years of Walnut Gulch Experimental Watershed Data: Improving the Quality of Long-Term Rainfall and Runoff Datasets
The curation of hydrologic data includes quality control, documentation, database development, and provisions for public access. This article describes the development of new quality control procedures for experimental watersheds like the Walnut Gulch Experimental Watersheds (WGEW). WGEW is a 149 km2 watershed outdoor hydrologic laboratory equipped with a dense network of hydro-climatic instruments since the 1950s. To improve data accuracy from the constantly growing instrumentation networks in numerous experimental watersheds, we developed five new QAQC tools based on fundamental hydrologic principles. The tools include visual analysis of interpolated rainfall maps and evaluating temporal, spatial, and quantitative relationships between paired rainfall-runoff events, including runoff lag time, runoff coefficients, multiple regression, and association methods. The methods identified questionable rainfall and runoff observations in the WGEW database that were not usually captured by the existing QAQC procedures. The new tools were evaluated and confirmed using existing metadata, paper charts, and graphical visualization tools. It was found that 13% of the days (n = 780) with rainfall and 7% of the runoff events sampled had errors. Omitting these events improved the quality and reliability of the WGEW dataset for hydrologic modeling and analyses. This indicated the effectiveness of application of conventional hydrologic relations to improve the QAQC strategy for experimental watershed datasets.
HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTS AND PROJECTIONS FOR IMPROVED DECISION-MAKING IN THE WATER SECTOR IN EUROPE
Simulations of water fluxes at high spatial resolution that consistently cover historical observations, seasonal forecasts, and future climate projections are key to providing climate services aimed at supporting operational and strategic planning, and developing mitigation and adaptation policies. The End-to-end Demonstrator for improved decision-making in the water sector in Europe (EDgE) is a proof-of-concept project funded by the Copernicus Climate Change Service program that addresses these requirements by combining a multimodel ensemble of state-of-the-art climate model outputs and hydrological models to deliver sectoral climate impact indicators (SCIIs) codesigned with private and public water sector stakeholders from three contrasting European countries. The final product of EDgE is a water-oriented information system implemented through a web application. Here, we present the underlying structure of the EDgE modeling chain, which is composed of four phases: 1) climate data processing, 2) hydrological modeling, 3) stakeholder codesign and SCII estimation, and 4) uncertainty and skill assessments. Daily temperature and precipitation from observational datasets, four climate models for seasonal forecasts, and five climate models under two emission scenarios are consistently downscaled to 5-km spatial resolution to ensure locally relevant simulations based on four hydrological models. The consis­tency of the hydrological models is guaranteed by using identical input data for land surface parameterizations. The multimodel outputs are composed of 65 years of historical observations, a 19-yr ensemble of seasonal hindcasts, and a century-long ensemble of climate impact projections. These unique, high-resolution hydroclimatic simulations and SCIIs provide an unprecedented information system for decision-making over Europe and can serve as a template for water-related climate services in other regions.
Why does a conceptual hydrological model fail to correctly predict discharge changes in response to climate change?
Several studies have shown that hydrological models do not perform well when applied to periods with climate conditions that differ from those during model calibration. This has important implications for the application of these models in climate change impact studies. The causes of the low transferability to changed climate conditions have, however, only been investigated in a few studies. Here we revisit a study in Austria that demonstrated the inability of a conceptual semi-distributed HBV-type model to simulate the observed discharge response to increases in precipitation and air temperature. The aim of the paper is to shed light on the reasons for these model problems. We set up hypotheses for the possible causes of the mismatch between the observed and simulated changes in discharge and evaluate these using simulations with modifications of the model. In the baseline model, trends of simulated and observed discharge over 1978–2013 differ, on average over all 156 catchments, by 95±50 mm yr−1 per 35 years. Accounting for variations in vegetation dynamics, as derived from a satellite-based vegetation index, in the calculation of reference evaporation explains 36±9 mm yr−1 per 35 years of the differences between the trends in simulated and observed discharge. Inhomogeneities in the precipitation data, caused by a variable number of stations, explain 39±26 mm yr−1 per 35 years of this difference. Extending the calibration period from 5 to 25 years, including annually aggregated discharge data or snow cover data in the objective function, or estimating evaporation with the Penman–Monteith instead of the Blaney–Criddle approach has little influence on the simulated discharge trends (5 mm yr−1 per 35 years or less). The precipitation data problem highlights the importance of using precipitation data based on a stationary input station network when studying hydrologic changes. The model structure problem with respect to vegetation dynamics is likely relevant for a wide spectrum of regions in a transient climate and has important implications for climate change impact studies.
CNRD v1.0
Reliable, spatiotemporally continuous runoff records are necessary for identifying climate change impacts and planning effective water management strategies. Existing Chinese runoff data to date have been produced from sparse, poor-quality gauge measurements at different time scales. We have developed a new, quality-controlled gridded runoff dataset, the China Natural Runoff Dataset version 1.0 (CNRD v1.0), which provides daily, monthly, and annual 0.25° runoff estimates for the period 1961–2018 over China. CNRD v1.0 was generated using the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model. A comprehensive parameter uncertainty analysis framework incorporating parameter sensitivity analysis, optimization, and regionalization with 200 natural or near-natural gauge catchments was used to train the VIC model. Overall, the results show well-calibrated parameters for most gauged catchments except arid and semiarid areas, and the skill scores present high values for all catchments. For the pseudo-/test-ungauged catchments, the model parameters estimated by the multiscale parameter regionalization technique offer the best regionalization solution. CNRD v1.0 is the first free public dataset of gridded natural runoff estimated using a comprehensive model parameter uncertainty analysis framework for China. These results indicate that CNRD v1.0 has high potential for application to long-term hydrological and climate studies in China and to improve international runoff databases for global-scale studies.
Harnessing Generative Deep Learning for Enhanced Ensemble Data Assimilation
Hydrologic modeling faces challenges due to various sources of uncertainty, the inherent nonlinearity, and high dimensionality of Earth systems. Data assimilation (DA) methods are known to improve the accuracy and account for uncertainties in modeling; however, they may be limited by restrictive assumptions about error distributions and challenges associated with updating model prognostic variables, hence, representing the posterior distributions. To address these challenges, we present a new hydrologic DA method inspired by the similarities in theoretical backgrounds of DA and generative deep learning. The proposed Hydrologic Generative Ensemble Data Assimilation (HydroGEnDA) leverages deep learning‐based autoencoders, and deep generative modeling to perform DA in a unified latent space and finally a resampling method in physical space. The HydroGEnDA benefits from an autoencoder that transforms data to a latent space and a generative model that learns the underlying distribution of model states, then conditioning the sampling from this distribution to the observed data. Finally, resampling in physical space further improves the performance of the DA method. The HydroGEnDA involves an offline training stage without relying on observations, utilizing hydrologic model outputs instead to train the deep learning models. Following the training stage, the inference stage assimilates observed data to update the states. The method is tested through several synthetic experiments with varying observation noise levels with the Lorenz‐63 model, as well as real hydrologic case studies using the coupled SNOW‐17 and SAC‐SMA models across diverse watersheds. The results demonstrate that the HydroGEnDA outperforms previous DA methods in both experiments.
TPHiPr: a long-term (1979–2020) high-accuracy precipitation dataset (1∕30°, daily) for the Third Pole region based on high-resolution atmospheric modeling and dense observations
Reliable precipitation data are highly necessary for geoscience research in the Third Pole (TP) region but still lacking, due to the complex terrain and high spatial variability of precipitation here. Accordingly, this study produces a long-term (1979–2020) high-resolution (1/30∘, daily) precipitation dataset (TPHiPr) for the TP by merging the atmospheric simulation-based ERA5_CNN with gauge observations from more than 9000 rain gauges, using the climatologically aided interpolation and random forest methods. Validation shows that TPHiPr is generally unbiased and has a root mean square error of 5.0 mm d−1, a correlation of 0.76 and a critical success index of 0.61 with respect to 197 independent rain gauges in the TP, demonstrating that this dataset is remarkably better than the widely used datasets, including the latest generation of reanalysis (ERA5-Land), the state-of-the-art satellite-based dataset (IMERG) and the multi-source merging datasets (MSWEP v2 and AERA5-Asia). Moreover, TPHiPr can better detect precipitation extremes compared with these widely used datasets. Overall, this study provides a new precipitation dataset with high accuracy for the TP, which may have broad applications in meteorological, hydrological and ecological studies. The produced dataset can be accessed via https://doi.org/10.11888/Atmos.tpdc.272763 (Yang and Jiang, 2022).
The New Version 3.2 Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly and Daily Precipitation Products
The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Version 3.2 Precipitation Analysis provides globally complete analyses of surface precipitation on a 0.5° × 0.5° latitude–longitude grid at both monthly and daily time scales, covering from 1983 to the present and from June 2000 to the present, respectively. These merged products continue the GPCP heritage of incorporating precipitation estimates from low-orbit satellite microwave data, geosynchronous-orbit satellite infrared data, sounder-based estimates, and surface rain gauge observations emphasizing the strengths of various inputs and striving for time and space homogeneity. Furthermore, these analyses incorporate modern algorithms, refined intercalibrations among sensors, climatologies of recent high-quality satellite precipitation data, and fine-scale multisatellite estimates. New data fields have been introduced to better characterize the precipitation, including the fraction of the precipitation that is liquid (rain) in both the monthly and daily products, and a quality index for the monthly product. Compared to the operational GPCP Version 2.3 Monthly, the Version 3.2 Monthly product provides a more reasonable climatology in the Southern Ocean and increases the estimated global average precipitation by about 4.5%, which is similar to estimates from recent global water budget assessments. Global and regional trends for 1983–2020 with this new Monthly dataset are very similar to those computed from Version 2.3. Compared to the operational One-Degree Daily (Version 1.3) product, the new Version 3.2 Daily is designed to better represent the histogram of precipitation rates, particularly at high values and shifts the start of less-certain high-latitude estimates from 40° to 58° latitude in each hemisphere.
Suitability of 17 gridded rainfall and temperature datasets for large-scale hydrological modelling in West Africa
This study evaluates the ability of different gridded rainfall datasets to plausibly represent the spatio-temporal patterns of multiple hydrological processes (i.e. streamflow, actual evaporation, soil moisture and terrestrial water storage) for large-scale hydrological modelling in the predominantly semi-arid Volta River basin (VRB) in West Africa. Seventeen precipitation products based essentially on gauge-corrected satellite data (TAMSAT, CHIRPS, ARC, RFE, MSWEP, GSMaP, PERSIANN-CDR, CMORPH-CRT, TRMM 3B42 and TRMM 3B42RT) and on reanalysis (ERA5, PGF, EWEMBI, WFDEI-GPCC, WFDEI-CRU, MERRA-2 and JRA-55) are compared as input for the fully distributed mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM). To assess the model sensitivity to meteorological forcing during rainfall partitioning into evaporation and runoff, six different temperature reanalysis datasets are used in combination with the precipitation datasets, which results in evaluating 102 combinations of rainfall–temperature input data. The model is recalibrated for each of the 102 input combinations, and the model responses are evaluated by using in situ streamflow data and satellite remote-sensing datasets from GLEAM evaporation, ESA CCI soil moisture and GRACE terrestrial water storage. A bias-insensitive metric is used to assess the impact of meteorological forcing on the simulation of the spatial patterns of hydrological processes. The results of the process-based evaluation show that the rainfall datasets have contrasting performances across the four climatic zones present in the VRB. The top three best-performing rainfall datasets are TAMSAT, CHIRPS and PERSIANN-CDR for streamflow; ARC, RFE and CMORPH-CRT for terrestrial water storage; MERRA-2, EWEMBI/WFDEI-GPCC and PGF for the temporal dynamics of soil moisture; MSWEP, TAMSAT and ARC for the spatial patterns of soil moisture; ARC, RFE and GSMaP-std for the temporal dynamics of actual evaporation; and MSWEP, TAMSAT and MERRA-2 for the spatial patterns of actual evaporation. No single rainfall or temperature dataset consistently ranks first in reproducing the spatio-temporal variability of all hydrological processes. A dataset that is best in reproducing the temporal dynamics is not necessarily the best for the spatial patterns. In addition, the results suggest that there is more uncertainty in representing the spatial patterns of hydrological processes than their temporal dynamics. Finally, some region-tailored datasets outperform the global datasets, thereby stressing the necessity and importance of regional evaluation studies for satellite and reanalysis meteorological datasets, which are increasingly becoming an alternative to in situ measurements in data-scarce regions.
Land Surface Precipitation in MERRA-2
The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2), features several major advances from the original MERRA reanalysis, including the use, outside of high latitudes, of observations-based precipitation data products to correct the precipitation falling on the land surface in the MERRA-2 system. The method for merging the observed precipitation into MERRA-2 has been refined from that of the (land-only) MERRA-Land reanalysis. This paper describes the method and evaluates the MERRA-2 land surface precipitation. Compared to monthly GPCPv2.2 observations, the corrected MERRA-2 precipitation (M2CORR) is better than the precipitation generated by the atmospheric models within the cycling MERRA-2 and MERRA systems. M2CORR is also better than MERRA-Land precipitation over Africa because in MERRA-2 a merged satellite–gauge precipitation product is used instead of the gauge-only data used for MERRA-Land. Compared to 3-hourly TRMM observations, the M2CORR diurnal cycle has better amplitude but less realistic phasing than MERRA-2 model-generated precipitation. Because correcting the precipitation within the coupled atmosphere–land modeling system allows the MERRA-2 near-surface air temperature and humidity to respond to the improved precipitation forcing, MERRA-2 provides more self-consistent surface meteorological data than were available from MERRA-Land, which is important for applications such as land-only modeling studies. Where precipitation observations of sufficient quality are available for use in the reanalysis, the corrections facilitate the seamless spinup of the land surface initial conditions across the MERRA-2 production streams. At high latitudes, however, the lack of reliable precipitation observations results in undesirable land spinup effects that impact mostly the first published year of each MERRA-2 stream (1980, 1992, 2001, and 2011).
Diagnosis of water-sediment relationship variability in the lower Weihe River
This study focuses on the Dongzhuang and Sanmenxia reservoirs, addressing key issues such as the water-sediment relationship in reservoir groups, reducing the Tongguan gauge elevation, and ensuring flood safety in the lower Weihe River. Utilizing hydrological data from significant stations on the Yellow River’s tributaries and main stream spanning from 1960 to 2020, employed Mann-Kendall and statistical methods to analyze the evolution of water-sediment characteristics and relationships in the basin. The results indicate a declining trend in both runoff and sediment discharge in the Weihe River. A significant change in runoff occurred in 1984, while a similar change in sediment discharge was observed in 2006.