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result(s) for
"landslide displacement prediction"
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Deep Learning for Exploring Landslides with Remote Sensing and Geo-Environmental Data: Frameworks, Progress, Challenges, and Opportunities
2024
This article offers a comprehensive AI-centric review of deep learning in exploring landslides with remote-sensing techniques, breaking new ground beyond traditional methodologies. We categorize deep learning tasks into five key frameworks—classification, detection, segmentation, sequence, and the hybrid framework—and analyze their specific applications in landslide-related tasks. Following the presented frameworks, we review state-or-art studies and provide clear insights into the powerful capability of deep learning models for landslide detection, mapping, susceptibility mapping, and displacement prediction. We then discuss current challenges and future research directions, emphasizing areas like model generalizability and advanced network architectures. Aimed at serving both newcomers and experts on remote sensing and engineering geology, this review highlights the potential of deep learning in advancing landslide risk management and preservation.
Journal Article
A Graph Convolutional Incorporating GRU Network for Landslide Displacement Forecasting Based on Spatiotemporal Analysis of GNSS Observations
2022
Landslide displacement prediction is crucial for the early warning of slope failure but remains a challenging task due to its spatiotemporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependence is relatively less explored due to its significant variations of the spatial structure of landslides. In this study, a novel graph convolutional incorporating GRU network (GC-GRU-N) is proposed and applied to landslide displacement forecasts. The model conducts attribute-augmented graph convolution (GC) operations on GNSS displacement data with weighted adjacency matrices and an attribute-augmented unit to combine features, including the displacements, the distance, and other external influence factors to capture spatial dependence. The output of multi-weight graph convolution is then applied to the gated recurrent unit (GRU) network to learn temporal dependencies. The related optimal hyper-parameters are determined by comparison experiments. When applied to two typical landslide sites in the Three Gorge Reservoir (TGR), China, GC-GRU-N outperformed the comparative models in both cases. The ablation experiment results also show that the attribute augmentation, which considers external factors of landslide displacement, can further improve the model’s prediction performance. We conclude that the GC-GRU-N model can provide robust landslide displacement forecasting with high efficiency.
Journal Article
A Novel Hybrid LMD–ETS–TCN Approach for Predicting Landslide Displacement Based on GPS Time Series Analysis
2023
Landslide disasters cause serious property losses and casualties every year. Landslide displacement prediction is fundamental for mitigating landslide disasters. Several approaches have been used to predict landslide displacement, yet a more accurate and reliable displacement prediction still has a poor understanding of landslide early warning systems for landslide mitigation, due to limited data and mutational displacements. To boost the robustness and accuracy of landslide displacement prediction, this paper assembled a new hybrid model containing the local mean decomposition (LMD), innovations state space models for exponential smoothing (ETS), and the temporal convolutional network (TCN). The proposed model, which is based on over 10 years of long-term time series monitoring GPS data, was tested on the selected case—stepwise Baijiabao landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir area of China (TGRA) was tested by the proposed model. The results presented that the LMD–ETS–TCN model has the best performance in comparison with other benchmark models. Compared with autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), support vector regression (SVR), and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), the accuracy was noticeably improved by an average of 40.9%, 46.2%, and 22.1%, respectively. The robustness and effectiveness of the presented approach are attested, and it has discernible improvements for landslide displacement prediction.
Journal Article
A multi-task deep learning approach for landslide displacement prediction with applications in early warning systems
2025
Accurate landslide displacement prediction is important for the construction of reliable landslide early warning systems (LEWS). Recently, deep neural networks have become the dominant approach for landslide displacement modeling. However, we show that focusing solely on low prediction residuals is not perfectly aligned with the goals of LEWS, where the emphasis is on precise forecasts near the warning threshold. This can result in poor efficiency of threshold-based warning prediction. We propose a multi-task approach to model training, where auxiliary targets are used to optimize the model towards the performance relevant for LEWS. The methodology is validated using the data from the deep-seated Urbas landslide in north-western Slovenia, which has been monitored by GNSS since 2019. Developing a displacement prediction model for Urbas is a step towards extending the existing wire-based mechanical alarm system. We employ a convolutional neural network for day-ahead displacement prediction using recent landslide activity, hydrometeorological measurements and seismological data. The proposed multi-task model retains a competitive
score for warning prediction while achieving a significantly lower mean absolute error compared to the reference models. The proposed methodology is generally applicable and has the potential to improve the efficiency of landslide modeling in the context of LEWS.
Journal Article
A Hybrid Framework Integrating Past Decomposable Mixing and Inverted Transformer for GNSS-Based Landslide Displacement Prediction
2025
Landslide displacement prediction is vital for geohazard early warning and infrastructure safety. To address the challenges of modeling nonstationary, nonlinear, and multiscale behaviors inherent in GNSS time series, this study proposes a hybrid predicting framework that integrates Past Decomposable Mixing with an inverted Transformer architecture (PDM-iTransformer). The PDM module decomposes the original sequence into multi-resolution trend and seasonal components, using structured bottom-up and top-down mixing strategies to enhance feature representation. The iTransformer then models each variable’s time series independently, applying cross-variable self-attention to capture latent dependencies and using feed-forward networks to extract local dynamic features. This design enables simultaneous modeling of long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Experimental results on GNSS monitoring data demonstrate that the proposed method significantly outperforms traditional models, with R2 increased by 16.2–48.3% and RMSE and MAE reduced by up to 1.33 mm and 1.08 mm, respectively. These findings validate the framework’s effectiveness and robustness in predicting landslide displacement under complex terrain conditions.
Journal Article
An interpretable and high-precision method for predicting landslide displacement using evolutionary attention mechanism
2024
Precise and reliable displacement prediction is essential for preventing landslide disasters, but the evolution of landslides is a dynamic process influenced by diverse factors at different stages. Despite advances in the application of machine learning models to landslide displacement prediction, these models struggle to dynamically capture triggers during the prediction process. This limitation not only fails to capture the characteristics of the short-term fast deformation area, thus affecting the overall prediction accuracy, but also fails to establish a connection between the data relationships and the physical mechanism, thereby limiting the understanding of the physical mechanism of the landslide and resulting in low reliability of the prediction results. In this study, we establish a new model for landslide displacement prediction that combines double exponential smoothing (DES), variational mode decomposition (VMD), and evolutionary attention-based long short-term memory (EA–LSTM). The prediction process is as follows: (i) VMD is used to extract trend, periodic, and random displacement from cumulative displacement; (ii) DES is utilized for forecasting trend displacement, and periodic and random displacements are predicted by EA–LSTM; and (iii) these individual predictions are combined to produce the total displacement prediction. The proposed model is validated using monitoring data collected from the Baishuihe and Bazimen landslides in the Three Gorges Reservoir area. The results indicate that, compared with other models, the proposed model demonstrates higher predictive accuracy. In addition, the real-time dynamic weights of historical information revealed by the model on different time stamps are consistent with the actual historical evolution of landslides. These results verify that the proposed model is a promising tool for the high-quality prediction of landslides and can inform landslide treatment-related decision-making.
Journal Article
Displacement Prediction of the Muyubao Landslide Based on a GPS Time-Series Analysis and Temporal Convolutional Network Model
2022
Landslide displacement prediction is an essential base of landslide hazard prevention, which often needs to establish an accurate prediction model. To achieve accuracy prediction of landslide displacement, a displacement prediction model based on a salp-swarm-algorithm-optimized temporal convolutional network (SSA-TCN) is proposed. The TCN model, consisting of a causal dilation convolution layer residual block, can flexibly increase the receptive fields and capture the global information in a deeper layer. SSA can solve the hyperparameter problem well for TCN model. The Muyubao landslide displacement collected from a professional GPS monitoring system implemented in 2006 is used to analyze the displacement features of the slope and evaluate the performance of the SSA-TCN model. The cumulative displacement time series is decomposed into trend displacement (linear part) and periodic displacement (nonlinear part) by the variational modal decomposition (VMD) method. Then, a polynomial function is used to predict the trend displacement, and the SSA-TCN model is used to predict the periodic displacement of the landslide based on considering the response relationship between periodic displacement, rainfall, and reservoir water. This research also compares the proposed approach results with the other popular machine learning and deep learning models. The results demonstrate that the proposed hybrid model is superior to and more effective and accurate than the others at predicting the landslide displacement.
Journal Article
Landslide Deformation Prediction Based on a GNSS Time Series Analysis and Recurrent Neural Network Model
2021
The prediction of landslide displacement is a challenging and essential task. It is thus very important to choose a suitable displacement prediction model. This paper develops a novel Attention Mechanism with Long Short Time Memory Neural Network (AMLSTM NN) model based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN) landslide displacement prediction. The CEEMDAN method is implemented to ingest landslide Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) time series. The AMLSTM algorithm is then used to realize prediction work, jointly with multiple impact factors. The Baishuihe landslide is adopted to illustrate the capabilities of the model. The results show that the CEEMDAN-AMLSTM model achieves competitive accuracy and has significant potential for landslide displacement prediction.
Journal Article
Enhanced Spatiotemporal Landslide Displacement Prediction Using Dynamic Graph-Optimized GNSS Monitoring
by
Li, Jiangfeng
,
Ding, Xiaohua
,
Kang, Kaimin
in
Accuracy
,
Deformation
,
dynamic graph optimization
2025
Landslide displacement prediction is crucial for disaster mitigation, yet traditional methods often fail to capture the complex, non-stationary spatiotemporal dynamics of slope evolution. This study introduces an enhanced prediction framework that integrates multi-scale signal processing with dynamic, geology-aware graph modeling. The proposed methodology first employs the Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform (MODWT) to denoise raw Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)-monitored displacement time series data, enhancing the underlying deformation features. Subsequently, a geology-aware graph is constructed, using the temporal correlation of displacement series as a practical proxy for physical relatedness between monitoring nodes. The framework’s core innovation lies in a dynamic graph optimization model with low-rank constraints, which adaptively refines the graph topology to reflect time-varying inter-sensor dependencies driven by factors like mining activities. Experiments conducted on a real-world dataset from an active open-pit mine demonstrate the framework’s superior performance. The DCRNN-proposed model achieved the highest accuracy among eight competing models, recording a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 2.773 mm in the Vertical direction, a 39.1% reduction compared to its baseline. This study validates that the proposed dynamic graph optimization approach provides a robust and significantly more accurate solution for landslide prediction in complex, real-world engineering environments.
Journal Article
Landslide displacement prediction based on time series and long short-term memory networks
2024
Accurate landslide displacement prediction is an important component to realize landslide warning. For the displacement prediction of landslides, how to improve the prediction accuracy has been the focus on such research problems. Therefore, in this paper, the TS-SSA-LSTM landslide displacement prediction model is proposed as an example for landslides in Anxi County, Quanzhou City, Fujian Province. First, the cumulative displacement is decomposed into trend and period terms by time series. Then, the MIC coefficients are utilized for correlation test to screen the input terms of the prediction model. Then, the prediction models of trend and period terms are established by LSTM model, and SSA algorithm is introduced in this process for optimization. Finally, after obtaining the prediction results of the trend and period terms, the displacement data are reconstructed according to the basic theory of time series to obtain the final displacement prediction results. By comparing the RMSE, MAE and R
2
of the TS-SSA-LSTM landslide displacement model with those of the traditional RNN and LSTM landslide displacement models, it is shown that the established landslide displacement prediction models have higher accuracy and stability. From the prediction results of TS-SSA-LSTM, the deviation from it and the real monitoring value is small and the fitting degree is high, which indicates that the TS-SSA-LSTM types proposed to this paper can effectively predict the displacement change of the landslide in the study case.
Journal Article