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result(s) for
"long‐term hydrograph"
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Constructing Long‐Term Hydrographs for River Climate‐Resilience: A Novel Approach for Studying Centennial to Millennial River Behavior
by
Smith, Virginia
,
Hren, Michael T.
,
Terry, Dennis O.
in
climate
,
Climate adaptation
,
Climate change
2024
Studying the centennial or millennial timescale response of large rivers to changing patterns in precipitation, discharge, flood intensity and recurrence, and associated sediment erosion is critical for understanding long‐term fluvial geomorphic adjustment to climate. Long hydrographs, maintaining reliable Flow Duration Curves (FDCs), are a fundamental input for such simulations; however, recorded discharge series rarely span more than a few decades. The absence of robust methodologies for generating representative long‐term hydrographs, especially those incorporating coarse temporal resolution or lacking continuous simulations, is therefore a fundamental challenge for climate resilience. We present a novel approach for constructing multi‐century hydrographs that successfully conserve the statistical, especially frequency analysis, and stochastic characteristics of observed hydrographs. This approach integrates a powerful combination of a weather generator with a fine disaggregation technique and a continuous rainfall‐runoff transformation model. We tested our approach to generate a statistically representative 300‐year hydrograph on the Ninnescah River Basin in Kansas, using a satellite precipitation data set to address the considerable gaps in the available hourly observed data sets. This approach emphasizes the similarities of FDCs between the observed and generated hydrographs, exhibiting a reasonably acceptable range of average absolute deviation between 6% and 18%. We extended this methodology to create projected high‐resolution hydrographs based on a range of climate change scenarios. The projected outcomes present pronounced increases in the FDCs compared to the current condition, especially for more distant futures, which necessitates more efficient adaptation strategies. This approach represents a paradigm shift in long‐term hydrologic modeling.
Plain Language Summary
River hydrographs are key inputs for understanding long term Earth surface processes. Due to the limited lengths of observational streamflow records, various techniques were previously developed with limited capabilities to generate representative long hydrographs. Through a novel integrated approach, we are able to construct robust high‐resolution hydrographs on multi‐century timescales, based on developing a linkage between hydroclimatic forces and watershed characteristics within a stochastic framework. We used this methodology to generate a 300‐year high‐resolution hydrograph with satisfactory correlation with the observed FDC. Due to the stochastic background of this framework, the deviation between the observed and generated FDCs was estimated to fall within a reasonable range of 6% and 18%. This framework was extended to provide hourly runoff projections for several future climatic models. Median projections for the near‐term period 2040–2069 demonstrated less deviation from reference data set compared to those for the more distant future 2070–2099. This study represents a scientific shift for long‐term simulations through re‐constructing past, simulating present, or projecting future hydrographs.
Key Points
Introducing a novel framework designed to generate statistically robust hydrographs on multi‐century timescales for long‐term simulations
Integrating a weather generator and a disaggregation technique within a rainfall runoff model to achieve high‐temporal resolution hydrographs
Utilizing multiple climate models to evaluate the impacts of climate change on hourly runoff responses
Journal Article
Relationships between rainfall and groundwater recharge in seasonally humid Benin: a comparative analysis of long-term hydrographs in sedimentary and crystalline aquifers
by
Boukari, Moussa
,
D O Valerie Kotchoni
,
Taylor, Richard G
in
Aeration zone
,
Annual rainfall
,
Aquifers
2019
Groundwater is a vital source of freshwater throughout the tropics enabling access to safe water for domestic, agricultural and industrial purposes close to the point of demand. The sustainability of groundwater withdrawals is controlled, in part, by groundwater recharge, yet the conversion of rainfall into recharge remains inadequately understood, particularly in the tropics. This study examines a rare set of 19–25-year records of observed groundwater levels and rainfall under humid conditions (mean rainfall is ~1,200 mm year−1) in three common geological environments of Benin and other parts of West Africa: Quaternary sands, Mio-Pliocene sandstone, and crystalline rocks. Recharge is estimated from groundwater-level fluctuations and employs values of specific yield derived from magnetic resonance soundings. Recharge is observed to occur seasonally and linearly in response to rainfall exceeding an apparent threshold of between 140 and 250 mm year−1. Inter-annual changes in groundwater storage correlate well to inter-annual rainfall variability. However, recharge varies substantially depending upon the geological environment: annual recharge to shallow aquifers of Quaternary sands amounts to as much as 40% of annual rainfall, whereas in deeper aquifers of Mio-Pliocene sandstone and weathered crystalline rocks, annual fractions of rainfall generating recharge are 13 and 4%, respectively. Differences are primarily attributed to the thickness of the unsaturated zone and to the lithological controls on the transmission and storage of rain-fed recharge.
Journal Article
Multi-year deployment of a single high-frequency acoustic attenuation system for measuring fine suspended sediments in stream channels
by
Wren, Daniel
,
Goodwiller, Bradley
,
Carpenter, Wayne
in
acoustics
,
Agroecosystem research
,
Attenuation
2025
The National Center for Physical Acoustics (NCPA) at The University of Mississippi has developed a single-frequency acoustic attenuation system (SFAAS) to monitor the concentration of suspended fine sediments in rivers and streams. The system was operated in the Goodwin Creek Watershed in Panola County, Mississippi, USA, from November 2019 to February 2023. The system collected data when the stream stage was above 0.3 m, and physical pump samples were collected concomitantly to provide calibration data. A subset of the data, comprising 14 storm events recorded over the multiyear deployment, will be presented here to demonstrate the operation of the SFAAS and its potential to aid in hydrologic research. SFAAS was able to provide high-resolution fine sediment concentration data with a stable calibration relationship for a given hardware configuration. The data were used to investigate the behavior of fine sediment concentrations in the watershed, including hysteresis in the relationship between flow rates and sediment concentrations during streamflow hydrographs and sediment rating curves that relate stream depth to transport rates.
•High-resolution fine suspended sediment concentrations provided hydraulic behavior.•Hardware calibrations show acoustic and physical sampling correlations.•Acoustic rising and falling limb data provide an opportunity to study hysteresis.
Journal Article
Peculiarities of Long-term Phases of the Increased and Decreased Don and Lena Runoff in the 19th–21st Centuries
2023
The results of studying long-term (lasting 10–15 years or more) phases of decreased and increased conditionally natural annual and seasonal runoff of the Don River near the village of Razdorskaya and the Lena River near the village of Kyusyur are considered. The retrieval of long-term water flow time series (excluding the changes that are caused by anthropogenic impacts from the observed water flow) is based on the transformation of the annual hydrograph of average daily water flow using the Kalinin–Milyukov method. The long-term phases of annual and seasonal runoff have been identified on the basis of cumulative deviation curves and criteria for statistical homogeneity of time series by their averages. For the entire period of observations on the Don (1891–2019) and the Lena (1936–2019), two cardinally different types of long-term dynamics for contrasting phases of annual and seasonal runoff that are characteristic of these rivers and common in most of Russia have been revealed. On the Lena, the phases of decreased and increased values of annual and seasonal runoff have changed quasisynchronously, whereas on the Don, the phases of annual runoff and snow melt flood runoff on the one hand and summer-autumn and winter runoff on the other hand have changed asynchronously. The main characteristics of the contrast phases have been determined.
Journal Article
Implications of variations in stream specific conductivity for estimating baseflow using chemical mass balance and calibrated hydrograph techniques
2022
Baseflow to rivers comprises regional groundwater and lower-salinity intermediate water stores such as interflow, soil water, and bank return
flows. Chemical mass balance (CMB) calculations based on the specific
conductivity (SC) of rivers potentially estimate the groundwater contribution to baseflow. This study discusses the application of the CMB
approach in rivers from south-eastern Australia and assesses the feasibility of calibrating recursive digital filters (RDFs) and sliding minima (SM)
techniques based on streamflow data to estimate groundwater inflows. The
common strategy of assigning the SC of groundwater inflows based on the
highest annual river SC may not always be valid due to the persistent
presence of lower-salinity intermediate waters. Rather, using the river SC from low-flow periods during drought years may be more realistic. If that is
the case, the estimated groundwater inflows may be lower than expected,
which has implications for assessing contaminant transport and the impacts
of near-river groundwater extraction. Probably due to long-term variations
in the proportion of groundwater in baseflow, the RDF and SM techniques
cannot generally be calibrated using the CMB results to estimate annual
baseflow proportions. Thus, it is not possible to extend the estimates of
groundwater inflows using those methods, although in some catchments
reasonable estimates of groundwater inflows can be made from annual
streamflows. Short-term variations in the composition of baseflow also lead to baseflow estimates made using the CMB method being far more irregular than expected. This study illustrates that estimating baseflow, especially
groundwater inflows, is not straightforward.
Journal Article
Influence of Rock Glaciers on Stream Hydrology in the La Sal Mountains, Utah
2014
While valley glaciers have received considerable attention for their contributions to summer runoff during the past decade, the contributions of rock glaciers to summer runoff patterns have largely been ignored, especially in the western United States. This article examines summer runoff from two basins in the La Sal Mountains, Utah: the non—rock glaciated Wet Fork and rock glaciated Gold Basin. Runoff events were analyzed for volume of stormflow, stormflow duration, and peak flow duration. Four events were recorded in Wet Fork (n = 4), five events were recorded in Gold Basin (n = 5), and six events at a flume immediately adjacent to the Gold Basin rock glacier (n = 6). Wet Fork hydrographs are dominated by baseflow throughout the summer and a small proportion (0.13%–0.31%) of precipitation leaves the basin as stormflow during storms. Gold Basin hydrographs are characterized by early season snowmelt with flood peaks associated with summer storms. Runoff from the gaged rock glacier represents 15%–30% of total basin runoff and is inversely related to precipitation and directly related to rainfall intensity. Removal of rock glacier hydrographs from total basin hydrographs indicates that there is increased surface runoff from alpine drainage basins that contain rock glaciers, suggesting rock glaciers act as impervious surfaces. This short-term study in Utah suggests that alpine drainage basins with rock glaciers could have greater surface runoff and higher flood peaks than drainage basins that lack rock glaciers. While the long-term effects of rock glaciers on summer water resources is still unknown, this investigation demonstrates rock glaciers may profoundly influence hydrographs in alpine drainage basins.
Journal Article
A Long–Term Response-Based Rainfall-Runoff Hydrologic Model: Case Study of The Upper Blue Nile
2019
This study develops a response-based hydrologic model for long-term (continuous) rainfall-runoff simulations over the catchment areas of big rivers. The model overcomes the typical difficulties in estimating infiltration and evapotranspiration parameters using a modified version of the Soil Conservation Service curve number SCS-CN method. In addition, the model simulates the surface and groundwater hydrograph components using the response unit-hydrograph approach instead of using a linear reservoir routing approach for routing surface and groundwater to the basin outlet. The unit-responses are Geographic Information Systems (GIS)-pre-calculated on a semi-distributed short-term basis and applied in the simulation in every time step. The unit responses are based on the time-area technique that can better simulate the real routing behavior of the basin. The model is less sensitive to groundwater infiltration parameters since groundwater is actually controlled by the surface component and not the opposite. For that reason, the model is called the SCHydro model (Surface Controlled Hydrologic model). The model is tested on the upper Blue Nile catchment area using 28 years daily river flow data set for calibration and validation. The results show that SCHydro model can simulate the long-term transforming behavior of the upper Blue Nile basin. Our initial assessment of the model indicates that the model is a promising tool for long-term river flow simulations, especially for long-term forecasting purposes due to its stability in performing the water balance.
Journal Article
Automatic estimation of aquifer parameters using long-term water supply pumping and injection records
2016
Analyses are presented of long-term hydrographs perturbed by variable pumping/injection events in a confined aquifer at a municipal water-supply well field in the Region of Waterloo, Ontario (Canada). Such records are typically not considered for aquifer test analysis. Here, the water-level variations are fingerprinted to pumping/injection rate changes using the Theis model implemented in the WELLS code coupled with PEST. Analyses of these records yield a set of transmissivity (
T
) and storativity (
S
) estimates between each monitoring and production borehole. These individual estimates are found to poorly predict water-level variations at nearby monitoring boreholes not used in the calibration effort. On the other hand, the geometric means of the individual
T
and
S
estimates are similar to those obtained from previous pumping tests conducted at the same site and adequately predict water-level variations in other boreholes. The analyses reveal that long-term municipal water-level records are amenable to analyses using a simple analytical solution to estimate aquifer parameters. However, uniform parameters estimated with analytical solutions should be considered as first rough estimates. More accurate hydraulic parameters should be obtained by calibrating a three-dimensional numerical model that rigorously captures the complexities of the site with these data.
Journal Article
Application of deterministic distributed hydrological model for large catchment: a case study at Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment, Vietnam
2016
In order to create a tool to help hydrologists and authorities to have good understanding about occurrences in stream flow regime together with its variation in the future under the impact of climate change in the Vu Gia Thu Bon catchment, a deterministic distributed hydrological model has been developed and constructed. This model covers the major processes in the hydrologic cycle including rainfall, evapotranspiration, overland flow, unsaturated flow, groundwater flow, channel flow, and their interactions. The model is calibrated and validated against the daily data recorded at seven stations during 1991–2000 and 2001–2010, respectively. The quality of results is demonstrated by Nash–Sutcliffe and correlation coefficients that reach 0.82 and 0.92, respectively, in discharge comparison. With water levels, the obtained coefficients are lower but the quality of results still remains high; Nash–Sutcliffe and correlation coefficients reach 0.77 and 0.89, respectively, in the upstream part of the catchment. This analysis demonstrates the performance of the deterministic distributed modeling approach in simulating hydrological processes one more time; it also confirms the usefulness of this model with ungauged catchments or large catchments. Additionally, this analysis proves the role of multi-calibration in increasing the accuracy of hydrological models for large catchments.
Journal Article
Hydrochemical character and spatiotemporal variations in a heavily modified river of western Greece
2003
A 22-year series of monthly hydrochemical data from the Acheloos River in western Greece, which flows through four reservoirs, was analysed in order to assess and interpret its hydrochemical regime, spatial differentiations, seasonal variations and interannual trends. The data set was controlled for its quality and gaps in measurements were filled by a formula, developed for that purpose. The river's composition is attributed to rock weathering, precipitation quantity and quality, catchment altitude and in-lake biological activity. Regarding nutrients, organic carbon and dissolved oxygen, the water quality is good. Downstream of the last large impoundment, the river behaves as a heavily modified water body, with minimum solute concentrations in summer. Further downstream, the seasonal hydrochemical regime tends towards a natural one. Interannual climate variations influence water composition significantly. In dry-warm year periods evapotranspiration processes 'concentrate' reservoir water, enhance salt accumulation in soil pores and contribute to a mineralization of Acheloos River water.[PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
Journal Article