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result(s) for
"multi-scale geographically weighted regression"
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Dominant Factors and Spatial Heterogeneity of Land Surface Temperatures in Urban Areas: A Case Study in Fuzhou, China
2022
The urban heat island (UHI) phenomenon caused by rapid urbanization has become an important global ecological and environmental problem that cannot be ignored. In this study, the UHI effect was quantified using Landsat 8 image inversion land surface temperatures (LSTs). With the spatial scale of street units in Fuzhou City, China, using ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, geographically weighted regression (GWR) models, and multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), we explored the spatial heterogeneities of the influencing factors and LST. The results indicated that, compared with traditional OLS models, GWR improved the model fit by considering spatial heterogeneity, whereas MGWR outperformed OLS and GWR in terms of goodness of fit by considering the effects of different bandwidths on LST. Building density (BD), normalized difference impervious surface index (NDISI), and the sky view factor (SVF) were important influences on elevated LST, while building height (BH), forest land percentage (Forest_per), and waterbody percentage (Water_per) were negatively correlated with LST. In addition, built-up percentage (Built_per) and population density (Pop_Den) showed significant spatial non-stationary characteristics. These findings suggest the need to consider spatial heterogeneity in analyses of impact factors. This study can be used to provide guidance on mitigation strategies for UHIs in different regions.
Journal Article
An Analysis of the Spatial Variations in the Relationship Between Built Environment and Severe Crashes
2024
Traffic crashes significantly contribute to global fatalities, particularly in urban areas, highlighting the need to evaluate the relationship between urban environments and traffic safety. This study extends former spatial modeling frameworks by drawing paths between global models, including spatial lag (SLM), and spatial error (SEM), and local models, including geographically weighted regression (GWR), multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), and multi-scale geographically weighted regression with spatially lagged dependent variable (MGWRL). Utilizing the proposed framework, this study analyzes severe traffic crashes in relation to urban built environments using various spatial regression models within Leon County, Florida. According to the results, SLM outperforms OLS, SEM, and GWR models. Local models with lagged dependent variables outperform both the global and generic versions of the local models in all performance measures, whereas MGWR and MGWRL outperform GWR and GWRL. Local models performed better than global models, showing spatial non-stationarity; so, the relationship between the dependent and independent variables varies over space. The better performance of models with lagged dependent variables signifies that the spatial distribution of severe crashes is correlated. Finally, the better performance of multi-scale local models than classical local models indicates varying influences of independent variables with different bandwidths. According to the MGWRL model, census block groups close to the urban area with higher population, higher education level, and lower car ownership rates have lower crash rates. On the contrary, motor vehicle percentage for commuting is found to have a negative association with severe crash rate, which suggests the locality of the mentioned associations.
Journal Article
What Factors Dominate the Change of PM2.5 in the World from 2000 to 2019? A Study from Multi-Source Data
2023
As the threat to human life and health from fine particulate matter (PM2.5) increases globally, the life and health problems caused by environmental pollution are also of increasing concern. Understanding past trends in PM2.5 and exploring the drivers of PM2.5 are important tools for addressing the life-threatening health problems caused by PM2.5. In this study, we calculated the change in annual average global PM2.5 concentrations from 2000 to 2020 using the Theil–Sen median trend analysis method and reveal spatial and temporal trends in PM2.5 concentrations over twenty-one years. The qualitative and quantitative effects of different drivers on PM2.5 concentrations in 2020 were explored from natural and socioeconomic perspectives using a multi-scale geographically weighted regression model. The results show that there is significant spatial heterogeneity in trends in PM2.5 concentration, with significant decreases in PM2.5 concentrations mainly in developed regions, such as the United States, Canada, Japan and the European Union countries, and conversely, significant increases in PM2.5 in developing regions, such as Africa, the Middle East and India. In addition, in regions with more advanced science and technology and urban management, PM2.5 concentrations are more evenly influenced by various factors, with a more negative influence. In contrast, regions at the rapid development stage usually continue their economic development at the cost of the environment, and under a high intensity of human activity. Increased temperature is known as the most important factor for the increase in PM2.5 concentration, while an increase in NDVI can play an important role in the reduction in PM2.5 concentration. This suggests that countries can achieve good air quality goals by setting a reasonable development path.
Journal Article
Spatial and temporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements: a case study of Xunwu County, Jiangxi Province, China
2024
Urbanization and industrialization have driven rapid socio-economic development, leading to a significant population shift from rural areas to cities. This demographic transition has resulted in substantial changes in rural settlements, presenting considerable challenges for rural revitalization. Given the spatial differentiation, it is crucial to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements under various development scenarios and at multiple scales within a county. Such analysis is essential for rational planning and sustainable development. This study analyzes the spatial and temporal evolution patterns and driving mechanisms of rural settlements in Xunwu County, Jiangxi Province, China, using land use dynamics, hot and cold spot analysis, and center of gravity migration models. The Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression Model (MGWR) is employed to explore their transformation driving mechanisms. The results show that during 2010–2020 in the study area, the total change rate of rural settlements was 39.82%, with a dynamic degree of 2.87%. The average centroid of the settlements is located in Wenfeng Township, gradually migrating southeastward by 3.7 km. Cold spots are shrinking northward, while hotspots are gathering in Chengjiang Town. Socio-economic conditions dominate the evolution of rural clusters in this region, showing obvious spatial heterogeneity. This is followed by locational conditions that are weakening in influence, while the impact of natural geographical conditions exists in the northeast region. The research findings offer a scientifically rigorous and well-founded analysis of the evolution and driving mechanisms of rural settlements. This analysis provides a solid theoretical basis for policy planning in urban-rural integrated development and supports the sustainable growth of rural communities.
Journal Article
A study on influencing factors of port cargo throughput based on multi-scale geographically weighted regression
by
Li, Qingjun
,
Guo, Ruitong
,
Xiao, Guangnian
in
heterogeneity
,
influencing factors
,
multi-scale geographically weighted regression
2025
Port cargo throughput plays a pivotal role in driving national economic growth, facilitating trade activities, and promoting urban development. This study employs a Multi-scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model to analyse the influencing factors of port cargo throughput, with regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP), highway construction investment, waterway construction investment, total import and export volume of goods, total retail sales of consumer goods, number of port berths, and urban residents’ consumption expenditure as independent variables. Based on data collected from 43 ports across China, the research reveals the magnitude and spatial distribution characteristics of these variables’ impacts on port cargo throughput. By comparing the fitting results of the global regression model with those of local regression models, the study demonstrates that the MGWR model achieves superior local regression fitting compared to the fixed-bandwidth Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model. This research provides theoretical support for understanding the spatial heterogeneity of factors influencing port cargo throughput and offers actionable insights for policy formulation and port planning.
Journal Article
How do varying socio-economic factors affect the scale of land transfer? Evidence from 287 cities in China
by
Zhang, Xuesong
,
Zhang, Maomao
,
Tan, Shukui
in
Aquatic Pollution
,
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
,
China
2022
With the rapid development of China’s social economy, the scale of land transfer has also increased, which has led to a new pattern of urban land space. This article uses global regression of ordinary least squares (OLS), spatial lag model (SLM), spatial error regression model (SEM) and local regression of geographically weighted regression model (GWR), and multi-scale geographically weighted regression model (MGWR) to explore the influence of socio-economic factors on the scale of land transfer. The relationship between these factors and the scale of land transfer varies greatly from region to region. The local model (MGWR) can express the non-stationary relationship between variables, and the regression estimation results are more robust. The results show that total investment in fixed assets (TIFA) and the non-agricultural population (NAP) had significant effects on the scale of land transfer in 2005, with regression coefficients of 0.964 and -0.247, respectively. In 2010, per capita GDP (PCG), population density (PD), proportion of tertiary industry in GDP (PTIG), and TIFA had significant impacts on the scale of land transfer, and the corresponding impact coefficients were 0.413, -0.085, -0.081, and 0.322. In 2015, the variable of PCG had significant impact on land transfer, with the coefficient of 0.048. The influencing factors of the scale of land transfer are changing at different points in time, and the formulation of land transfer policies should be treated differently according to the different socio-economic conditions in each period.
Journal Article
How Did Distribution Patterns of Particulate Matter Air Pollution (PM2.5 and PM10) Change in China during the COVID-19 Outbreak: A Spatiotemporal Investigation at Chinese City-Level
by
Yang, Chen
,
Zhan, Qingming
,
Zhan, Meng
in
Air Pollutants - analysis
,
Air pollution
,
Air Pollution - analysis
2020
Due to the suspension of traffic mobility and industrial activities during the COVID-19, particulate matter (PM) pollution has decreased in China. However, rarely have research studies discussed the spatiotemporal pattern of this change and related influencing factors at city-scale across the nation. In this research, the clustering patterns of the decline rates of PM2.5 and PM10 during the period from 20 January to 8 April in 2020, compared with the same period of 2019, were investigated using spatial autocorrelation analysis. Four meteorological factors and two socioeconomic factors, i.e., the decline of intra-city mobility intensity (dIMI) representing the effect of traffic mobility and the decline rates of the secondary industrial output values (drSIOV), were adopted in the regression analysis. Then, multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), a model allowing the particular processing scale for each independent variable, was applied for investigating the relationship between PM pollution reductions and influencing factors. For comparison, ordinary least square (OLS) regression and the classic geographically weighted regression (GWR) were also performed. The research found that there were 16% and 20% reduction of PM2.5 and PM10 concentration across China and significant PM pollution mitigation in central, east, and south regions of China. As for the regression analysis results, MGWR outperformed the other two models, with R2 of 0.711 and 0.732 for PM2.5 and PM10, respectively. The results of MGWR revealed that the two socioeconomic factors had more significant impacts than meteorological factors. It showed that the reduction of traffic mobility caused more relative declines of PM2.5 in east China (e.g., cities in Jiangsu), while it caused more relative declines of PM10 in central China (e.g., cities in Henan). The reduction of industrial operation had a strong relationship with the PM10 drop in northeast China. The results are crucial for understanding how the decline pattern of PM pollution varied spatially during the COVID-19 outbreak, and it also provides a good reference for air pollution control in the future.
Journal Article
Analysis of Spatial Heterogeneity and the Scale of the Impact of Changes in PM2.5 Concentrations in Major Chinese Cities between 2005 and 2015
2021
Deteriorating air quality is one of the most important environmental factors posing significant health risks to urban dwellers. Therefore, an exploration of the factors influencing air pollution and the formulation of targeted policies to address this issue are critically needed. Although many studies have used semi-parametric geographically weighted regression and geographically weighted regression to study the spatial heterogeneity characteristics of influencing factors of PM2.5 concentration change, due to the fixed bandwidth of these methods and other reasons, those studies still lack the ability to describe and explain cross-scale dynamics. The multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) method allows different variables to have different bandwidths, which can produce more realistic and useful spatial process models. By applying the MGWR method, this study investigated the spatial heterogeneity and spatial scales of impact of factors influencing PM2.5 concentrations in major Chinese cities during the period 2005–2015. This study showed the following: (1) Factors influencing changes in PM2.5 concentrations, such as technology, foreign investment levels, wind speed, precipitation, and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), evidenced significant spatial heterogeneity. Of these factors, precipitation, NDVI, and wind speed had small-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth ratios are all less than 20%, while foreign investment levels and technologies had medium-scale regional effects, whose bandwidth levels are 23% and 32%, respectively. Population, urbanization rates, and industrial structure demonstrated weak spatial heterogeneity, and the scale of their influence was predominantly global. (2) Overall, the change of NDVI was the most influential factor, which can explain 15.3% of the PM2.5 concentration change. Therefore, an enhanced protection of urban surface vegetation would be of universal significance. In some typical areas, dominant factors influencing pollution were evidently heterogeneous. Change in wind speed is a major factor that can explain 51.6% of the change in PM2.5 concentration in cities in the Central Plains, and change in foreign investment levels is the dominant influencing factor in cities in the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and the Sichuan Basin, explaining 30.6% and 44.2% of the PM2.5 concentration change, respectively. In cities located within the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, NDVI is a key factor, reducing PM2.5 concentrations by 9.7%. Those results can facilitate the development of region-specific measures and tailored urban policies to reduce PM2.5 pollution levels in different regions such as Northeast China and the Sichuan Basin.
Journal Article
Unveiling spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers of ecosystem services to optimize the ecological zoning management in the Luo river basin
2025
The comprehensive ecosystem service index (CESI) and ecosystem service bundles (ES bundles) were integrated, combined with the optimal parameter geographic detector and multi-scale geographically weighted regression to reveal the spatiotemporal differentiation and driving mechanism of ecosystem services (ESs) in Luo River Basin. The results show that the spatial distribution of ESs is low in the northeast and high in the southwest, similar to the distribution of forests. The average annual growth rates of water yield, carbon storage, and soil retention were 4.71%, 0.05%, and 8.97% respectively, and the spatial increase area accounted for more than 90%. Habitat quality decreased by an average of 0.31% per year, with 39.76% of the region declining. The upstream ecological benefits of CESI are better than those of the downstream, and ES bundles identify two high supply modes (B2, B3). Precipitation, normalized difference vegetation index, and slope are the dominant driving factors of ESs and CESI. Based on the heterogeneity of driving responses, a watershed zoning governance framework is proposed. Upstream vegetation structure needs to be optimized; the disorderly expansion of downstream cities should be curbed to provide a scientific basis for the next stage of the Grain for Green program and spatially differentiated governance.
Journal Article
Spatial Heterogeneity Analysis for Influencing Factors of Outbound Ridership of Subway Stations Considering the Optimal Scale Range of “7D” Built Environments
2022
The accuracy of the regression model of ridership of subway stations depends on the scale range of the built environment around the subway stations. Previous studies have not considered the Modifiable Area Unit Problem (MAUP) to establish the regression model of subway station ridership. Taking Beijing as an example, this paper expanded the built environment variables from “5D” category to “7D” category, added indicators such as parking fee standard and population density factor, and proposed a Multi-Scale Geographical Weighted Regression (MGWR) model of outbound ridership of subway stations with standardized variables. The goodness of fit of regression models under 10 spatial scales or built environment around subway stations are compared, and the spatial heterogeneity of built environment factors under the optimal spatial scale of outbound ridership of subway stations during the morning peak on weekdays is discussed. The results show that: (1) the scale range overlapped by 1000 m radius circular buffer zone and Thiessen polygon has the highest explanatory power for the regression model, and is regarded as the optimal scale range of built environment; (2) the density of office facilities, sports and leisure facilities, medical service facilities, building density and floor area ratio (FAR) has a significant impact on the outbound ridership of all subway stations; (3) office facilities, catering facilities, FAR, number of parking lots, and whether subway stations are transfer stations have a positive impact on outbound ridership. The number of medical service facilities, sports and leisure facilities, bus stops and building density have a negative impact on outbound ridership; (4) the two added factors in this study: parking charge standard and population density, as the influencing factors of the built environment, have a significant impact on the outbound ridership of some subway stations; and (5) the different local coefficients of the built environment factors at different stations are discussed, which indicate the spatial heterogeneity on the outbound ridership. The results can provide an important theoretical basis for the prediction and analysis of demand of ridership at subway stations and the integration of the built environment around the stations.
Journal Article