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1,023 result(s) for "relative bias"
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Assumptions of IV Methods for Observational Epidemiology
Instrumental variable (IV) methods are becoming increasingly popular as they seem to offer the only viable way to overcome the problem of unobserved confounding in observational studies. However, some attention has to be paid to the details, as not all such methods target the same causal parameters and some rely on more restrictive parametric assumptions than others. We therefore discuss and contrast the most common IV approaches with relevance to typical applications in observational epidemiology. Further, we illustrate and compare the asymptotic bias of these IV estimators when underlying assumptions are violated in a numerical study. One of our conclusions is that all IV methods encounter problems in the presence of effect modification by unobserved confounders. Since this can never be ruled out for sure, we recommend that practical applications of IV estimators be accompanied routinely by a sensitivity analysis.
Bias, Precision, and Accuracy of Skewness and Kurtosis Estimators for Frequently Used Continuous Distributions
Several measures of skewness and kurtosis were proposed by Hogg (1974) in order to reduce the bias of conventional estimators when the distribution is non-normal. Here we conducted a Monte Carlo simulation study to compare the performance of conventional and Hogg’s estimators, considering the most frequent continuous distributions used in health, education, and social sciences (gamma, lognormal and exponential distributions). In order to determine the bias, precision and accuracy of the skewness and kurtosis estimators for each distribution we calculated the relative bias, the coefficient of variation, and the scaled root mean square error. The effect of sample size on the estimators is also analyzed. In addition, a SAS program for calculating both conventional and Hogg’s estimators is presented. The results indicated that for the non-normal distributions investigated, the estimators of skewness and kurtosis which best reflect the shape of the distribution are Hogg’s estimators. It should also be noted that Hogg’s estimators are not as affected by sample size as are conventional estimators.
Difference-type-exponential estimators based on dual auxiliary information under simple random sampling
Auxiliary information plays a vital role in parameter selection and estimation to achieve efficient estimates of unknown population parameters. Dual use of auxiliary information, i.e., original and ranked auxiliary variables, helps increase the efficiency of estimators. In this paper, the performance of difference-type-exponential estimators was proposed and evaluated based on dual auxiliary information for population mean under simple random sampling. Mathematical expressions for the bias and the mean squared error of the proposed estimators were obtained. Three real-life data sets and Monte Carlo simulation studies were carried out for illustration. The results of empirical and simulation studies indicate that the proposed estimators outperformed their counterparts in terms of mean square errors and percentage relative efficiency.
Estimation of Domain Mean Using Conventional Synthetic Estimator with Two Auxiliary Characters
The estimation of domain mean is being accelerated applied to draft program policy in the government and private sectors. The use of two auxiliary characters is better choice as compared to single auxiliary character. The main interest is to consist information about an additional auxiliary character z in auxiliary character x and utilize for interested domain. This paper has investigated conventional generalized synthetic estimator for domain mean using two auxiliary characters x and z, and also discussed its properties. A comparative study of the proposed estimator has been made with the conventional ratio and conventional generalized estimators in terms of absolute relative bias and simulated relative standard error. It has evaluated, the proposed estimator is more efficient than the relevant estimators.
Coupling Remote Sensing With a Process Model for the Simulation of Rangeland Carbon Dynamics
Rangelands provide significant environmental benefits through many ecosystem services, which may include soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration. However, quantifying SOC stocks and monitoring carbon (C) fluxes in rangelands are challenging due to the considerable spatial and temporal variability tied to rangeland C dynamics as well as limited data availability. We developed the Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Management (RCTM) system to track long‐term changes in SOC and ecosystem C fluxes by leveraging remote sensing inputs and environmental variable data sets with algorithms representing terrestrial C‐cycle processes. Bayesian calibration was conducted using quality‐controlled C flux data sets obtained from 61 Ameriflux and NEON flux tower sites from Western and Midwestern US rangelands to parameterize the model according to dominant vegetation classes (perennial and/or annual grass, grass‐shrub mixture, and grass‐tree mixture). The resulting RCTM system produced higher model accuracy for estimating annual cumulative gross primary productivity (GPP) (R2 > 0.6, RMSE <390 g C m−2) relative to net ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE) (R2 > 0.4, RMSE <180 g C m−2). Model performance in estimating rangeland C fluxes varied by season and vegetation type. The RCTM captured the spatial variability of SOC stocks with R2 = 0.6 when validated against SOC measurements across 13 NEON sites. Model simulations indicated slightly enhanced SOC stocks for the flux tower sites during the past decade, which is mainly driven by an increase in precipitation. Future efforts to refine the RCTM system will benefit from long‐term network‐based monitoring of vegetation biomass, C fluxes, and SOC stocks. Plain Language Summary Rangelands play a crucial role in providing various ecosystem services, including potential climate change mitigation through increased soil organic carbon (SOC) storage. Accurate estimates of changes in carbon (C) storage are challenging due to the heterogeneous nature of rangelands and the limited availability of field observations. In this work, we leveraged remote sensing observations, tower‐based C flux measurements from over 60 rangeland sites in the Western and Midwestern US, and other environmental data sets to build the process‐based Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Management (RCTM) modeling system. The RCTM system is designed to simulate the past 20 years of rangeland C dynamics and is regionally calibrated. The RCTM system performs well in estimating spatial and temporal rangeland C fluxes as well as spatial SOC storage. Model simulation results revealed increased SOC storage and rangeland productivity driven by annual precipitation patterns. The RCTM system developed by this work can be used to generate accurate spatial and temporal estimates of SOC storage and C fluxes at fine spatial (30 m) and temporal (every 5 days) resolutions, and is well‐suited for informing rangeland C management strategies and improving broad‐scale policy making. Key Points The Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Monitoring System was calibrated to simulate vegetation type‐specific rangeland C dynamics Regional variability in carbon fluxes and soil organic carbon is well represented by a remote sensing‐driven process modeling approach Soil organic carbon stocks in Western and Midwestern US rangelands increased over the past 20 years due to increased precipitation
A Comparative Study on Calibration Approach Based Estimators for Domain Estimation Utilizing Power Function: Revisited
The calibration approach based estimators of the domain mean have growing demand during past couple of decades. Estimation of domains is another challenging task for surveyors and several efforts have been made to produce the reliable estimators for this purpose. Prominently the power function based estimators in the sample surveys are having dual advantages for the selection and their application to produce an improved estimation at any stage in the terms of efficiency without much complexity. In the domain estimation utilization of the power function in the development of calibration based estimators are also very promising and provide considerable results. A simulation study has examined for the comparison of several calibration estimators along with the proposed estimator in terms of the absolute relative bias and simulated relative standard error.
Proficiency tests: a tool for improvement and testing analytical performance at Gamma-Ray Spectroscopy Laboratory
Participation in proficiency tests is an essential requirement of ISO/IEC 17025 for testing and calibration laboratories. These tests aim to evaluate performance of laboratories for specific analytical methods, identify problems and assist in initiating corrective actions for improvement, find source of error in measurement result and validate uncertainty. The accredited Gamma-Ray Spectroscopy Laboratory at the Lebanese Atomic Energy Commission, participates yearly in proficiency test organized by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)-ALMERA Network-Analytical Laboratories for the Measurements of Environmental Radioactivity and the Department of Energy-USA, Mixed Analyte Performance Evaluation Program (MAPEP-DOE-USA). This paper showed how proficiency tests had helped the laboratory to improve adopted analytical protocol through the corrective actions implemented for unacceptable results, and to provide advanced experience to the laboratory staff through the lessons learned. The Results were evaluated based on accuracy and precision criteria. The relative bias, Z -score and precision score values since 2005 are presented and discussed. The laboratory showed high performance over years with acceptable values for different radionuclides in various matrices.
Abundance of rare and elusive species: Empirical investigation of closed versus spatially explicit capture-recapture models with lynx as a case study
Effective conservation and management require reliable monitoring methods and estimates of abundance to prioritize human and financial investments. Camera trapping is a non-invasive sampling method allowing the use of capture—recapture (CR) models to estimate abundance while accounting for the difficulty of detecting individuals in the wild. We investigated the relative performance of standard closed CR models and spatially explicit CR models (SECR) that incorporate spatial information in the data. Using simulations, we considered 4 scenarios comparing low versus high detection probability and small versus large populations and contrasted abundance estimates obtained from both approaches. Standard CR and SECR models both provided minimally biased abundance estimates, but precision was improved when using SECR models. The associated confidence intervals also provided better coverage than their non-spatial counterpart. We concluded SECR models exhibit better statistical performance than standard closed CR models and allow for sound management strategies based on density maps of activity centers. To illustrate the comparison, we considered the Eurasian lynx (Lynx lynx) as a case study that provided the first abundance estimates of a local population in France.
Validation of maternal report of early childhood caries status in Ile-Ife, Nigeria
Background To determine the validity of maternal reports of the presence of early childhood caries (ECC), and to identify maternal variables that increase the accuracy of the reports. Methods This secondary data analysis included 1155 mother–child dyads, recruited through a multi-stage sampling household approach in Ile-Ife Nigeria. Survey data included maternal characteristics (age, monthly income, decision-making ability) and maternal perception about whether or not her child (age 6 months to 5 years old) had ECC. Presence of ECC was clinically determined using the dmft index. Maternally reported and clinically determined ECC presence were compared using a chi-squared test. McNemar's test was used to assess the similarity of maternal and clinical reports of ECC. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, absolute bias, relative bias and inflation factor were calculated. Statistical significance was determined at p  < 0.05. Results The clinically-determined ECC prevalence was 4.6% (95% Confidence interval [CI]: 3.5–5.0) while the maternal-reported ECC prevalence was 3.4% (CI 2.4–4.6). Maternal reports underestimated the prevalence of ECC by 26.1% in comparison to the clinical evaluation. The results indicate low sensitivity (9.43%; CI 3.13–20.70) but high specificity (96.9%; CI 95.7–97.9). The positive predictive value was 12.8% (CI 4.3–27.4) while the negative predictive value was 95.7% (CI 94.3–96.8). The inflation factor for maternally reported ECC was 1.4. Sensitivity (50.0%; CI 6.8–93.2) and positive predictive value were highest (33.3%; CI 4.3–77.7) when the child had a history of visiting the dental clinic. Conclusions Mothers under-reported the presence of ECC in their children in this study population. The low sensitivity and positive predictive values of maternal report of ECC indicates that maternal reporting of presence of ECC may not be used as a valid tool to measure ECC in public health surveys. The high specificity and negative predictive values indicate that their report is a good measure of the absence of ECC in the study population. Child’s history of dental service utilization may be a proxy measure of presence of ECC.
Molecular Mass and Isoelectric Point Analysis of Cytokinin Sequences in the Wheat Genome
Cytokinins play an important role in plants and are targets of wheat breeding, particularly in terms of flowering and yield. The objective of this study was to determine relative synonymous codon usage (RSCU), molecular weight (g/mol), theoretical isoelectric point, instability index, aliphatic index, and hydrophobicity for the wheat cytokinin sequences from two different databases. The methods employed involved different formulas for calculations. The relative synonymous codon usage values were calculated as the ratio of the observed frequency to the expected frequency for the particular codon. The theoretical isoelectric point was calculated based on dissociation constant for groups of carboxylic acid and amino acids groups. The results showed that values of the relative synonymous codon usage divided amino acids of wheat into two groups. In the first group, values were above 1.6 (significant overrepresentation), such as those for phenylalanine (TTC), and Leucine (TTA). In the second group, values were below 0.6 (underrepresentation) such as those for leucine (CTA) and valine (GTT). In addition, the theoretical isoelectric point (pI) ranged from 4.81 to 6.6, and the instability index values were 34.3 and 38.16. A high degree of instability was observed at 1D and 5D of wheat genomes with values of 54.16 and 50.36, respectively. Principal component analysis (PCA) of the RSCU revealed that the main variation was attributed to PC1, accounting for a total variation of about 72.11%. The amino acids contributing to this variation included isoleucine, leucine, lysine, aspartic acid, and serine. PCA of the theoretical isoelectric point results found that the main variation was attributed to PC1, with a total variation of about 58.88%, and these chromosomes included 5D, 4D, 1A, 4B, and 3D of wheat genomes. Understanding the importance of RSCU in plant breeding helps breeders understand the mechanisms and functional aspects of wheat genomes, thereby enabling the development of wheat genomes for environmental adaptations. These results will provide a reference for nutrition and industrial applications, as well as supporting breeding programs.