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The duration of tree seedling persistence in the understory varies greatly between forests and across environmental conditions within a forest ecosystem. To examine species‐level variation in understory persistence and passage to the sapling life stage, we followed 5236 seedlings in single‐tree canopy gaps and closed canopy conditions over three years and simulated seedling passage times and the number of seedlings required to produce one 1.5‐m tall sapling of five common tree species in a hemlock–hardwood forest of Massachusetts, USA. Averaged across species, it took 26 years in gaps and 31 years under closed canopies to go from a first‐year seedling to a 1.5‐m sapling. Across species, the average number of seedlings needed for one sapling was 294 in gaps and 2674 in closed canopy environments. We observed high interspecific variation in passage times and number required for one sapling. Betula congeners and Pinus strobus took less time and significantly fewer individuals than Acer rubrum and Tsuga canadensis, which are generally regarded as more tolerant of understory conditions. The largest intraspecific difference in gaps versus closed canopy environments was for Quercus rubra, where we estimated the number of seedlings required to produce one sapling in closed canopies to be 172 times higher than in gaps. Stem breakage also increased the number of seedlings needed per sapling, especially in closed canopy environments. We evaluated our estimates in the lab by aging cross‐sections obtained from seedlings in gap and closed canopy conditions. Compared to our empirical age‐to‐height relationships, most simulations tended to underpredict seedling age for a given height, suggesting that passage times may be even longer than our simulations indicated. Our study shows that trees can persist for decades in the seedling life stage, highlighting a need for better‐parameterized recruitment processes in demographic forecasting.

Fruit-eating animals can influence the germination success of seeds through transportation and handling. We experimentally tested the contribution of ingestion by the common fruit-eating bat, Artibeus jamaicensis (Phyllostomidae, Chiroptera), to the percentage and rate of seed germination of figs (Ficus, Moraceae), which are considered keystone species for many frugivores. We collected fruits from three species of native free-standing figs (subgenus Pharmacosycea: F. insipida, F. maxima and F. yoponensis) and three species of native strangler figs (subgenus Urostigma: F. nymphiifolia, F. obtusifolia and F. popenoei) on Barro Colorado Island, Panama. The germination success of seeds removed from fruit pulp either manually or by ingestion was very high (>92%), while seeds that were not removed from fruit pulp were destroyed by fast-growing fungi within a few days. The dynamics of seed germination were not influenced by ingestion, but differed between the two subgenera of figs. In free-standing figs, germination started significantly earlier (5.3 ± 0.7 days) than in strangler figs (8.6 ± 1.4 days). Furthermore, strangler seeds were covered with a sticky coating and their seedlings developed cotyledons faster than fine roots, in contrast to free-standing figs that showed the opposite pattern. Our results demonstrate that the germination of fig seeds is positively influenced by passage through the gut of A. jamaicensis. Furthermore, free-standing and strangler figs revealed differences in germination parameters that might be adaptive with respect to the suitability of microsites such as tree fall gaps or host trees for establishment.

McKey's (1975) hypothesis that avian dispersers with a specialized gut provide higher quality seed dispersal than unspecialized frugivores was tested using grey mistletoe (Amyema quandang) fruits, and captive mistletoebirds (Dicaeum hirundinaceum) and spinycheeked honeyeaters (Acanthagenys refogularis) in arid South Australia. Mistletoebirds have a specialized gut, unlike spiny-cheeked honeyeaters. The gut passage time of A. quandang fruits through mistletoebirds was 820(-)29 s (mean(-) SE, n=188), compared to 2434(-)36 s (n=436) for honeyeaters. The seeds defecated by both bird species were deployed on twigs of host trees. Despite the longer retention time of fruit in the gut of honeyeaters, the germination percentage of seeds defecated by mistletoebirds (85 % of 485 seeds) and honeyeaters (81 % of 485 seeds) did not differ significantly 1 week after deployment. However, after 5 months, a significantly greater proportion of seedlings had established from seeds passed by mistletoebirds (42,7 %) than from seeds defecated by honeyeaters (31,1 %). The data support the notion that the more gentle treatment of seeds in the gut of specialized dispersers translates into higher seedling establishment.