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"sero-epidemiology"
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Seroprevalence of measles antibodies in the Italian general population in 2019–2020
2024
•An increased overall measles seroprevalence than previous investigations was found.•Seroprevalence significantly increased in the oldest age group.•Older age groups had significantly higher antibody titers than the younger ones.•Seroprevalence was significantly higher in Southern than Northern-Central Italy.
In Italy, the measles elimination target has not yet been reached despite a significant reduction in cases. A multicenter study was conducted to estimate the prevalence of anti-measles (MV) IgG antibodies in the Italian population by age, sex and geographical area. To determine the level of MV-specific antibodies in sera, the immunoenzymatic assay ELISA was used (Enzygnost Anti-VZV/IgG, Siemens Healthcare Diagnostic Products GmbH, Germany). Overall, 3746 serum samples collected in the years 2019–20 from healthy subjects aged 6–64 years residing in 13 Italian regions. The overall seroprevalence of anti-MV IgG was 91.2 % (90.6 % male, 91.7 % female). Significantly higher seroprevalence values (p < 0.05) were recorded for the extreme age groups of the study population (6–9 years: 94.2 %; 40–64 years: 97.6 %). Subjects 20–39 and 40–64 years old had significantly higher antibody titers suggesting a protection against measles mainly derived from natural infection. Seroprevalence was significantly higher in the South (93.2 %) than in the Northern-Central Italy (88.9 %). The results indicate an increase in the overall seroprevalence data compared to previous investigations. However, further efforts must be made to implement and maintain high measles vaccination coverage to avoid the risk of future epidemic outbreaks.
Journal Article
Seroprotection against tetanus in the Italian general population
2024
Tetanus is a non-communicable disease, preventable with vaccination. Despite the implemented vaccination strategy, a certain number of tetanus cases per year continue to occur. The aim of the study was to evaluate the seroprevalence of anti-tetanus antibodies in the Italian population by age, sex and geographical area.
To determine the level of tetanus-specific antibodies, an immunoenzymatic assay was used.
A total of 3,821 serum samples were collected in the years 2019–20 from healthy subjects aged 6–90 years residing in 13 Italian regions. Overall, 85 % of the tested subjects resulted positive. The rate of subjects protected against tetanus showed a gradual decrease from the younger age groups to the older ones (6–12 years: 93.6 %, 13–24 years: 91.8 %, 25–39 years: 91.0 %, 40–64 years: 78.2 %, ≥ 65 years: 45.3 %); this is particularly evident in the Southern regions and Islands. Moreover, the prevalence of subjects with low protection (<0.1 IU/ml) was significantly higher in the ≥ 65 age group (10.3 %). Males and females’ prevalence showed a significant difference only in the oldest age group (M: 60.8 %, F: 30.4 %). In general, a higher prevalence was observed for Northern (90.8 %) and Central regions (87.3 %) than Southern regions and Islands (80.0 %).
These data, compared with epidemiological ones which showed a high number of cases in the elderly, confirmed that the population with lower protection has a greater risk of contracting the disease, demonstrating the need for adequate immunization through both primary vaccination and boosters for all ages and both sexes, in order to provide lifelong protection.
Journal Article
Immunity of Canadians and risk of epidemics workshop – Conference report
by
Crowcroft, Natasha
,
Severini, Alberto
,
Ward, Brian J.
in
Allergy and Immunology
,
Best practice
,
Canada - epidemiology
2023
On November 18–19, 2019, the Immunity of Canadians and Risk of Epidemics (iCARE) Network convened a workshop in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. The objectives of the workshop were to raise the profile of sero-epidemiology in Canada, discuss best practice and methodological innovations, and strategize on the future direction of sero-epidemiology work in Canada. In this conference report, we describe the presentations and discussions from the workshop, and comment on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on serosurveillance initiatives, both in Canada and abroad.
Journal Article
Clinical Landscape and Rate of Exposure to Ilheus Virus: Insights from Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis
by
de Freitas Calmon, Marília
,
Saivish, Marielena Vogel
,
Rahal, Paula
in
Adolescent
,
Animals
,
arbovirus
2022
Ilheus fever is a mosquito-borne, poorly known tropical disease. We aimed to report the pooled rate of exposure to the Ilheus virus (ILHV) and clinical outcomes of infection to determine the epidemiological patterns of ILHV. We conducted a meta-analysis of 37 studies (n = 17,722 individuals) from Latin America. The common clinical characteristics of ILHV infection were fever (82.3%), headache (52.9%), and myalgia (52.9%). Encephalitis complicated the course of the infection in 29.4% cases. Monotypic serological reactions detected a pooled rate of exposure of 2% to ILHV (95% CI: 1–2). Studies were mainly conducted in Brazil, with a pooled proportion of ILHV positivity of 8% (95% CI: 3–14). Males (12%) had higher rates of seropositivity than females (7%) and had high chances of ILHV infection (OR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.2–2.5). Seropositivity increased with age, from 2% (95% CI: 2–3) among people aged 0–14 years to 8% (95% CI: 6–10) among people aged 15–64 years. Our analysis indicated a low and relatively constant burden of ILHV in Latin America. More research is needed to evaluate and innovate serological assays for ILHV to better estimate the burden and dynamics of epidemiological changes in ILHV infection in different regions.
Journal Article
Identification of associated risk factors for serological distribution of hepatitis B virus via machine learning models
2024
Background
The provincial-level sero-survey was launched to learn the updated seroprevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in the general population aged 1–69 years in Chongqing and to assess the risk factors for HBV infection to effectively screen persons with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).
Methods
A total of 1828 individuals aged 1–69 years were investigated, and hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), antibody to HBsAg (HBsAb), and antibody to B core antigen (HBcAb) were detected. Logistic regression and three machine learning (ML) algorithms, including random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and stochastic gradient boosting (SGB), were developed for analysis.
Results
The HBsAg prevalence of the total population was 3.83%, and among persons aged 1–14 years and 15–69 years, it was 0.24% and 4.89%, respectively. A large figure of 95.18% (770/809) of adults was unaware of their occult HBV infection. Age, region, and immunization history were found to be statistically associated with HBcAb prevalence with a logistic regression model. The prediction accuracies were 0.717, 0.727, and 0.725 for the proposed RF, SVM, and SGB models, respectively.
Conclusions
The logistic regression integrated with ML models could helpfully screen the risk factors for HBV infection and identify high-risk populations with CHB.
Journal Article
Seroprevalence of hepatitis B among the general population in Shandong Province, Eastern China, an update 30 years after the implementation of the neonatal vaccination program
2024
Background
In 1992, Hepatitis B vaccine was first recommended for routine neonatal immunization in China. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Shandong Province, eastern China (updating our previous study in 2014), and to help guide the efforts of hepatitis B elimination.
Methods
We determined prevalence of HBV infection from the remaining serum samples collected through a population-based survey, which was originally intended for a seroepidemiological survey of anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies conducted in 2023. The samples (
n
= 5000) were obtained from individuals all-aged over 1 year residing in ten counties of Shandong Province. The chemiluminescence microparticle immunoassay was used to detect serological markers of HBV.
Results
In total, 4999 samples were eligible for the test of hepatitis B. The overall prevalence of HBsAg, anti-HBs, and anti-HBc in the 2023 survey was 2.25% (95%CI:1.64–2.87), 46.21% (95%CI:44.05–48.38), and 25.17% (95%CI:23.46–26.88), respectively. The HBsAg prevalence has dropped to 0.28% among individuals younger than 30 years, particularly with less than 0.1% among children aged 1–14 (considerably below the 8% prevalence recorded in 1992). The peak prevalence of HBsAg was observed in individuals aged 40–49 years (5.63%), followed by those aged 30–39 (3.11%).
Conclusion
The Shandong Province has achieved substantial success in controlling HBV infection among the younger generation through the newborn routine vaccination program. To accelerate progress towards the goal of eliminating hepatitis B in the province, additional strategies should also be adopted in parallel, including increasing diagnostic coverage, expanding antiviral treatment, and enhancing hepatitis B vaccine coverage for HBV-susceptible adults.
Journal Article
Sero-epidemiology and associated factors of HIV, HBV, HCV and syphilis among blood donors in Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis
by
Damtie, Debasu
,
Tessema, Belay
,
Woldu, Berhanu
in
Blood
,
Blood & organ donations
,
Blood donors
2021
Background
Transfusion transmissible infections (TTIs) remain a major public health problem in developing countries including Ethiopia. In Ethiopia, comprehensive information about sero-epidemiology of major TTIs is lacking at the national level. Therefore, this systematic review and meta-analysis was aimed at providing the pooled estimate of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV) and syphilis among blood donors in Ethiopia.
Methods
Relevant studies published until May 31, 2019 were searched through PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, SCOPUS, HINARI, Cochrane database library, Web of Science, Google Scholar and Google. The methodological quality of articles was assessed using Joanna Brigg’s Institute critical appraisal checklist for prevalence and analytical studies. The pooled sero-epidemiology of HIV, HBV, HCV and syphilis were determined using the random-effects model. Heterogeneity between the studies was assessed using the I
2
statistics. Publication bias was assessed by visual inspection of the funnel plot and Egger's statistics.
Results
A total of 7921 articles were retrieved, and 7798 were screened for eligibility after duplicates removed. Forty-nine full-text articles were assessed for eligibility; of which 45 were eligible for qualitative and quantitative synthesis: categorized as 36, 34, 31 and 23 studies for estimations of HBV, HIV, HCV and syphilis, respectively. In the random-effects model, the pooled sero-epidemiology of HBV, HIV, HCV and syphilis was 5.20, 2.83, 0.93 and 1.50%, respectively. Moreover, being a male blood donor was significantly associated with HBV and syphilis infection, whereas being a replacement blood donor was significantly associated with a high burden of HIV, HBV and HCV infections.
Conclusion
The pooled sero-epidemiology of major TTIs among blood donors was high. Therefore, there is a need to design prevention and control strategies in a comprehensive approach to reduce the burden.
Journal Article
Posterior Positivity Distribution Analysis of Subclinical Bluetongue in the Eastern and North-Eastern States of India: A Wakeup Call for Outbreak Preparedness
by
Ray, Saibal
,
Abd El Wahed, Ahmed
,
Joardar, Siddhartha Narayan
in
Animals
,
Antibodies
,
Antibodies, Viral - blood
2025
Bluetongue (BT) is considered endemic in the southern states of India, with sporadic incidences reported from the northern, western and central parts of India. However, the eastern and north-eastern states of India have not experienced active disease so far. In the recent past, an extensive sero-epidemiological investigation was carried out in the eastern and north-eastern Indian states. With the aim of getting updated and refined estimates of positivity rates, the sero-surveillance data were analyzed using the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method to calculate the positivity rates of various species across different states and agro-climatic zones. The posterior positivity distribution helped in accurately estimating the seroprevalence of bluetongue virus (BTV) among different species and regions. The MCMC method was applied for the first time in a BTV seroprevalence analysis that enhanced our understanding of infection dynamics, guided targeted interventions and supported better decision-making in bluetongue disease control, prevention and disease preparedness. This exercise is quite pertinent in the context of the recent upsurge of newer BTV strains, e.g., BTV-3 and BTV-8, in the western world. In short, as a powerful computational tool, MCMC could be used for accurate seroprevalence estimation, species-specific insights, regional analysis, enhanced decision-making and epidemiological insights for bluetongue.
Journal Article
SARS-CoV-2 sero-prevalence in the workforces of three large workplaces in South Wales: a sero-epidemiological study
2022
Background
Sero-prevalence studies quantify the proportion of a population that has antibodies against SARS-CoV-2, and can be used to identify the extent of the COVID-19 pandemic at a population level. The aim of the study was to assess the sero-prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the workforce at three workplaces: a food factory, non-food factory and call-centre.
Methods
Nine hundred ninety-three participants were recruited from three workplaces in South Wales. Participants completed a questionnaire and had a lateral flow point-of-care SARS-CoV-2 antibody test administered by a healthcare professional. The data were analysed using multivariable logistic regression, both using complete records only and following multiple imputation
.
Results
The sero-prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies ranged from 4% (
n
= 17/402) in the non-food factory to 10% (
n
= 28/281) in the food factory (OR 2.93; 95% CI 1.26 to 6.81). After taking account of confounding factors evidence of a difference remained (cOR comparing food factory to call centre (2.93; 95% CI 1.26 to 6.81) and non-food factory (3.99; 95% CI 1.97 to 8.08) respectively). The SARS-CoV-2 antibody prevalence also varied between roles within workplaces. People working in office based roles had a 2.23 times greater conditional odds (95% CI 1.02 to 4.87) of being positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies than those working on the factory floor.
Conclusion
The sero-prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies varied by workplace and work role. Whilst it is not possible to state whether these differences are due to COVID-19 transmission within the workplaces, it highlights the importance of considering COVID-19 transmission in a range of workplaces and work roles.
Journal Article
Serological and Community Awareness Study of Lumpy Skin Disease in Different Agro-Ecological Zones of Sidama Regional State, Southern Ethiopia
2024
The lumpy skin disease (LSD) vaccination status and epidemiological distribution remain unknown in some parts of Ethiopia, including the Sidama regional state. In this study, a serological survey of LSD was performed using a specific virus neutralization assay in selected districts of the Sidama regional state representing three agroecological zones from September 2021 to June 2022. Moreover, an assessment of community awareness and LSD vaccine-related problems was conducted using a questionnaire. Our results showed an overall animal and herd level seroprevalence of 40.8% (95%CI = 35.8, 45.8) and 81% (95%CI = 77, 85), respectively. High and low seroprevalence were observed in lowland (48%) and highland (28%) areas, although they were not statistically significant. However, risk factors such as management systems and breeds showed substantial differences in their LSD prevalence. The results obtained through the questionnaire showed that a small portion of respondents (29.2%) know about LSD and vaccinate their cattle (23.3%) against this disease. Only 20.8% of the respondents stated that there was LSD occurrence in their vaccinated cattle. In conclusion, both qualitative and quantitative study results showed the need for intervention in terms of community-based awareness creation about LSD clinical signs and vaccination advantages together with the frequently updated information on LSD prevalence.
Journal Article