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result(s) for
"simulation and modeling"
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Everything you need to know about agent-based modelling and simulation
by
Macal, C M
in
agent-based modeling and simulation
,
Business and Management
,
computational social simulation
2016
This paper addresses the background and current state of the field of agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS). It revisits the issue of ABMS represents as a new development, considering the extremes of being an overhyped fad, doomed to disappear, or a revolutionary development, shifting fundamental paradigms of how research is conducted. This paper identifies key ABMS resources, publications, and communities. It also proposes several complementary definitions for ABMS, based on practice, intended to establish a common vocabulary for understanding ABMS, which seems to be lacking. It concludes by suggesting research challenges for ABMS to advance and realize its potential in the coming years.
Journal Article
From machine learning to machine reasoning
2014
A plausible definition of “
reasoning
” could be “
algebraically manipulating previously acquired knowledge in order to answer a new question
”. This definition covers first-order logical inference or probabilistic inference. It also includes much simpler manipulations commonly used to build large learning systems. For instance, we can build an optical character recognition system by first training a character segmenter, an isolated character recognizer, and a language model, using appropriate labelled training sets. Adequately concatenating these modules and fine tuning the resulting system can be viewed as an algebraic operation in a space of models. The resulting model answers a new question, that is, converting the image of a text page into a computer readable text.
This observation suggests a conceptual continuity between algebraically rich inference systems, such as logical or probabilistic inference, and simple manipulations, such as the mere concatenation of trainable learning systems. Therefore, instead of trying to bridge the gap between machine learning systems and sophisticated “all-purpose” inference mechanisms, we can instead algebraically enrich the set of manipulations applicable to training systems, and build reasoning capabilities from the ground up.
Journal Article
Shoreline changes over last five decades and predictions for 2030 and 2040: a case study from Cuddalore, southeast coast of India
by
Tune, Usha
,
Lakshumanan, Chokkalingam
,
Natarajan Logesh
in
Beaches
,
Case studies
,
Coastal erosion
2021
We estimated shoreline changes over the last five decades in a part of the southeast coast of India at Cuddalore by using multitemporal satellite images from six different time-windows (i.e. 1972, 1980, 1990, 2000, 2010 and 2020) and the digital shoreline analysis system tool (DSAS 5.0). The linear regression rate and end point rate quantified the maximum erosion at rates of 6.8–7.2 m/year and the maximum accretion at rates of 3.9–4.2 m/year at different sites along the 42 km stretch that was affected by several disasters in the recent past and has a substantial industrial presence. The net shoreline movement analysis identified the sites that experienced about 340 m of erosion and about 203 m of accretion. The Kalman filter model predicted up to 274 m of the shoreline erosion at Chinna vaaikaal until 2040. Similarly, the shoreline at Puthupettai could be accreted up to 538 m over the same interval. The outcome of this research demonstrates that studies similar to ours should be carried out in different parts along the vast Indian coastline to understand the shoreline evolution in order to prepare a better coastal management strategy.
Journal Article
The class imbalance problem in deep learning
by
Japkowicz, Nathalie
,
Corizzo, Roberto
,
Krawczyk, Bartosz
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
class imbalance
,
Computer Science
2024
Deep learning has recently unleashed the ability for Machine learning (ML) to make unparalleled strides. It did so by confronting and successfully addressing, at least to a certain extent, the knowledge bottleneck that paralyzed ML and artificial intelligence for decades. The community is currently basking in deep learning’s success, but a question that comes to mind is: have all of the issues previously affecting machine learning systems been solved by deep learning or do some issues remain for which deep learning is not a bulletproof solution? This question in the context of the class imbalance becomes a motivation for this paper. Imbalance problem was first recognized almost three decades ago and has remained a critical challenge at least for traditional learning approaches. Our goal is to investigate whether the tight dependency between class imbalances, concept complexities, dataset size and classifier performance, known to exist in traditional learning systems, is alleviated in any way in deep learning approaches and to what extent, if any, network depth and regularization can help. To answer these questions we conduct a survey of the recent literature focused on deep learning and the class imbalance problem as well as a series of controlled experiments on both artificial and real-world domains. This allows us to formulate lessons learned about the impact of class imbalance on deep learning models, as well as pose open challenges that should be tackled by researchers in this field.
Journal Article
Tutorial on agent-based modelling and simulation
by
Macal, C M
,
North, M J
in
agent-based modelling and simulation
,
Behavior
,
Business and Management
2010
Agent-based modelling and simulation (ABMS) is a relatively new approach to modelling systems composed of autonomous, interacting agents. Agent-based modelling is a way to model the dynamics of complex systems and complex adaptive systems. Such systems often self-organize themselves and create emergent order. Agent-based models also include models of behaviour (human or otherwise) and are used to observe the collective effects of agent behaviours and interactions. The development of agent modelling tools, the availability of micro-data, and advances in computation have made possible a growing number of agent-based applications across a variety of domains and disciplines. This article provides a brief introduction to ABMS, illustrates the main concepts and foundations, discusses some recent applications across a variety of disciplines, and identifies methods and toolkits for developing agent models.
Journal Article
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in machine learning: an introduction to concepts and methods
2021
The notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty has long been perceived as almost synonymous with standard probability and probabilistic predictions. Yet, due to the steadily increasing relevance of machine learning for practical applications and related issues such as safety requirements, new problems and challenges have recently been identified by machine learning scholars, and these problems may call for new methodological developments. In particular, this includes the importance of distinguishing between (at least) two different types of uncertainty, often referred to as aleatoric and epistemic. In this paper, we provide an introduction to the topic of uncertainty in machine learning as well as an overview of attempts so far at handling uncertainty in general and formalizing this distinction in particular.
Journal Article
A survey on semi-supervised learning
2020
Semi-supervised learning is the branch of machine learning concerned with using labelled as well as unlabelled data to perform certain learning tasks. Conceptually situated between supervised and unsupervised learning, it permits harnessing the large amounts of unlabelled data available in many use cases in combination with typically smaller sets of labelled data. In recent years, research in this area has followed the general trends observed in machine learning, with much attention directed at neural network-based models and generative learning. The literature on the topic has also expanded in volume and scope, now encompassing a broad spectrum of theory, algorithms and applications. However, no recent surveys exist to collect and organize this knowledge, impeding the ability of researchers and engineers alike to utilize it. Filling this void, we present an up-to-date overview of semi-supervised learning methods, covering earlier work as well as more recent advances. We focus primarily on semi-supervised classification, where the large majority of semi-supervised learning research takes place. Our survey aims to provide researchers and practitioners new to the field as well as more advanced readers with a solid understanding of the main approaches and algorithms developed over the past two decades, with an emphasis on the most prominent and currently relevant work. Furthermore, we propose a new taxonomy of semi-supervised classification algorithms, which sheds light on the different conceptual and methodological approaches for incorporating unlabelled data into the training process. Lastly, we show how the fundamental assumptions underlying most semi-supervised learning algorithms are closely connected to each other, and how they relate to the well-known semi-supervised clustering assumption.
Journal Article
Classifier calibration: a survey on how to assess and improve predicted class probabilities
by
Perello-Nieto, Miquel
,
Song, Hao
,
Santos-Rodriguez, Raul
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
Calibration
,
Classification
2023
This paper provides both an introduction to and a detailed overview of the principles and practice of classifier calibration. A well-calibrated classifier correctly quantifies the level of uncertainty or confidence associated with its instance-wise predictions. This is essential for critical applications, optimal decision making, cost-sensitive classification, and for some types of context change. Calibration research has a rich history which predates the birth of machine learning as an academic field by decades. However, a recent increase in the interest on calibration has led to new methods and the extension from binary to the multiclass setting. The space of options and issues to consider is large, and navigating it requires the right set of concepts and tools. We provide both introductory material and up-to-date technical details of the main concepts and methods, including proper scoring rules and other evaluation metrics, visualisation approaches, a comprehensive account of post-hoc calibration methods for binary and multiclass classification, and several advanced topics.
Journal Article
Challenges of real-world reinforcement learning: definitions, benchmarks and analysis
2021
Reinforcement learning (RL) has proven its worth in a series of artificial domains, and is beginning to show some successes in real-world scenarios. However, much of the research advances in RL are hard to leverage in real-world systems due to a series of assumptions that are rarely satisfied in practice. In this work, we identify and formalize a series of independent challenges that embody the difficulties that must be addressed for RL to be commonly deployed in real-world systems. For each challenge, we define it formally in the context of a Markov Decision Process, analyze the effects of the challenge on state-of-the-art learning algorithms, and present some existing attempts at tackling it. We believe that an approach that addresses our set of proposed challenges would be readily deployable in a large number of real world problems. Our proposed challenges are implemented in a suite of continuous control environments called realworldrl-suite which we propose an as an open-source benchmark.
Journal Article
Simulation and Optimization of Internal Combustion Engines
by
Han, Zhiyu
in
Aeronautics-Safety measures
,
Airplanes-Maintenance and repair
,
alternative fuel engines
2021
Simulation and Optimization of Internal Combustion Engines provides the fundamentals and up-to-date progress in multidimensional simulation and optimization of internal combustion engines. While it is impossible to include all the models in a single book, this book intends to introduce the pioneer and/or the often-used models and the physics behind them providing readers with ready-to-use knowledge. Key issues, useful modeling methodology and techniques, as well as instructive results, are discussed through examples. Readers will understand the fundamentals of these examples and be inspired to explore new ideas and means for better solutions in their studies and work. Topics include combustion basis of IC engines, mathematical descriptions of reactive flow with sprays, engine in-cylinder turbulence, fuel sprays, combustions and pollutant emissions, optimization of direct-injection gasoline engines, and optimization of diesel and alternative fuel engines.