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result(s) for
"time-series data"
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Time series-dependent feature of EEG signals for improved visually evoked emotion classification using EmotionCapsNet
by
Bhattacharjee, Vandana
,
Kumari, Nandini
,
Anwar, Shamama
in
Accuracy
,
Arousal
,
Artificial Intelligence
2022
In recent studies, machine learning and deep learning strategies have been explored in many EEG-based application for best performance. More specifically, convolutional neural networks (CNNs) have demonstrated incredible capacity in electroencephalograph (EEG)-evoked emotion classification tasks. In preexisting case, CNN-based emotion classification techniques using EEG signals mostly involve a moderately intricate phase of feature extrication before any network model implementation. The CNNs are not able to well describe the natural interrelation among the various EEG channels, which basically provides essential data for the classification of different emotion states. In this paper, an efficacious and advanced version of CNN called Emotion-based Capsule Network (EmotionCapsNet) for multi-channel EEG-based emotion classification to achieve better classification accuracy is presented. EmotionCapsNet has been applied to the raw EEG signals as well as 2D image representation generated from EEG signals which can extricate descriptive and complex features from the EEG signals and decide the different emotional states. The proposed system is then compared with the other conventional machine learning and deep learning-based CNN model. Our strategy accomplishes an average accuracy of 77.50%, 78.44% and 79.38% for valence, arousal and dominance on the DEAP, 79.06%, 78.90% and 79.69% on AMIGOS and attains an average accuracy of 80.34%, 83.04% and 82.50% for valence, arousal and dominance on the DREAMER, respectively. These outcomes demonstrate that adapted strategy yields comparable precision on raw EEG signal and it also provides better classification results on spatiotemporal feature of EEG signal for emotion classification task.
Journal Article
A convolutional neural network based approach to financial time series prediction
by
Mohan, B. H. Krishna
,
Durairaj, Dr. M.
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Autoregressive models
2022
Financial time series are chaotic that, in turn, leads their predictability to be complex and challenging. This paper presents a novel financial time series prediction hybrid that involves Chaos Theory, Convolutional neural network (CNN), and Polynomial Regression (PR). The financial time series is first checked in this hybrid for the presence of chaos. The chaos in the series of times is later modeled using Chaos Theory. The modeled time series is input to CNN to obtain initial predictions. The error series obtained from CNN predictions is fit by PR to get error predictions. The error predictions and initial predictions from CNN are added to obtain the final predictions of the hybrid model. The effectiveness of the proposed hybrid (Chaos+CNN+PR) is tested by using three types of Foreign exchange rates of financial time series (INR/USD, JPY/USD, SGD/USD), commodity prices (Gold, Crude Oil, Soya beans), and stock market indices (S&P 500, Nifty 50, Shanghai Composite). The proposed hybrid is superior to Auto-regressive integrated moving averages (ARIMA), Prophet, Classification and Regression Tree (CART), Random Forest (RF), CNN, Chaos+CART, Chaos+RF and Chaos+CNN in terms of MSE, MAPE, Dstat, and Theil’s
U
.
Journal Article
Data-driven analysis reveals distinct genomic and environmental contributions to bacterial growth curves
2025
Bacterial growth dynamics, typically represented by growth curves, are fundamental yet complex features of living populations. Traditional analyses focusing on specific parameters often overlook the full temporal patterns of growth. Here, we systematically investigated how genomic and environmental factors shape bacterial growth dynamics by analyzing 870 growth curves from five
Escherichia coli
strains with varying genome sizes cultured in 29 chemically defined media. Using dynamic time warping, clustering, and gradient boosting decision trees, we found that environmental components, especially glucose, primarily determine overall growth curve patterns, while genome size governs detailed growth parameters such as lag time, growth rate, and carrying capacity. Notably, finer clustering revealed increased genomic influence and decreased environmental impact, suggesting a hierarchical interaction where the environment modulates broad growth behavior and the genome fine-tunes specific growth responses. These findings provide insights into the coordinated roles of genome and environment in bacterial population dynamics, advancing our understanding of microbial growth regulation.
Journal Article
Do early warning indicators consistently predict nonlinear change in long‐term ecological data?
by
Campbell, Ronald
,
Johns, David G.
,
Maberly, Stephen C.
in
Adaptive management
,
Anthropogenic factors
,
Aquatic ecosystems
2016
Anthropogenic pressures, including climate change, are causing nonlinear changes in ecosystems globally. The development of reliable early warning indicators (EWIs) to predict these changes is vital for the adaptive management of ecosystems and the protection of biodiversity, natural capital and ecosystem services. Increased variance and autocorrelation are potential early warning indicators and can be readily estimated from ecological time series. Here, we undertook a comprehensive test of the consistency between early warning indicators and nonlinear abundance change across species, trophic levels and ecosystem types. We tested whether long‐term abundance time series of 55 taxa (126 data sets) across multiple trophic levels in marine and freshwater ecosystems showed (i) significant nonlinear change in abundance ‘turning points’ and (ii) significant increases in variance and autocorrelation (‘early warning indicators’). For each data set, we then quantified the prevalence of three cases: true positives (early warning indicators and associated turning point), false negatives (turning point but no associated early warning indicators) and false positives (early warning indicators but no turning point). True positives were rare, representing only 9% (16 of 170) of cases using variance, and 13% (19 of 152) of cases using autocorrelation. False positives were more prevalent than false negatives (53% vs. 38% for variance; 47% vs. 40% for autocorrelation). False results were found in every decade and across all trophic levels and ecosystems. Time series that contained true positives were uncommon (8% for variance; 6% for autocorrelation), with all but one time series also containing false classifications. Coherence between the types of early warning indicators was generally low with 43% of time series categorized differently based on variance compared to autocorrelation. Synthesis and applications. Conservation management requires effective early warnings of ecosystem change using readily available data, and variance and autocorrelation in abundance data have been suggested as candidates. However, our study shows that they consistently fail to predict nonlinear change. For early warning indicators to be effective tools for preventative management of ecosystem change, we recommend that multivariate approaches of a suite of potential indicators are adopted, incorporating analyses of anthropogenic drivers and process‐based understanding.
Journal Article
Recurrent neural network model for high-speed train vibration prediction from time series
by
Woźniak, Marcin
,
Wieczorek, Michał
,
Siłka, Jakub
in
Accuracy
,
Algorithms
,
Artificial Intelligence
2022
In this article, we want to discuss the use of deep learning model to predict potential vibrations of high-speed trains. In our research, we have tested and developed deep learning model to predict potential vibrations from time series of recorded vibrations during travel. We have tested various training models, different time steps and potential error margins to examine how well we are able to predict situation on the track. Summarizing, in our article we have used the RNN-LSTM neural network model with hyperbolic tangent in hidden layers and rectified linear unit gate at the final layer in order to predict future values from the time series data. Results of our research show the our system is able to predict vibrations with Accuracy of above 99% in series of values forward.
Journal Article
A Variational Bayesian Deep Network with Data Self-Screening Layer for Massive Time-Series Data Forecasting
2022
Compared with mechanism-based modeling methods, data-driven modeling based on big data has become a popular research field in recent years because of its applicability. However, it is not always better to have more data when building a forecasting model in practical areas. Due to the noise and conflict, redundancy, and inconsistency of big time-series data, the forecasting accuracy may reduce on the contrary. This paper proposes a deep network by selecting and understanding data to improve performance. Firstly, a data self-screening layer (DSSL) with a maximal information distance coefficient (MIDC) is designed to filter input data with high correlation and low redundancy; then, a variational Bayesian gated recurrent unit (VBGRU) is used to improve the anti-noise ability and robustness of the model. Beijing’s air quality and meteorological data are conducted in a verification experiment of 24 h PM2.5 concentration forecasting, proving that the proposed model is superior to other models in accuracy.
Journal Article
Applying attention-based BiLSTM and technical indicators in the design and performance analysis of stock trading strategies
by
Chang, Jia-Wei
,
Yeh, Sheng-Cheng
,
Chia, Tsorng-Lin
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Computational Biology/Bioinformatics
2022
With the development of the Internet, information on the stock market has gradually become transparent, and stock information is easy to obtain. For investors, investment performance depends on the amount of capital and effective trading strategies. The analysis tool commonly used by investors and securities analysts is technical analysis (TA). Technical analysis is the study of past and current financial market information, and a large amount of statistical data is used to predict price trends and determine trading strategies. Technical indicators (TIs) are a type of technical analysis that summarizes possible future trends of stock prices based on historical statistical data to assist investors in making decisions. The stock price trend is a typical time series data with special characteristics such as trend, seasonality, and periodicity. In recent years, time series deep neural networks (DNNs) have demonstrated their powerful performance in machine translation, speech processing, and natural language processing fields. This research proposes the concept of attention-based BiLSTM (AttBiLSTM) applied to trading strategy design and verified the effectiveness of a variety of TIs, including stochastic oscillator, RSI, BIAS, W%R, and MACD. This research also proposes two trading strategies that suitable for DNN, combining with TIs and verifying their effectiveness. The main contributions of this research are as follows: (1) As our best knowledge, this is the first research to propose the concept of applying TIs to the LSTM-attention time series model for stock price prediction. (2) This study introduces five well-known TIs, which reached a maximum of 68.83% in the accuracy of stock trend prediction. (3) This research introduces the concept of exporting the probability of the deep model to the trading strategy. On the backtest of TPE0050, the experimental results reached the highest return on investment of 42.74%. (4) This research concludes from an empirical point of view that technical analysis combined with time series deep neural network has significant effects in stock price prediction and return on investment.
Journal Article
Hydropower production prediction using artificial neural networks: an Ecuadorian application case
by
Espinoza-Andaluz, Mayken
,
Gómez-Romero, Juan
,
Fajardo, Waldo
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Computational Biology/Bioinformatics
2022
Hydropower is among the most efficient technologies to produce renewable electrical energy. Hydropower systems present multiple advantages since they provide sustainable and controllable energy. However, hydropower plants’ effectiveness is affected by multiple factors such as river/reservoir inflows, temperature, electricity price, among others. The mentioned factors make the prediction and recommendation of a station’s operational output a difficult challenge. Therefore, reliable and accurate energy production forecasts are vital and of great importance for capacity planning, scheduling, and power systems operation. This research aims to develop and apply artificial neural network (ANN) models to predict hydroelectric production in Ecuador’s short and medium term, considering historical data such as hydropower production and precipitations. For this purpose, two scenarios based on the prediction horizon have been considered, i.e., one-step and multi-step forecasted problems. Sixteen ANN structures based on multilayer perceptron (MLP), long short-term memory (LSTM), and sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) LSTM were designed. More than 3000 models were configured, trained, and validated using a grid search algorithm based on hyperparameters. The results show that the MLP univariate and differentiated model of one-step scenario outperforms the other architectures analyzed in both scenarios. The obtained model can be an important tool for energy planning and decision-making for sustainable hydropower production.
Journal Article
IoT-based automated system for water-related disease prediction
2024
Having access to potable water is a fundamental right to well-being. Despite this, 3.4 million people die from diseases caused by water each year, and 1.1 billion people lack access to potable drinking water. Although industrialization, durable infrastructure, and rapid development have increased living standards, the water problem has left humanity defenseless. As different human activities have contaminated these water reserves, according to an estimate, water is the cause of 80% of ailments. As a result, it is necessary to permit enough infrastructure to ensure the security of a reliable supply of potable water. Thus, a real-time WBPCB dataset with 17 features and a proposed IoT-based system to collect data are used in this research to address the issue. The research paper provides a system for predicting diseases and forecasting long-term trends. Classification is performed using Random Forest, XGBoost, and AdaBoost, which have accuracy rates of 99.66%, 99.52%, and 99.64%, respectively. Forecasting is performed using LSTM, which has an MSE value for the pH parameter of 0.1631. The paper introduces TS-SMOTE, a novel hybridized time-series SMOTE data augmentation approach. Additionally, it offers an IoT system that uses H-ANFIS to gather data in real-time and identify attacks.
Journal Article
An Analysis of Synthetic Timeseries as an Enabler to Improve Region-based Human Mobility Forecasting
by
Morales-García, Juan
,
Bueno-Crespo, Andrés
,
Cecilia, José M.
in
Generative adversarial networks
,
Ground truth
,
Machine learning
2025
Motivated by the large number of wearables offering geolocation, human mobility mining has emerged as an novel research field within AI. The study of mobility creates increasingly predictable models in which it is easy to find patterns of behaviour. However, this data is not publicly available and access to it is restricted to large telecommunications operators. In this context, this paper aims to solve one of the main problems of human mobility databases, i.e. the scarcity of data for the generation of human mobility models. For this purpose, Generative adversarial network (GANs) have been proposed to generate synthetic time-series mobility data. Moreover, several neural network models are proposed to assess the impact of synthetic data generation on the prediction of human mobility. Our results show that the use of synthetic data improves predictions of human mobility compared to models based on available measured data. Specifically, the reinforcement learning with synthetic data benchmark, when compared to using only ground truth data, achieved a 1.22% improvement in R 2 , a 0.70% reduction in RMSE, a 2.97% decrease in MAE, a 27.07% reduction in MAPE, and an 18.18% improvement in CVRMSE, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing predictive accuracy.
Journal Article