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result(s) for
"wolf packs"
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A Novel Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting Model Based on the Hybrid Wolf Pack Algorithm and Ordered Weighted Averaging Aggregation Operator
2020
The fuzzy time series has received extensive attention since it was proposed and it has been widely used in various practical applications. This study proposes a new fuzzy time series forecasting model which considers a hybrid wolf pack algorithm (HWPA) and an ordered weighted averaging (OWA) aggregation operator for fuzzy time series. The HWPA is adopted to obtain a suitable partition of the universe of discourse to promote the forecasting performance. Furthermore, the improved OWA aggregation method is applied to make the aggregation of historical information more practical. To overcome the deficiency of slow convergence speed and easy to entrap into the local extremum of the wolf pack algorithm (WPA), the chemotactic behavior and elimination–dispersal behavior of bacterial foraging optimization (BFO) are employed to optimize the scouting behavior of WPA. The actual enrollments data of the University of Alabama and Taiwan Futures Exchange (TAIFEX) are utilized as the benchmark data and the computational results of both training and testing phases all indicate that the new forecasting model outperforms other existing models. The robustness of the proposed model is also tested and the robust results can be obtained when the historical data are inaccurate.
Journal Article
Multi-Population Parallel Wolf Pack Algorithm for Task Assignment of UAV Swarm
by
Ma, Yaofei
,
Lu, Yingtong
,
Wang, Jiangyun
in
approximate average division method
,
Assignment problem
,
Benchmarks
2021
The effectiveness of the Wolf Pack Algorithm (WPA) in high-dimensional discrete optimization problems has been verified in previous studies; however, it usually takes too long to obtain the best solution. This paper proposes the Multi-Population Parallel Wolf Pack Algorithm (MPPWPA), in which the size of the wolf population is reduced by dividing the population into multiple sub-populations that optimize independently at the same time. Using the approximate average division method, the population is divided into multiple equal mass sub-populations whose better individuals constitute an elite sub-population. Through the elite-mass population distribution, those better individuals are optimized twice by the elite sub-population and mass sub-populations, which can accelerate the convergence. In order to maintain the population diversity, population pretreatment is proposed. The sub-populations migrate according to a constant migration probability and the migration of sub-populations are equivalent to the re-division of the confluent population. Finally, the proposed algorithm is carried out in a synchronous parallel system. Through the simulation experiments on the task assignment of the UAV swarm in three scenarios whose dimensions of solution space are 8, 30 and 150, the MPPWPA is verified as being effective in improving the optimization performance.
Journal Article
TRUSS STRUCTURE OPTIMIZATION BASED ON IMPROVED WOLF PACK ALGORITHM
by
Li, Yan-cang
,
Dang, Cheng-hua
,
Yang, Zong-jin
in
Algorithms
,
chaos thought
,
Design optimization
2019
Aiming at the optimization of truss structure, a wolf pack algorithm based on chaos and improved search strategy was proposed. The mathematical model of truss optimization was constructed, and the classical truss structure was optimized. The results were compared with those of other optimization algorithms. When selecting and updating the initial position of wolves, chaos idea was used to distribute the initial value evenly in the solution space; phase factor was introduced to optimize the formula of wolf detection; information interaction between wolves is increased and the number of runs is reduced. The numerical results show that the improved wolf pack algorithm has the characteristics of fewer parameters, simple programming, easy implementation, fast convergence speed, and can quickly find the optimal solution. It is suitable for the optimization design of the section size of space truss structures.
Journal Article
Cooperative attack–defense decision-making of multi-UAV using satisficing decision-enhanced wolf pack search algorithm
by
Zhou, Tongle
,
Chen, Mou
,
Yang, Chenguang
in
Artificial Intelligence
,
Computational Intelligence
,
Control
2024
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have shown their superiority for applications in complicated military missions. A cooperative attack–defense decision-making method based on satisficing decision-enhanced wolf pack search (SDEWPS) algorithm is developed for multi-UAV air combat in this paper. Firstly, the multi-UAV air combat mathematical model is provided and the attack–defense decision-making constraints are defined. Besides the traditional air combat situation, the capability of UAVs and target information including target type and target intention are all considered in this paper to establish the air combat superiority function. Then, the wolf pack search (WPS) algorithm is used to solve the attack decision problem. To improve efficiency, the satisficing decision theory is employed to enhance the WPS to obtain the satisficing solution rather than optimal solution. The simulation results show that the developed method can realize the cooperative attack decision-making.
Journal Article
Wolves at the Door: A Closer Look at Hedge Fund Activism
2020
Most investor coordination remains undisclosed. I provide empirical evidence on the extent and consequences of investor coordination in the context of hedge fund activism, in which potential benefits and costs from coordination are especially pronounced. In particular, I examine whether hedge fund activists orchestrate “wolf packs”—that is, groups of investors willing to acquire shares in the target firm before the activist’s campaign is publicly disclosed via a 13D filing—as a way to support the campaign and strengthen the activist’s bargaining position. Using a novel hand-collected data set, I develop a method to identify the formation of wolf packs before the 13D filing. I investigate two competing hypotheses: the
Coordinated Effort Hypothesis
(wolf packs are orchestrated by lead activists to circumvent securities regulations about “groups” of investors) and the
Spontaneous Formation Hypothesis
(wolf packs spontaneously arise because investors independently monitor and target the same firms at about the same time). A number of tests rule out the
Spontaneous Formation Hypothesis
and provide support for the
Coordinated Effort Hypothesis
. Finally, the presence of a wolf pack is associated with various measures of the campaign’s success.
This paper was accepted by Brian Bushee, accounting.
Journal Article
Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electric Bus Charging Stations Based on Fuzzy Clustering and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Wolf Pack Algorithm
2018
Accurate short-term load forecasting is of momentous significance to ensure safe and economic operation of quick-change electric bus (e-bus) charging stations. In order to improve the accuracy and stability of load prediction, this paper proposes a hybrid model that combines fuzzy clustering (FC), least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), and wolf pack algorithm (WPA). On the basis of load characteristics analysis for e-bus charging stations, FC is adopted to extract samples on similar days, which can not only avoid the blindness of selecting similar days by experience, but can also overcome the adverse effects of unconventional load data caused by a sudden change of factors on training. Then, WPA with good global convergence and computational robustness is employed to optimize the parameters of LSSVM. Thus, a novel hybrid load forecasting model for quick-change e-bus charging stations is built, namely FC-WPA-LSSVM. To verify the developed model, two case studies are used for model construction and testing. The simulation test results prove that the proposed model can obtain high prediction accuracy and ideal stability.
Journal Article
A Task Allocation Strategy of the UAV Swarm Based on Multi-Discrete Wolf Pack Algorithm
2022
With the continuous development of artificial intelligence, swarm control and other technologies, the application of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in the battlefield is more and more extensive, and the UAV swarm is increasingly playing a prominent role in the future of warfare. How tasks are assigned in the dynamic and complex battlefield environment is very important. This paper proposes a task assignment model and its objective function based on dynamic information convergence. In order to resolve this multidimensional function, the Wolf Pack Algorithm (WPA) is selected as the alternative optimization algorithm. This is because its functional optimization of high-dimensional complex problems is better than other intelligent algorithms, and the fact that it is more suitable for UAV swarm task allocation scenarios. Based on the traditional WPA algorithm, this paper proposes a Multi-discrete Wolf Pack Algorithm (MDWPA) to solve the UAV task assignment problem in a complex environment through the discretization of wandering, calling, sieging behavior, and new individual supplement. Through Orthogonal Experiment Design (OED) and analysis of variance, the results show that MDWPA performs with better accuracy, robustness, and convergence rate and can effectively solve the task assignment problem of UAVs in a complex dynamic environment.
Journal Article
Single visits to active wolf dens do not impact wolf pup recruitment or pack size
by
Bump, Joseph K.
,
Homkes, Austin T.
,
Johnson‐Bice, Sean M.
in
Animal populations
,
Annual variations
,
Best practice
2024
Evaluating methods used to capture and mark neonates is necessary for ensuring research methods are ethical, follow best practices, and do not have long‐term unintended impacts on neonates or populations. We used a quasi‐experimental approach (reference versus treatment) to determine whether visiting wolf dens and marking wolf Canis lupus pups affects important wolf population metrics. Specifically, we examined whether pup recruitment and pack size differed between packs where we visited dens and handled pups (‘disturbed packs' = treatment group) and those where we did not visit dens (‘undisturbed packs' = reference group). During 2019–2023, we studied 43 wolf packs and litters, 19 of which were disturbed packs and 24 of which were undisturbed. We found no difference in recruitment or pack size between disturbed and undisturbed wolf packs. However, we did observe substantial annual variation in recruitment and pack size, which indicated that other ecological factors (e.g. prey abundance) were likely responsible for annual changes in recruitment and pack size. Our findings are consistent with several other studies, and together this research indicates that wolf dens can be visited once and wolf pups handled briefly for research purposes without having a measurable effect on recruitment and pack size.
Journal Article
How to Choose? Comparing Different Methods to Count Wolf Packs in a Protected Area of the Northern Apennines
2023
Despite a natural rewilding process that caused wolf populations in Europe to increase and expand in the last years, human–wolf conflicts still persist, threatening the long-term wolf presence in both anthropic and natural areas. Conservation management strategies should be carefully designed on updated population data and planned on a wide scale. Unfortunately, reliable ecological data are difficult and expensive to obtain and often hardly comparable through time or among different areas, especially because of different sampling designs. In order to assess the performance of different methods to estimate wolf (Canis lupus L.) abundance and distribution in southern Europe, we simultaneously applied three techniques: wolf howling, camera trapping and non-invasive genetic sampling in a protected area of the northern Apennines. We aimed at counting the minimum number of packs during a single wolf biological year and evaluating the pros and cons for each technique, comparing results obtained from different combinations of these three methods and testing how sampling effort may affect results. We found that packs’ identifications could be hardly comparable if methods were separately used with a low sampling effort: wolf howling identified nine, camera trapping 12 and non-invasive genetic sampling eight packs. However, increased sampling efforts produced more consistent and comparable results across all used methods, although results from different sampling designs should be carefully compared. The integration of the three techniques yielded the highest number of detected packs, 13, although with the highest effort and cost. A common standardised sampling strategy should be a priority approach to studying elusive large carnivores, such as the wolf, allowing for the comparison of key population parameters and developing shared and effective conservation management plans.
Journal Article
Group Chase and Escape with Chemotaxis
2023
A model is proposed for group chase and escape using chemotactic movements only. In the proposed model, the movement depends on the concentration of the chemical substances released by each agent. Chemotaxis-based interactions propagate slower and later, and exist locally between agents, making groups chase and escape under more uncertain circumstances than in cases where agent distance measurements use electromagnetic waves, such as visible light. Numerical results with the model demonstrate that maintaining a longer distance between the chasers and targets is a better strategy for each group.
Journal Article