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Estimating the Causal Effect of Father Unemployment on the Propensity of Child School Dropout in Sudan
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Estimating the Causal Effect of Father Unemployment on the Propensity of Child School Dropout in Sudan
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Journal Article
Estimating the Causal Effect of Father Unemployment on the Propensity of Child School Dropout in Sudan
2023
Overview
Unemployment and school dropout are two major economic problems in developing countries including Sudan. This paper estimates the causal effect of father unemployment on child school dropout using cross-section data from the National Baseline Household Survey in Sudan in 2009. We use a semi-parametric recursive bivariate probit model to control for the impact of the unobserved confounders and the endogeneity bias. Our results show that father unemployment increases child school dropout by 28 percentage points on average in the sample of all children. In rural areas, however, the impact reaches 42 percentage points. Sudan needs to make substantial reforms in the job-market regulations and structure and introduce policies related to job creation and protection. More importantly, Sudan needs to activate laws that make basic education compulsory, and to improve the education system structure.
Publisher
المعهد العربي للتخطيط,Arab Planning Institute
Subject
