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The Eurasian economic union at crossroads: Navigating trade integration and competitiveness
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Journal Article
The Eurasian economic union at crossroads: Navigating trade integration and competitiveness
2025
Overview
This study investigates the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) as a regional economic integration bloc, analyzing its evolution, trade integration, and industrial policy framework amid shifting global dynamics. Established in 2015, the EAEU has encountered structural challenges, geopolitical upheavals, and intensifying sanctions, especially following the war in Ukraine. These pressures have disrupted trade flows, widened economic disparities among member states, and tested the bloc's cohesion. The paper emphasizes the fact that enhancing competitiveness is critical for the resilience of the EAEU, with the industrial policy serving as the cornerstone of this effort. Employing trade indicators, such as intra-regional trade shares and the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index, the study highlights uneven integration and dependence on resource-based exports. It evaluates the institutional framework of the EAEU's industrial policy, focusing on subsidy harmonization, value-added industry development, and coordination between national and regional priorities. Despite persistent institutional weaknesses and external pressures, the findings suggest that fostering industrial modernization and achieving better synergy between domestic policies and regional ambitions could strengthen the bloc's resilience and global competitiveness. Ova studija istražuje Evroazijsku ekonomsku uniju (EAEU) kao regionalni ekonomski integracioni blok, istovremeno analizirajući njenu evoluciju, trgovinsku integraciju i okvir industrijske politike usred promena globalne dinamike. Osnovana 2015. godine, EAEU se suočavala sa strukturnim izazovima, geopolitičkim prevratima i sve intenzivnijim sankcijama, posebno od izbijanja rata u Ukrajini. Ti pritisci su doveli do prekida u trgovinskim tokovima, proširili su ekonomske disparitete među državama članicama Unije i testirali koheziju tog bloka. U ovom radu se naglašava činjenica da je sve jača konkurentnost od kritičnog značaja za otpornost EAEU, pri čemu industrijska politika služi kao kamen temeljac tog napora. Primenom trgovinskih indikatora kao što su međuregionalni udeli u trgovini i indeks otvorene komparativne prednosti, u ovoj studiji se ističu nejednaka integracija i zavisnost od izvoza zasnovanog na resursima. U njoj se procenjuje institucionalni okvir industrijske politike EAEU, usredsređujući se istovremeno na usklađivanje subvencija, razvoj industrije dodate vrednosti i koordinisanje nacionalnih i regionalnih prioriteta. Uprkos upornim institucionalnim slabostima i spoljašnjim pritiscima, nalazi do kojih se u ovoj studiji došlo ukazuju na to da bi podsticanje modernizacije industrije i ostvarivanje bolje sinergije domaćih politika i regionalnih ambicija mogli da pospeše otpornost tog bloka i njegovu globalnu konkurentnost.
Publisher
University of Kragujevac
