Journal Article

The role of voters’ economic evaluations in February 2013 presidential elections in the Republic of Cyprus

Kanol, Direnç, Pirishis, George

2017

Overview

The communist AKEL party governed the Republic of Cyprus from February 2008 to February 2013. During this period, AKEL had to deal with grave economic problems. This article uses the European Elections Study (Voter Study, Advance Release, 7/4/2010, http://www.piredeu.eu , 2009 ) data and presents a statistical model that explains up to 70 % of the variance. We show that retrospective sociotropic evaluation of the economy by the Greek Cypriots has a significant effect on their intention to vote or not for the incumbent party. Based on this result, one may argue that the considerable amount of votes lost by AKEL in February 2013 presidential elections could be mainly because of the deteriorating economic situation since the party took office in February 2008.

• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan UK,Palgrave Macmillan
• Subject: Bailouts / Central banks / Communism / Communist parties / Comparative Politics / Credit ratings / Data / Deficit financing / Economic conditions / Economic crisis / Economic problems / Economic statistics / Election results / Elections / European Politics / GDP / Gross Domestic Product / Incumbency / International Relations / Original Article / Political parties / Political Science / Political Science and International Relations / Political Science and International Studies / Presidential elections / Presidents / Public Finance / Public sector / Rating services / State elections / Unemployment / Voter behavior / Voters