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The Emergence and Evolution of Problematic Properties: Onset, Persistence, Aggravation, and Desistance
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The Emergence and Evolution of Problematic Properties: Onset, Persistence, Aggravation, and Desistance
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Journal Article
The Emergence and Evolution of Problematic Properties: Onset, Persistence, Aggravation, and Desistance
2023
Overview
Objectives
Scholars and practitioners have paid increasing attention to problematic properties, but little is known about how they emerge and evolve. We examine four phenomena suggested by life-course theory that reflect stability and change in crime and disorder at properties:
onset
of issues;
persistence
of issues;
aggravation
to more serious types of issues; and
desistance
of issues. We sought to identify the frequency and dynamics of each.
Methods
We analyze how residential parcels (similar to properties) in Boston, MA shifted between profiles of crime and disorder from 2011 to 2018. 911 dispatches and 311 requests provided six measures of physical disorder, social disorder, and violence for all parcels. K-means clustering placed each parcel into one of six profiles of crime and disorder for each year. Markov chains quantified how properties moved between profiles year-to-year.
Results
Onset was relatively infrequent and more often manifested as disorder than violence. Pathways of aggravation led from less serious profiles to a mixture of violence and disorder. Desistance was more likely to occur as de-escalations along these pathways then complete cessation of issues. In neighborhoods with above-average crime, persistence was more prevalent whereas desistance less often culminated in cessation, even relative to local expectations.
Conclusions
The results offer insights for further research and practice attentive to trends of crime and disorder at problematic properties. It especially speaks to the understanding of stability and change; the role of different types of disorder; and the toolkit needed for problem properties interventions.
Publisher
Springer US,Springer Nature B.V
Subject
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