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Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity
by
Wiemer, Stefan
, Rinaldi, Antonio P.
, Ritz, Vanille A.
in
Earthquakes
/ Enhanced geothermal systems
/ Evolution
/ High resolution
/ Injection
/ Seismic activity
/ Seismic hazard
/ Seismicity
/ Site selection
/ Size distribution
/ Stochastic models
/ Strategy
2022
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Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity
by
Wiemer, Stefan
, Rinaldi, Antonio P.
, Ritz, Vanille A.
in
Earthquakes
/ Enhanced geothermal systems
/ Evolution
/ High resolution
/ Injection
/ Seismic activity
/ Seismic hazard
/ Seismicity
/ Site selection
/ Size distribution
/ Stochastic models
/ Strategy
2022
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Do you wish to request the book?
Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity
by
Wiemer, Stefan
, Rinaldi, Antonio P.
, Ritz, Vanille A.
in
Earthquakes
/ Enhanced geothermal systems
/ Evolution
/ High resolution
/ Injection
/ Seismic activity
/ Seismic hazard
/ Seismicity
/ Site selection
/ Size distribution
/ Stochastic models
/ Strategy
2022
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Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity
Journal Article
Transient evolution of the relative size distribution of earthquakes as a risk indicator for induced seismicity
2022
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Overview
Induced earthquakes pose a substantial challenge to many geo-energy applications, and in particular to Enhanced Geothermal Systems. We demonstrate that the key factor controlling the seismic hazard is the relative size distribution of earthquakes, the
b
-value, because it is closely coupled to the stress conditions in the underground. By comparing high resolution observations from an Enhanced Geothermal System project in Basel with a loosely coupled hydro-mechanical-stochastic model, we establish a highly systematic behaviour of the
b
-value and resulting hazard through the injection cycle. This time evolution is controlled not only by the specific site conditions and the proximity of nearby faults but also by the injection strategy followed. Our results open up new approaches to assess and mitigate seismic hazard and risk through careful site selection and adequate injection strategy, coupled to real-time monitoring and modelling during reservoir stimulation.
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group,Nature Portfolio
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