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Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data
by
Brooks, Harold E.
, Taszarek, Mateusz
, Allen, John T.
, Marchio, Mattia
in
704/106
/ 704/106/35
/ Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
/ Atmospheric Sciences
/ Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
/ Climatology
/ Convective precipitation
/ Earth and Environmental Science
/ Earth Sciences
/ Extreme weather
/ Global climate models
/ Hail
/ Potential energy
/ Rainfall
/ Rawinsondes
/ Thunderstorms
/ Tornadoes
/ Trends
/ Tropical environments
/ Weather
/ Wind shear
2021
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Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data
by
Brooks, Harold E.
, Taszarek, Mateusz
, Allen, John T.
, Marchio, Mattia
in
704/106
/ 704/106/35
/ Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
/ Atmospheric Sciences
/ Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
/ Climatology
/ Convective precipitation
/ Earth and Environmental Science
/ Earth Sciences
/ Extreme weather
/ Global climate models
/ Hail
/ Potential energy
/ Rainfall
/ Rawinsondes
/ Thunderstorms
/ Tornadoes
/ Trends
/ Tropical environments
/ Weather
/ Wind shear
2021
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Do you wish to request the book?
Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data
by
Brooks, Harold E.
, Taszarek, Mateusz
, Allen, John T.
, Marchio, Mattia
in
704/106
/ 704/106/35
/ Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
/ Atmospheric Sciences
/ Climate Change/Climate Change Impacts
/ Climatology
/ Convective precipitation
/ Earth and Environmental Science
/ Earth Sciences
/ Extreme weather
/ Global climate models
/ Hail
/ Potential energy
/ Rainfall
/ Rawinsondes
/ Thunderstorms
/ Tornadoes
/ Trends
/ Tropical environments
/ Weather
/ Wind shear
2021
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Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data
Journal Article
Global climatology and trends in convective environments from ERA5 and rawinsonde data
2021
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Overview
Globally, thunderstorms are responsible for a significant fraction of rainfall, and in the mid-latitudes often produce extreme weather, including large hail, tornadoes and damaging winds. Despite this importance, how the global frequency of thunderstorms and their accompanying hazards has changed over the past 4 decades remains unclear. Large-scale diagnostics applied to global climate models have suggested that the frequency of thunderstorms and their intensity is likely to increase in the future. Here, we show that according to ERA5 convective available potential energy (CAPE) and convective precipitation (CP) have decreased over the tropics and subtropics with simultaneous increases in 0–6 km wind shear (BS06). Conversely, rawinsonde observations paint a different picture across the mid-latitudes with increasing CAPE and significant decreases to BS06. Differing trends and disagreement between ERA5 and rawinsondes observed over some regions suggest that results should be interpreted with caution, especially for CAPE and CP across tropics where uncertainty is the highest and reliable long-term rawinsonde observations are missing.
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK,Nature Publishing Group,Nature Portfolio
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