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A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease
by
Kang, Guson
, Perez, Marco V
, Tooley, James
, Ostropolets, Anna
, Zou, James
, Rogers, Albert
, Narayan, Sanjiv
, Poterucha, Tim
, Torres Soto, Jessica
, Kaur, Dhamanpreet
, Hughes, J. Weston
, Yuan, Neal
, Ashley, Euan
, Elias, Pierre
, Ehlert, Ben
, Christensen, Matthew Kai
, Ouyang, David
in
Cardiovascular disease
/ Deep learning
/ Electrocardiography
/ Health risks
/ Medical prognosis
/ Mortality
/ Neural networks
2023
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A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease
by
Kang, Guson
, Perez, Marco V
, Tooley, James
, Ostropolets, Anna
, Zou, James
, Rogers, Albert
, Narayan, Sanjiv
, Poterucha, Tim
, Torres Soto, Jessica
, Kaur, Dhamanpreet
, Hughes, J. Weston
, Yuan, Neal
, Ashley, Euan
, Elias, Pierre
, Ehlert, Ben
, Christensen, Matthew Kai
, Ouyang, David
in
Cardiovascular disease
/ Deep learning
/ Electrocardiography
/ Health risks
/ Medical prognosis
/ Mortality
/ Neural networks
2023
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Do you wish to request the book?
A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease
by
Kang, Guson
, Perez, Marco V
, Tooley, James
, Ostropolets, Anna
, Zou, James
, Rogers, Albert
, Narayan, Sanjiv
, Poterucha, Tim
, Torres Soto, Jessica
, Kaur, Dhamanpreet
, Hughes, J. Weston
, Yuan, Neal
, Ashley, Euan
, Elias, Pierre
, Ehlert, Ben
, Christensen, Matthew Kai
, Ouyang, David
in
Cardiovascular disease
/ Deep learning
/ Electrocardiography
/ Health risks
/ Medical prognosis
/ Mortality
/ Neural networks
2023
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A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease
Journal Article
A deep learning-based electrocardiogram risk score for long term cardiovascular death and disease
2023
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Overview
The electrocardiogram (ECG) is the most frequently performed cardiovascular diagnostic test, but it is unclear how much information resting ECGs contain about long term cardiovascular risk. Here we report that a deep convolutional neural network can accurately predict the long-term risk of cardiovascular mortality and disease based on a resting ECG alone. Using a large dataset of resting 12-lead ECGs collected at Stanford University Medical Center, we developed SEER, the Stanford Estimator of Electrocardiogram Risk. SEER predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83 in a held-out test set at Stanford, and with AUCs of 0.78 and 0.83 respectively when independently evaluated at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center and Columbia University Irving Medical Center. SEER predicts 5-year atherosclerotic disease (ASCVD) with an AUC of 0.67, similar to the Pooled Cohort Equations for ASCVD Risk, while being only modestly correlated. When used in conjunction with the Pooled Cohort Equations, SEER accurately reclassified 16% of patients from low to moderate risk, uncovering a group with an actual average 9.9% 10-year ASCVD risk who would not have otherwise been indicated for statin therapy. SEER can also predict several other cardiovascular conditions such as heart failure and atrial fibrillation. Using only lead I of the ECG it predicts 5-year cardiovascular mortality with an AUC of 0.80. SEER, used alongside the Pooled Cohort Equations and other risk tools, can substantially improve cardiovascular risk stratification and aid in medical decision making.
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
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