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Risk Management of Future Foreign Conflict Intervention
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Journal Article
Risk Management of Future Foreign Conflict Intervention
2012
Overview
The notion of a deterministic design basis presupposed that this maximum level of earthquake could be determined accurately, which has proven to be too optimistic. Since the 1970s, the ideas of probabilistic risk assessment have spread from the nuclear industry to the safety-critical chemical, oil, and gas industries, and to critical rail, sea, and air transport infrastructure. Wars are no longer winnable in the sense that the adversary is permanently off the battlefield. [...]the defeat of the Taliban in 2001 was not the end of post- 9/11 Western involvement in Afghanistan - it was just the beginning.
