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Forecasting Models in Financial Time Series
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Forecasting Models in Financial Time Series
Forecasting Models in Financial Time Series
Journal Article

Forecasting Models in Financial Time Series

2020
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Overview
A number of models have been developed that are especially suited to estimate the conditional volatility of financial series, of which the most widely used are the conditional Heteroscedatic models. The first of these was the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model proposed by Engle (1982) and generalized to GARCH (Generalized ARCH) by Bollerslev (1986) and Taylor (1986). The main objective of this paper is to review published work on ARCH and GARCH models and some of their extensions, in addition to reference to some of the probability distributions that are usually assumed with these models.