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宁夏乡村人-地-业协调发展格局与驱动机制研究
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宁夏乡村人-地-业协调发展格局与驱动机制研究
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Journal Article
宁夏乡村人-地-业协调发展格局与驱动机制研究
2025
Overview
乡村人口、土地和产业是乡村地域系统的关键要素，为探索典型农牧交错区乡村人-地-业系统结构及其耦合协调发展格局，本研究以宁夏回族自治区为案例区，采用耦合协调度模型与地理探测器因子分析结合的方式，深入分析乡村振兴战略背景下该地区乡村人-地-业系统的耦合协调发展模式及其驱动机制。结果表明：宁夏大多数地区人-地-业系统处于高水平耦合阶段，2010、2015、2020年的耦合度均值分别为0.957、0.964、0.960，2010—2020年间整体变化幅度较小，但南北部耦合水平较低地区分异明显；耦合协调水平在整体上处于协调状态，绝大部分区域表现为初级协调或中度协调，2010、2015、2020年宁夏耦合协调度均值分别为0.640、0.657、0.640；乡村从业人员占比、乡村人口比例、有效灌溉面积等因子对宁夏乡村发展质量的解释力度较强。研究表明，宁夏乡村人-地-业系统耦合协调水平有待进一步提升，时空格局上形成了以宁南西海固地区、中部包兰铁路及太中铁路沿线为焦点的高值环绕带；产业对宁夏乡村发展质量的驱动力最大，土地次之；宁夏在促进农村土地集约化利用和发展多元化农业产业等方面应加强政策干预和引导，以实现人-地-业的协同发展。
Publisher
农业农村部环境保护科研监测所,中国农业生态环境保护协会
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