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Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high- resolution daily downscaled data-set
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Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high- resolution daily downscaled data-set
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Journal Article
Future changes in precipitation extremes over China using the NEX-GDDP high- resolution daily downscaled data-set
2017
Overview
最近,NASA发布了一套基于CMIP5 21个耦合模式输出的高分辨率降尺度逐日数据集,简称NEX-GDDP。本文评估了NEX-GDDP对中国极端降水的模拟性能。研究发现：（1）相比CMIP5直接输出结果,NEX-GDDP能够更好刻画中国极端降水的空间分布;（2）未来中国极端降水事件明显增多、强度增强,NEX-GDDP在区域尺度上给出了更多的气候变化信息;（3）NEXGDDP预估的中国未来极端降水变化的不确定性范围相比CMIP5直接输出结果明显减少,使得预估结果更加可靠.
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