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N-gram-like Language Models Predict Reading Time Best
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Paper
N-gram-like Language Models Predict Reading Time Best
2026
Overview
Recent work has found that contemporary language models such as transformers can become so good at next-word prediction that the probabilities they calculate become worse for predicting reading time. In this paper, we propose that this can be explained by reading time being sensitive to simple n-gram statistics rather than the more complex statistics learned by state-of-the-art transformer language models. We demonstrate that the neural language models whose predictions are most correlated with n-gram probability are also those that calculate probabilities that are the most correlated with eye-tracking-based metrics of reading time on naturalistic text.
Publisher
Cornell University Library, arXiv.org
Subject
