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2,625 result(s) for "Ahmed, Alaa"
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Cardiovascular disease risk prediction using automated machine learning: A prospective study of 423,604 UK Biobank participants
Identifying people at risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is a cornerstone of preventative cardiology. Risk prediction models currently recommended by clinical guidelines are typically based on a limited number of predictors with sub-optimal performance across all patient groups. Data-driven techniques based on machine learning (ML) might improve the performance of risk predictions by agnostically discovering novel risk predictors and learning the complex interactions between them. We tested (1) whether ML techniques based on a state-of-the-art automated ML framework (AutoPrognosis) could improve CVD risk prediction compared to traditional approaches, and (2) whether considering non-traditional variables could increase the accuracy of CVD risk predictions. Using data on 423,604 participants without CVD at baseline in UK Biobank, we developed a ML-based model for predicting CVD risk based on 473 available variables. Our ML-based model was derived using AutoPrognosis, an algorithmic tool that automatically selects and tunes ensembles of ML modeling pipelines (comprising data imputation, feature processing, classification and calibration algorithms). We compared our model with a well-established risk prediction algorithm based on conventional CVD risk factors (Framingham score), a Cox proportional hazards (PH) model based on familiar risk factors (i.e, age, gender, smoking status, systolic blood pressure, history of diabetes, reception of treatments for hypertension and body mass index), and a Cox PH model based on all of the 473 available variables. Predictive performances were assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC). Overall, our AutoPrognosis model improved risk prediction (AUC-ROC: 0.774, 95% CI: 0.768-0.780) compared to Framingham score (AUC-ROC: 0.724, 95% CI: 0.720-0.728, p < 0.001), Cox PH model with conventional risk factors (AUC-ROC: 0.734, 95% CI: 0.729-0.739, p < 0.001), and Cox PH model with all UK Biobank variables (AUC-ROC: 0.758, 95% CI: 0.753-0.763, p < 0.001). Out of 4,801 CVD cases recorded within 5 years of baseline, AutoPrognosis was able to correctly predict 368 more cases compared to the Framingham score. Our AutoPrognosis model included predictors that are not usually considered in existing risk prediction models, such as the individuals' usual walking pace and their self-reported overall health rating. Furthermore, our model improved risk prediction in potentially relevant sub-populations, such as in individuals with history of diabetes. We also highlight the relative benefits accrued from including more information into a predictive model (information gain) as compared to the benefits of using more complex models (modeling gain). Our AutoPrognosis model improves the accuracy of CVD risk prediction in the UK Biobank population. This approach performs well in traditionally poorly served patient subgroups. Additionally, AutoPrognosis uncovered novel predictors for CVD disease that may now be tested in prospective studies. We found that the \"information gain\" achieved by considering more risk factors in the predictive model was significantly higher than the \"modeling gain\" achieved by adopting complex predictive models.
EDCC-RPL: A novel energy-efficient and load-balanced objective function for RPL Routing in IoT networks enhancing network lifetime and reliability
Energy efficiency and balanced load distribution remain persistent challenges in the Routing Protocol for Low-Power and Lossy Networks (RPL), significantly affecting the lifetime and reliability of Internet of Things (IoT) deployments. This study introduces EDCC-RPL, a novel multi-metric objective function that integrates Expected Transmission Count (ETX), end-to-end delay, and child count through an adaptive additive model. Unlike conventional single or dual metric schemes such as OF0, MRHOF, and EA-EPL, EDCC-RPL simultaneously enhances energy efficiency, network stability, and scalability. Extensive simulations in Contiki Cooja with 20–50 nodes demonstrate up to 32% lower energy consumption, 18% higher Packet Delivery Ratio (PDR), and 50–60% reduction in parent switching (churn) in dense topologies. These improvements validate EDCC-RPL’s novelty in achieving joint optimization of reliability, delay, and load balancing. The proposed approach provides a practical and scalable solution for sustainable IoT networks in smart cities, industrial monitoring, and environmental sensing applications. The implementation code of the proposed EDCC-RPL algorithm is publicly available at https://github.com/drmasifhabib/edcc-rpl-github for reproducibility and reuse.
Smartphone-based accurate pothole depth estimation using monocular RGB and LiDAR-guided deep learning
The maintenance of the road infrastructure is vital to ensure public safety and the efficiency of transportation, but the unpredictable and widespread occurrence of potholes often hinders continuous monitoring. Traditional detection approaches typically rely on expensive equipment or manual inspections, rendering them impractical for large-scale, real-time deployment. To overcome these limitations, we present a low-cost and scalable pothole assessment framework that leverages the built-in LiDAR sensors available in modern smartphones in combination with a hybrid deep learning pipeline. The proposed system fuses RGB imagery with LiDAR-guided refinement to achieve precise depth estimation and accurate pothole segmentation, further enhanced through post-processing for improved boundary alignment. A comprehensive dataset of 25,000 RGB–LiDAR image pairs, collected under various road and lighting conditions, was curated to train and evaluate the framework. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves high accuracy in both depth estimation and pothole delineation, significantly outperforming existing methods. This work highlights the potential of lightweight smartphone-based solutions for real-time automated road condition assessment, offering a practical and economical tool for modern infrastructure management.
Prognostication and Risk Factors for Cystic Fibrosis via Automated Machine Learning
Accurate prediction of survival for cystic fibrosis (CF) patients is instrumental in establishing the optimal timing for referring patients with terminal respiratory failure for lung transplantation (LT). Current practice considers referring patients for LT evaluation once the forced expiratory volume (FEV 1 ) drops below 30% of its predicted nominal value. While FEV 1 is indeed a strong predictor of CF-related mortality, we hypothesized that the survival behavior of CF patients exhibits a lot more heterogeneity. To this end, we developed an algorithmic framework, which we call AutoPrognosis, that leverages the power of machine learning to automate the process of constructing clinical prognostic models, and used it to build a prognostic model for CF using data from a contemporary cohort that involved 99% of the CF population in the UK. AutoPrognosis uses Bayesian optimization techniques to automate the process of configuring ensembles of machine learning pipelines, which involve imputation, feature processing, classification and calibration algorithms. Because it is automated, it can be used by clinical researchers to build prognostic models without the need for in-depth knowledge of machine learning. Our experiments revealed that the accuracy of the model learned by AutoPrognosis is superior to that of existing guidelines and other competing models.
A Novel PPG-Based Biometric Authentication System Using a Hybrid CVT-ConvMixer Architecture with Dense and Self-Attention Layers
Biometric authentication is a widely used method for verifying individuals’ identities using photoplethysmography (PPG) cardiac signals. The PPG signal is a non-invasive optical technique that measures the heart rate, which can vary from person to person. However, these signals can also be changed due to factors like stress, physical activity, illness, or medication. Ensuring the system can accurately identify and authenticate the user despite these variations is a significant challenge. To address these issues, the PPG signals were preprocessed and transformed into a 2-D image that visually represents the time-varying frequency content of multiple PPG signals from the same human using the scalogram technique. Afterward, the features fusion approach is developed by combining features from the hybrid convolution vision transformer (CVT) and convolutional mixer (ConvMixer), known as the CVT-ConvMixer classifier, and employing attention mechanisms for the classification of human identity. This hybrid model has the potential to provide more accurate and reliable authentication results in real-world scenarios. The sensitivity (SE), specificity (SP), F1-score, and area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) metrics are utilized to assess the model’s performance in accurately distinguishing genuine individuals. The results of extensive experiments on the three PPG datasets were calculated, and the proposed method achieved ACCs of 95%, SEs of 97%, SPs of 95%, and an AUC of 0.96, which indicate the effectiveness of the CVT-ConvMixer system. These results suggest that the proposed method performs well in accurately classifying or identifying patterns within the PPG signals to perform continuous human authentication.
Blockchain-Based Frameworks for Food Traceability: A Systematic Review
With the rise of globalization and technological competition, the food supply chain has grown more complex due to the multiple players and factors involved in the chain. Traditional systems fail to offer effective and reliable traceability solutions considering the increasing requirement for accountability and transparency in the food supply chain. Blockchain technology has been claimed to offer the food industry a transformative future. The inherent features of blockchain, including immutability and transparency, create a dependable and secure system for tracking food products across the whole supply chain, ensuring total control over their traceability from the origin to the final consumer. This research offers a comprehensive overview of multiple models to understand how the integration of blockchain and other digital technologies has transformed the food supply chain. This comprehensive systematic review of blockchain-based food-supply-chain frameworks aimed to uncover the capability of blockchain technology to revolutionize the industry and examined the current landscape of blockchain-based food traceability solutions to identify areas for improvement. Furthermore, the research investigates recent advancements and investigates how blockchain aligns with other emerging technologies of Industry 4.0 and Web 3.0. Blockchain technology plays an important role in improving food traceability and supply-chain operations. Potential synergies between blockchain and other emerging technologies of Industry 4.0 and Web 3.0 are digitizing food supply chains, which results in better management, automation, efficiencies, sustainability, verifiability, auditability, accountability, traceability, transparency, tracking, monitoring, response times and provenance across food supply chains.
Child health in war crisis: barriers to healthcare utilization among internally displaced Sudanese caregivers 2024–2025
Introduction Sudan’s already under-resourced health system has been strained by war, with over 10 million people displaced and 67% of hospitals rendered non-operational. The disruption has led to limited access to essential services. Children face both physical and psychological consequences. This study explores caregivers’ use of health services, observed behavioral changes in children, reports of sexual harassment, and alignment between caregiver experiences and facility data. Method This descriptive cross-sectional community-based study was conducted among internally displaced caregivers of children in four relatively safe states—Red Sea, Northern, Nahr Elnil, and Kassala—using questionnaires for both caregivers and health facility directors. A total of 437 caregivers and 12 facilities participated. A multistage sampling method was followed by convenience sampling at the community level. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 25 with descriptive and inferential statistics. Results The study included 437 caregivers, 86% of whom were women, with a mean age of 35.4 years (± 9.2 SD). The average age of the children involved in the study was 4.4 ± 4.2 years. Despite 91.8% of children under five having access to basic immunizations, 10% missed essential vaccines, with measles accounting for 50% of missed doses. Pneumonia and gastroenteritis were the most frequently reported illnesses. Psychosocial impacts were prevalent, with 26.8% of children exhibiting fearfulness, anxiety, or irritability. Health facilities findings revealed that 66.7% of facilities experienced disruptions in working hours. Only 25% of facilities had pediatric intensive care units. Key emergency resources, including oxygen therapy (81.8%) and insulin (90.9%), were available in most facilities. T availability of key support staff—such as psychologists and social workers—was notably limited (16.7%). Conclusion Overall, the study’s findings are in partial agreement with other conflict-region research, notably on disease burden, psychosocial impact, and health system degradation. However, Sudan’s context reveals some unique features. Despite extreme displacement, immunization outreach and breastfeeding practices showed higher-than-expected retention. Nevertheless, the weak critical care infrastructure, referral breakdowns, and mental health service gaps highlight urgent needs that require national and international collaboration.
A Residual-Dense-Based Convolutional Neural Network Architecture for Recognition of Cardiac Health Based on ECG Signals
Cardiovascular disorders are often diagnosed using an electrocardiogram (ECG). It is a painless method that mimics the cyclical contraction and relaxation of the heart’s muscles. By monitoring the heart’s electrical activity, an ECG can be used to identify irregular heartbeats, heart attacks, cardiac illnesses, or enlarged hearts. Numerous studies and analyses of ECG signals to identify cardiac problems have been conducted during the past few years. Although ECG heartbeat classification methods have been presented in the literature, especially for unbalanced datasets, they have not proven to be successful in recognizing some heartbeat categories with high performance. This study uses a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to combine the benefits of dense and residual blocks. The objective is to leverage the benefits of residual and dense connections to enhance information flow, gradient propagation, and feature reuse, ultimately improving the model’s performance. This proposed model consists of a series of residual-dense blocks interleaved with optional pooling layers for downsampling. A linear support vector machine (LSVM) classified heartbeats into five classes. This makes it easier to learn and represent features from ECG signals. We first denoised the gathered ECG data to correct issues such as baseline drift, power line interference, and motion noise. The impacts of the class imbalance are then offset by resampling techniques that denoise ECG signals. An RD-CNN algorithm is then used to categorize the ECG data for the various cardiac illnesses using the retrieved characteristics. On two benchmarked datasets, we conducted extensive simulations and assessed several performance measures. On average, we have achieved an accuracy of 98.5%, a sensitivity of 97.6%, a specificity of 96.8%, and an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.99. The effectiveness of our suggested method for detecting heart disease from ECG data was compared with several recently presented algorithms. The results demonstrate that our method is lightweight and practical, qualifying it for continuous monitoring applications in clinical settings for automated ECG interpretation to support cardiologists.
Control of movement vigor and decision making during foraging
During foraging, animals decide how long to stay at a patch and harvest reward, and then, they move with certain vigor to another location. How does the brain decide when to leave, and how does it determine the speed of the ensuing movement? Here, we considered the possibility that both the decision-making and the motor control problems aimed to maximize a single normative utility: the sum of all rewards acquired minus all efforts expended divided by total time. This optimization could be achieved if the brain compared a local measure of utility with its history. To test the theory, we examined behavior of people as they gazed at images: they chose how long to look at the image (harvesting information) and then moved their eyes to another image, controlling saccade speed. We varied reward via image content and effort via image eccentricity, and then, we measured how these changes affected decision making (gaze duration) and motor control (saccade speed). After a history of low rewards, people increased gaze duration and decreased saccade speed. In anticipation of future effort, they lowered saccade speed and increased gaze duration. After a history of high effort, they elevated their saccade speed and increased gaze duration. Therefore, the theory presented a principled way with which the brain may control two aspects of behavior: movement speed and harvest duration. Our experiments confirmed many (but not all) of the predictions, suggesting that harvest duration and movement speed, fundamental aspects of behavior during foraging, may be governed by a shared principle of control.
Limitations of large language models in clinical problem-solving arising from inflexible reasoning
Large Language Models (LLMs) have attained human-level accuracy on medical question-answer (QA) benchmarks. However, their limitations in navigating clinical scenarios requiring flexible reasoning have recently been shown, raising concerns about the robustness and generalizability of LLM reasoning across diverse, real-world medical tasks. To probe potential LLM failure modes in clinical problem-solving, we present the medical abstraction and reasoning corpus (mARC-QA). mARC-QA assesses clinical reasoning through scenarios designed to exploit the Einstellung effect—the fixation of thought arising from prior experience, targeting LLM inductive biases toward inflexible pattern matching from their training data rather than engaging in flexible reasoning. We find that LLMs, including current state-of-the-art o1, Gemini, Claude, and DeepSeek models, perform poorly compared to physicians on mARC-QA, often demonstrating lack of commonsense medical reasoning and a propensity to hallucinate. In addition, uncertainty estimation analyses indicate that LLMs exhibit overconfidence in their answers, despite their limited accuracy. The failure modes revealed by mARC-QA in LLM medical reasoning underscore the need to exercise caution when deploying these models in clinical settings.