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16 result(s) for "Blagrave, K."
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Phenological Shifts in Lake Ice Cover Across the Northern Hemisphere: A Glimpse Into the Past, Present, and the Future of Lake Ice Phenology
Long‐term ice phenology records quantify the effects of climate change on Northern Hemisphere lakes. This study uses lake ice phenological records across a gradient of lake sizes (0.1–31,967.8 km2 in lake surface area) obtained from community science networks. We compiled in situ ice phenological records for 2,499 lakes across 15 countries for an average of 30 years. These data revealed that for the last 50 years (1971–2020), the annual mean duration of lake ice cover decreased at a rate of 9 days per decade, with a regime shift in lake ice phenology in the late 1980s. We projected that at the end of the century (2070–2099), ice duration will decrease by an average of 10 days when compared to the historical time period (1971–2000) for the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 1–2.6 climate scenario (SSP126), 23 days for SSP370, and 28 days for the SSP585. Impending human development can enhance or attenuate lake ice loss, as adaptation strategies can accelerate fossil fuel use, result in conflict, or seek strategies apart from fossil fuel development. These future pathways have critical implications for the future preservation of lake ice cover. Key Points A regime shift was observed in North American lake ice phenology in the late 1980s Northern Hemisphere lakes may lose 10–28 days of ice cover by the end of the 21st century Lake ice phenology will become more unpredictable, especially under higher warming scenarios
GHIGLS: HI mapping at intermediate Galactic latitude using the Green Bank Telescope
This paper introduces the data cubes from GHIGLS, deep Green Bank Telescope surveys of the 21-cm line emission of HI in 37 targeted fields at intermediate Galactic latitude. The GHIGLS fields together cover over 1000 square degrees at 9.55' spatial resolution. The HI spectra have an effective velocity resolution about 1.0 km/s and cover at least -450 < v < +250 km/s. GHIGLS highlights that even at intermediate Galactic latitude the interstellar medium is very complex. Spatial structure of the HI is quantified through power spectra of maps of the column density, NHI. For our featured representative field, centered on the North Ecliptic Pole, the scaling exponents in power-law representations of the power spectra of NHI maps for low, intermediate, and high velocity gas components (LVC, IVC, and HVC) are -2.86 +/- 0.04, -2.69 +/- 0.04, and -2.59 +/- 0.07, respectively. After Gaussian decomposition of the line profiles, NHI maps were also made corresponding to the narrow-line and broad-line components in the LVC range; for the narrow-line map the exponent is -1.9 +/- 0.1, reflecting more small scale structure in the cold neutral medium (CNM). There is evidence that filamentary structure in the HI CNM is oriented parallel to the Galactic magnetic field. The power spectrum analysis also offers insight into the various contributions to uncertainty in the data. The effect of 21-cm line opacity on the GHIGLS NHI maps is estimated.
DHIGLS: DRAO H I Intermediate Galactic Latitude Survey
Observations of Galactic H I gas for seven targeted regions at intermediate Galactic latitude are presented at 1' angular resolution using data from the DRAO Synthesis Telescope (ST) and the Green Bank Telescope (GBT). The DHIGLS data are the most extensive arcminute resolution measurements of the diffuse atomic interstellar medium beyond those in the Galactic plane. The acquisition, reduction, calibration, and mosaicking of the DRAO ST data and the cross calibration and incorporation of the short-spacing information from the GBT are described. The high quality of the resulting DHIGLS products enables a variety of new studies in directions of low Galactic column density. We analyze the angular power spectra of maps of the integrated H I emission (column density) from the data cubes for several distinct velocity ranges. Fitting power spectrum models based on a power law, but including the effects of the synthesized beam and noise at high spatial frequencies, we find exponents ranging from -2.5 to -3.0.. Power spectra of maps of the centroid velocity for these components give similar results. These exponents are interpreted as being representative of the 3D density and 3D velocity fields of the atomic gas, respectively. We find evidence for dramatic changes in the H I structures in channel maps over even small changes in velocity. This narrow line emission has counterparts in absorption spectra against bright background radio sources, quantifying that the gas is cold and dense and can be identified as the cold neutral medium phase. Fully reduced DHIGLS H I data cubes and other data products are available at www.cita.utoronto.ca/DHIGLS.
Structure formation in a colliding flow: The Herschel view of the Draco nebula
The Draco nebula is a high Galactic latitude interstellar cloud likely to have been formed by the collision of a Galactic halo cloud entering the disk of the Milky Way. Such conditions are ideal to study the formation of cold and dense gas in colliding flows of warm gas. We present Herschel-SPIRE observations that reveal the fragmented structure of the interface between the infalling cloud and the Galactic layer. This front is characterized by a Rayleigh-Taylor instability structure. From the determination of the typical length of the periodic structure (2.2 pc) we estimated the gas kinematic viscosity and the turbulence dissipation scale (0.1 pc) that is compatible with that expected if ambipolar diffusion is the main mechanism of energy dissipation in the WNM. The small-scale structures of the nebula are typical of that seen in some molecular clouds. The gas density has a log-normal distribution with an average value of \\(10^3\\) cm\\(^{-3}\\). The size of the structures is 0.1-0.2 pc but this estimate is limited by the resolution of the observations. The mass ranges from 0.2 to 20 M\\(_{\\odot}\\) and the distribution of the more massive clumps follows a power law \\(dN/d\\log(M) \\sim M^{-1.4}\\). We identify a mass-size relation with the same exponent as that found in GMCs (\\(M\\sim L^{2.3}\\)) but only 15% of the mass of the cloud is in gravitationally bound structures. We conclude that the increase of pressure in the collision is strong enough to trigger the WNM-CNM transition caused by the interplay between turbulence and thermal instability as self-gravity is not dominating the dynamics.
Targeted deep surveys of high Galactic latitude HI with the GBT
Over 800 sq. deg. of high Galactic latitude sky have been mapped at 21 cm with the Robert C. Byrd Green Bank Telescope (GBT). An improved knowledge of the telescope's beam characteristics has allowed us to reliably map not only regions of high column density, but also such regions as ELAIS N1, a targeted Spitzer field, which have very low HI column density. The additional fields we have observed cover a cross-section of dynamically and chemically interesting regions as indicated by the presence of intermediate/high velocity gas and/or anomalous far-IR (dust) colour.
On the O II ground configuration energy levels
The most accurate way to measure the energy levels for the O II 2p^3 ground configuration has been from the forbidden lines in planetary nebulae. We present an analysis of modern planetary nebula data that nicely constrain the splitting within the ^2D term and the separation of this term from the ground ^4S_{3/2} level. We extend this method to H II regions using high-resolution spectroscopy of the Orion nebula, covering all six visible transitions within the ground configuration. These data confirm the splitting of the ^2D term while additionally constraining the splitting of the ^2P term. The energies of the ^2P and ^2D terms relative to the ground (^4S) term are constrained by requiring that all six lines give the same radial velocity, consistent with independent limits placed on the motion of the O+ gas and the planetary nebula data.
A photoionized Herbig-Haro object in the Orion nebula
The spectra of Herbig Haro objects are usually characteristic of ionization and excitation in shock-heated gas, whether an internal shock in an unsteady outflow or a bow shock interface with the interstellar medium. We examine the eastern-most shock -- the leading optically visible shock -- of a Herbig Haro outflow (HH 529) seen projected on the face of the Orion Nebula, using deep optical echelle spectroscopy, showing that the spectrum of this gas is consistent with photoionization by \\(\\theta^1\\) Ori C. By modeling the emission lines, we determine a gas-phase abundance of Fe which is consistent with the depleted (relative to solar) abundance found in the Orion nebula -- evidence for the presence of dust in the nebula and therefore in the Herbig Haro outflow. The spectrum also allows for the calculation of temperature fluctuations, \\(t^2\\), in the nebula and the shock. These fluctuations have been used to explain discrepancies between abundances obtained from recombination lines versus those obtained from collisionally-excited lines, although to date there has not been a robust theory for how such large fluctuations (\\(t^2 > 0.02\\)) can exist.
Herschel-SPIRE observations of the Polaris flare : structure of the diffuse interstellar medium at the sub-parsec scale
We present a power spectrum analysis of the Herschel-SPIRE observations of the Polaris flare, a high Galactic latitude cirrus cloud midway between the diffuse and molecular phases. The SPIRE images of the Polaris flare reveal for the first time the structure of the diffuse interstellar medium down to 0.01 parsec over a 10 square degrees region. These exceptional observations highlight the highly filamentary and clumpy structure of the interstellar medium even in diffuse regions of the map. The power spectrum analysis shows that the structure of the interstellar medium is well described by a single power law with an exponent of -2.7 +- 0.1 at all scales from 30\" to 8 degrees. That the power spectrum slope of the dust emission is constant down to the SPIRE angular resolution is an indication that the inertial range of turbulence extends down to the 0.01 pc scale. The power spectrum analysis also allows the identification of a Poissonian component at sub-arcminute scales in agreement with predictions of the cosmic infrared background level at SPIRE wavelengths. Finally, the comparison of the SPIRE and IRAS 100 micron data of the Polaris flare clearly assesses the capability of SPIRE in maping diffuse emission over large areas.
Herschel-SPIRE spectroscopy of the DR21 molecular cloud core
We present far-infrared spectra and maps of the DR21 molecular cloud core between 196 and 671 microns, using the Herschel-SPIRE spectrometer. Nineteen molecular lines originating from CO, 13CO, HCO+ and H2O, plus lines of [N II] and [CI] were recorded, including several transitions not previously detected. The CO lines are excited in warm gas with Tkin ~ 125 K and nH2 ~ 7 x 10^4 cm-3, CO column density N(CO) ~ 3.5 x 10^18 cm^-2 and a filling factor of ~ 12%, and appear to trace gas associated with an outflow. The rotational temperature analysis incorporating observations from ground-based telescopes reveals an additional lower excitation CO compoment which has a temperature ~ 78 K and N(CO) ~ 4.5 x 10^21 cm^-2. Astronomy & Astrophysics HERSCHEL special Issue, in press.
Physical properties of the Sh2-104 HII region as seen by Herschel
Context: Sh2-104 is a Galactic H ii region with a bubble morphology, detected at optical and radio wavelengths. It is considered the first observational confirmation of the collect-and-collapse model of triggered star-formation. Aims: We aim to analyze the dust and gas properties of the Sh2-104 region to better constrain its effect on local future generations of stars. In addition, we investigate the relationship between the dust emissivity index {\\beta} and the dust temperature, T_dust. Methods: Using Herschel PACS and SPIRE images at 100, 160, 250, 350 and 500 {\\mu}m we determine T_dust and {\\beta} throughout Sh2-104, fitting the spectral energy distributions (SEDs) obtained from aperture photometry. With the SPIRE Fourier transform spectrometer (FTS) we obtained spectra at different positions in the Sh2-104 region. We detect J-ladders of CO and 13CO, with which we derive the gas temperature and column density. We also detect proxies of ionizing flux as the [NII] 3P1-3P0 and [CI] 3P2-3P1 transitions. Results: We find an average value of {\\beta} ~ 1.5 throughout Sh2-104, as well as a T dust difference between the photodissociation region (PDR, ~ 25 K) and the interior (~ 40 K) of the bubble. We recover the anti-correlation between {\\beta} and dust temperature reported numerous times in the literature. The relative isotopologue abundances of CO appear to be enhanced above the standard ISM values, but the obtained value is very preliminary and is still affected by large uncertainties.