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result(s) for
"Bouguetaia, Soufyane"
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Impact of Energy Price Shocks, Economic Policy Uncertainty and Geopolitical Risk on Industrial Production for G7 Countrices in Times of Russia-Ukraine War
2023
For the purpose of to examine the long-term effects of energy price shocks and economic policy uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and industrial production in times of Russia-Ukraine war, this paper applies days data from January 30, 2022, to April 30, 2022 in G7 Countrices, namely US, UK, Japan, Italy, France, Canada, and Germany. We use the dynamic macro-panel estimators, which include pooled mean group (PMG), mean group (MG), dynamic fixed effects (DFE), and Based on the Hausman h test, the estimated result shows that PMG is the most effective estimator among the three. The results from the PMG model show that energy price shocks (crude oil, natural gas) have a significant positive (demand-driven link) with crude oil prices and a negative (supplydriven link) with natural gas prices in both the short and long terms. This shows that an increase in the price of crude oil and natural gas can cause changes in industrial production. Findings also indicate that fluctuations in the worldwide market energy price will be caused by changes in economic policy uncertainty and geopolitical risk.
Journal Article
The Impact of the Exchange Rate on Balance of Payments in Algeria: An ARDL Model Approach
2022
This study aims at examining the extent to which the exchange rate impacts on balance of payments in Algeria (BoP) during the period 1980-2019, using the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and the Error Correction Model (ECM). This approach tests the presence of a long-run relationship between the variables.A set of relevant variables, in addition to exchange rate, were used to include real interest rate, oil price, GDP per capita, Government expenditure, and inflation rate, based on previous studies of the subject. The results indicate the existance of a long-run equilibrium relationship between the dependent and independent variables. The exchange rate has a negative impact on the balance of payments in the short-run.
Journal Article
Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic and the Oil Price Shock on Economic Policy Uncertainty in US and Russia
by
Mezouri, Ettayib
,
Bouguetaia, Soufyane
in
السياسات الاقتصادية
,
الصدمات النفطية
,
فيروس كورونا "كوفيد-19"
2021
The purpose of this paper is examine the impact of COVID-19 and Oil Price on economic policy uncertainty in US and Russia using monthly, Jan, 2019, to March, 2021 by using the panel-ARDL approach. The results show that Economic policy uncertainty is positively correlated with the COVID-19, this indicate that an increase in COVID-19 can enhance Economic policy uncertainty, Meaning that an increase in the new cases raises the uncertainty of economic policy in the US and Russia in the short-run and long-run. The results also show that the Economic policy uncertainty is negatively correlated with the oil prices.
Journal Article
La Gouvernance
2022
Cet article met en évidence l'importance cruciale de la gouvernance dans les entreprises, les organisations publiques et la société dans son ensemble. Plusieurs aspects clés de la gouvernance sont abordés, soulignant son rôle dans la promotion de la transparence, de la responsabilité, de l'équité et de l'inclusion, ainsi que de la durabilité. La transparence est essentielle dans une bonne gouvernance, car elle permet la divulgation d'informations pertinentes et encourage les citoyens à remettre en question les décisions prises. La responsabilité est également un élément clé, en établissant des mécanismes de responsabilisation pour garantir que les dirigeants rendent compte de leurs actions et prennent des décisions dans l'intérêt de l'organisation et de ses parties prenantes. L'équité et l'inclusion sont promues par une gouvernance solide, en favorisant la participation et la représentation de tous les groupes de la société. La diversité des perspectives contribue à une prise de décision plus complète et pertinente, conduisant à des politiques plus justes et équilibrées.
Journal Article
The Effects of Founder Personality on Startup Success
2024
The present longitudinal study aims to investigate the impact of founder personality qualities on the success of startup ventures. A sample of 100 startup enterprises operating in various Arabic countries was observed and monitored for a duration of 5 years. During this period, comprehensive data was gathered pertaining to the personality qualities of the founders as well as the metrics of success achieved by these startups. The findings suggest that specific personality qualities, namely conscientiousness and emotional stability, have a favorable correlation with the achievement of startup ventures. Conversely, neuroticism is found to have an adverse effect on business success. The research study additionally discovered moderating factors, including industry type and funding sources, that exert an influence on the association between founder personality qualities and the level of success achieved by startups. The consequences of the findings extend to both theoretical and practical domains, as they indicate that the success of a company is significantly influenced by the personality qualities of its founder. Consequently, these traits should be considered when making decisions related to recruitment or securing financial support.
Journal Article
The Grabbing Hand and Helping Hand of Corruption and FDI
by
Mezouri, Ettayib
,
Bouguetaia, Soufyane
in
الاستثمارات الاجنبية
,
البينة التحتية
,
التجارة الدولية
2022
The study aimed to examine the effect of the Corruption on FDI Inflows in Arab Countries for the period 2000-2020, Using PMG model and Grabbing hand and Helping hand hypothesis. The results indicate that Corruption has a negative and significant effect on FDI inflows in both the long-run. This is consistent with the ''Grabbing Hand'' hypothesis of corruption. Other results, the human capital, GDP, international trade, inflation, infrastructure also affect FDI significantly in Maghreb Arab countries.
Journal Article
Forecasting the Net Barter Trade Rate Index
2024
This study aims to predict the Index of the Net Barter Exchange Rate in Algeria during the period from 1980 to 2025, and to achieve this objective, light was shed on the dimension of concepts on barter trade in addition to mentioning some statistics recorded during the study period, but by Norm and relying on the box -Jenkins model, we found that the studied series is unstable at the origin, which determined the nature of the model(ARIMA), the best forecasting model after the weighting process is (4.1.4), because for the results, we have found that the Index of the net barter exchange rate in Algeria over the next five (05) years is known to be down compared to the original Prediction series (pre-forecast).
Journal Article
L'innovation et la croissance des entreprises
2015
Le travail développé dans cet article concerne la problématique de la croissance des entreprises, son objectif est d'illustrer et de décrire le processus de la croissance en essayons de mettre lien avec ses principaux facteurs comme l'innovation. Il existe une forte relation entre l'innovation et la taille de l'entreprise, les petites entreprises s'intéressent plus à l'innovation que les grande, l'innovation est leur sources unique pour avoir un avantage concurrentiel et donc garantir leurs survies.
Journal Article