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result(s) for
"Grierson, Patrick M"
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Combined KRAS-MAPK pathway inhibitors and HER2-directed drug conjugate is efficacious in pancreatic cancer
2024
Targeting the mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) cascade in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains clinically unsuccessful. We aim to develop a MAPK inhibitor-based therapeutic combination with strong preclinical efficacy. Utilizing a reverse-phase protein array, we observe rapid phospho-activation of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) in PDAC cells upon pharmacological MAPK inhibition. Mechanistically, MAPK inhibitors lead to swift proteasomal degradation of dual-specificity phosphatase 6 (DUSP6). The carboxy terminus of HER2, containing a TEY motif also present in extracellular signal-regulated kinase 1/2 (ERK1/2), facilitates binding with DUSP6, enhancing its phosphatase activity to dephosphorylate HER2. In the presence of MAPK inhibitors, DUSP6 dissociates from the protective effect of the RING E3 ligase tripartite motif containing 21, resulting in its degradation. In PDAC patient-derived xenograft (PDX) models, combining ERK and HER inhibitors slows tumour growth and requires cytotoxic chemotherapy to achieve tumour regression. Alternatively, MAPK inhibitors with trastuzumab deruxtecan, an anti-HER2 antibody conjugated with cytotoxic chemotherapy, lead to sustained tumour regression in most tested PDXs without causing noticeable toxicity. Additionally, KRAS inhibitors also activate HER2, supporting testing the combination of KRAS inhibitors and trastuzumab deruxtecan in PDAC. This study identifies a rational and promising therapeutic combination for clinical testing in PDAC patients.
The MAPK pathway is an important therapeutic target in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but success is limited by pathway reactivation, which drives resistance. Here, the authors investigate the mechanism underlying HER2-reactivation post KRAS-MAPK inhibition, identifying combination of MAPK and HER2 inhibition as a therapeutic strategy.
Journal Article
Phase Ib Study of Ulixertinib Plus Gemcitabine and Nab-Paclitaxel in Patients with Metastatic Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma
by
Trikalinos, Nikolaos A
,
Der, Channing J
,
Suresh, Rama
in
Adenocarcinoma
,
Adenocarcinoma - drug therapy
,
Adenocarcinoma - pathology
2023
Abstract
Background
Ulixertinib is a novel oral ERK inhibitor that has shown promising single-agent activity in a phase I clinical trial that included patients with RAS-mutant cancers.
Methods
We conducted a phase Ib trial combining ulixertinib with gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GnP) for untreated metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma. The trial comprised a dose de-escalation part and a cohort expansion part at the recommended phase II dose (RP2D). Primary endpoint was to determine the RP2D of ulixertinib plus GnP and secondary endpoints were to assess toxicity and safety profile, biochemical and radiographic response, progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS).
Results
Eighteen patients were enrolled. Ulixertinib 600 mg PO twice daily (BID) with GnP was initially administered but was de-escalated to 450 mg BID as RP2D early during dose expansion due to poor tolerability, which ultimately led to premature termination of the study. Common treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) were anemia, thrombocytopenia, rash and diarrhea. For 5 response evaluable patients, one patient achieved a partial response and 2 patients achieved stable disease. For 15 patients who received the triplet, median PFS and OS were 5.46 and 12.23 months, respectively.
Conclusion
Ulixertinib plus GnP had similar frequency of grade ≥3 TRAEs and potentially efficacy as GnP, however was complicated by a high rate of all-grade TRAEs (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02608229).
Ulixertinib has shown promising single-agent activity in a phase I clinical trial that included patients with RAS-mutant cancers. This phase Ib trial combined ulixertinib with gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel for untreated metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Results are reported here.
Journal Article
TPL2 enforces RAS-induced inflammatory signaling and is activated by point mutations
2020
NF-κB transcription factors, driven by the IRAK/IKK cascade, confer treatment resistance in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), a cancer characterized by near-universal KRAS mutation. Through reverse-phase protein array and RNA sequencing we discovered that IRAK4 also contributes substantially to MAPK activation in KRAS-mutant PDAC. IRAK4 ablation completely blocked RAS-induced transformation of human and murine cells. Mechanistically, expression of mutant KRAS stimulated an inflammatory, autocrine IL-1β signaling loop that activated IRAK4 and the MAPK pathway. Downstream of IRAK4, we uncovered TPL2 (also known as MAP3K8 or COT) as the essential kinase that propels both MAPK and NF-κB cascades. Inhibition of TPL2 blocked both MAPK and NF-κB signaling, and suppressed KRAS-mutant cell growth. To counter chemotherapy-induced genotoxic stress, PDAC cells upregulated TLR9, which activated prosurvival IRAK4/TPL2 signaling. Accordingly, a TPL2 inhibitor synergized with chemotherapy to curb PDAC growth in vivo. Finally, from TCGA we characterized 2 MAP3K8 point mutations that hyperactivate MAPK and NF-κB cascades by impeding TPL2 protein degradation. Cancer cell lines naturally harboring these MAP3K8 mutations are strikingly sensitive to TPL2 inhibition, underscoring the need to identify these potentially targetable mutations in patients. Overall, our study establishes TPL2 as a promising therapeutic target in RAS- and MAP3K8-mutant cancers and strongly prompts development of TPL2 inhibitors for preclinical and clinical studies.
Journal Article
Vorolanib (X-82), an oral anti-VEGFR/PDGFR/CSF1R tyrosine kinase inhibitor, with everolimus in solid tumors: results of a phase I study
by
Liu, Jingxia
,
Craig, Lockhart A
,
Pedersen, Katrina S
in
Bioaccumulation
,
Colony-stimulating factor
,
Enzyme inhibitors
2021
SummaryBackground Anti-vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (VEGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) combined with mTOR inhibitors, like everolimus, result in significant responses and prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) among patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) [1]. However, everolimus doses >5 mg are often not tolerated when combined with other TKIs2,3. Vorolanib (X-82), an oral anti-VEGFR/platelet derived growth factor receptor (PDGFR)/colony stimulating factor 1 receptor (CSF1R) multitarget TKI, has a short half-life and limited tissue accumulation. We conducted a Phase 1 study of vorolanib with everolimus (10 mg daily) in patients with solid tumors. Methods A 3 + 3 dose escalation design was utilized to determine dose limiting toxicities (DLT) and recommended Phase 2 dose (RP2D) of vorolanib/everolimus. Oral vorolanib at 100, 150, 200, 300, or 400 mg was combined with 10 mg oral everolimus daily. The phase 2 portion was terminated after enrolling two patients due to funding. Results Eighteen patients were evaluable for DLT among 22 treated subjects. Observed DLTs were grade 3 fatigue, hypophosphatemia, and mucositis. The RP2D is vorolanib 300 mg with everolimus 10 mg daily. In 15 patients evaluable for response, three had partial response (PR; 2 RCC, 1 neuroendocrine tumor [NET]) and eight had stable disease (SD; 2 RCC, 6 NET). Conclusions Vorolanib can safely be combined with everolimus. Encouraging activity is seen in RCC and NET. Further studies are warranted. Trial Registration Number: NCT01784861.
Journal Article
Combined Systemic and Hepatic Artery Infusion Pump Chemo-Therapy as a Liver-Directed Therapy for Colorectal Liver Metastasis-Review of Literature and Case Discussion
by
Chaudhry, Salman
,
Fields, Ryan C.
,
Grierson, Patrick M.
in
Cancer therapies
,
Chemotherapy
,
Colorectal cancer
2021
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most prevalent malignancy and the second most common cause of death in the US. Liver is the most common site of colorectal metastases. About 13% of patients with colorectal cancer have liver metastasis on initial presentation and 50% develop them during the disease course. Although systemic chemotherapy and immunotherapy are the mainstay treatment for patients with metastatic disease, for selected patients with predominant liver metastasis, liver-directed approaches may provide prolonged disease control when combined with systemic treatments. Hepatic artery infusion pump (HAIP) chemotherapy is an approach which allows direct infusion of chemotherapeutic into the liver and is especially useful in the setting of multifocal liver metastases. When combined with systemic chemotherapy, HAIP improves the response rate, provides more durable disease control, and in some patients leads to successful resection. To ensure safety, use of HAIP requires multidisciplinary collaboration between interventional radiologists, medical oncologists, hepatobiliary surgeons and treatment nurses. Here, we review the benefits and potential risks with this approach and provide our single institution experience on two CRC patients successfully treated with HAIP in combination with systemic chemotherapy. We provide our recommendations in adopting this technique in the current era for patient with colorectal liver metastases.
Journal Article
BASECAMP-1 screening study: a model for efficient enrolment in precision oncology clinical trials
by
Molina, Julian R
,
Hecht, J Randolph
,
Locke, Frederick L
in
Antigens
,
Biomarkers
,
Cell therapy
2026
ObjectiveIdentifying eligible patients for precision oncology clinical trials is challenging, particularly for rare molecular subpopulations. To address this challenge, A2 Biotherapeutics developed BASECAMP-1 (NCT04981119), a non-interventional master screening study to identify patients eligible for interventional studies of logic-gated Tmod chimeric antigen receptor T-cell therapies. Eligible patients for these interventional trials have an advanced solid malignancy and are germline human leucocyte antigen (HLA)-A*02 heterozygous, with tumour-associated HLA-A loss of heterozygosity (LOH). HLA-A LOH occurs in ~16% of advanced solid malignancies; therefore, an efficient screening strategy is required. This report describes BASECAMP-1; compares the efficiency of two screening methods; and discusses the broader advantages of BASECAMP-1 beyond efficient enrolment.Methods and analysisPatients are identified for BASECAMP-1 using two approaches. In the traditional approach, common for clinical trials, investigators consent and screen all patients who might be good candidates for cell therapy trials, with no prior knowledge of patient HLA-A type or LOH status. To further optimise our approach, we co-developed with Tempus AI (Tempus) the bioinformatic programme Aware, which identifies potentially eligible patients with tumour-associated HLA-A*02 LOH within a clinico-genomic database that includes linked genomic and transcriptomic sequencing and clinical data collected during routine care.ResultsOver 42 months of using a traditional approach to identify eligible patients, 1918 patients at 13 study sites were consented and screened for BASECAMP-1; of these, 30 patients with tumour-associated HLA-A*02 LOH were enrolled (~0.7 participants per month). Over the last 30 months of that same period, Tempus Aware screening was implemented and 55 patients with tumour-associated HLA-A*02 LOH were enrolled (~1.8 participants per month). The bioinformatic approach identified more patients than the traditional approach and used sequencing results produced as part of the standard clinical tumour sequencing workflow, reducing resource use and study staff burden. Additional advantages of using a screening study, such as BASECAMP-1, include manufacturing efficiencies and collection of a large dataset of molecular and clinical parameters that can be used to supplement trial analyses.ConclusionsThe BASECAMP-1 study demonstrates a clinico-genomic screening approach can more efficiently identify patients for precision oncology trials. Furthermore, precision oncology can be enhanced through collaborative data-sharing.Trial registration numberNCT04981119.
Journal Article
636 BASECAMP-1: A master prescreening study to identify patients with high-risk or metastatic solid tumors with HLA loss of heterozygosity (LOH) in preparation for Tmod CAR T-cell therapy trials
2023
BackgroundChimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy has been challenging in solid tumors due to an absence of tumor-specific targets and the resultant on-target, off-tumor toxicity. Tmod, a novel logic-gated CAR T-cell therapy, utilizes a blocking receptor to discriminate tumor from normal cells, thus mitigating on-target, off-tumor toxicity (figure 1).1 2 The blocker recognizes human leukocyte antigen (HLA), an antigen that is subject to LOH.3 4 Among advanced colorectal, pancreatic, and non-small cell lung cancers, HLA LOH occurs in 15.6%, 19.6%, and 23.1% of patients, respectively (Tempus Database).5 However, HLA LOH can only be therapeutically exploited if patients are identifiable through a feasible clinical workflow.BASECAMP-1 is an ongoing prescreening study to: 1) Identify patients with tumor-associated HLA LOH and eligible for Tmod CAR T-cell therapy, and 2) Obtain leukapheresis in preparation for the autologous CAR T-cell therapy trials EVEREST-1 (A2B530 targeting carcinoembryonic antigen; NCT05736731) and EVEREST-2 (A2B694 targeting mesothelin).MethodsBASECAMP-1 (NCT04981119) eligibility has 2 parts (figure 2). Patients with metastatic solid tumors or at high risk of relapse will be screened for germline HLA-A*02. Tumor tissue from patients with germline HLA-A*02:01 heterozygosity will be analyzed for somatic tumor HLA-A*02:01 LOH via Tempus next-generation sequencing testing. In addition, patients may be identified via the Tempus AWARE program. AWARE analyzes tissue from patients submitted to Tempus as part of the patient’s routine clinical workup. Institutional investigators are then informed of molecular results and can communicate with treating physicians regarding enrollment opportunities. Patients with tumors demonstrating HLA-A*02 LOH may be screened for subsequent leukapheresis, and banked T cells will be available for the EVEREST-1 and EVEREST-2 studies.ResultsAs of June 1, 2023, 664 patients were consented at 9 institutions (figure 3). HLA status was determined for 584 patients; 234 were identified as HLA-A*02:01 heterozygous (40%). LOH results were available for 117 patients; 13 were LOH positive (11%).In addition, the AWARE program has been deployed since January 2022. We have identified 52 patients across sites with study-specific disease types with HLA-A*02:01 LOH; of these, 13 are currently being screened, 23 have been found ineligible, and 16 have consented. This demonstrated the feasibility of leveraging a diagnostic during routine clinical workup to identify rare, molecularly defined patients for personalized clinical studies.Trial RegistrationNCT04981119Please note, this trial is a screening/non-interventional clinical trial.References1. Hamburger AE, DiAndreth B, Cui J, et al. Engineered T cells directed at tumors with defined allelic loss. Mol Immunol. 2020;128:298-2. DiAndreth B, Hamburger A, Xu H, Kamb A. The Tmod cellular logic gate as a solution for tumor-selective immunotherapy. Clin Immunol. 2022;241:109030.3. Sandberg ML, Wang X, Martin AD, et al. A carcinoembryonic antigen-specific cell therapy selectively targets tumor cells with HLA loss of heterozygosity in vitro and in vivo. Sci Transl Med. 2022;14:eabm0306.4. Tokatlian T, Asuelime GE, Mock J-Y, et al. Mesothelin-specific CAR-T cell therapy that incorporates an HLA-gated safety mechanism selectively kills tumor cells. J Immunother Cancer. 2022;10:e003826.5. Simeone DM, Hecht R, Patel SP, et al. BASECAMP-1: Leveraging human leukocyte antigen (HLA) loss of heterozygosity (LOH) in solid tumors by next-generation sequencing (NGS) to identify patients with relapsed solid tumor for future logic-gated Tmod CAR T-cell therapy. J Clin Oncol. 2022;40(16_Suppl):TPS2676.Ethics ApprovalThis study was approved by site IRBsAbstract 636 Figure 1Logic-gated CAR T with the goal to reduce toxicity: CEA and MSLN (activators) and HLA-A*02 (blocker)Abstract 636 Figure 2Study Schema for BASECAMP-1Abstract 636 Figure 3BASECAMP-1 Progress to Date and Screening Process Details (June 1, 2023)
Journal Article
634 EVEREST-1: A seamless phase 1/2 study of CEA logic-gated Tmod CAR T-cell therapy (A2B530) in patients with solid tumors associated with CEA expression also exhibiting HLA loss of heterozygosity (LOH)
2023
BackgroundChimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell therapy has demonstrated clinical efficacy in hematologic malignancies1; however, implementation of these therapies in solid tumors has been challenging due to a lack of tumor-specific targets that discriminate cancer from normal cells. Previous studies using carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) T-cell receptors and T-cell engagers have resulted in dose-limiting, on-target, off-tumor toxicities.2 3 EVEREST-1 (NCT05736731) is a seamless, phase 1/2, open-label, nonrandomized study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of A2B530, a logic-gated CEA-targeting Tmod CAR T-cell therapy, in adult patients. Tmod CAR T-cell therapy addresses challenges of on-target, off-tumor toxicity by combining a CAR-activating receptor with a blocking receptor to discriminate tumor from normal cells (figure 1).4 5 The activator receptor recognizes CEA on the surface of both tumor and normal cells. CEA is normally widely expressed in epithelial cells, particularly of the gastrointestinal (GI) system and can be upregulated in GI and lung tumors. Specificity for tumor cells is provided by a blocker that recognizes human leukocyte antigen (HLA) A*02, which is absent on tumor cells with HLA-A*02 LOH.6 LOH for HLA-A*02 is observed in solid tumor malignancies and can be detected using the Tempus next-generation sequencing testing. With this definitive discriminator target, A2B530 can potentially provide a therapeutic window to treat patients with CEA-expressing solid tumors exhibiting HLA LOH.MethodsPatients are enrolled through BASECAMP-1 (NCT04981119), a master prescreening study that identifies patients with HLA LOH at any time in the course of their disease. BASECAMP-1 eligible patients undergo leukapheresis and, when clinically appropriate, their banked T cells are manufactured for the EVEREST-1 study (figure 2). The key inclusion criteria include histologically confirmed recurrent, unresectable, locally advanced, or metastatic cancers that are associated with CEA expression: non-small cell lung (NSCLC), colorectal (CRC), or pancreatic (PANC) cancers. Patients should have received ≥1 line of prior therapy (eg, checkpoint inhibitor, molecular-targeted, or chemotherapy). The primary objective of phase 1 is to evaluate the safety and tolerability of A2B530 in patients with NSCLC, CRC, and PANC, and to identify the maximum tolerated dose and recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D). The dose-expansion phase will confirm RP2D and collect biomarker data to further characterize A2B530.Trial RegistrationNCT05736731References1. Locke FL, Miklos DB, Jacobson CA, et al. Axicabtagene ciloleucel as second-line therapy for large B-cell lymphoma. N Engl J Med. 2022;386:640–654.2. Parkhurst MR, Yang JC, Langan RC, et al. T cells targeting carcinoembryonic antigen can mediate regression of metastatic colorectal cancer but induce severe transient colitis. Mol Ther. 2011;19:620–626.3. Tabernero JT, Melero I, Ros W, et al. Phase Ia and Ib studies of the novel carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) T-cell bispecific (CEA CD3 TCB) antibody as a single agent and in combination with atezolizumab: Preliminary efficacy and safety in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(15_Suppl):3002.4. Hamburger AE, DiAndreth B, Cui J, et al. Engineered T cells directed at tumors with defined allelic loss. Mol Immunol. 2020;128:298–310.5. DiAndreth B, Hamburger A, Xu H, Kamb A. The Tmod cellular logic gate as a solution for tumor-selective immunotherapy. Clin Immunol. 2022;241:109030.6. Sandberg ML, Wang X, Martin AD, et al. A carcinoembryonic antigen-specific cell therapy selectively targets tumor cells with HLA loss of heterozygosity in vitro and in vivo. Sci Transl Med. 2022;14:eabm0306.Ethics ApprovalThis study was approved by site IRBs.Abstract 634 Figure 1CEA CAR Tmod Single Vector ConstructAbstract 634 Figure 2Everest-1 Study Design
Journal Article
585 DENALI-1: a seamless phase 1/2 study of A2B395, a logic-gated, allogeneic, Tmod CAR T therapy, in patients with EGFR-expressing solid tumors with human leukocyte antigen-A02 loss of heterozygosity
2025
BackgroundDespite the success treating hematologic malignancies, chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR T) therapies face challenges in solid tumors due to lack of targets that distinguish tumor from normal cells. Epithelial growth factor receptor (EGFR) plays a critical role in oncogenesis across several cancers and is often upregulated.1 While monoclonal antibodies targeting EGFR have demonstrated efficacy, these approaches are often limited by on-target, off-tumor toxicities, such as skin and gastrointestinal toxicity, which constrains dose escalation and efficacy.2 A2B395 is an allogeneic, logic-gated, EGFR-targeted, Tmod CAR T therapy designed to address these limitations and provide a convenient and consistent off-the-shelf option. This therapy incorporates 2 CARs: an activator targeting EGFR and a blocker targeting human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-A*02. The activator recognizes EGFR on both tumor and normal cells, whereas the blocker inhibits CAR T activity against normal cells with preserved HLA expression, decreasing the risk for graft-vs-host disease (ie, on-target, off-tumor toxicity).3 To address potential graft-vs-host response, a short-hairpin RNA expression module targeting beta-2 microglobulin is included in the Tmod construct, which significantly reduces major histocompatibility complex class I levels and subsequent host immune response.4 Importantly, the Tmod system is modular and adaptable to multiple targets. Initial data on autologous Tmod CAR T therapy suggest reduced off-tumor toxicity and encouraging clinical efficacy.5 A2B395 represents a novel approach for targeting EGFR-expressing solid tumors with HLA-A*02 loss of heterozygosity (figure 1).MethodsDENALI-1 is a phase 1/2, open-label, nonrandomized study evaluating the safety and efficacy of A2B395 in adults. Patients are enrolled through BASECAMP-1 (NCT04981119), a master prescreening study that identifies patients with HLA loss of heterozygosity at any time in the course of their disease via next-generation sequencing. Key inclusion criteria include histologically confirmed recurrent, unresectable, locally advanced, or metastatic cancers associated with EGFR expression, including colorectal, non-small cell lung, squamous cell head and neck, triple-negative breast, and renal cell cancers. Patients must have received ≥1 line of prior therapy, such as a checkpoint inhibitor, molecular targeted therapy, or chemotherapy. The primary objective of phase 1 is to evaluate safety, tolerability, and the recommended phase 2 dose using a Bayesian optimal interval design for dose escalation. The dose-expansion phase will confirm recommended phase 2 dose and collect biomarker data. Phase 2 will assess overall response rate per RECIST v1.1.ResultsThe first patient was enrolled on DENALI-1 in May 2025. Dose escalation is ongoing (figure 2).AcknowledgementsThe authors would like to thank the patients, their families, and their caregivers for participating in this trial; the screeners, clinical research coordinators, study nurses, data managers, and apheresis teams at each study site; and A2 Bio. Medical writing support was provided by Jennifer M. Kulak, PhD, of ApotheCom (Yardley, PA) and funded by A2 Bio.Trial RegistrationClinicalTrials.gov, NCT06682793ReferencesThe Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) Research Network. Accessed June 2021. https://www.cancer.gov/tcgaMacdonald JB, et al. Cutaneous adverse effects of targeted therapies: Part I: Inhibitors of the cellular membrane. J Am Acad Dermatol. 2015;72(2):203–218.Hamburger AE, et al. Engineered T cells directed at tumors with defined allelic loss. Mol Immunol. 2020;128:298–310.DiAndreth B, et al. The Tmod cellular logic gate as a solution for tumor-selective immunotherapy. Clin Immunol. 2022;241:109030.Grierson PM, et al. 588 EVEREST-1: initial safety data from a seamless phase 1/2 study of A2B530, a logic-gated Tmod CAR T-cell therapy, in patients with solid tumors associated with CEA expression also exhibiting HLA-LOH. J ImmunoTher Cancer. 2024;12(Suppl_2):A670-A671.Kirtane K, et al. Logic-gated, allogeneic Tmod chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR T) therapy targeting epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) in advanced solid tumors with human leukocyte antigen (HLA) loss of heterozygosity (LOH): DENALI-1 trial. J Clin Oncol. 2025;43(16 suppl): TPS2677.Ethics ApprovalThis trial was approved by each site’s institutional review board.Abstract 585 Figure 1Logic-Gated CAR T With the Goal to Reduce Toxicity: MSLN (Activator) and HLA-A*02 (Blocker) [6][Image Omitted. See PDF.]Abstract 585 Figure 2DENALI 1 dose escalation study design[Image Omitted. See PDF.]
Journal Article
Drought variability in the eastern Australia and New Zealand summer drought atlas (ANZDA, CE 1500-2012) modulated by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
by
Lough, Janice
,
Cook, Edward R
,
Turney, Chris S M
in
Agricultural production
,
Drought
,
eastern Australia
2015
Agricultural production across eastern Australia and New Zealand is highly vulnerable to drought, but there is a dearth of observational drought information prior to CE 1850. Using a comprehensive network of 176 drought-sensitive tree-ring chronologies and one coral series, we report the first Southern Hemisphere gridded drought atlas extending back to CE 1500. The austral summer (December-February) Palmer drought sensitivity index reconstruction accurately reproduces historically documented drought events associated with the first European settlement of Australia in CE 1788, and the leading principal component explains over 50% of the underlying variance. This leading mode of variability is strongly related to the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation tripole index (IPO), with a strong and robust antiphase correlation between (1) eastern Australia and the New Zealand North Island and (2) the South Island. Reported positive, negative, and neutral phases of the IPO are consistently reconstructed by the drought atlas although the relationship since CE 1976 appears to have weakened.
Journal Article