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Familial hypercholesterolaemia is a common autosomal-dominant disorder caused by mutations in three known genes. DNA-based cascade testing is recommended by UK guidelines to identify affected relatives; however, about 60% of patients are mutation-negative. We assessed the hypothesis that familial hypercholesterolaemia can also be caused by an accumulation of common small-effect LDL-C-raising alleles. In November, 2011, we assembled a sample of patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia from three UK-based sources and compared them with a healthy control sample from the UK Whitehall II (WHII) study. We also studied patients from a Belgian lipid clinic (Hôpital de Jolimont, Haine St-Paul, Belgium) for validation analyses. We genotyped participants for 12 common LDL-C-raising alleles identified by the Global Lipid Genetics Consortium and constructed a weighted LDL-C-raising gene score. We compared the gene score distribution among patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia with no confirmed mutation, those with an identified mutation, and controls from WHII. We recruited 321 mutation-negative UK patients (451 Belgian), 319 mutation-positive UK patients (273 Belgian), and 3020 controls from WHII. The mean weighted LDL-C gene score of the WHII participants (0·90 [SD 0·23]) was strongly associated with LDL-C concentration (p=1·4 × 10−77; R2=0·11). Mutation-negative UK patients had a significantly higher mean weighted LDL-C score (1·0 [SD 0·21]) than did WHII controls (p=4·5 × 10−16), as did the mutation-negative Belgian patients (0·99 [0·19]; p=5·2 × 10−20). The score was also higher in UK (0·95 [0·20]; p=1·6 × 10−5) and Belgian (0·92 [0·20]; p=0·04) mutation-positive patients than in WHII controls. 167 (52%) of 321 mutation-negative UK patients had a score within the top three deciles of the WHII weighted LDL-C gene score distribution, and only 35 (11%) fell within the lowest three deciles. In a substantial proportion of patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia without a known mutation, their raised LDL-C concentrations might have a polygenic cause, which could compromise the efficiency of cascade testing. In patients with a detected mutation, a substantial polygenic contribution might add to the variable penetrance of the disease. British Heart Foundation, Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Schering-Plough, National Institute for Health Research, Medical Research Council, Health and Safety Executive, Department of Health, National Heart Lung and Blood Institute, National Institute on Aging, Agency for Health Care Policy Research, John D and Catherine T MacArthur Foundation Research Networks on Successful Midlife Development and Socio-economic Status and Health, Unilever, and Departments of Health and Trade and Industry.

The National Health Service (NHS) abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) screening programme (NAAASP) in England screens 65-year-old men. The programme monitors those with an aneurysm, and early intervention for large aneurysms reduces ruptures and AAA-related mortality. AAA screening services have been disrupted following COVID-19 but it is not known how this may impact AAA-related mortality, or where efforts should be focussed as services resume. We repurposed a previously validated discrete event simulation model to investigate the impact of COVID-19-related service disruption on key outcomes. This model was used to explore the impact of delayed invitation and reduced attendance in men invited to screening. Additionally, we investigated the impact of temporarily suspending scans, increasing the threshold for elective surgery to 7cm and increasing drop-out in the AAA cohort under surveillance, using data from NAAASP to inform the population. Delaying invitation to primary screening up to two years had little impact on key outcomes whereas a 10% reduction in attendance could lead to a 2% lifetime increase in AAA-related deaths. In surveillance patients, a 1-year suspension of surveillance or increase in the elective threshold resulted in a 0.4% increase in excess AAA-related deaths (8% in those 5-5.4cm at the start). Longer suspensions or a doubling of drop-out from surveillance would have a pronounced impact on outcomes. Efforts should be directed towards encouraging men to attend AAA screening service appointments post-COVID-19. Those with AAAs on surveillance should be prioritised as the screening programme resumes, as changes to these services beyond one year are likely to have a larger impact on surgical burden and AAA-related mortality.

[...]the genetic instrument should be sufficiently strongly associated with the intermediate phenotype to avoid weak instrument bias.6 The LIPG variant used here had a fairly large effect on HDL cholesterol, but is rare in the population and so might not represent a strong instrument.

[...]2 of the SNPs included in the risk score (in the SORT1 and PCSK9 genes) are associated with circulating lipid concentrations, which were included among the clinical predictors. [...]the authors point to the fact that participants with <8 risk alleles have an almost doubling of the risk for CHD events.

Objective: The Asp358Ala variant (rs2228145; A>C) in the interleukin-6 receptor (IL6R) gene has been implicated in the development of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs), but its effect on AAA growth over time is not known. We aimed to investigate the clinical association between the IL6R-Asp358Ala variant and AAA growth, and to assess the effect of blocking the IL-6 signalling pathway in mouse models of aneurysm rupture. Approach: Using data from 2,863 participants with AAA from nine prospective cohorts, age- and sex-adjusted mixed-effects linear regression models were used to estimate the association between the IL6R-Asp358Ala variant and annual change in AAA diameter (mm/year). In a series of complementary randomised trials in mice, the effect of blocking the IL-6 signalling pathways was assessed on plasma biomarkers, systolic blood pressure, aneurysm diameter and time to aortic rupture and death. Results: After adjusting for age and sex, baseline aneurysm size was 0.55mm (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.13, 0.98mm) smaller per copy of the minor allele [C] of the Asp358Ala variant. There was no evidence of a reduction in AAA growth rate (change in growth=-0.06mm per year [-0.18, 0.06] per copy of the minor allele). In two mouse models of AAA, selective blockage of the IL-6 trans-signalling pathway, but not combined blockage of both, the classical and trans-signalling pathways, was associated with improved survival (p<0.05). Conclusions: Our proof-of-principle data are compatible with the concept that IL-6 trans-signalling is relevant to AAA growth, encouraging larger-scale evaluation of this hypothesis. Footnotes * Additional information on the experimental mouse models and results from genetic epidemiological analysis after further adjustment for current smoking, diabetes status, body mass index and method used to measure aneurysm size.