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97 result(s) for "Massaro, Joseph M"
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Physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019: natural experiment in 149 countries
AbstractObjectiveTo evaluate the association between physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019 (covid-19) globally.DesignNatural experiment using interrupted time series analysis, with results synthesised using meta-analysis.Setting149 countries or regions, with data on daily reported cases of covid-19 from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control and data on the physical distancing policies from the Oxford covid-19 Government Response Tracker.ParticipantsIndividual countries or regions that implemented one of the five physical distancing interventions (closures of schools, workplaces, and public transport, restrictions on mass gatherings and public events, and restrictions on movement (lockdowns)) between 1 January and 30 May 2020.Main outcome measureIncidence rate ratios (IRRs) of covid-19 before and after implementation of physical distancing interventions, estimated using data to 30 May 2020 or 30 days post-intervention, whichever occurred first. IRRs were synthesised across countries using random effects meta-analysis.ResultsOn average, implementation of any physical distancing intervention was associated with an overall reduction in covid-19 incidence of 13% (IRR 0.87, 95% confidence interval 0.85 to 0.89; n=149 countries). Closure of public transport was not associated with any additional reduction in covid-19 incidence when the other four physical distancing interventions were in place (pooled IRR with and without public transport closure was 0.85, 0.82 to 0.88; n=72, and 0.87, 0.84 to 0.91; n=32, respectively). Data from 11 countries also suggested similar overall effectiveness (pooled IRR 0.85, 0.81 to 0.89) when school closures, workplace closures, and restrictions on mass gatherings were in place. In terms of sequence of interventions, earlier implementation of lockdown was associated with a larger reduction in covid-19 incidence (pooled IRR 0.86, 0.84 to 0.89; n=105) compared with a delayed implementation of lockdown after other physical distancing interventions were in place (pooled IRR 0.90, 0.87 to 0.94; n=41).ConclusionsPhysical distancing interventions were associated with reductions in the incidence of covid-19 globally. No evidence was found of an additional effect of public transport closure when the other four physical distancing measures were in place. Earlier implementation of lockdown was associated with a larger reduction in the incidence of covid-19. These findings might support policy decisions as countries prepare to impose or lift physical distancing measures in current or future epidemic waves.
Stenting and Medical Therapy for Atherosclerotic Renal-Artery Stenosis
In this trial, 947 patients with renal-artery stenosis were assigned to renal-artery stenting or medical therapy. At a median of 43 months, there was no significant between-group difference in the rate of a composite end point of adverse cardiovascular and renal events. Renal-artery stenosis, which is present in 1 to 5% of people with hypertension, 1 , 2 often occurs in combination with peripheral arterial or coronary artery disease. 3 , 4 Results of community-based screening suggest that the prevalence among persons older than 65 years of age may be as high as 7%. 5 Renal-artery stenosis may result in hypertension, ischemic nephropathy, and multiple long-term complications. 6 Uncontrolled studies performed in the 1990s suggested that renal-artery angioplasty or stenting resulted in significant reductions in systolic blood pressure 7 , 8 and in the stabilization of chronic kidney disease. 9 , 10 Subsequently, there were rapid increases in the rate of renal-artery . . .
Deep convolutional neural networks to predict cardiovascular risk from computed tomography
Coronary artery calcium is an accurate predictor of cardiovascular events. While it is visible on all computed tomography (CT) scans of the chest, this information is not routinely quantified as it requires expertise, time, and specialized equipment. Here, we show a robust and time-efficient deep learning system to automatically quantify coronary calcium on routine cardiac-gated and non-gated CT. As we evaluate in 20,084 individuals from distinct asymptomatic (Framingham Heart Study, NLST) and stable and acute chest pain (PROMISE, ROMICAT-II) cohorts, the automated score is a strong predictor of cardiovascular events, independent of risk factors (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios up to 4.3), shows high correlation with manual quantification, and robust test-retest reliability. Our results demonstrate the clinical value of a deep learning system for the automated prediction of cardiovascular events. Implementation into clinical practice would address the unmet need of automating proven imaging biomarkers to guide management and improve population health. Coronary artery calcium is an accurate predictor of cardiovascular events but this information is not routinely quantified. Here the authors show a robust and time-efficient deep learning system to automatically quantify coronary calcium on CT scans and predict cardiovascular events in a large, multicentre study.
Distribution, Determinants, and Normal Reference Values of Thoracic and Abdominal Aortic Diameters by Computed Tomography (from the Framingham Heart Study)
Current screening and detection of asymptomatic aortic aneurysms is based largely on uniform cut-point diameters. The aims of this study were to define normal aortic diameters in asymptomatic men and women in a community-based cohort and to determine the association between aortic diameters and traditional risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Measurements of the diameters of the ascending thoracic aorta (AA), descending thoracic aorta (DTA), infrarenal abdominal aorta (IRA), and lower abdominal aorta (LAA) were acquired from 3,431 Framingham Heart Study (FHS) participants. Mean diameters were stratified by gender, age, and body surface area. Univariate associations with risk factor levels were examined, and multivariate linear regression analysis was used to assess the significance of covariate-adjusted relations with aortic diameters. For men, the average diameters were 34.1 mm for the AA, 25.8 mm for the DTA, 19.3 mm for the IRA, and 18.7 mm for the LAA. For women, the average diameters were 31.9 mm for the AA, 23.1 mm for the DTA, 16.7 mm for the IRA, and 16.0 mm for the LAA. The mean aortic diameters were strongly correlated (p <0.0001) with age and body surface area in age-adjusted analyses, and these relations remained significant in multivariate regression analyses. Positive associations of diastolic blood pressure with AA and DTA diameters in both genders and pack-years of cigarette smoking with DTA diameter in women and IRA diameter in men and women were observed. In conclusion, average diameters of the thoracic and abdominal aorta by computed tomography are larger in men compared with women, vary significantly with age and body surface area, and are associated with modifiable cardiovascular disease risk factors, including diastolic blood pressure and cigarette smoking.
Development of a risk score for atrial fibrillation (Framingham Heart Study): a community-based cohort study
Atrial fibrillation contributes to substantial increases in morbidity and mortality. We aimed to develop a risk score to predict individuals' absolute risk of developing the condition, and to provide a framework for researchers to assess new risk markers. We assessed 4764 participants in the Framingham Heart Study from 8044 examinations (55% women, 45–95 years of age) undertaken between June, 1968, and September, 1987. Thereafter, participants were monitored for the first event of atrial fibrillation for a maximum of 10 years. Multivariable Cox regression identified clinical risk factors associated with development of atrial fibrillation in 10 years. Secondary analyses incorporated routine echocardiographic measurements (5152 participants, 7156 examinations) to reclassify the risk of atrial fibrillation and to assess whether these measurements improved risk prediction. 457 (10%) of the 4764 participants developed atrial fibrillation. Age, sex, body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, treatment for hypertension, PR interval, clinically significant cardiac murmur, and heart failure were associated with atrial fibrillation and incorporated in a risk score (p<0·05, except body-mass index p=0·08), clinical model C statistic 0·78 (95% CI 0·76–0·80). Risk of atrial fibrillation in 10 years varied with age: more than 15% risk was recorded in 53 (1%) participants younger than 65 years, compared with 783 (27%) older than 65 years. Additional incorporation of echocardiographic measurements to enhance the risk prediction model only slightly improved the C statistic from 0·78 (95% CI 0·75–0·80) to 0·79 (0·77–0·82), p=0·005. Echocardiographic measurements did not improve risk reclassification (p=0·18). From clinical factors readily accessible in primary care, our risk score could help to identify risk of atrial fibrillation for individuals in the community, assess technologies or markers for improvement of risk prediction, and target high-risk individuals for preventive measures. US National Institutes of Health.
Transcranial direct current stimulation for post-stroke dysphagia: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
BackgroundTranscranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) has been investigated as a tool for dysphagia recovery after stroke in several single-center randomized controlled trials (RCT).ObjectiveThe aim of this investigation was to quantitatively evaluate the effect of tDCS on dysphagia recovery after a stroke utilizing a systematic review and meta-analysis.MethodsMajor databases were searched through October 2019 using a pre-defined set of criteria. Any RCT investigating the efficacy of tDCS in post-stroke dysphagia using a standardized dysphagia scale as outcome measure was included. Studies were assessed for risk of bias and quality using the Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro) scale. Effect sizes were calculated from extracted data and entered into a random effects analysis to obtain pooled estimates of the effect.ResultsSeven RCTs with a total sample size of 217 patients fulfilled the criteria and were included in the analysis. The overall results revealed a small but statistically significant pooled effect size (0.31; CI 0.03, 0.59; p = 0.03). The subgroup which explored the stimulation intensity yielded a moderately significant effect size for the low-intensity stimulation group (g = 0.44; CI = 0.08, 0.81 vs. g = 0.15, CI − 0.30, 0.61). For the other subgroup analyses, neither comparisons of affected vs. unaffected hemisphere or acute vs. chronic stroke phase revealed a significant result.ConclusionThis meta-analysis demonstrates a modest but significant beneficial effect of tDCS on improving post-stroke dysphagia. Whether benefits from this intervention are more pronounced in certain patient subgroups and with specific stimulation protocols requires further investigation.
Stent Thrombosis in Randomized Clinical Trials of Drug-Eluting Stents
Definitions of stent thrombosis that have been used in clinical trials of drug-eluting stents have been restrictive and have not been used in a uniform manner. We applied a hierarchical classification of stent thrombosis set by the Academic Research Consortium (ARC) across randomized trials involving 878 patients treated with sirolimus-eluting stents, 1400 treated with paclitaxel-eluting stents, and 2267 treated with bare-metal stents. We then pooled 4 years of follow-up data. All events were adjudicated by an independent clinical-events committee. The cumulative incidence of stent thrombosis according to the original protocol definitions was 1.2% in the sirolimus-stent group versus 0.6% in the bare-metal-stent group (P=0.20; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.4 to 1.5) and 1.3% in the paclitaxel-stent group versus 0.8% in the bare-metal-stent group (P=0.24; 95% CI, -0.3 to 1.4). The incidence of definite or probable stent thrombosis as defined by the ARC was 1.5% in the sirolimus-stent group versus 1.7% in the bare-metal-stent group (P=0.70; 95% CI, -1.5 to 1.0) and 1.8% in the paclitaxel-stent group versus 1.4% in the bare-metal-stent group (P=0.52; 95% CI, -0.7 to 1.4). The incidence of definite or probable events occurring 1 to 4 years after implantation was 0.9% in the sirolimus-stent group versus 0.4% in the bare-metal-stent group and 0.9% in the paclitaxel-stent group versus 0.6% in the bare-metal-stent group. The incidence of stent thrombosis did not differ significantly between patients with drug-eluting stents and those with bare-metal stents in randomized clinical trials, although the power to detect small differences in rates was limited.
Abdominal Subcutaneous Adipose Tissue: A Protective Fat Depot?
OBJECTIVE: Obesity is associated with increased metabolic and cardiovascular risk. The ectopic fat hypothesis suggests that subcutaneous fat may be protective, but this theory has yet to be fully explored. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants from the Framingham Heart Study (n = 3,001, 48.5% women) were stratified by visceral adipose tissue (VAT) into sex-specific tertiles. Within these tertiles, age-adjusted abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) tertiles were examined in relation to cardiometabolic risk factors. RESULTS: In the lowest VAT tertile, risk factor prevalence was low, although systolic blood pressure in women and rates of high triglycerides, impaired fasting glucose, hypertension, and the metabolic syndrome in men increased with increasing SAT tertile (all P < 0.04). In contrast, in the top VAT tertile, lower triglycerides were observed in men with increasing SAT (64.4% high triglycerides in SAT tertile 1 vs. 52.7% in SAT tertile 3, P = 0.03). Similar observations were made for women, although results were not statistically significant (50.6% high triglycerides in SAT tertile 1 vs. 41.0% in tertile 3, P = 0.10). Results in the highest VAT tertile were notable for a lack of increase in the prevalence of low HDL in men and women and in rates of impaired fasting glucose in men with increasing subcutaneous fat, despite sizable differences in BMI across SAT tertiles (27.1 to 36.3 kg/m²[women]; 28.1 to 35.7 kg/m²[men]). CONCLUSIONS: Although adiposity increases the absolute risk of metabolic and cardiovascular disease, abdominal subcutaneous fat is not associated with a linear increase in the prevalence of all risk factors among the obese, most notably, high triglycerides.
Adiposity, Cardiometabolic Risk, and Vitamin D Status: The Framingham Heart Study
Adiposity, Cardiometabolic Risk, and Vitamin D Status: The Framingham Heart Study Susan Cheng 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , Joseph M. Massaro 1 , 5 , Caroline S. Fox 1 , 6 , 7 , Martin G. Larson 1 , 5 , Michelle J. Keyes 1 , 5 , Elizabeth L. McCabe 1 , 2 , Sander J. Robins 1 , 8 , Christopher J. O'Donnell 1 , 2 , 6 , Udo Hoffmann 9 , Paul F. Jacques 10 , Sarah L. Booth 10 , Ramachandran S. Vasan 1 , 8 , 11 , Myles Wolf 12 and Thomas J. Wang 1 , 2 1 Framingham Heart Study, Framingham, Massachusetts; 2 Cardiology Division, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; 3 Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; 4 Clinical Investigator Training Program, Beth Israel Deaconness Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; 5 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts; 6 Center for Population Studies, National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland; 7 Division of Endocrinology, Metabolism, and Diabetes, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; 8 Department of Medicine, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts; 9 Radiology Department, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts; 10 Nutritional Epidemiology Program, Jean Mayer U.S. Department of Agriculture Human Nutrition Research Center on Aging, Tufts University, Boston, Massachusetts; 11 Epidemiology Department, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts; 12 Division of Nephrology and Hypertension, Department of Medicine, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida. Corresponding author: Thomas J. Wang, tjwang{at}partners.org . Abstract OBJECTIVE Because vitamin D deficiency is associated with a variety of chronic diseases, understanding the characteristics that promote vitamin D deficiency in otherwise healthy adults could have important clinical implications. Few studies relating vitamin D deficiency to obesity have included direct measures of adiposity. Furthermore, the degree to which vitamin D is associated with metabolic traits after adjusting for adiposity measures is unclear. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We investigated the relations of serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25[OH]D) concentrations with indexes of cardiometabolic risk in 3,890 nondiabetic individuals; 1,882 had subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) volumes measured by multidetector computed tomography (CT). RESULTS In multivariable-adjusted regression models, 25(OH)D was inversely associated with winter season, waist circumference, and serum insulin ( P < 0.005 for all). In models further adjusted for CT measures, 25(OH)D was inversely related to SAT (−1.1 ng/ml per SD increment in SAT, P = 0.016) and VAT (−2.3 ng/ml per SD, P < 0.0001). The association of 25(OH)D with insulin resistance measures became nonsignificant after adjustment for VAT. Higher adiposity volumes were correlated with lower 25(OH)D across different categories of BMI, including in lean individuals (BMI <25 kg/m 2 ). The prevalence of vitamin D deficiency (25[OH]D <20 ng/ml) was threefold higher in those with high SAT and high VAT than in those with low SAT and low VAT ( P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS Vitamin D status is strongly associated with variation in subcutaneous and especially visceral adiposity. The mechanisms by which adiposity promotes vitamin D deficiency warrant further study. Footnotes The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges. This article must therefore be hereby marked “advertisement” in accordance with 18 U.S.C. Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact. Received July 10, 2009. Accepted September 22, 2009. © 2010 American Diabetes Association
Long-term risk of cardiovascular events across a spectrum of adverse major plasma lipid combinations in the Framingham Heart Study
Blood levels of high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high triglycerides (TG), and low high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) have been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). The long-term comparative CVD risk associated with these 3 major lipid classes in various combinations is, however, unknown. A total of 3,501 participants of the Framingham Offspring Study (mean age 51 ± 10 years, 56% women) without CVD at baseline were followed up for incident CVD between 1987 and 2011. Participants were grouped according to baseline lipid values into 8 distinct categories to compare the prognostic significance of values within an optimal range to Third Report of the National Cholesterol Educational Program–defined high LDL-C (>130 mg/dL), high TG (>150 mg/dL), and/or low HDL-C (<40 mg/dL) in various combinations using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models. On follow-up (median 20.2 years), 724 (21%) had new-onset CVD. Adjusted for confounders and compared with the group with optimal lipid values, hazards ratios and population-attributable risks (PARs) were as follows: isolated low HDL-C, 1.93 (95% CI 1.37-2.71), PAR = 3.1%; isolated high LDL-C, 1.28 (1.03-1.59), PAR 6.4%; isolated high TG, 1.35 (0.91-1.98), PAR = 1.1% (not significant); low HDL-C and high LDL-C, 1.82 (1.33-2.49), PAR = 3.9%; low HDL-C and high TG, 1.74 (1.28-2.37), PAR = 3.9%; high LDL-C and high TG, 1.52 (1.12-2.07), PAR = 6.4%; and high LDL-C, high TG and low HDL-C 2.28 (1.73-3.02), PAR = 7.5%. Aside from isolated hypertriglyceridemia, low levels of HDL-C, high levels of LDL-C, and high levels of TG in any combination were associated with increased risk of CVD.