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result(s) for
"Mermin, Jonathan"
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Latent tuberculosis infection: the final frontier of tuberculosis elimination in the USA
by
LoBue, Philip A
,
Mermin, Jonathan H
in
Activation
,
Antitubercular Agents - therapeutic use
,
At risk populations
2017
Since 1989, the USA has been pursuing the goal of tuberculosis elimination. After substantial progress during the past two decades, the rate of tuberculosis cases in the USA each year has now levelled off and remains well above the elimination threshold. Both epidemiological data and modelling underline the necessity of addressing latent tuberculosis infection if further progress is to be made in eliminating the disease. In this Personal View we explore next steps towards elimination. Given the estimated prevalence of latent tuberculosis infection, compared with the limited testing and treatment that currently occur, a major new effort is required. This effort should consist of a surveillance system or registry to monitor progress, scale-up of targeted testing for latent tuberculosis infection in at-risk populations, scale-up of short-course treatment regimens, engagement of affected communities and medical providers who serve those communities, and increased public health staffing for implementation and oversight. Such an effort would benefit greatly from the development of new tools, such as tests that better indicate reactivation risk, and even shorter latent tuberculosis infection treatment regimens than currently exist.
Journal Article
State-level prevalence estimates of latent tuberculosis infection in the United States by medical risk factors, demographic characteristics and nativity
by
Barry, Pennan M.
,
Mermin, Jonathan H.
,
Readhead, Adam
in
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
,
AIDS
,
Biology and Life Sciences
2021
Preventing tuberculosis (TB) disease requires treatment of latent TB infection (LTBI) as well as prevention of person-to-person transmission. We estimated the LTBI prevalence for the entire United States and for each state by medical risk factors, age, and race/ethnicity, both in the total population and stratified by nativity.
We created a mathematical model using all incident TB disease cases during 2013-2017 reported to the National Tuberculosis Surveillance System that were classified using genotype-based methods or imputation as not attributed to recent TB transmission. Using the annual average number of TB cases among US-born and non-US-born persons by medical risk factor, age group, and race/ethnicity, we applied population-specific reactivation rates (and corresponding 95% confidence intervals [CI]) to back-calculate the estimated prevalence of untreated LTBI in each population for the United States and for each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia in 2015.
We estimated that 2.7% (CI: 2.6%-2.8%) of the U.S. population, or 8.6 (CI: 8.3-8.8) million people, were living with LTBI in 2015. Estimated LTBI prevalence among US-born persons was 1.0% (CI: 1.0%-1.1%) and among non-US-born persons was 13.9% (CI: 13.5%-14.3%). Among US-born persons, the highest LTBI prevalence was in persons aged ≥65 years (2.1%) and in persons of non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity (3.1%). Among non-US-born persons, the highest LTBI prevalence was estimated in persons aged 45-64 years (16.3%) and persons of Asian and other racial/ethnic groups (19.1%).
Our estimations of the prevalence of LTBI by medical risk factors and demographic characteristics for each state could facilitate planning for testing and treatment interventions to eliminate TB in the United States. Our back-calculation method feasibly estimates untreated LTBI prevalence and can be updated using future TB disease case counts at the state or national level.
Journal Article
Simple, Effective, but Out of Reach? Public Health Implications of HCV Drugs
by
Mermin, Jonathan H
,
Ward, John W
in
Antiviral Agents - therapeutic use
,
Carbamates - therapeutic use
,
Clinical trials
2015
The results of four clinical trials showing the excellent safety and efficacy of a 12-week course of sofosbuvir (an NS5B inhibitor licensed in the United States in 2013) and velpatasvir (a new NS5A inhibitor) in treating patients with hepatitis C infection (HCV) are reported now in the
Journal
.
1
–
3
In two of these studies, ASTRAL-1 and ASTRAL-2, 97 to 100% of patients with HCV genotype 1a, 1b, 2, 4, 5, or 6 had a sustained virologic response at 12 weeks after the end of therapy, a marker that is indicative of virologic cure. Similar efficacy was observed among patients . . .
Journal Article
Status and methodology of publicly available national HIV care continua and 90-90-90 targets: A systematic review
by
Aberle-Grasse, John
,
Granich, Reuben
,
Gupta, Somya
in
Accountability
,
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
,
Adolescents
2017
In 2014, the Joint United Nations Program on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) issued treatment goals for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The 90-90-90 target specifies that by 2020, 90% of individuals living with HIV will know their HIV status, 90% of people with diagnosed HIV infection will receive antiretroviral treatment (ART), and 90% of those taking ART will be virally suppressed. Consistent methods and routine reporting in the public domain will be necessary for tracking progress towards the 90-90-90 target.
For the period 2010-2016, we searched PubMed, UNAIDS country progress reports, World Health Organization (WHO), UNAIDS reports, national surveillance and program reports, United States President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR) Country Operational Plans, and conference presentations and/or abstracts for the latest available national HIV care continuum in the public domain. Continua of care included the number and proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) who are diagnosed, on ART, and virally suppressed out of the estimated number of PLHIV. We ranked the described methods for indicators to derive high-, medium-, and low-quality continuum. For 2010-2016, we identified 53 national care continua with viral suppression estimates representing 19.7 million (54%) of the 2015 global estimate of PLHIV. Of the 53, 6 (with 2% of global burden) were high quality, using standard surveillance methods to derive an overall denominator and program data from national cohorts for estimating steps in the continuum. Only nine countries in sub-Saharan Africa had care continua with viral suppression estimates. Of the 53 countries, the average proportion of the aggregate of PLHIV from all countries on ART was 48%, and the proportion of PLHIV who were virally suppressed was 40%. Seven countries (Sweden, Cambodia, United Kingdom, Switzerland, Denmark, Rwanda, and Namibia) were within 12% and 10% of achieving the 90-90-90 target for \"on ART\" and for \"viral suppression,\" respectively. The limitations to consider when interpreting the results include significant variation in methods used to determine national continua and the possibility that complete continua were not available through our comprehensive search of the public domain.
Relatively few complete national continua of care are available in the public domain, and there is considerable variation in the methods for determining progress towards the 90-90-90 target. Despite bearing the highest HIV burden, national care continua from sub-Saharan Africa were less likely to be in the public domain. A standardized monitoring and evaluation approach could improve the use of scarce resources to achieve 90-90-90 through improved transparency, accountability, and efficiency.
Journal Article
HIV Infection Linked to Injection Use of Oxymorphone in Indiana, 2014–2015
2016
A rapid spread of HIV type 1 was identified in a community in Indiana and was found to be related to injection use of oxymorphone.
The epidemic of prescription opioid analgesic use and abuse in the United States over the past two decades
1
has led to a marked increase in the incidence of death from opioid analgesic poisoning, with a quadrupling of the incidence from 1999 through 2011.
2
In 2009, for the first time, deaths from drug overdose (37,004 deaths, of which 60% were related to the use of opioids) outnumbered deaths from motor vehicle accidents in the United States.
3
,
4
This epidemic of prescription opioid analgesic abuse has led to increases in the numbers of persons who inject drugs, as persons transition from oral . . .
Journal Article
Effectiveness of naloxone distribution in community settings to reduce opioid overdose deaths among people who use drugs: a systematic review and meta-analysis
2025
Background
It is estimated that over 111,000 people in the U.S. died from a drug overdose in the twelve-month period ending in July 2023. More than three-quarters of those deaths were attributed to opioids. Naloxone has long been available in healthcare facilities to reverse opioid overdose rapidly and safely but is not universally accessible for use in community settings where overdoses occur. We conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to assess the effectiveness of overdose education and naloxone distribution (OEND) programs in three types of community settings to reduce overdose deaths among people who use opioids nonmedically.
Methods
We systematically searched electronic databases, including Medline (OVID), Embase (OVID), Psycinfo (OVID), and Global Health (OVID), for peer-reviewed studies of OEND programs published during 2003–2018 (Group 1) that reported overdose outcomes individual level survivals or deaths immediately following naloxone administration. The PRISMA checklist guided screening, quality assessment, and data abstraction. We later identified studies published during 2018–2022 (Group 2), when drug usage and fentanyl-related overdose deaths notably increased, differed from earlier ones. We conducted meta-analyses on both Groups using random effects models to estimate summary survival proportions.
Results
Among the 44 Group 1 studies published during 2003–2018, survival did not differ by time (year), location, naloxone dose, or route of administration, but studies of OEND programs serving people who use drugs reported 98.3% (95% CI: 97.5–98.8) survival; those serving family of people who use drugs or other community members reported 95.0% (95% CI: 91.4–97.1) survival; and those for police reported 92.4% (95% CI: 88.9–94.8) survival (
p
< 0.01). Five Group 2 studies (2018–2022) yielded similar results.
Conclusions
Community-based naloxone distribution programs can be effective in preventing opioid overdose deaths. The paper demonstrates that in the face of increasing overdose deaths over time, survival after naloxone administration has been sustained. The very high survival rates provide clear evidence for public health to continue efforts to expand channels for naloxone distribution in community settings.
Journal Article
The Rise of Mpox in a Post-Smallpox World
by
Hutson, Christina L.
,
McQuiston, Jennifer H.
,
Christie, Athalia
in
Care and treatment
,
Disease Outbreaks
,
Distribution
2025
Reports of mpox are rising in Africa where the disease is endemic and in new countries where the disease has not been previously seen. The 2022 global outbreak of clade II mpox and an ongoing outbreak of the more lethal clade I mpox highlight the pandemic potential for monkeypox virus. Waning population immunity after the cessation of routine immunization for smallpox plays a key role in the changing epidemiologic patterns of mpox. Sustained human-to-human transmission of mpox is occurring widely in the context of insufficient population immunity, fueling genetic mutations that affect the accuracy of some diagnostic tests and that could lead to changing virulence. Additional research should address complex challenges for control of mpox, including improved diagnostics and medical countermeasures. The availability of vaccines should be expanded not only for outbreak response but also for broader routine use for persons in mpox-endemic countries.
Journal Article
A Mathematical Model of Comprehensive Test-and-Treat Services and HIV Incidence among Men Who Have Sex with Men in the United States
by
Marks, Gary
,
DiNenno, Elizabeth A.
,
Mermin, Jonathan H.
in
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
,
AIDS
,
Analysis
2012
Early diagnosis and treatment of HIV infection and suppression of viral load are potentially powerful interventions for reducing HIV incidence. A test-and-treat strategy may have long-term effects on the epidemic among urban men who have sex with men (MSM) in the United States and may achieve the 5-year goals of the 2010 National AIDS Strategy that include: 1) lowering to 25% the annual number of new infections, 2) reducing by 30% the HIV transmission rate, 3) increasing to 90% the proportion of persons living with HIV infection who know their HIV status, 4) increasing to 85% the proportion of newly diagnosed patients linked to clinical care, and 5) increasing by 20% the proportion of HIV-infected MSM with an undetectable HIV RNA viral load.
We constructed a dynamic compartmental model among MSM in an urban population (based on New York City) that projects new HIV infections over time. We compared the cumulative number of HIV infections in 20 years, assuming current annual testing rate and treatment practices, with new infections after improvements in the annual HIV testing rate, notification of test results, linkage to care, initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and viral load suppression. We also assessed whether five of the national HIV prevention goals could be met by the year 2015. Over a 20-year period, improvements in test-and-treat practice decreased the cumulative number of new infections by a predicted 39.3% to 69.1% in the urban population based on New York City. Institution of intermediate improvements in services would be predicted to meet at least four of the five goals of the National HIV/AIDS Strategy by the 2015 target.
Improving the five components of a test-and-treat strategy could substantially reduce HIV incidence among urban MSM, and meet most of the five goals of the National HIV/AIDS Strategy.
Journal Article
Estimating the costs and cost‐effectiveness of HIV self‐testing among men who have sex with men, United States
by
Chavez, Pollyanna R
,
Sullivan, Patrick S
,
MacGowan, Robin J
in
Acquired immune deficiency syndrome
,
Adult
,
AIDS
2020
Introduction HIV testing is an essential prerequisite for accessing treatment with antiretroviral therapy or prevention using pre‐exposure prophylaxis. Internet distribution of HIV self‐tests is a novel approach, and data on the programmatic cost of this approach are limited. We analyse the costs and cost‐effectiveness of a self‐testing programme. Methods Men who have sex with men (MSM) reporting unknown or negative HIV status were enrolled from March to August 2015 into a 12‐month trial of HIV self‐testing in the United States. Participants were randomly assigned either to the self‐testing arm or the control arm. All participants received information on HIV testing services and locations in their community. Self‐testing participants received up to four self‐tests each quarter, which they could use themselves or distribute to their social network associates. Quarterly follow‐up surveys collected testing outcomes, including number of tests used and new HIV diagnoses. Using trial expenditure data, we estimated the cost of implementing a self‐testing programme. Primary outcomes of this analysis included total programme implementation costs, cost per self‐test completed, cost per person tested, cost per new HIV diagnosis among those self‐tested and cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY) saved. Results A total of 2665 men were assigned either to the self‐testing arm (n = 1325) or the control arm (n = 1340). HIV testing was reported by 971 self‐testing participants who completed a total of 5368 tests. In the control arm, 619 participants completed 1463 HIV tests. The self‐testing participants additionally distributed 2864 self‐tests to 2152 social network associates. Testing during the trial identified 59 participants and social network associates with newly diagnosed HIV infection in the self‐testing arm; 11 control participants were newly diagnosed with HIV. The implementation cost of the HIV self‐testing programme was$449,510. The cost per self‐test completed, cost per person tested at least once, and incremental cost per new HIV diagnosis was $ 61,$145 and $ 9365 respectively. We estimated that self‐testing programme potentially averted 3.34 transmissions, saved 14.86 QALYs and nearly $1.6 million lifetime HIV treatment costs. Conclusions The HIV self‐testing programme identified persons with newly diagnosed HIV infection at low cost, and the programme is cost saving.
Journal Article
Vital Signs
2022
What is already known about this topic? Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment is recommended for nearly all persons with hepatitis C and cures ≥95% of cases. Treatment saves lives, prevents transmission, and is cost saving. What is added by this report? Treatment rates are low overall and vary by age and insurance payor. DAA treatment is lowest among young adults aged 18–29 years and Medicaid recipients, and within Medicaid, among persons reporting Black or other race and persons in states with treatment restrictions. What are the implications for public health practice? Timely initiation of DAA treatment, regardless of insurance type, is critical to reducing viral hepatitis–related mortality, disparities, and transmission.
Journal Article