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result(s) for
"Polydoros, Anastasios"
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Global Climatology of the Daytime Surface Cooling of Urban Parks Using Satellite Observations
by
Blougouras, Georgios
,
Agathangelidis, Ilias
,
Polydoros, Anastasios
in
Climate science
,
Climatic conditions
,
Climatology
2025
Green infrastructure‐based heat mitigation strategies can help alleviate the overheating burden on urban residents. While the cooling effect of parks has been explored in individual satellite‐based studies, a global, multi‐year investigation has been lacking. This study provides a comprehensive global assessment of the daytime surface park cool island (SPCI) climatology, using land surface temperatures from 2,083 systematically selected parks worldwide (2013–2022). Through detailed park selection and data stratification, the key drivers influencing the observed SPCI intensity are isolated. The analysis reveals that cooling is strongly linked to park type, with well‐treed parks being, on average, 3.4°C, cooler than the surrounding urban area during summer. It is further investigated how SPCI is influenced by seasonal variations, droughts, and urban morphology across diverse background climates. These findings, along with the developed global SPCI data set, offer critical insights for designing climate‐resilient green spaces. Plain Language Summary Green infrastructure can help address the heat‐related challenges faced by urban populations. In this paper, we examine the ability of urban parks to provide cooling to the warmer adjacent built‐up environment. To achieve this, we analyzed land surface temperatures across more than 2,000 parks worldwide, and found that parks act as localized cool spots, with an average daytime temperature difference of 1.5°C compared to their surroundings. Our results also reveal that different park types have greatly varying cooling potential. For instance, parks with a high density of trees can be over 4°C cooler than nearby urban areas, while parks with low vegetation provide less daytime cooling. Additionally, we investigate how broader climatic conditions, drought events, and urban characteristics influence the cooling intensity of parks, aiming to better understand how parks can help mitigate urban overheating under different scenarios. Key Points The global average daytime surface park cool island intensity is 1.5°C based on satellite data from 2,083 parks for the period 2013–2022 Park cooling varies widely, controlled by park characteristics, background climate, weather conditions, and the surrounding urban form Forested parks exhibit the strongest daytime cooling effect and are most resilient to drought conditions
Journal Article
Can Satellite-Based Thermal Anomalies Be Indicative of Heatwaves? An Investigation for MODIS Land Surface Temperatures in the Mediterranean Region
by
Mavrakou, Thaleia
,
Agathangelidis, Ilias
,
Philippopoulos, Kostas
in
Anomalies
,
Climate
,
Climatology
2022
In recent years, an exceptional number of record-shattering temperature extremes have been observed, resulting in significant societal and environmental impacts. The Mediterranean region is particularly thermally vulnerable, frequently suffering from intense and severe heatwaves. Using daily temperature observations from 58 weather stations (NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network daily database) in the Mediterranean area, past heatwave episodes were initially detected. A daily LST time series was developed using Land Surface Temperature (LST) products from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) (Terra & Aqua satellites) for a 19-year period (2002–2020) at the station locations. LST anomalies were identified using percentile-based indices. It was found that remotely sensed-based LST presents the potential for understanding and monitoring heatwave events, as surface thermal anomalies were generally indicative of heatwaves. Approximately 42% (39%) of heatwave days during daytime (nighttime) coincided with LST anomalies; conversely, 51% of daytime LST anomalies overlapped with the exact days of a heatwave (38% at night). Importantly, the degree of association was significantly higher for extremely hot days (up to an 80% match) and long-lasting heatwaves (up to an 85% match). Rising trends in frequency and duration were observed for both heatwaves and LST anomalies. The results advance the understanding of surface-atmosphere coupling during extreme temperature days and reflect the suitability of thermal remote sensing in heatwave preparedness strategies.
Journal Article
Quantifying the Trends in Land Surface Temperature and Surface Urban Heat Island Intensity in Mediterranean Cities in View of Smart Urbanization
by
Polydoros, Anastasios
,
Mavrakou, Thaleia
,
Cartalis, Constantinos
in
land surface temperature trends
,
Mediterranean
,
MODIS-Terra
2018
Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key parameter for the estimation of urban fluxes as well as for the assessment of the presence and strength of the surface urban heat island (SUHI). In an urban environment, LST depends on the way the city has been planned and developed over time. To this end, the estimation of LST needs adequate spatial and temporal data at the urban scale, especially with respect to land cover/land use. The present study is divided in two parts: at first, satellite data from MODIS-Terra 8-day product (MOD11A2) were used for the analysis of an eighteen-year time series (2001–2017) of the LST spatial and temporal distribution in five major cities of the Mediterranean during the summer months. LST trends were retrieved and assessed for their statistical significance. Secondly, LST values and trends for each city were examined in relation to land cover characteristics and patterns in order to define the contribution of urban development and planning on LST; this information is important for the drafting of smart urbanization policies and measures. Results revealed (a) positive LST trends in the urban areas especially during nighttime ranging from +0.412 °K in Marseille to +0.923 °K in Cairo and (b) the SUHI has intensified during the last eighteen years especially during daytime in European Mediterranean cities, such as Rome (+0.332 °K) and Barcelona (+0.307 °K).
Journal Article
DISARM Early Warning System for Wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean
by
Cartalis, Constantinos
,
Dafis, Stavros
,
Kotroni, Vassiliki
in
Algorithms
,
Casualties
,
Climate change
2020
This paper discusses the main achievements of DISARM (Drought and fIre ObServatory and eArly waRning system) project, which developed an early warning system for wildfires in the Eastern Mediterranean. The four pillars of this system include (i) forecasting wildfire danger, (ii) detecting wildfires with remote sensing techniques, (iii) forecasting wildfire spread with a coupled weather-fire modeling system, and (iv) assessing the wildfire risk in the frame of climate change. Special emphasis is given to the innovative and replicable parts of the system. It is shown that for the effective use of fire weather forecasting in different geographical areas and in order to account for the local climate conditions, a proper adjustment of the wildfire danger classification is necessary. Additionally, the consideration of vegetation dryness may provide better estimates of wildfire danger. Our study also highlights some deficiencies of both EUMETSAT (Exploitation of Meteorological Satellites) and LSA-SAF (Satellite Application Facility on Land Surface Analysis) algorithms in their skill to detect wildfires over islands and near the coastline. To tackle this issue, a relevant modification is proposed. Furthermore, it is shown that IRIS, the coupled atmosphere-fire modeling system developed in the frame of DISARM, has proven to be a valuable supporting tool in fire suppression actions. Finally, assessment of the wildfire danger in the future climate provides the necessary context for the development of regional adaptation strategies to climate change.
Journal Article
Recognition of Thermal Hot and Cold Spots in Urban Areas in Support of Mitigation Plans to Counteract Overheating: Application for Athens
by
Mavrakou, Thaleia
,
Santamouris, Mat
,
Polydoros, Anastasios
in
Big Bang theory
,
Capacity
,
Case studies
2018
Mitigation plans to counteract overheating in urban areas need to be based on a thorough knowledge of the state of the thermal environment, most importantly on the presence of areas which consistently demonstrate higher or lower urban land surface temperatures (hereinafter referred to as “hot spots” or “cold spots”, respectively). The main objective of this research study is to develop a methodological approach for the recognition of thermal “hot spots” and “cold spots” in urban areas during summer; this is accomplished with (a) the combined use of high and medium spatial resolution satellite data (Landsat 8 and Terra-MODIS, respectively); (b) the downscaling of the Terra-MODIS satellite data so as to acquire spatial resolution similar to the Landsat one and at the same time take advantage of the high revisit time as compared to the respective one of Landsat (16 days); and (c) the application of a statistical clustering technique to recognize “hot spots” and “cold spots”. The methodological approach was applied as a case study for the urban area of Athens, Greece for a summer period. Results demonstrated the capacity of the methodological approach to recognize “hot spots” and “cold spots”, revealed a strong relationship between land use and “hot spots” and “cold spots”, and showed that the average land surface temperature (LST) difference between the “hot spots” and “cold spots” can reach 9.1 °K.
Journal Article
A Methodology for Bridging the Gap between Regional- and City-Scale Climate Simulations for the Urban Thermal Environment
by
Philippopoulos, Kostas
,
Agathangelidis, Ilias
,
Polydoros, Anastasios
in
Artificial neural networks
,
Atmospheric boundary layer
,
Climate
2022
The main objective of this study is to bridge the gap between regional- and city-scale climate simulations, with the focus given to the thermal environment. A dynamic-statistical downscaling methodology for defining daily maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures is developed based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) and multiple linear regression models (MLRs). The approach involves the use of simulations from two EURO-CORDEX regional climate models (RCMs) (at approximately 12 km × 12 km) that are further downscaled to a finer resolution (1 km × 1 km). A feature selection methodology is applied to select the optimum subset of parameters for training the machine learning models. The downscaling methodology is initially applied to two RCMs, driven by the ERA-Interim reanalysis (2008–2011) and high-resolution urban climate model simulations (UrbClims). The performance of the relationships is validated and found to successfully simulate the spatiotemporal distribution of Tmax and Tmin over Athens. Finally, the relationships that were extracted by the models are further used to quantify changes for Tmax and Tmin in high resolution, between the historical period (1971–2000) and mid-century (2041–2071) climate projections for two different representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Based on the results, both mean Tmax and Tmin are estimated to increase by 1.7 °C and 1.5 °C for RCP4.5 and 2.3 °C and 2.1 °C for RCP8.5, respectively, with distinct spatiotemporal patterns over the study area.
Journal Article
Artificial intelligence in atherosclerotic disease: Applications and trends
by
Tsarouchas, Anastasios
,
Eckstein, Hans-Henning
,
Karlas, Angelos
in
Algorithms
,
Artificial intelligence
,
Atherosclerosis
2023
Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is the most common cause of death globally. Increasing amounts of highly diverse ASCVD data are becoming available and artificial intelligence (AI) techniques now bear the promise of utilizing them to improve diagnosis, advance understanding of disease pathogenesis, enable outcome prediction, assist with clinical decision making and promote precision medicine approaches. Machine learning (ML) algorithms in particular, are already employed in cardiovascular imaging applications to facilitate automated disease detection and experts believe that ML will transform the field in the coming years. Current review first describes the key concepts of AI applications from a clinical standpoint. We then provide a focused overview of current AI applications in four main ASCVD domains: coronary artery disease (CAD), peripheral arterial disease (PAD), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), and carotid artery disease. For each domain, applications are presented with refer to the primary imaging modality used [e.g., computed tomography (CT) or invasive angiography] and the key aim of the applied AI approaches, which include disease detection, phenotyping, outcome prediction, and assistance with clinical decision making. We conclude with the strengths and limitations of AI applications and provide future perspectives.
Journal Article