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"Supriyanto, Ristian Atriandi"
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Out of Its Comfort Zone
China might urge ships to provide notification-through electronic or other means-to its monitoring stations located in Chinesecontrolled artificial features in the area, thus providing indirect recognition of China's sovereignty over the U-shaped line. [...]China could insist that commercial flights in and from the region, including Indonesia, comply with an air defense identification zone (ADIZ). If all things stay the same, Indonesia still wishes to see all major powers, especially the United States and China, keep each other in check. [...]its interests continue to lie in preserving ASEAN unity and centrality against the domination of a single major power.
Journal Article
Precarious peace: US-China strategic competition and the future of Southeast Asia
China's expansionist and assertive behavior within its so-called \"near waters,\" particularly in the Taiwan Strait, East China Sea, and South China Sea, has turned its strategic competition with the United States seaward. Strategic competition in Southeast Asia has intensified significantly over the past decade and has shaped the region's economic, political, and security landscape. [...]Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr allowed the International Criminal Court to arrest his predecessor Rodrigo Duterte, a president with friendlier disposition towards China. In 2024 alone, by contrast, China built more than half of the world's total shipping tonnage. 6 Moreover, while the military is the state's main instrument for an armed force, paramilitary organizations have risen to exercise unarmed coercion.
Report
More Risks, Less Confidence: Safety, Security, and Defense in the Indo-Pacific Underwater Domain
[...]most importantly, how can we manage and hopefully, reduce these risks? To survive at and under the sea is the sailor's safety imperative.5 A record of submarine accidents and incidents within the recent decade shows the continuing challenge of meeting this safety imperative.6 Figure 1 and the Annex show that collisions account for 45% of total (46) submarine accidents and incidents in 2001-2021, followed by grounding, explosion, fire, technical faults, flooding, and other causes.7 The accidents that befell Nanggala and Connecticut eerily paralleled those of ARA San Juan in 2017 and USS San Francisco in 2005, respectively.8 The former sank with all 44 hands due to technical faults, while the latter hit a seamount with 98 casualties, including one fatality. Nuclear technology greatly extended submarines' operational endurance; by eliminating the need for sailors, Al could eliminate the safety imperative for human operators.11 Once the human element is out of the operational picture, will it mean that submarine and other underwater military operations are less risky? [...]the future underwater domain will host various means of warfare bom out of the three revolutions from the last two centuries: industrial, nuclear, and information.18 The industrial revolution, which oversaw the adoption and operation of diesel-electric submarines in World War I and II, led to the nuclear revolution in the Cold War that introduced nuclear propulsion and nuclear weapons to submarines.19 The question is what will the information revolution, with Al at its core, bring to the fore in this century and specifically, in the Indo-Pacific?
Report
Settling a score with China
[...]the U-shaped line did not prevent Indonesia and China from developing their ties into a strategic partnership in 2005, which was elevated into a comprehensive strategic partnership in 2013. [...]don't back off when China threatens to blackmail Indonesia economically (such as cancelling and postponing investment pledges, or downgrading trade).
Newspaper Article
Indonesia isles a source of conflict
A lack of infrastructure, such as cold storage, adequate fishing ports, and seafood processing facilities, as well as adequate transport for the catch, means that any substantial improvement depends on a massive capital injection, which the local government can ill-afford.
Newspaper Article
Neighbours: Build bridges over troubled waters
[...]a collision between opposing maritime units, like nuclear submarines, could result in politically and militarily destabilising consequences that undermine the security of littoral states, apart from potentially creating an environmental disaster. [...]these areas harbour a large number of offshore infrastructures, which could risk collateral damage from incidents at sea between naval forces.
Newspaper Article
JAKARTA BORDER ALLIANCE URGENT
[...]Jakarta is hard-pressed to fulfil its operational commitments with Canberra (such as allowing Australian aircraft to enter Indonesian airspace), while assuring the public that such commitments are not compromising Indonesia's territorial sovereignty.
Newspaper Article