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"Xu, Rongting"
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Increased global nitrous oxide emissions from streams and rivers in the Anthropocene
2020
Emissions of nitrous oxide (N2O) from the world’s river networks constitute a poorly constrained term in the global N2O budget1,2. This N2O component was previously estimated as indirect emissions from agricultural soils3 with large uncertainties4–10. Here, we present an improved model representation of nitrogen and N2O processes of the land–ocean aquatic continuum11 constrained with an ensemble of 11 data products. The model–data framework provides a quantification for how changes in nitrogen inputs (fertilizer, deposition and manure), climate and atmospheric CO2 concentration, and terrestrial processes have affected the N2O emissions from the world’s streams and rivers during 1900–2016. The results show a fourfold increase of global riverine N2O emissions from 70.4 ± 15.4 Gg N2O-N yr−1 in 1900 to 291.3 ± 58.6 Gg N2O-N yr−1 in 2016, although the N2O emissions started to decline after the early 2000s. The small rivers in headwater zones (lower than fourth-order streams) contributed up to 85% of global riverine N2O emissions. Nitrogen loads on headwater streams and groundwater from human activities, primarily agricultural nitrogen applications, play an important role in the increase of global riverine N2O emissions.N2O emissions from rivers have increased globally by a factor of four between 1900 and 2016, with emissions starting to decline since the early 2000s. Most riverine N2O emissions come from smaller streams, driven primarily by the use of nitrogen fertilizers in agriculture.
Journal Article
THE GLOBAL N₂O MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT
by
Ito, Akihiko
,
Tian, Hanqin
,
Jackson, Robert B.
in
Anthropogenic factors
,
Biosphere
,
Biosphere models
2018
Nitrous oxide (N₂O) is an important greenhouse gas and also an ozone-depleting substance that has both natural and anthropogenic sources. Large estimation uncertainty remains on the magnitude and spatiotemporal patterns of N₂O fluxes and the key drivers of N₂O production in the terrestrial biosphere. Some terrestrial biosphere models have been evolved to account for nitrogen processes and to show the capability to simulate N₂O emissions from land ecosystems at the global scale, but large discrepancies exist among their estimates primarily because of inconsistent input datasets, simulation protocol, and model structure and parameterization schemes. Based on the consistent model input data and simulation protocol, the global N₂O Model Intercomparison Project (NMIP) was initialized with 10 state-of-the-art terrestrial biosphere models that include nitrogen (N) cycling. Specific objectives of NMIP are to 1) unravel the major N cycling processes controlling N₂O fluxes in each model and identify the uncertainty sources from model structure, input data, and parameters; 2) quantify the magnitude and spatial and temporal patterns of global and regional N₂O fluxes from the preindustrial period (1860) to present and attribute the relative contributions of multiple environmental factors to N₂O dynamics; and 3) provide a benchmarking estimate of N₂O fluxes through synthesizing the multimodel simulation results and existing estimates from ground-based observations, inventories, and statistical and empirical extrapolations. This study provides detailed descriptions for the NMIP protocol, input data, model structure, and key parameters, along with preliminary simulation results. The global and regional N₂O estimation derived from the NMIP is a key component of the global N₂O budget synthesis activity jointly led by the Global Carbon Project and the International Nitrogen Initiative.
Journal Article
Greenhouse gas balance in global pasturelands and rangelands
by
Dangal, Shree R S
,
Pan, Shufen
,
Tian, Hanqin
in
Anthropogenic factors
,
Atmospheric models
,
Carbon dioxide
2020
Grassland ecosystems play an essential role in climate regulation through carbon (C) storage in plant and soil. But, anthropogenic practices such as livestock grazing, grazing related excreta nitrogen (N) deposition, and manure/fertilizer N application have the potential to reduce the effectiveness of grassland C sink through increased nitrous oxide (N2O) and methane (CH4) emissions. Although the effect of anthropogenic activities on net greenhouse gas (GHG) fluxes in grassland ecosystems have been investigated at local to regional scales, estimates of net GHG balance at the global scale remains uncertain. With the data-model framework integrating empirical estimates of livestock CH4 emissions with process-based modeling estimates of land CO2, N2O and CH4 fluxes, we examined the overall global warming potential (GWP) of grassland ecosystems during 1961-2010. We then quantified the grassland-specific and regional variations to identify hotspots of GHG fluxes. Our results show that, over a 100-year time horizon, grassland ecosystems sequestered a cumulative total of 113.9 Pg CO2-eq in plant and soil, but then released 91.9 Pg CO2-eq to the atmosphere, offsetting 81% of the net CO2 sink. We also found large grassland-specific variations in net GHG fluxes, with pasturelands acting as a small GHG source of 1.52 ± 143 Tg CO2-eq yr−1 (mean ± 1.0 s.d.) and rangelands a strong GHG sink (−442 ± 266 Tg CO2-eq yr−1) during 1961-2010. Regionally, Europe acted as a GHG source of 23 ± 10 Tg CO2-eq yr−1, while other regions (i.e. Africa, Southern Asia) were strong GHG sinks during 2001-2010. Our study highlights the importance of considering regional and grassland-specific differences in GHG fluxes for guiding future management and climate mitigation strategies in global grasslands.
Journal Article
Unprecedented Migratory Bird Die‐Off: A Citizen‐Based Analysis on the Spatiotemporal Patterns of Mass Mortality Events in the Western United States
2021
Extensive, severe wildfires, and wildfire‐induced smoke occurred across the western and central United States since August 2020. Wildfires resulting in the loss of habitats and emission of particulate matter and volatile organic compounds pose serious threatens to wildlife and human populations, especially for avian species, the respiratory system of which are sensitive to air pollutions. At the same time, the extreme weather (e.g., snowstorms) in late summer may also impact bird migration by cutting off their food supply and promoting their migration before they were physiologically ready. In this study, we investigated the environmental drivers of massive bird die‐offs by combining socioecological earth observations data sets with citizen science observations. We employed the geographically weighted regression models to quantitatively evaluate the effects of different environmental and climatic drivers, including wildfire, air quality, extreme weather, drought, and land cover types, on the spatial pattern of migratory bird mortality across the western and central US during August‐September 2020. We found that these drivers affected the death of migratory birds in different ways, among which air quality and distance to wildfire were two major drivers. Additionally, there were more bird mortality events found in urban areas and close to wildfire in early August. However, fewer bird deaths were detected closer to wildfires in California in late August and September. Our findings highlight the important impact of extreme weather and natural disasters on bird biology, survival, and migration, which can provide significant insights into bird biodiversity, conservation, and ecosystem sustainability. Key Points We investigated the environmental drivers of massive bird die‐offs by combining earth observations with citizen science observations We found distance to wildfire and air quality were the major factors that affect the birth mortality events Our findings highlight the important impact of extreme weather and natural disasters on bird biology, survival, and migration
Journal Article
Four decades of nitrous oxide emission from Chinese aquaculture underscores the urgency and opportunity for climate change mitigation
2021
As the fastest growing food production sector in the world, aquaculture may become an important source of nitrous oxide (N 2 O)—a potent greenhouse gas and the dominant source of ozone-depleting substances in the stratosphere. China is the largest aquaculture producer globally; however, the magnitude of N 2 O emission from Chinese aquaculture systems (CASs) has not yet been extensively investigated. Here, we quantified N 2 O emission from the CASs since the Reform and Opening-up (1979–2019) at the species-, provincial-, and national-levels using annual aquaculture production data, based on nitrogen (N) levels in feed type, feed amount, feed conversion ratio, and emission factor (EF). Our estimate indicates that over the past 41 years, N 2 O emission from CASs has increased approximately 25 times from 0.67 ± 0.04 GgN in 1979 to 16.69 ± 0.31 GgN in 2019. Freshwater fish farming, primarily in two provinces, namely, Guangdong and Hubei, where intensive freshwater fish farming has been adopted in the past decades, accounted for approximately 89% of this emission increase. We also calculated the EF for each species, ranging from 0.79 ± 0.23 g N 2 O kg −1 animal to 2.41 ± 0.14 g N 2 O kg −1 animal. The results of this study suggest that selecting low-EF species and improving feed use efficiency can help reduce aquaculture N 2 O emission for building a climate-resilient sustainable aquaculture.
Journal Article
Human Mobility to Parks Under the COVID‐19 Pandemic and Wildfire Seasons in the Western and Central United States
by
Yang, Di
,
Aragon, Amanda
,
He, Yaqian
in
Abrupt/Rapid Climate Change
,
Air pollution
,
Air/Sea Constituent Fluxes
2021
In 2020, people's health suffered a great crisis under the dual effects of the COVID‐19 pandemic and the extensive, severe wildfires in the western and central United States. Parks, including city, national, and cultural parks, offer a unique opportunity for people to maintain their recreation behaviors following the social distancing protocols during the pandemic. However, massive forest wildfires in western and central US, producing harmful toxic gases and smoke, pose significant threats to human health and affect their recreation behaviors and mobility to parks. In this study, we employed the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) Models to investigate how COVID‐19 and wildfires jointly shaped human mobility to parks, regarding the number of visits per capita, dwell time, and travel distance to parks, during June ‐ September 2020. We detected strong correlations between visitations and COVID‐19 incidence in southern Montana, western Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah before August. However, the pattern was weakened over time, indicating the decreasing trend of the degree of concern regarding the pandemic. Moreover, more park visits and lower dwell time were found in parks further away from wildfires and less air pollution in Washington, Oregon, California, Colorado, and New Mexico, during the wildfire season, suggesting the potential avoidance of wildfires when visiting parks. This study provides important insights on people's responses in recreation and social behaviors when facing multiple severe crises that impact their health and wellbeing, which could support the preparation and mitigation of the health impacts from future pandemics and natural hazards. Plain Language Summary This study investigates the variations of human mobility patterns to parks in space and time during the COVID‐19 pandemic and wildfire seasons in 2020 across the western and central United States. We estimate how the COVID‐19 outbreaks, wildfire occurrence, and wildfire‐induced air pollutions affect the number of visits per capita to the parks, the minimum dwell time people spent at parks, and the travel distances to parks. People tended to travel closer to parks and spent less time at parks where there were more COVID‐19 cases reported likely due to the infection protection behavior and risk altitude. However, the pattern was weakened over time due to the decrease in the concerns of the pandemic. Also, during the major wildfire season (August–September), more people traveled further to visit the parks away from the wildfires and stayed longer there. This study explored patterns in physical activity and human mobility to parks under multiple crises that pose threats to human health and wellbeing, which might provide some insights in the preparation for future pandemics and natural hazards. Key Points We investigated human mobility patterns to parks under COVID‐19 pandemic and wildfire season in western and central United States We found a general trend of avoidance to the parks with fewer visits and dwell time in the places with high COVID‐19 cases With special demand of physical activities in pandemic, people travel further and spend longer time at the parks away from the wildfires
Journal Article
Preindustrial nitrous oxide emissions from the land biosphere estimated by using a global biogeochemistry model
by
Pan, Shufen
,
Tian, Hanqin
,
Yang, Jia
in
Anthropogenic climate changes
,
Anthropogenic factors
,
Atmosphere
2017
To accurately assess how increased global nitrous oxide (N2O) emission has affected the climate system requires a robust estimation of the preindustrial N2O emissions since only the difference between current and preindustrial emissions represents net drivers of anthropogenic climate change. However, large uncertainty exists in previous estimates of preindustrial N2O emissions from the land biosphere, while preindustrial N2O emissions on the finer scales, such as regional, biome, or sector scales, have not been well quantified yet. In this study, we applied a process-based Dynamic Land Ecosystem Model (DLEM) to estimate the magnitude and spatial patterns of preindustrial N2O fluxes at the biome, continental, and global level as driven by multiple environmental factors. Uncertainties associated with key parameters were also evaluated. Our study indicates that the mean of the preindustrial N2O emission was approximately 6.20 Tg N yr−1, with an uncertainty range of 4.76 to 8.13 Tg N yr−1. The estimated N2O emission varied significantly at spatial and biome levels. South America, Africa, and Southern Asia accounted for 34.12, 23.85, and 18.93 %, respectively, together contributing 76.90 % of global total emission. The tropics were identified as the major source of N2O released into the atmosphere, accounting for 64.66 % of the total emission. Our multi-scale estimates provide a robust reference for assessing the climate forcing of anthropogenic N2O emission from the land biosphere
Journal Article
The effect of different deformation mechanisms on the chemical structure of anthracite coals
To study the effect of different deformation mechanisms on the chemical structure of anthracite coals and further understand the correlation between changed chemical structures and coal and gas outburst, ten groups of sub-high-temperature and sub-high-pressure deformation experiments were performed. All samples maintained primary structure, which were collected from the Qudi Mine in the southern Qinshui Basin of China. The samples were analyzed by ultimate analysis, Vitrinite Reflection (VR), Fourier Transform Infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), and Raman spectroscopy both before and after deformation experiments for contrasting. The results showed that the VR values of all samples after experiments were significantly higher than before experiments, which suggested that the metamorphism degree of anthracite coals was increased by deformation. The results also indicated that both temperature and strain rate had significant effects on the chemical structure of anthracite coals. At a high strain rate of 4×10 ^-5 s^-1, the deformation of the samples was mainly brittle in which the mechanical energy was transformed mainly into frictional energy. In this situation, all samples developed several distinct fractured surfaces and the change of chemical structures was not obvious. On the contrary, with the decrease of the strain rates, the ductile deformation was dominated and the mechanical energy was mainly transformed into strain energy, resulting in the accumulation of deformation energy confessed by increasing quantity of dislocation and creep in the coal's interior nucleus. The absorption in the aromatic ring groups increased; otherwise the absorption in the aliphatic structures and ether oxygen groups decreased rapidly. During these experiments, CO was collected from two experimental samples. The number of aromatic rings and the structure defects within the two generated gas samples increased and the degree of molecular structure orders decreased.
Journal Article
A comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks
2020
Nitrous oxide (N
2
O), like carbon dioxide, is a long-lived greenhouse gas that accumulates in the atmosphere. Over the past 150 years, increasing atmospheric N
2
O concentrations have contributed to stratospheric ozone depletion
1
and climate change
2
, with the current rate of increase estimated at 2 per cent per decade. Existing national inventories do not provide a full picture of N
2
O emissions, owing to their omission of natural sources and limitations in methodology for attributing anthropogenic sources. Here we present a global N
2
O inventory that incorporates both natural and anthropogenic sources and accounts for the interaction between nitrogen additions and the biochemical processes that control N
2
O emissions. We use bottom-up (inventory, statistical extrapolation of flux measurements, process-based land and ocean modelling) and top-down (atmospheric inversion) approaches to provide a comprehensive quantification of global N
2
O sources and sinks resulting from 21 natural and human sectors between 1980 and 2016. Global N
2
O emissions were 17.0 (minimum–maximum estimates: 12.2–23.5) teragrams of nitrogen per year (bottom-up) and 16.9 (15.9–17.7) teragrams of nitrogen per year (top-down) between 2007 and 2016. Global human-induced emissions, which are dominated by nitrogen additions to croplands, increased by 30% over the past four decades to 7.3 (4.2–11.4) teragrams of nitrogen per year. This increase was mainly responsible for the growth in the atmospheric burden. Our findings point to growing N
2
O emissions in emerging economies—particularly Brazil, China and India. Analysis of process-based model estimates reveals an emerging N
2
O–climate feedback resulting from interactions between nitrogen additions and climate change. The recent growth in N
2
O emissions exceeds some of the highest projected emission scenarios
3
,
4
, underscoring the urgency to mitigate N
2
O emissions.
Bottom-up and top-down approaches are used to quantify global nitrous oxide sources and sinks resulting from both natural and anthropogenic sources, revealing a 30% increase in global human-induced emissions between 1980 and 2016.
Journal Article
History of anthropogenic Nitrogen inputs (HaNi) to the terrestrial biosphere: a 5 arcmin resolution annual dataset from 1860 to 2019
2022
Excessive anthropogenic nitrogen (N) inputs to the biosphere have disrupted the global nitrogen cycle. To better quantify the spatial and temporal patterns of anthropogenic N inputs, assess their impacts on the biogeochemical cycles of the planet and the living organisms, and improve nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) for sustainable development, we have developed a comprehensive and synthetic dataset for reconstructing the History of anthropogenic Nitrogen inputs (HaNi) to the terrestrial biosphere. The HaNi dataset takes advantage of different data sources in a spatiotemporally consistent way to generate a set of high-resolution gridded N input products from the preindustrial period to the present (1860–2019). The HaNi dataset includes annual rates of synthetic N fertilizer, manure application/deposition, and atmospheric N deposition on cropland, pasture, and rangeland at a spatial resolution of 5 arcmin × 5 arcmin. Specifically, the N inputs are categorized, according to the N forms and land uses, into 10 types: (1) NH4+-N fertilizer applied to cropland, (2) NO3--N fertilizer applied to cropland, (3) NH4+-N fertilizer applied to pasture, (4) NO3--N fertilizer applied to pasture, (5) manure N application on cropland, (6) manure N application on pasture, (7) manure N deposition on pasture, (8) manure N deposition on rangeland, (9) NHx-N deposition, and (10) NOy-N deposition. The total anthropogenic N (TN) inputs to global terrestrial ecosystems increased from 29.05 Tg N yr−1 in the 1860s to 267.23 Tg N yr−1 in the 2010s, with the dominant N source changing from atmospheric N deposition (before the 1900s) to manure N (in the 1910s–2000s) and then to synthetic fertilizer in the 2010s. The proportion of synthetic NH4+-N in fertilizer input increased from 64 % in the 1960s to 90 % in the 2010s, while synthetic NO3--N fertilizer decreased from 36 % in the 1960s to 10 % in the 2010s. Hotspots of TN inputs shifted from Europe and North America to East and South Asia during the 1960s–2010s. Such spatial and temporal dynamics captured by the HaNi dataset are expected to facilitate a comprehensive assessment of the coupled human–Earth system and address a variety of social welfare issues, such as the climate–biosphere feedback, air pollution, water quality, and biodiversity. The data are available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.942069 (Tian et al., 2022).
Journal Article