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247 result(s) for "Cloud amount"
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Estimating Sunshine Duration Using Hourly Total Cloud Amount Data from a Geostationary Meteorological Satellite
Sunshine duration is an important indicator of the amount of solar radiation received in a region and an important input parameter for the study of atmospheric energy balance, climate change, ecosystem evolution, and social sustainability. Currently, extrapolation and interpolation of data from meteorological stations are the most common methods used to calculate sunshine duration on a regional scale. However, it is difficult to obtain high precision sunshine duration in areas lacking ground observation or where sunshine duration is highly heterogeneous on the ground. In this paper, a new method is proposed to estimate sunshine duration with hourly total cloud amount (CTA) data from sunrise to sunset derived from the Fengyun-2G geostationary meteorological satellite (FY-2G). This method constructs a new index known as daytime mean total cloud coverage amount and provides quadratic equations relating daytime mean total cloud coverage amount to relative sunshine duration in different seasons. The method was validated with ground observation data for 2016 from 18 meteorological stations in the Three-River Headwaters Region of Qinghai Province, China. For individual stations, the coefficient of determination (R2) between estimated and measured sunshine was at least 0.894, the RMSE (root mean square error) was 0.977 h/day or less, the MAE (mean absolute error) was 0.824 h/day or less, the RE (relative error) was 0.150 or lower, and the value of d was 0.963 or greater, which validated that the proposed method can effectively predict daily sunshine duration. These equations can also provide higher precision estimates of regional-scale sunshine duration. This was demonstrated by comparing, for the entire study region, the spatial distribution of sunshine duration estimated from season-based equations with results from three different interpolation methods based on ground observations. Overall, the study confirms that total cloud amount measures from a geostationary satellite can be used to successfully estimate sunshine duration.
Cloudiness characteristics over Southeast Asia from satellite FY-2C and their comparison to three other cloud data sets
Fengyun‐2C (FY‐2C), launched in October 2004, is the first operational geostationary meteorological satellite in China. It can provide 1‐h interval cloudiness products with a spatial resolution of 0.04° latitude × 0.04° longitude. The main characteristics of the regional‐scale clouds from a 2‐year FY‐2C data set (from July 2005 to June 2007) are presented, including the spatial distribution and the annual and diurnal cycles of cloudiness. The reliability of FY‐2C cloud products over Southeast Asia is investigated through comparisons to cloud cover from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer on board Terra and Aqua satellites, and conventional ground observations. It is shown that the FY‐2C cloud mask performs consistently with other cloud mask products over Southeast Asia. In the boreal winter, the whole domain is dry with little cloudiness. More extensive cloudiness can be observed over the Sichuan Basin, in the East China Sea and the South China Sea, along the northwestern border of China, and around the ITCZ in the Southern Hemisphere. In the boreal summer, the summer monsoon is the dominant system for the studied domain, which is generally humid with extensive cloudiness, corresponding to zones of strong convective activities. Results also reveal considerable discrepancies among different cloud products over extended areas of north China and Mongolia. The Sichuan Basin is another region of large discrepancies among the four cloud products. Diurnal cycles of FY‐2C cloudiness for the four seasons of a year are analyzed. The diurnal range of cloudiness is generally larger over land than over ocean. Remarkable diurnal variation is found over the Tibetan Plateau, the northern part of the Indian Peninsula, and central Asia where there is generally less precipitation. The peaks of diurnal cycle of cloudiness appear around local noon over the subtropical land, in the morning over the Indian Peninsula, and in the afternoon near the equator.
International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project
ISCCP continues to quantify the global distribution and diurnal-to-interannual variations of cloud properties in a revised version. This paper summarizes assessments of the previous version, describes refinements of the analysis and enhanced features of the product design, discusses the few notable changes in the results, and illustrates the long-term variations of global mean cloud properties and differing high cloud changes associated with ENSO. The new product design includes a global, pixel-level product on a 0.1° grid, all other gridded products at 1.0°-equivalent equal area, separate satellite products with ancillary data for regional studies, more detailed, embedded quality information, and all gridded products in netCDF format. All the data products including all input data, expanded documentation, the processing code, and an operations guide are available online. Notable changes are 1) a lowered ice–liquid temperature threshold, 2) a treatment of the radiative effects of aerosols and surface temperature inversions, 3) refined specification of the assumed cloud microphysics, and 4) interpolation of the main daytime cloud information overnight. The changes very slightly increase the global monthly mean cloud amount with a little more high cloud and a little less middle and low cloud. Over the whole period, total cloud amount slowly decreases caused by decreases in cumulus/altocumulus; consequently, average cloud-top temperature and optical thickness have increased. The diurnal and seasonal cloud variations are very similar to earlier versions. Analysis of the whole record shows that high cloud variations, but not low clouds, exhibit different patterns in different ENSO events.
The Role of Mesoscale Cloud Morphology in the Shortwave Cloud Feedback
A supervised neural network algorithm is used to categorize near‐global satellite retrievals into three mesoscale cellular convective (MCC) cloud morphology patterns. At constant cloud amount, morphology patterns differ in brightness associated with the amount of optically thin cloud features. Environmentally driven transitions from closed MCC to other morphology patterns, typically accompanied by more optically thin cloud features, are used as a framework to quantify the morphology contribution to the optical depth component of the shortwave cloud feedback. A marine heat wave is used as an out‐of‐sample test of closed MCC occurrence predictions. Morphology shifts in optical depth between 65°S and 65°N under projected environmental changes (i.e., from an abrupt quadrupling of CO2) assuming constant cloud cover contributes between 0.04 and 0.07 W m−2 K−1 (aggregate of 0.06) to the global mean cloud feedback. Plain Language Summary Marine boundary layer clouds are essential to the energy balance of Earth, reflecting sunlight back to space and covering a large percentage of the globe. These clouds can organize into open, closed, and disorganized cellular structures. Cloud morphology patterns differ in their ability to reflect sunlight back to space. Closed cellular clouds transition to open and disorganized clouds associated with changes in environmental factors (i.e., sea surface temperature and the stability of the lower atmosphere). This study examines how a shift in cloud morphology with climate change will change the amount of sunlight reflected back to space: a shortwave cloud feedback. We predict the frequency of occurrence of closed cellular clouds based on changes in environmental factors estimated from global climate model simulations under climate change scenarios. An observed marine heat wave is used to test occurrence predictions. The change in reflected sunlight due to the shift between morphology types at fixed fractional cloud cover produces a global feedback that ranges between 0.04 and 0.07 W m−2 K−1. Key Points Mesoscale cloud morphology albedo varies with fraction of optically thin cloud features Closed mesoscale cellular convection occurrence changes are predictable from environmental controls Environmentally driven cloud morphology changes in optical depth produce a shortwave feedback of 0.04–0.07 W m−2 K−1
Observed Sensitivity of Low-Cloud Radiative Effects to Meteorological Perturbations over the Global Oceans
Understanding how marine low clouds and their radiative effects respond to changing meteorological conditions is crucial to constrain low-cloud feedbacks to greenhouse warming and internal climate variability. In this study, we use observations to quantify the low-cloud radiative response to meteorological perturbations over the global oceans to shed light on physical processes governing low-cloud and planetary radiation budget variability in different climate regimes. We assess the independent effect of perturbations in sea surface temperature, estimated inversion strength, horizontal surface temperature advection, 700-hPa relative humidity, 700-hPa vertical velocity, and near-surface wind speed. Stronger inversions and stronger cold advection greatly enhance low-level cloudiness and planetary albedo in eastern ocean stratocumulus and midlatitude regimes. Warming of the sea surface drives pronounced reductions of eastern ocean stratocumulus cloud amount and optical depth, and hence reflectivity, but has a weaker and more variable impact on low clouds in the tropics and middle latitudes. By reducing entrainment drying, higher free-tropospheric relative humidity enhances low-level cloudiness. At low latitudes, where cold advection destabilizes the boundary layer, stronger winds enhance low-level cloudiness; by contrast, wind speed variations have weak influence at midlatitudes where warm advection frequently stabilizes the marine boundary layer, thus inhibiting vertical mixing. These observational constraints provide a framework for understanding and evaluating marine low-cloud feedbacks and their simulation by models.
The global aerosol–climate model ECHAM6.3–HAM2.3 – Part 2: Cloud evaluation, aerosol radiative forcing, and climate sensitivity
The global aerosol–climate model ECHAM6.3–HAM2.3 (E63H23) as well as the previous model versions ECHAM5.5–HAM2.0 (E55H20) and ECHAM6.1–HAM2.2 (E61H22) are evaluated using global observational datasets for clouds and precipitation. In E63H23, the amount of low clouds, the liquid and ice water path, and cloud radiative effects are more realistic than in previous model versions. E63H23 has a more physically based aerosol activation scheme, improvements in the cloud cover scheme, changes in the detrainment of convective clouds, changes in the sticking efficiency for the accretion of ice crystals by snow, consistent ice crystal shapes throughout the model, and changes in mixed-phase freezing; an inconsistency in ice crystal number concentration (ICNC) in cirrus clouds was also removed. Common biases in ECHAM and in E63H23 (and in previous ECHAM–HAM versions) are a cloud amount in stratocumulus regions that is too low and deep convective clouds over the Atlantic and Pacific oceans that form too close to the continents (while tropical land precipitation is underestimated). There are indications that ICNCs are overestimated in E63H23.Since clouds are important for effective radiative forcing due to aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions (ERFari+aci) and equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), differences in ERFari+aci and ECS between the model versions were also analyzed. ERFari+aci is weaker in E63H23 (-1.0 W m-2) than in E61H22 (-1.2 W m-2) (or E55H20;-1.1 W m-2). This is caused by the weaker shortwave ERFari+aci (a new aerosol activation scheme and sea salt emission parameterization in E63H23, more realistic simulation of cloud water) overcompensating for the weaker longwave ERFari+aci (removal of an inconsistency in ICNC in cirrus clouds in E61H22).The decrease in ECS in E63H23 (2.5 K) compared to E61H22 (2.8 K) is due to changes in the entrainment rate for shallow convection (affecting the cloud amount feedback) and a stronger cloud phase feedback.Experiments with minimum cloud droplet number concentrations (CDNCmin) of 40 cm-3 or 10 cm-3 show that a higher value of CDNCmin reduces ERFari+aci as well as ECS in E63H23.
Detailing cloud property feedbacks with a regime-based decomposition
Diagnosing the root causes of cloud feedback in climate models and reasons for inter-model disagreement is a necessary first step in understanding their wide variation in climate sensitivities. Here we bring together two analysis techniques that illuminate complementary aspects of cloud feedback. The first quantifies feedbacks from changes in cloud amount, altitude, and optical depth, while the second separates feedbacks due to cloud property changes within specific cloud regimes from those due to regime occurrence frequency changes. We find that in the global mean, shortwave cloud feedback averaged across ten models comes solely from a positive within-regime cloud amount feedback countered slightly by a negative within-regime optical depth feedback. These within-regime feedbacks are highly uniform: In nearly all regimes, locations, and models, cloud amount decreases and cloud albedo increases with warming. In contrast, global-mean across-regime components vary widely across models but are very small on average. This component, however, is dominant in setting the geographic structure of the shortwave cloud feedback: Thicker, more extensive cloud types increase at the expense of thinner, less extensive cloud types in the extratropics, and vice versa at low latitudes. The prominent negative extratropical optical depth feedback has contributions from both within- and across-regime components, suggesting that thermodynamic processes affecting cloud properties as well as dynamical processes that favor thicker cloud regimes are important. The feedback breakdown presented herein may provide additional targets for observational constraints by isolating cloud property feedbacks within specific regimes without the obfuscating effects of changing dynamics that may differ across timescales.
The GCM-Oriented CALIPSO Cloud Product (CALIPSO-GOCCP)
This article presents the GCM‐Oriented Cloud‐Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) Cloud Product (GOCCP) designed to evaluate the cloudiness simulated by general circulation models (GCMs). For this purpose, Cloud‐Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization L1 data are processed following the same steps as in a lidar simulator used to diagnose the model cloud cover that CALIPSO would observe from space if the satellite was flying above an atmosphere similar to that predicted by the GCM. Instantaneous profiles of the lidar scattering ratio (SR) are first computed at the highest horizontal resolution of the data but at the vertical resolution typical of current GCMs, and then cloud diagnostics are inferred from these profiles: vertical distribution of cloud fraction, horizontal distribution of low, middle, high, and total cloud fractions, instantaneous SR profiles, and SR histograms as a function of height. Results are presented for different seasons (January–March 2007–2008 and June–August 2006–2008), and their sensitivity to parameters of the lidar simulator is investigated. It is shown that the choice of the vertical resolution and of the SR threshold value used for cloud detection can modify the cloud fraction by up to 0.20, particularly in the shallow cumulus regions. The tropical marine low‐level cloud fraction is larger during nighttime (by up to 0.15) than during daytime. The histograms of SR characterize the cloud types encountered in different regions. The GOCCP high‐level cloud amount is similar to that from the TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder (TOVS) and the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS). The low‐level and middle‐level cloud fractions are larger than those derived from passive remote sensing (International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project, Moderate‐Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer–Cloud and Earth Radiant Energy System Polarization and Directionality of Earth Reflectances, TOVS Path B, AIRS–Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique) because the latter only provide information on the uppermost cloud layer.
An emulator approach to stratocumulus susceptibility
The climatic relevance of aerosol–cloud interactions depends on the sensitivity of the radiative effect of clouds to cloud droplet number N, and liquid water path LWP. We derive the dependence of cloud fraction CF, cloud albedo AC, and the relative cloud radiative effect rCRE=CF⋅AC on N and LWP from 159 large-eddy simulations of nocturnal stratocumulus. These simulations vary in their initial conditions for temperature, moisture, boundary-layer height, and aerosol concentration but share boundary conditions for surface fluxes and subsidence. Our approach is based on Gaussian-process emulation, a statistical technique related to machine learning. We succeed in building emulators that accurately predict simulated values of CF, AC, and rCRE for given values of N and LWP. Emulator-derived susceptibilities ∂ln⁡rCRE/∂ln⁡N and ∂ln⁡rCRE/∂ln⁡LWP cover the nondrizzling, fully overcast regime as well as the drizzling regime with broken cloud cover. Theoretical results, which are limited to the nondrizzling regime, are reproduced. The susceptibility ∂ln⁡rCRE/∂ln⁡N captures the strong sensitivity of the cloud radiative effect to cloud fraction, while the susceptibility ∂ln⁡rCRE/∂ln⁡LWP describes the influence of cloud amount on cloud albedo irrespective of cloud fraction. Our emulation-based approach provides a powerful tool for summarizing complex data in a simple framework that captures the sensitivities of cloud-field properties over a wide range of states.
Contributions of Different Cloud Types to Feedbacks and Rapid Adjustments in CMIP5
Using five climate model simulations of the response to an abrupt quadrupling of CO₂, the authors perform the first simultaneous model intercomparison of cloud feedbacks and rapid radiative adjustments with cloud masking effects removed, partitioned among changes in cloud types and gross cloud properties. Upon CO₂ quadrupling, clouds exhibit a rapid reduction in fractional coverage, cloud-top pressure, and optical depth, with each contributing equally to a 1.1 W m−2net cloud radiative adjustment, primarily from shortwave radiation. Rapid reductions in midlevel clouds and optically thick clouds are important in reducing planetary albedo in every model. As the planet warms, clouds become fewer, higher, and thicker, and global mean net cloud feedback is positive in all but one model and results primarily from increased trapping of longwave radiation. As was true for earlier models, high cloud changes are the largest contributor to intermodel spread in longwave and shortwave cloud feedbacks, but low cloud changes are the largest contributor to the mean and spread in net cloud feedback. The importance of the negative optical depth feedback relative to the amount feedback at high latitudes is even more marked than in earlier models. The authors show that the negative longwave cloud adjustment inferred in previous studies is primarily caused by a 1.3 W m−2cloud masking of CO₂ forcing. Properly accounting for cloud masking increases net cloud feedback by 0.3 W m−2K−1, whereas accounting for rapid adjustments reduces by 0.14 W m−2K−1the ensemble mean net cloud feedback through a combination of smaller positive cloud amount and altitude feedbacks and larger negative optical depth feedbacks.