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63 result(s) for "Precision matrix estimation"
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Tensor graphical lasso (TeraLasso)
The paper introduces a multiway tensor generalization of the bigraphical lasso which uses a two-way sparse Kronecker sum multivariate normal model for the precision matrix to model parsimoniously conditional dependence relationships of matrix variate data based on the Cartesian product of graphs. We call this tensor graphical lasso generalization TeraLasso. We demonstrate by using theory and examples that the TeraLasso model can be accurately and scalably estimated from very limited data samples of high dimensional variables with multiway co-ordinates such as space, time and replicates. Statistical consistency and statistical rates of convergence are established for both the bigraphical lasso and TeraLasso estimators of the precision matrix and estimators of its support (non-sparsity) set respectively. We propose a scalable composite gradient descent algorithm and analyse the computational convergence rate, showing that the composite gradient descent algorithm is guaranteed to converge at a geometric rate to the global minimizer of the TeraLasso objective function. Finally, we illustrate TeraLasso by using both simulation and experimental data from a meteorological data set, showing that we can accurately estimate precision matrices and recover meaningful conditional dependence graphs from high dimensional complex data sets.
Bayesian Regularization for Graphical Models With Unequal Shrinkage
We consider a Bayesian framework for estimating a high-dimensional sparse precision matrix, in which adaptive shrinkage and sparsity are induced by a mixture of Laplace priors. Besides discussing our formulation from the Bayesian standpoint, we investigate the MAP (maximum a posteriori) estimator from a penalized likelihood perspective that gives rise to a new nonconvex penalty approximating the ℓ 0 penalty. Optimal error rates for estimation consistency in terms of various matrix norms along with selection consistency for sparse structure recovery are shown for the unique MAP estimator under mild conditions. For fast and efficient computation, an EM algorithm is proposed to compute the MAP estimator of the precision matrix and (approximate) posterior probabilities on the edges of the underlying sparse structure. Through extensive simulation studies and a real application to a call center data, we have demonstrated the fine performance of our method compared with existing alternatives. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
Asymptotically Normal and Efficient Estimation of Covariate-Adjusted Gaussian Graphical Model
We propose an asymptotically normal and efficient procedure to estimate every finite subgraph for covariate-adjusted Gaussian graphical model. As a consequence, a confidence interval as well as p-value can be obtained for each edge. The procedure is tuning-free and enjoys easy implementation and efficient computation through parallel estimation on subgraphs or edges. We apply the asymptotic normality result to perform support recovery through edge-wise adaptive thresholding. This support recovery procedure is called ANTAC, standing for asymptotically normal estimation with thresholding after adjusting covariates. ANTAC outperforms other methodologies in the literature in a range of simulation studies. We apply ANTAC to identify gene-gene interactions using an eQTL dataset. Our result achieves better interpretability and accuracy in comparison with a state-of-the-art method. Supplementary materials for the article are available online.
Estimating dynamic brain functional networks using multi-subject fMRI data
A common assumption in the study of brain functional connectivity is that the brain network is stationary. However it is increasingly recognized that the brain organization is prone to variations across the scanning session, fueling the need for dynamic connectivity approaches. One of the main challenges in developing such approaches is that the frequency and change points for the brain organization are unknown, with these changes potentially occurring frequently during the scanning session. In order to provide greater power to detect rapid connectivity changes, we propose a fully automated two-stage approach which pools information across multiple subjects to estimate change points in functional connectivity, and subsequently estimates the brain networks within each state phase lying between consecutive change points. The number and positioning of the change points are unknown and learned from the data in the first stage, by modeling a time-dependent connectivity metric under a fused lasso approach. In the second stage, the brain functional network for each state phase is inferred via sparse inverse covariance matrices. We compare the performance of the method with existing dynamic connectivity approaches via extensive simulation studies, and apply the proposed approach to a saccade block task fMRI data.
Covariate-Adjusted Precision Matrix Estimation Under Lower Polynomial Moment Assumption
Multiple regression analysis has a wide range of applications. The analysis of error structures in regression model Y=ΓX+Z has also attracted much attention. This paper focuses on large-scale precision matrix of the error vector that only has lower polynomial moments. We mainly study upper bounds of the proposed estimator under different norms in term of the probability estimation. It is shown that our estimator achieves the same optimal convergence order as under Gaussian assumption on the data. Simulation experiments further validate that our method has advantages.
Shrinking characteristics of precision matrix estimators
We propose a framework to shrink a user-specified characteristic of a precision matrix estimator that is needed to fit a predictive model. Estimators in our framework minimize the Gaussian negative loglikelihood plus an L₁ penalty on a linear or affine function evaluated at the optimization variable corresponding to the precision matrix. We establish convergence rate bounds for these estimators and propose an alternating direction method of multipliers algorithm for their computation. Our simulation studies show that our estimators can perform better than competitors when they are used to fit predictive models. In particular, we illustrate cases where our precision matrix estimators perform worse at estimating the population precision matrix but better at prediction.
High-Dimensional Precision Matrix Estimation through GSOS with Application in the Foreign Exchange Market
This article studies the estimation of the precision matrix of a high-dimensional Gaussian network. We investigate the graphical selector operator with shrinkage, GSOS for short, to maximize a penalized likelihood function where the elastic net-type penalty is considered as a combination of a norm-one penalty and a targeted Frobenius norm penalty. Numerical illustrations demonstrate that our proposed methodology is a competitive candidate for high-dimensional precision matrix estimation compared to some existing alternatives. We demonstrate the relevance and efficiency of GSOS using a foreign exchange markets dataset and estimate dependency networks for 32 different currencies from 2018 to 2021.
ESTIMATING SPARSE PRECISION MATRIX: OPTIMAL RATES OF CONVERGENCE AND ADAPTIVE ESTIMATION
Precision matrix is of significant importance in a wide range of applications in multivariate analysis. This paper considers adaptive minimax estimation of sparse precision matrices in the high dimensional setting. Optimal rates of convergence are established for a range of matrix norm losses. A fully data driven estimator based on adaptive constrained ℓ₁ minimization is proposed and its rate of convergence is obtained over a collection of parameter spaces. The estimator, called ACLIME, is easy to implement and performs well numerically. A major step in establishing the minimax rate of convergence is the derivation of a rate-sharp lower bound. A \"two-directional\" lower bound technique is applied to obtain the minimax lower bound. The upper and lower bounds together yield the optimal rates of convergence for sparse precision matrix estimation and show that the ACLIME estimator is adaptively minimax rate optimal for a collection of parameter spaces and a range of matrix norm losses simultaneously.
A Constrained ℓ1 Minimization Approach to Sparse Precision Matrix Estimation
This article proposes a constrained ℓ 1 minimization method for estimating a sparse inverse covariance matrix based on a sample of n iid p-variate random variables. The resulting estimator is shown to have a number of desirable properties. In particular, the rate of convergence between the estimator and the true s-sparse precision matrix under the spectral norm is when the population distribution has either exponential-type tails or polynomial-type tails. We present convergence rates under the elementwise ℓ ∞ norm and Frobenius norm. In addition, we consider graphical model selection. The procedure is easily implemented by linear programming. Numerical performance of the estimator is investigated using both simulated and real data. In particular, the procedure is applied to analyze a breast cancer dataset and is found to perform favorably compared with existing methods.