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5,688 result(s) for "apgar scores"
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Trends in Apgar scores and umbilical artery pH: a population-based cohort study on 10,696,831 live births in Germany, 2008–2022
Low Apgar scores and low umbilical arterial (UA) blood pH are considered indicators of adverse perinatal events. This study investigated trends of these perinatal health indicators in Germany. Perinatal data on 10,696,831 in-hospital live births from 2008 to 2022 were obtained from quality assurance institutes. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to quantify trends of low Apgar score and UA pH. Additional analyses stratified by mode of delivery were performed on term singletons with cephalic presentation. Robustness against unmeasured confounding was analyzed using the E -value sensitivity analysis. The overall rates of 5-min Apgar scores < 7 and UA pH < 7.10 in liveborn infants were 1.17% and 1.98%, respectively. For low Apgar scores, joinpoint analysis revealed an increase from 2008 to 2011 (annual percent change (APC) 5.19; 95% CI 3.66–9.00) followed by a slower increase from 2011 to 2019 (APC 2.56; 95% CI 2.00–3.03) and a stabilization from 2019 onwards (APC − 0.64; 95% CI − 3.60 to 0.62). The rate of UA blood pH < 7.10 increased significantly between 2011 and 2017 (APC 5.90; 95% CI 5.15–7.42). For term singletons in cephalic presentation, the risk amplification of low Apgar scores was highest after instrumental delivery (risk ratio 1.623, 95% CI 1.509–1.745), whereas those born spontaneous had the highest increase in pH < 7.10 (risk ratio 1.648, 95% CI 1.615–1.682).           Conclusion : Rates of low 5-min Apgar scores and UA pH in liveborn infants increased from 2008 to 2022 in Germany. What is Known: • Low Apgar scores at 5 min after birth and umbilical arterial blood pH are associated with adverse perinatal outcomes. • Prospective collection of Apgar scores and arterial blood pH data allows for nationwide quality assurance. What is New: • The rates of liveborn infants with 5-min Apgar scores < 7 rose from 0.97 to 1.30% and that of umbilical arterial blood pH < 7.10 from 1.55 to 2.30% between 2008–2010 and 2020–2022. • In spontaneously born term singletons in cephalic presentation, the rate of metabolic acidosis with pH < 7.10 and BE < −5 mmol/L in umbilical arterial blood roughly doubled between the periods 2008–2010 and 2020–2022.
Application of machine learning in identifying risk factors for low APGAR scores
Background Identifying the risk factors for low APGAR scores at birth is critical for improving neonatal outcomes and guiding clinical interventions. Methods This study aimed to develop a machine-learning model that predicts low APGAR scores by incorporating maternal, fetal, and perinatal factors in Wad Medani, Sudan. Using a Random Forest Classifier, we performed hyper-parameter optimization through Grid Search cross-validation (CV) to identify the best-performing model configuration. Results The optimized model achieved excellent predictive performance, as evidenced by high F1 scores, accuracy, and balanced precision-recall metrics on the test set. In addition to prediction, feature importance analysis was conducted to identify the most influential risk factors contributing to low APGAR scores. Key predictors included gestational age, maternal BMI, mode of delivery, and history of previous complications such as stillbirth or abortion. Using 5-fold cross-validation (CV), the random forest model performance scored accuracy at 96%, precision at 98%, recall at 97%, and F1-score at 97% when classifying infants with APGAR score. Conclusion This study underscores the importance of incorporating machine learning approaches in obstetric care to understand better and mitigate the risk factors associated with adverse neonatal outcomes, particularly low APGAR scores. The results provide a foundation for developing targeted interventions and improving prenatal care practices.
Apgar scores at 10 min and outcomes at 6–7 years following hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy
Aim To determine the association between 10 min Apgar scores and 6–7-year outcomes in children with perinatal hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) enrolled in the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development Neonatal Research Network (NICHD NRN) whole body cooling randomised controlled trial (RCT). Methods Evaluations at 6–7 years included the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence III or Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children IV and Gross Motor Functional Classification Scale. Primary outcome was death/moderate or severe disability. Logistic regression was used to examine the association between 10 min Apgar scores and outcomes after adjusting for birth weight, gestational age, gender, outborn status, hypothermia treatment and centre. Results In the study cohort (n=174), 64/85 (75%) of those with 10 min Apgar score of 0–3 had death/disability compared with 40/89 (45%) of those with scores >3. Each point increase in 10 min Apgar scores was associated with a significantly lower adjusted risk of death/disability, death, death/IQ <70, death/cerebral palsy (CP) and disability, IQ<70 and CP among survivors (all p<0.05). Among the 24 children with a 10 min Apgar score of 0, five (20.8%) survived without disability. The risk-adjusted probabilities of death/disability were significantly lower in cooled infants with Apgar scores of 0–3; there was no significant interaction between cooling and Apgar scores (p=0.26). Conclusions Among children with perinatal HIE enrolled in the NICHD cooling RCT, 10 min Apgar scores were significantly associated with school-age outcomes. A fifth of infants with 10 min Apgar score of 0 survived without disability to school age, suggesting the need for caution in limiting resuscitation to a specified duration.
The modified Surgical Apgar Score predictive value for postoperative complications after robotic surgery for rectal cancer
ObjectiveThe Surgical Apgar Score quantifies three intraoperative parameters: lowest heart rate, lowest mean arterial pressure, and estimated blood loss (EBL). This scoring system predicts postoperative complications based on these measured factors. The aim of this study was to investigate the value of modified Surgical Apgar Score (mSAS) in predicting postoperative complications in patients with rectal cancer treated with robotic surgery in order to improve the survival and quality of life of rectal cancer patients.MethodsThe study included patients with rectal cancer who underwent robotic surgery in the Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from January 2015 to December 2023. In minimally invasive surgery, we developed a modified Surgical Apgar Score (mSAS) tailored for robotic rectal cancer surgery, incorporating an adjusted threshold for EBL. This threshold was derived from quartile analysis of a cohort of 524 patients, with a median EBL of 100 mL (IQR 80–130 mL). We analyzed the association of postoperative complications with low mSAS.ResultsThis study included 524 patients, of which 91 (17.4%) experienced complications and 22 (4.2%) suffered severe complications. mSAS of 6 provided maximal Youden index and were determined as the cut-off values. The area under the ROC curve for predicting complications using the mSAS was 0.740. Univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that an older age, lower tumor localization, longer operation time, radiotherapy alone, combined chemoradiotherapy, and lower mSAS as independent risk factors for complications. The AUC of the prediction nomogram was 0.834 (95% CI 0.774–0.867). The calibration curve demonstrated excellent concordance with the nomogram, indicating the prediction curve ft the diagonal well.ConclusionThis study suggests that mSAS might be a valuable predictive indicator for postoperative complications following robotic rectal cancer surgery, with potentially higher clinical utility.
Development and validation of a risk score for predicting postoperative delirium after major abdominal surgery by incorporating preoperative risk factors and surgical Apgar score
To develop and validate a simple delirium-predicting scoring system in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery by incorporating preoperative risk factors and intraoperative surgical Apgar score (SAS). Observational retrospective cohort study. A tertiary general hospital in China. 1055 patients who received major abdominal surgery from January 2015 to December 2019. We collected data on preoperative and intraoperative variables, and postoperative delirium. A risk scoring system for postoperative delirium in patients after major open abdominal surgery was developed and validated based on traditional logistic regression model. The elastic net algorithm was further developed and evaluated. The incidence of postoperative delirium was 17.8% (188/1055) in these patients. They were randomly divided into the development (n = 713) and validation (n = 342) cohorts. Both the logistic regression model and the elastic net regression model identified that advanced age, arrythmia, hypoalbuminemia, coagulation dysfunction, mental illness or cognitive impairments and low surgical Apgar score are related with increased risk of postoperative delirium. The elastic net algorithm has an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.842 and 0.822 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. A prognostic score was calculated using the following formula: Prognostic score = Age classification (0 to 3 points) + arrythmia + 2 * hypoalbuminemia + 2 * coagulation dysfunction + 4 * mental illness or cognitive impairments + (10-surgical Apgar score). The 22-point risk scoring system had good discrimination and calibration with an AUROC of 0.823 and 0.834, and a non-significant Hosmer-Lemeshow test P = 0.317 and P = 0.853 in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. The bootstrapping internal verification method (R = 1000) yielded a C-index of 0.822 (95% CI: 0.759–0.857). The prognostic scoring system, which used both preoperative risk factors and surgical Apgar score, serves as a good first step toward a clinically useful predictive model for postoperative delirium in patients undergoing major open abdominal surgery. •A postoperative delirium prediction scoring system for patients with major abdominal surgery was developed and validated.•This large-sample study found that low SAS was associated with increased risk for postoperative delirium.•The elastic net regression model with high significance was further established to predict postoperative delirium.
Temporal trends and adverse perinatal outcomes of twin pregnancies at differing gestational ages: an observational study from China between 2012–2020
Background With the development of assisted reproductive technology, the twinning rate in China has been increasing. However, little is known about twinning from 2014 onwards. In addition, previous studies analysing optimal gestational times have rarely considered maternal health conditions. Therefore, whether maternal health conditions affect the optimal gestational time remains unclear. Methods Data of women delivered between January 2012 and December 2020 were collected through China’s National Maternal Near Miss Surveillance System. Interrupted time series analysis was used to determine the rates of twinning, stillbirth, smaller than gestational age (SGA), and low Apgar scores (< 4) among twins in China. To estimate the risk of each adverse perinatal outcome for separate gestational weeks, a multivariate generalised linear model was used. Infants born at 37 weeks of gestational age or foetuses staying in utero were used as reference separately. The analyses were adjusted for the sampling distribution of the population and the cluster effect at the hospital and individual levels were considered. Results There were 442,268 infants enrolled in this study, and the adjusted rates for twinning, stillbirth, SGA, and low Apgar scores were 3.10%, 1.75%, 7.70%, and 0.79%, respectively. From 2012 to 2020, the twinning rate showed an increasing trend. Adverse perinatal outcomes, including stillbirth, SGA, and low Apgar scores showed a decreasing trend. A gestational age between 34 and 36 weeks decreased most for rate of stillbirth (average changing rate -9.72%, 95% confidence interval [CI] -11.41% to -8.00%); and a gestational age of between 37 and 38 weeks decreased most for rates of SGA (average changing rate -4.64%, 95% CI -5.42% to -3.85%) and low Apgar scores (average changing rate -17.61%, 95% CI -21.73% to -13.26%). No significant difference in changes in twinning rate or changes of each perinatal outcome was observed during periods of different fertility policies. Infants born at 37 weeks of gestation had a decreased risk of stillbirth, SGA, and low Apgar scores. Maternal antepartum or medical complications increased the risk of SGA and low Apgar scores in different gestational weeks. Conclusion China’s twinning rate showed an increasing trend, while adverse perinatal outcomes decreased from 2012 to 2020. Fertility policy changes have had little effect on the twinning rate or the rate of adverse perinatal outcomes such as stillbirth, SGA, or low Apgar scores. The optimal gestational age for twins was 37 weeks. Women pregnant with twins and with antepartum or medical complications should be cautious due to an increased risk of SGA and low Apgar scores.
Ability to predict surgical outcomes by surgical Apgar score: a systematic review
Background The Surgical Apgar score (SAS) is a straightforward and unbiased measure to assess the probability of experiencing complications after surgery. It is calculated upon completion of the surgical procedure and provides valuable predictive information. The SAS evaluates three specific factors during surgery: the estimated amount of blood loss (EBL), the lowest recorded mean arterial pressure (MAP), and the lowest heart rate (LHR) observed. Considering these factors, the SAS offers insights into the probability of encountering postoperative complications. Methods Three authors independently searched the Medline, PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase databases until June 2022. This search was conducted without any language or timeframe restrictions, and it aimed to cover relevant literature on the subject. The inclusion criteria were the correlation between SAS and any modified/adjusted SAS (m SAS, (Modified SAS). eSAS, M eSAS, and SASA), and complications before, during, and after surgeries. Nevertheless, the study excluded letters to the editor, reviews, and case reports. Additionally, the researchers employed Begg and Egger's regression model to evaluate publication bias. Results In this systematic study, a total of 78 studies \\were examined. The findings exposed that SAS was effective in anticipating short-term complications and served as factor for a long-term prognostic following multiple surgeries. While the SAS has been validated across various surgical subspecialties, based on the available evidence, the algorithm's modifications may be necessary to enhance its predictive accuracy within each specific subspecialty. Conclusions The SAS enables surgeons and anesthesiologists to recognize patients at a higher risk for certain complications or adverse events. By either modifying the SAS (Modified SAS) or combining it with ASA criteria, healthcare professionals can enhance their ability to identify patients who require continuous observation and follow-up as they go through the postoperative period. This approach would improve the accuracy of identifying individuals at risk and ensure appropriate measures to provide necessary care and support.
Association between general anesthesia for cesarean delivery and subsequent developmental disorders in children: a nationwide retrospective cohort study
Background Exposure to general anesthetics (GA) in early childhood is associated with developmental disorders. However, few studies have addressed in-utero exposure to anesthetics during delivery and subsequent developmental disorders in the offspring. This study aimed to investigate whether GA for cesarean delivery is associated with developmental disorders in children. Methods Using data retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database linked to the Birth Reporting Database and the Maternal and Child Health Database between 2015 and 2020, this nationwide retrospective cohort study compared the incidence of developmental disorders following cesarean delivery under GA with that under neuraxial anesthesia (NA). Developmental disorders were diagnosed using the corresponding International Classification of Diseases codes traced 2–6 years after delivery. Results After excluding twins, children born with congenital anomalies or diseases and those with missing data, 325,309 eligible singleton pregnancies delivered through cesarean section under either GA or NA were enrolled. Of the total, 6973 of them were delivered under GA and 318,336 under NA. After propensity score-based fine stratification weighting with a model including age, socioeconomic deprivation, gestational status, infant sex, preterm delivery, low birth weight, and cesarean delivery duration, children delivered under GA were associated with a higher risk of developmental disorders diagnosed within 2 years (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07–1.28), 3 years (aOR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04–1.21), and 4 years (aOR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04–1.21) compared with those under NA. This association was no longer present when the confounding effect of Apgar scores was included in the propensity-score model. Conclusions GA for cesarean delivery may be associated with developmental disorders diagnosed within 2–4 years after birth manifested through poorer 1- and 5-min Apgar scores. There is no evidence of a direct relationship between GA-related neurotoxicity and subsequent developmental disorders.
Surgical Apgar score could predict complications after esophagectomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis
OBJECTIVES Esophagectomy is the most effective treatment for oesophageal cancer, although the incidence of postoperative complications remains high. Severe major complications, such as intrathoracic anastomotic leakage, are costly and life-threatening to patients. Therefore, early identification of postoperative complications is essential. The surgical Apgar score (SAS) was introduced by Gawande and colleagues to predict major complications after oesophagectomy. Several studies were carried out with inconsistent results. METHODS PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies regarding SAS and oesophagectomy. Forest plots were generated using a random-effects model to investigate the actual predictive value of SAS in identifying major complications after oesophagectomy. RESULTS Nine retrospective cohort studies were finally identified from selected electronic databases. The meta-analysis demonstrated that SAS could forecast the incidence of postoperative complications (odds ratio = 1.82, 95% confidence interval: 1.43–2.33, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis validated the predictive value of SAS whether as continuous or discrete variables. In addition, a meta-analysis of 4 studies demonstrated that SAS could predict the incidence of pulmonary complications (odds ratio = 2.32, 95% confidence interval: 1.61–3.36, P < 0.001). Significant heterogeneity but no publication bias was found. CONCLUSIONS Lower SAS scores could predict the incidence of major morbidities and pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy. Significant heterogeneity limits the reliability of the results, even if publication bias is not observed. More high-quality prospective research should be conducted to verify the findings. PROSPERO registration ID: CRD42020209004.
Predictive role of surgical Apgar score for postoperative complications and survival in patients receiving esophagectomy: a meta-analysis
Purpose The association between surgical Apgar score (SAS) and clinical outcomes among patients undergoing esophagectomy remains uncertain now. This study aimed to further identify the predictive role of SAS for postoperative complications and survival in patients receiving esophagectomy. Method PubMed, EMbase and Web of Science databases were searched up to March 27, 2025. Primary endpoints included the postoperative overall complication (OC) and overall survival (OS) and secondary endpoints consists of specific complications and disease-free survival (DFS). Odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were combined to assess the predictive value of SAS for complications and survival, respectively. Results Ten studies with 2453 patients were included. Pooled results demonstrated that SAS was significantly related to the risk of overall complications (OR = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.33–0.57, P <0.001), but not associated with OS (HR = 0.84, P  = 0.246). Furthermore, a low SAS predicted increased risk of anastomotic leakage (OR = 0.44, P  = 0.004), chylothorax (OR = 0.33, P  = 0.020), infection (OR = 0.43, P <0.001), 30-day mortality (OR = 0.40, P  = 0.011), pneumonia (OR = 0.61, P  = 0.037), reintubation (OR = 0.29, P  = 0.003), respiratory complication (OR = 0.49, P  = 0.014), gastrointestinal complication (OR = 0.57, P  = 0.035), length of stay (OR = 0.60, P  = 0.038), pulmonary complication (OR = 0.46, P  = 0.003). However, SAS was not associated with the risk of other complications such as the cardiac complication ( P  = 0.215) and sepsis ( P  = 0.087) and DFS ( P  = 0.341) in esophageal cancer patients. Conclusion SAS may serve as novel prognostic indicator for postoperative complications in patients receiving esophagectomy and low SAS predicts increased risk for complications. However, more studies are needed to further verify above findings.